Week 9 Predictions

      Welcome to Week 9 College Football fans, and we have a few playoff elimination games on the docket for this weekend. This is a loaded post as I have all my thoughts from the football disaster in Minnesota that the Huskers made me sit through, as well as predictions for a loaded weekend. Let's jump right in!

     Despite my early season predictions, I drank the Kool-Aid and picked Nebraska to win the $5 Bits of Broken Chair trophy for the first time since 2018. The Huskers repaid my faith by giving what I believe to be the worst game performance and loss of the Matt Rhule era. Better yet, I was in attendance for the 24-6 disaster against the Golden Gophers on Friday night, frustrated like many of my fellow Nebraska fans. While young, this Nebraska roster is extremely talented, so a 6 point performance against a mid-range BIG 10 opponent is near unacceptable for fans. There's a lot to break down with this game, so I've got my GOOD, EXPECTED and BAD analysis followed by some thoughts on the wild week of College Football.

GOOD - Special Teams. We've certainly reached a new era of Nebraska Football where I've got the Husker Special Teams play in my GOOD category of analysis, but its well deserved. Starting with the only points Nebraska was able to muster in this one, Kyle Cunanan has become a very reliable weapon for the Huskers. While the field goals in Minnesota weren't particularly challenging, he still made both when called upon and is now 11/12 for the year with a long of 52 and is so far perfect on extra points. I've really appreciated his consistency and hope he continues to play well. Shifting over to the punt teams, Archie Wilson did well to flip the field against the Gophers, especially in the early 3rd quarter when his punt was downed at the 1 yard line, giving Nebraska's defense a golden opportunity, only to be ruined by a 14 play, 99 yard touchdown drive that took nearly 9 minutes off the clock. Regardless, Wilson did his part throughout the game with 5 punts for 223 yards, averaging 44.6 with a long of 53 and his coverage team allowed just 1 return for 2 yards. The cherry on top of my special teams praise goes to Jacory Barney Jr. and his punt returning abilities. He's extremely shifty when returning punts, and is very close to breaking one as he has been all season long. Very similar style to De'Mornay Pierson-El and I can't wait until we get him loose for a really big return. He had a long of 30 against Minnesota and on the season and that was his 3rd on the season of at least 30 yards. Bringing in Mike Eckler was a sensational move.

EXPECTED - Nebraska struggling on the road, especially in Minneapolis. We've seen this before, but the Huskers still have issues on the road. Under Matt Rhule Nebraska has a record of 3-12 when playing on the road (excluding the Kansas City game against Cincy because that was practically a home game with the Husker crowd). They will need to win at UCLA or at Penn State this year just to break .500 in true road games, but I have concerns about both of those games. I give Rhule credit with preparations for Maryland and how the team went out a day early to have extra time to rest and walk-through different things. However, we knew Minnesota would be difficult, especially on a short week. I don't know what it is about Huntington Bank Stadium, but the Huskers always seem to lose their common sense of football when playing against the Gophers there. Nebraska last won there in 2015, but since then the Huskers have averaged 13.4 points and 114.6 rush yards per game on the road in Minneapolis over the past 5 games, all losses. Minnesota also has 6 straight wins in the series and recorded a school record of 9 sacks against the Huskers on Friday night.

BAD - Pretty much everything, but especially the offense. As mentioned above, the Huskers allowed 9 sacks on the evening, which was 16.7% of their entire offensive plays. This is an absolutely ridiculous statistic, and is highlighted even more when you consider that Emmett Johnson mustered up 100 total yards on 19 touches (14 carries, 5 catches). Those 100 total yards were nearly half of the Huskers' 213 total yards in the game, and Johnson didn't see most of his touches until the second half when Nebraska was down. I was extremely frustrated with the game plan and offensive play calls in this one, and it seems to be a recurring issue that the plays are not always planned well with the players on the field. Raiola was consistently under pressure with no receivers yet in the break of their route and often times had to try and pull the ball down to scramble because a wideout didn't run the correct play. There were also instances of Raiola missing his reads and holding the ball too long, which again suggests there is a disconnect between what Dana Holgersen is looking for his team to execute and what they are understanding to execute. The remaining schedule for this team is very manageable, but also very much a disaster waiting if Nebraska doesn't get things figured out soon. Matt Rhule is 1-10 when Nebraska is sitting at 5 wins, and Husker fans won't be happy if that record continues to grow the wrong way. The offense needs to be the strength of this team as I said before the season, we'll see if they can bounce back this weekend.

Week 8 Results: 14 - 10

Overall Results: 128 - 50

Week 9 Predictions:

UCLA at #2 Indiana

     One of the potential spicier matchups in the BIG 10 this weekend somehow features the UCLA Bruins who are oddly enough, firmly in the BIG 10 title race with a 3-1 conference record after starting 0-3 and firing their head coach. Indiana has found themselves with the highest ranking in school history and seem just as determined to keep moving up as they do to keep Curt Cignetti as head coach. They extended the 2nd year head coach by 8 years and bumped his annual compensation to more than $11.5 million. If you think he's allowing an upset at the hands of the Bruins to occur on his watch, you're crazy. Especially with UCLA traveling 3 time zones and playing at a 12 Noon kick which is 9 AM body clock time for them, this has Indiana beat down written all over it. The Hoosiers are extremely balanced on offense, but look for a big day from QB Fernando Mendoza. He's coming off a 332 yard, 4 TD passing day against Michigan State in which he completed 85.7% of his throws. He's in a groove that won't be disrupted and Nico Iamaleava won't be able to keep up. Hoosiers 45, Bruins 20.

Syracuse at #7 Georgia Tech

     The Yellow Jackets are ranked 7th, which is their highest ranking since last reaching #7 in 2014 following their Orange Bowl Victory over Mississippi State. They look for a victory over the Orange of Syracuse today as they keep momentum building for a run at the ACC Championship. The 'Cuse are well coached by Fran Brown, but without QB Steve Angeli available, this team has really struggled over the past few weeks. Syracuse is 0-3 since losing their starting QB and has yet to score more than 18 points in his absence. Georgia Tech will look to grind it into the heart of the defense and wear them down through 4 quarters of smash mouth football. Brent Key has this team really playing well and I think the duo of QB Haynes King and RB Jamal Haynes will be too much to stop. GT 31, Syracuse 17.

#8 Ole Miss at #13 Oklahoma

     A heartbreaker for Ole Miss as they fell short between the hedges in defeating Georgia. After putting up 35 points in the first 3 quarters, the Rebels were outscored by the Dawgs 17-0 in the 4th. Now they go back on the road to battle a rugged Oklahoma team who is starting to get their rhythm back after beating South Carolina 26-7. The Sooners have an absolute GAUNTLET remaining, so this would be a big win to boost their confidence heading into November. Both teams need this win to keep playoff hopes alive, and as much as I love the offensive firepower of the Rebels, I think Oklahoma's defense at home is a difference maker. They do such a good job causing pressure on opposing QBs, racking up 28 sacks already this season, which is tied for 1st in the nation. It'll be best on best as the Rebels have only given up 7 sacks this season, but I like Oklahoma at home. This should be a very fun game to watch and I'm curious to see if Lane Kiffen can prove me wrong. Boomer Sooner as OU wins 27-21.

#18 South Florida at Memphis

     A likely playoff elimination game is set to take place in Memphis as the Tigers host South Florida just 1 week after being upset by rival UAB. The Blazers surged after firing Trent Dilfer and brought home one of the best college football trophies (that I somehow just learned about) in all the land. A full rack of BBQ ribs was taken by UAB in a stunner, and now Memphis is in need of a statement win to keep their playoff hopes alive. Unfortunately, they'll be up against South Florida and QB Byrum Brown. He's currently responsible for 22 total TDs and more than 2,100 total yards. It's time folks start paying attention to him in the Heisman race, and they likely will after he shines in the victory over Memphis. Bulls defeat the Tigers for a key road win 38-23.

SMU at Wake Forest

     A potential trap game awaits the Ponies as they head to Winston-Salem to take on the Demon Deacons. Wake Forest has been feisty all season, taking GT to the brink in Overtime and hanging tough with NC State earlier this season as well. SMU just won on the road at Clemson to avenge their ACC Title loss from last season and have Miami coming to Dallas next week. Certainly an easy spot to be looking ahead, but that's not what this team does. The Mustangs have a path back to the ACC Championship game and Rhett Lashlee certainly won't be letting his team overlook Wake Forest. We'll have a fabulous QB battle to watch as SMU's Kevin Jennings has nearly 2,000 passing yards with 17 TDs and 7 picks. His counterpart, Robbie Ashford, may not have the stats like Jennings, but is a dynamic playmaker within the offense, especially with his legs. He's rushed for 4 TDs this season and much like Jennings he'll extend drives with key scrambles on third down. Wake's defense has been good this season, but I like SMU's veteran experience to lead them though a tough road game and keep marching toward another ACC Title bid. Pony Up as SMU wins 27-21 on the road.

Kansas State at Kansas (Sunflower Showdown)

     One of the few rivalry games of the weekend features the Wildcats against the Jayhawks. K-State has bounced back with wins in 2 of their last 3 games, and they're coming off a BYE. Kansas is also well rested, but they've been sitting on a 42-17 loss to Texas Tech for two weeks. Jalon Daniels is the key player to watch in this game. He's accounted for nearly 2,000 total yards with 19 TDs and just 2 picks. He does a great job taking care of the ball, and the Wildcats have struggled against dual-threat QBs, and are allowing 27 points per game. This one is a tricky game to pick, as it seems like a game K-State will be ready for, but I like KU at home. Rock Chalk as the Jayhawks win 31-28.

#4 Alabama at South Carolina

     The Tide have been rolling since the opening loss to Florida State, and now head on the road to a South Carolina team nearing disaster on a once promising season. Ty Simpson has been lights out at QB, completing more than 70% of his passes for nearly 2,000 yards with 18 TDs and just 2 picks. South Carolina has done fairly well on defense, but offensively is where the struggles have been. The Gamecocks rank 134th in the nation in sacks allowed with 26. Alabama hasn't rushed the passer like they used to, but South Carolina's offensive line is paper thin. I expect Bama to have a strong presence in the backfield, limiting the rushing abilities of LaNorris Sellers. Ty Simpson will have the offense cruising and Alabama wins 34-14. Roll Tide.

#15 Missouri at #10 Vanderbilt

     College Gameday is in Nashville as Vanderbilt hosts Mizzou for a top 15 matchup. The Tigers struggled on the road last week, pulling one out of the fire in double overtime against Auburn. Vandy put up 239 rush yards on LSU and have no problem showcasing their identity each and every week. They are going to line up and hit you in the mouth over and over. They are going to grind out this game and smash Mizzou all afternoon. The tigers rank 7th in rush defense, so it will be very fun to see who handles the run game in this one. Offensively for Mizzou, Beau Pribula started the season strong, but has 4 interceptions in the last two games. If Vandy can force some turnovers early, they can hold the Tigers at arms length with the run game. I believe in Diego Pavia, and this man is going to start putting together some Heisman film. Vanderbilt 30, Missouri 21.

#11 BYU at Iowa State

     The Cougars travel to Ames as the last remaining unbeaten team in the Big XII. Iowa State has a lot of injuries this season and it's gone south with back-to-back losses to Cincy and Colorado ahead of their BYE. The Cyclones have ruined many a season with unbeaten teams coming to Ames, but BYU seems determined to prove they aren't tripping up any time soon. They commanded their game against Utah, and Bear Bachmeier has been fantastic in his first season. The stats don't necessarily jump off the page, but his ability to scramble and extend plays while taking care of the ball has helped BYU stay unbeaten. Iowa State QB Rocco Becht commands his offense well, so BYU needs to be sound on defense. I've been picking against the Cougars the last couple of weeks and they keep making me look bad. I'll take them on the road against the Cyclones and we'll see if they keep winning. BYU 33, Iowa State 28.

#23 Illinois at Washington

     A fun BIG 10 clash between Illinois and Washington, two of college football middle of the road teams that you probably don't want on your calendar in late October or November. Both of these squads are more than capable of spoiling a season, so we'll see what they can do against each other in that vein. Washington returns home after a frustrating loss to Michigan where the offense was surprisingly stagnant against a defense that has struggled at times this season. Quarterback Demond Williams Jr. threw 3 interceptions, limiting his team's options to move the ball. Illinois QB Luke Altmyer still has just the 1 interception on the season which came via a deflected pass off his receiver's hands, so I don't put much blame to him on that. The Huskies certainly have the defense to slow down the Illini and cause pressure on Altmyer, but depending on which of their offenses show up will be the difference maker. Washington will need to get back to running the ball, especially as Jonah Coleman has struggled to find space over the last a few weeks. I think this game is truly a toss up depending on which teams come out, but I'll take Washington at home primarily because Illinois doesn't travel well, especially West. Huskies 26-23.

Minnesota at Iowa (Battle for the Floyd of Rosedale)

     If you like high-powered offenses, dynamic air raids and big play breakaways, don't even think about tuning into this game. Minnesota and Iowa meet for their annual Battle for the Floyd of Rosedale, a Bronze Pig trophy taken by the winner. Few trophies rival Floyd for the true embodiment of college football, and when the Gophers and Hawkeyes meet, it's always a battle. The Hawkeyes have dominated the series of late, winning 9 of the last 10, primarily because of timely Minnesota mistakes. Iowa does have a rugged defense yet again and offensively they will run the ball right down your throat. Don't expect much action through the air as Minnesota makes their mark with smart, underneath throws, and Iowa still has yet to accept the forward pass as a strategic concept in the game of football. Iowa QB Mark Gronowski hasn't thrown a touchdown pass since September 13th, but somehow the Hawkeyes are 3-1 with a 5 point loss against Indiana over that time frame. Gronowski is essentially a running back who calls the plays in the huddle for Iowa, but he's been tough to stop with 10 rushing TDs on the season and an average of 4.3 yards per carry. He'll test Minnesota's 19th ranked rush defense, but I'm positive the Hawkeyes will find some way to win after the Gophers fumble a basic handoff in the 4th quarter while up 3 just because that Kinnick Stadium voodoo messes with you. Iowa hangs onto Floyd with a 24-20 win.

San Diego State at Fresno State

     The Aztecs travel north to the Valley as Fresno State unveils blackout jerseys with nasty looking helmets. The Bulldogs will need more than drip to beat San Diego State though, as both teams are on the brink of bowl eligibility. SDSU Junior RB Lucky Sutton is one to watch as he's averaging 5.1 yards per carry and has 6 TDs on the ground. Bryson Donelson isn't far behind 4.8 yards per carry for the Bulldogs, but SDSU ranks 16th in rush defense. If EJ Warner can take care of the rock, I like the upset potential at home. SDSU's defense doesn't get moved much, and despite the blackout uniforms, I don't think Fresno will be able to get many big plays on the Aztecs. SDSU 34, Fresno State 24.

Baylor at #21 Cincinnati

     The Bearcats have been red hot on offense since their opening season loss to Nebraska, and QB Braden Sorsby is my dark horse Heisman candidate if they can keep up this level of play. His only pick on the season came from Malcom Hartzog with Nebraska, and since then he's thrown 18 TDs with nearly 1,800 yards and then has another 340 yards rushing with 6 TDs. The Cincy offense is averaging 37.9 points per game, ranking 15th in the nation. Baylor has no problem putting up points, but defensively they give up quite a few as well. Sawyer Robertson has nearly 2,400 yards with 21 TDs and 7 picks, so we could easily have an old fashioned Big XII shootout. The Bears are -7 in turnover margin, so give me Cincy to keep rolling at home. Bearcats best the Bears 40-24.

#22 Texas at Mississippi State

     The Longhorns narrowly escaped Kentucky with an overtime win after stuffing the Wildcats on the goal line and walking it off with a field goal. They've got a few dangerous games left on the schedule to prove me right when I say they're going to lose at least 3 more games. Could the Bulldogs pull the upset and be one of those games? Mississippi State has hung tough with teams, but has yet to win an SEC game since 2023. Their defense has been stingy though, ranking 21st in the nation with a +5 turnover margin. Arch Manning has still struggled in recent weeks, despite the wins, and I know the Bulldogs will look to put pressure on him early. Offensively for Mississippi State, everything runs through QB Blake Shapen. He's thrown a pick in each of their last 3 games, all losses in SEC play. Texas has a top tier defense and will likely shut down Shapen and company fairly quickly. If he can make smart and efficient throws, there's certainly opportunity for an upset. Texas won't score much offensively and with a home date against top 10 Vandy next week, they could fall into the trap game. As always, I'm rooting for the upset, but Texas likely escapes from another upset option. Building up to a big fall to finish the year. Hook 'Em for a 27-17 win.

#25 Michigan at Michigan State (Battle for the Paul Bunyan Trophy)

     The Paul Bunyan Trophy is on the line as Michigan and Michigan State battle under the lights in East Lansing. Despite their struggles this season, Sparty always gets up for this game. This is one of the most heated rivalries in college football, and could be the final straw for Jonathan Smith at MSU if they don't perform well. The Wolverines don't do anything special, but solid defense and a strong running game has given Bryce Underwood a somewhat comfortable start to his college career. Michigan State will be anything but nice to the freshman QB, so expect a lot of blitz pressures from the Spartans. Offensively, I don't believe Aiden Chiles will have enough firepower around him to put up points on the defense. I expect a classic BIG 10 slugfest, potentially with some scuffles, but Michigan wins 27-17.

Houston at #24 Arizona State

     The Sun Devils are right back in the Big XII mix after their upset win against #7 Texas Tech. Sam Leavitt returned from injury and threw for 319 yards and 1 TD against the Red Raiders. Houston beat Arizona by 3 last week and are squarely in the conference title picture as well. I've been impressed with the fight the Cougars have week in and week out, but I'm not sure they're ready to handle the desert. When Leavitt is playing, Arizona State is a completely different team. Houston will certainly hang around, but I don't think they'll make the key plays to win this one on the road. Arizona State 36, Houston 24.

#2 North Dakota State at #1 South Dakota State (Battle for the Dakota Marker)

     I don't often cover FCS games in my blog, but when we've got the battle of the Dakotas you know I'm weighing in. Statistically these teams match up extremely well, both QBs have 11 TDs with just 1 pick. Both running backs are averaging around 5 yards per carry, and both teams each own 2 of the previous 4 National Championships. There's a good chance we see them battle again in the playoffs or maybe the Natty again, but I'm going with my home-state Jackrabbits to beat the Bison. SDSU 34, NDSU 32.

#3 Texas A&M at LSU

     The highlight game of the night features the undefeated Aggies of A&M heading to Death Valley and facing off against the Tigers of LSU under the lights. LSU is in serious danger of this season going off the rails after losing at Vanderbilt last week and giving up 239 rushing yards. The Aggies are primed to find themselves in the SEC Championship and at the very least, a home game for the Playoffs. The remaining schedule also includes road games at Mizzou and Texas, but if they survive Death Valley, things are looking good for A&M. Mike Elko has his defense playing very high caliber football, but only at home. Road games have not looked great for the A&M defense, allowing 40 to Notre Dame and 42 to Arkansas. The offense has been great for A&M all around, led by QB Marcel Reed. He's taken big steps in year 2 and has accounted for 19 total TDs. His wideouts Mario Craver and KC Concepcion are two of the best in the nation and have racked up 30+ catches a piece for 647 with 4 TDs (Craver) and 500 with 6 TDs (Concepcion). LSU's defense is improved but will be without star LB Whit Weeks. This will be the best wideout room they've faced this season though, and I'm curious to see how they stack up in the secondary. Offensively, fans are growing restless of poor performances. The run game is essentially non-existent, ranking 117th in the nation and Garrett Nussmeier has spread the ball well, but doesn't have a single wideout over 325 yards on the season. Night games in Death Valley with A&M facing the pressure of a top 3 ranking is begging you to take LSU, but I think Elko has this Aggie squad feeling different. They were 1 game away from the SEC Championship a year ago and I think they make it this year. Aggies win in Death Valley 30-26.

Northwestern at Nebraska

     The Huskers return home after an abysmal performance in Minneapolis, once again looking to get bowl eligible. I've ben wavering from my initial season predictions and picking Nebraska to win games I originally thought they would lose. This was going to be a game I had no issues picking as a victory, but the Wildcats have surprised many (including myself) with a 5-2 start. Preston Stone has found new life in his QB career with Northwestern and most importantly their defense ranks 22nd in total defense and 11th in scoring, allowing just 15.1 points per game. They shut down the run well and will likely blitz the Huskers after watching Minnesota film. Nebraska should match-up well on defense, keeping this to an Big 10 West type battle. My rule for those is the first team to 20 often wins and if you score 30 it's a lock. I don't think Northwestern can get to 30 on the Blackshirts, but it will depend on if the Husker offense decides to play or not. Nebraska had just 36 rush yards last week and Raiola looked very confused in the pocket as receivers were not in their breaks and the offensive line let players through with little to no contact. The Huskers have talent built all around in this offense, but establishing the run with Emmett Johnson needs to be a top priority. He only had 7 touches in the first half last week and the run game was quickly abandoned despite the close game. It would be nice to get Jacory Barney Jr. involved again as he's been quiet the last few weeks offensively. Nebraska should bounce back in this game and I've got the Huskers winning 31-21 at home.

Quick Hit Predictions:

Rutgers at Purdue - Two winless BIG 10 teams coming off terrible losses meet in West Lafayette with Purdue hosting Rutgers. Outside of RBs Antwan Raymond (Rutgers) and Devin Mockobee (Purdue), I don't have much to say about either squad. Boilermakers are -11 in turnover margin, so let's go with the Scarlet Knights on the road 31-24.

#16 Virginia at North Carolina - The Cavaliers control their own destiny (with a very manageable schedule) to reach the ACC Championship. The Tar Heels have not looked good this year, and as long as Virginia keeps their balance on offense, points will be on the board. Cavaliers win 38-21.

Appalachian State at Old Dominion - Certainly not the sexiest of games, but a Sun Belt squabble between two teams in desperate need of a bounce back game. The Mountaineers run the ball well, but I like ODU to win at home. Give me the Monarchs 33-28.

Auburn at Arkansas - Both Auburn and Arkansas are in need of a win. The Hogs nearly knocked off A&M last week while Auburn has 4 close losses in a row to start off conference play. Arkansas has lost close multiple times this season as well, so I'm curious to who will step up and make the big play. I'll trust QB Taylen Green to be that guy, especially at home. Woo Pig Sooie as Arkansas beats Auburn 37-31.

Wisconsin at #6 Oregon - The only question to ask in this game is if Wisconsin will score any points. The Badgers have been shut out the last two weeks against Iowa and Ohio State, and have yet to score above 20 against anyone not named Middle Tennessee State. Luke Fickell has the support of the Athletic Department for now, but this could get ugly. Ducks roll 48-7.

Colorado at Utah - The Utes have been unable to get over the hump in big games this season, falling to rival BYU 24-21 last week in Provo. They will likely be without starting QB Devon Dampier, but they should handle Colorado at home. Utah 24, Colorado 21.

Thanks for reading all my Week 9 Predictions and the reflections from last week. I appreciate all my followers on the blog and hope you have a fantastic College Football Saturday. GO BIG RED!

Nebraska at Minnesota - Huntington Bank Stadium

Reunited with my former co-worker Brandon Nutting

Husker games with my love, Taylor Pike

Taylor Pike, Rebecca & Kelly Johnson

#CFBKnowItAll

Alex Fernando

Week 8 Predictions

      We've reached the halfway point of the College Football Season and there are still so many questions on which teams will make their way into the playoffs. Week 8 brings us a fantastic set of games, many of which will help to clear up this playoff picture. It's time for some teams to make a statement and separate themselves from the rest. Before we get to all that, I do need to give a quick recap and analysis from the Huskers' win on the road at Maryland last week. I've got my GOOD, EXPECTED and BAD breakdown below. Enjoy Week 8 of College Football!

GOOD - Emmett Johnson and 4th Quarter Dylan Raiola. Starting with the Husker QB, he's really been great all season long, but when looking at his 4th quarter stats alone, he's been sensational. Against the 3 BIG 10 opponents, he's 24-33 (72.7%) with 267 yards and 3 TDs while leading 4 TD drives and 3 FG drives. That is elite level QB play. If Raiola can continue this level of play, especially in the 4th quarter of BIG 10 games, Nebraska could make a serious run into playoff contention with the remaining schedule. Combine that with the absolute BEAST that Emmett Johnson is at running back, and the Nebraska offense could finish as a top 20 offense in the nation. Johnson racked up 196 yards of total offense against the Terps and has been the most reliable source of offense for the Huskers through the first half of the year. Keep feeding him Huskers, let Emmett run wild!

EXPECTED - Maryland QB Malik Washington putting on a show. Despite the Huskers big win, I want to tip my cap to Malik Washington for his performance. The freshman QB was dynamic all afternoon, throwing for 249 yards and 1 TD with a 72.9% completion rate. He rushed for another 23 yards and extended multiple drives and plays with his scrambling abilities. Washington spread the ball around to 8 different receivers on the Terps' squad and kept the chains moving with the offense going 7-15 on third down. He's going to be fun to watch not just through this season, but for years to come. Terps better get ready to pay him because he will be sought after quickly with NIL deals in the Portal.

BAD - Interceptions. I've given Dylan his flowers, but now is time for some critique. After a strong start to the season, he's thrown five interceptions in the last three games and had three of them against the Terps, one of which went for a touchdown. There have been a few other throws that probably should've been picks over those games too and this is an area Nebraska cannot afford to play poorly in. The Huskers are not dominating teams enough to give away multiple possessions a game. I'll give Maryland some credit as they are the top team in the nation with 12 picks and 3 of them going for touchdowns, but Raiola needs to take care of the ball as the Huskers head further into conference play.

Week 7 Record: 15 - 5

Overall Record: 114 - 40

Week 8 Predictions:

Louisville at #2 Miami

     Week 8 action kicks off with a loaded Friday night that includes a spicy ACC battle in addition to my Huskers on the road at Minnesota. The Cardinals are at #2 Miami and could be in for a trap game. The Cardinals rank 12th in total defense and could easily be unbeaten had they not botched the Virginia game 2 weeks ago. Both teams are coming off a BYE week and each offense has done well to put up points this season. Miami has been dominant on the line of scrimmage though, allowing just 6 sacks all season. Miller Moss has been much better with the Cards than his days at USC, but Carson Beck has been playing at an elite level through the season thus far and I think Miami's defense should make a couple of big stops. Give me the 'Canes in a battle at home 36-27.

#10 LSU at #17 Vanderbilt

     Vandy welcomes a top 10 LSU squad into Nashville, and for the first time since 1948, they're favored against the Bayou Bengals! QB Diego Pavia is a big reason for that as he leads this gritty offense to their top 20 total offense ranking and has them averaging 43.2 points per game. LSU's defense has yet to give up more than 24 points in a game, but their offense hasn't scored more than 20 against a P4 opponent. The Tigers shut down South Carolina last week, but Vanderbilt has proven to be a different beast, and they've been sitting on their Alabama loss for 2 weeks as they come out of a BYE. They went toe-to-toe with the Tide, and with some better throw decisions from Pavia in the red zone, that could've been a different game. This team is on a war path and I wouldn't want to be in their way. Offensively for LSU, QB Garrett Nussmeier has struggled in conference play, completing just 59.6% of his passes with a 4 TD and 4 INT ratio against SEC opponents. Combining that with a lack of a rushing attack and you can understand why LSU's offense has been questioned by the media. Give me the Commodores at home 30-20.

#12 Georgia Tech at Duke

     The Yellow Jackets and Blue Devils square off to see who can keep their perfect conference record intact. Duke was initially written off by me (and plenty of other CFB analysts) following their early season losses to Illinois and Tulane, but have 3 ACC wins in a row scoring 45, 38 and 45 points. Darian Mensah has found some rhythm with his offense and has a 15:2 TD to INT ratio to prove it. For the Yellow Jackets, they've been tested a bit in the last couple of weeks, but have found ways to keep their record unblemished. You know what they're going to bring to the game, they have a bully-ball mentality on the line of scrimmage and look to push teams around in the run game. Duke is in the upper middle of the pack in terms of rush defense, so I'm anxious to watch how they handle Haynes King and Jamal Haynes pounding the rock behind one of the one of the best offensive lines in the country. They will need to take care of the ball though, as Duke's defense has 12 takeaways on the season and have a +5 turnover margin on the season. Duke could certainly make this spicy, but I'm riding with Georgia Tech until the wheels fall off the Ramblin' Wreck. Yellow Jackets 28, Blue Devils 24.

Washington at Michigan

     Michigan plays host to Washington as both teams look to keep their name toward the top of the BIG 10 list. The Wolverines were beaten soundly out in LA 31-13 by USC, mustering just 109 rushing yards on the ground. The Huskies rank 7th in rush defense an have already held the Buckeyes to 149 on the ground. Having watched this Michigan squad against Nebraska, it's clear Bryce Underwood is extremely talented, but also very young. Again, this is just his 7th college football game, and Washington's defense will be tough to move on, especially if Justice Haynes can't get the ground game going. As for the Dubs' offense, I would expect a heavy dose of RB Jonah Coleman. Sophomore QB Demond Williams Jr. gets a lot of praise (as he should), but in my opinion the true x-factor for the Huskies is Coleman. He's racked up 11 rushing TDs to go with 518 yards so far this season and averages 5.4 yards per carry. Michigan is typically stout against the run, but USC dropped 224 rush yards on the Wolverines, most of which came from backup RB King Miller after Waymond Jordan went down with an injury. If Washington can get a ground game with Coleman established, Michigan will have a tough time defending the dual-threat ability of Williams, especially in play-action. Give me Washington with a statement on the road in the Big House. Huskies beat the Wolverines 27-21.

Michigan State at #3 Indiana (Battle for the Old Brass Spittoon)

     James Franklin may not be the only BIG 10 coach fired in the next couple of weeks as Sparty fans are not pleased with Jonathan Smith in East Lansing. Michigan State has lost 3 straight to start conference play and now travel to Bloomington to take on Indiana who arguably has a claim to the #1 ranking in the nation. Regardless, I don't think the Brass Spittoon is going anywhere as Indiana looks to flex their muscles after extending Curt Cignetti's contract and making him one of the highest paid coaches in the nation this past week. The Hoosiers won by 37 last year and it could be worse this year. Aiden Chiles will be under a lot of heat and I've got Indiana big. This could prompt the Jonathan Smith firing as Indiana will bury Sparty 52-10.

Baylor at TCU (Bluebonnet Battle)

     Both teams are still dangerous contenders in the Big XII race, especially when Sawyer Robertson and Joshua Hoover are playing at their best. These two are leading the nation as the top two passers with Robertson throwing for 2,058 yards and a 19:4 TD to INT ratio, followed closely by Hoover with 1,893 yards 18 TDs and 6 interceptions. The respective pass defenses for these teams tend to struggle, so I would expect a high-scoring affair for this Big XII classic. Multiple times I've picked each of these teams in key games and they've let me down. From watching both I think Baylor has the higher ceiling, and even on the road I'll take them to win a close one. Sic 'Em Bears for a 38-34 thriller.

#14 Oklahoma at South Carolina

     John Mateer's return against Texas was plagued by miscues as he threw three interceptions. Despite the hand still in recovery, I think most of those mistakes were mental based due to missing so much practice time. With a week back in the saddle, I expect him to have a much better command of this offense against South Carolina. The Gamecocks are spiraling with a 1-3 conference record and begin a gauntlet over the next few weeks with Oklahoma, Alabama, Ole Miss and Texas A&M on the schedule. If they don't steal this one, there's a very high possibility of finishing with 1 SEC win by the end of the season. LaNorris Sellers has been a bit banged up this year, limiting his effectiveness. He's also limited help from his playmakers as this offense has gone a bit stagnant. I expect Oklahoma's defense to get pressure early and often, hopefully forcing some turnovers as that's one of the few areas they need to improve in defensively. Boomer Sooner 30-21.

#4 Texas A&M at Arkansas (Southwest Classic)

     I think Texas A&M is the best team in the SEC and they're about to showcase it against their rival Arkansas. Bobby Petrino had the hogs playing well against Tennessee but ultimately fell short. Unfortunately for him, the Aggie's defense rank 19th in total defense as opposed to Tennessee's 101st ranking. Texas A&M is efficient when you watch this team defensively. There's not a lot of wasted movement with their linebackers and defensively linemen flowing to the run game, and the secondary always seems to be in good position to either make a play on the ball or the tackle. They rank 1st in the nation with just a hair over 20% of third down's being converted on the Aggies. Offensively, Marcel Reed still has plenty more of his game to develop before he's an elite QB, but he takes care of the ball and puts his playmakers in position to get yards after the catch. This offense is improving by the week, and when you have a lock down defense you'll continue to win games. Hogs get shut down by the Aggies defense and Texas A&M wins 34-20.

#5 Ole Miss at #9 Georgia

     Two top 10 teams meet between the hedges as Ole Miss travels to Athens to take on Georgia. The Bulldogs survived their trip to Auburn last week, but a few questionable calls may have helped them out. Their only loss is the Alabama at home, but we haven't seen the traditional dominance from Georgia this year as we've come to known over the last few seasons. They rank 52nd in total offense and have been very mediocre in most every stat category throughout the season. Ole Miss has a dynamic QB at the helm with Trinidad Chambliss, and his legs should be a big factor in this one. I'm not convinced Ole Miss is the best team in the SEC, but with a better Oline and a defense holding opponents to 19.2 points per game, they have a great opportunity for a statement win here. I'm leaning toward the Rebels despite being on the road. If they get hot quickly, I don't believe Georgia has the offense to keep pace in a shootout. Ole Miss wins a big one on the road 31-24.

UNLV at Boise State

     The Rebels have been playing with fire, gasoline and dryer lint each and every week of the seasons, but still find themselves unbeaten and atop the early standings of the Mountain West Conference. Now they travel to the reigning champs as the Broncos host on the Blue Turf. Boise has looked good offensively in conference play, but the defense has been another question. I expect a lot of points in this one as both rank 74th (Boise) and 111th (UNLV) in points allowed per game. Give me the home team with a shootout win 41-30. Go Broncos!

#7 Texas Tech at Arizona State

     Other than a road trip to K-State and BYU at home, this is arguably the toughest game left on the Red Raider schedule. The Sun Devils are coming off a beat down at the hands of Utah, and are still unsure if Sam Leavitt will be back in the line up or not. Jeff Sims started last week against the Utes and Arizona State's offense amassed just 273 total yards with 10 points. Texas Tech may be without their starting QB as Behren Morton left the game last week against Kansas. Freshman Will Hammond has stepped in well multiple times this season and with the Red Raider defense suffocating opponents, I trust him much more than Jeff Sims. Guns Up, Wreck 'Em! Texas Tech 34, Arizona State 17.

Mississippi State at Florida

     The Bulldogs have been so close, but still can't capture that elusive SEC conference win. Florida is once again trying to save their season and Billy Napier's job, but the writing may be on the wall for that already. Regardless, they've got a football game to play and Mississippi State comes in averaging more than 33 points per game. Florida's strength this season has been the defense, allowing just 19.8 points per game. Offensively they're still a mess, but playing at home always helps. Gators Chomp the Bulldogs in the Swamp 27-17.

Penn State at Iowa

     The Nittany Lions season is in complete disarray from just a couple of weeks ago as they've fired HC James Franklin after losing 3 straight games. They've also lost veteran QB Drew Allar for the season to injury. Now they travel to Kinnick Stadium for a night game against the Hawkeyes. There certainly won't me much to watch for pass game enthusiasts with this one, but if you love defense welcome to BIG 10 country. I'm really curious to see if Penn State will get off the mat for this game because this season could spiral completely out of control in the back half. Iowa will do their normal things, solid defense with little to no offense yet somehow be in the mix to win things late due to a Penn State mistake. I'd like to see the Nittany Lions bounce back with some life, and I always enjoy picking against Iowa. Let's go Penn State 23, Iowa 17.

#11 Tennessee at #6 Alabama (Third Saturday in October)

     It's the third Saturday in October, which means we have Bama and Tennessee. The Vols find themselves in the SEC mix, but have to visit T-Town to try and get a step closer. They haven't won at Bryant Denny Stadium since 2003, and have a very difficult Alabama team to deal with here in 2025. Ty Simpson has been one of the best QB's in the nation since the opening week loss against Florida State, throwing for 16 TDs and just 1 pick on the season while completing more than 70% of his passes. Vols QB Joey Augilar has been dynamic as well, throwing for 14 TDs with 5 picks on the season. Bama could be without star running back Jam Miller, so the Vols could look to bring extra pressure on Simpson. Defensively I'm anxious to see how Alabama deals with Augilar because they have yet to be fully tested in the secondary. The Vols rank 7th in pass offense in the nation, so look for a couple of big plays downfield. This should be a fun one in the history of the rivalry, but I trust Bama at home to get things done. Look for Simpson to move the pocket with his legs and avoid pressure. Roll Tide 36-31.

#16 Missouri at Auburn

     Two of the SEC's Tigers meet in Jordan Hare Stadium as Mizzou goes on the road to take on Auburn. After a close loss at home against Bama, this is a key game for Missouri as they look to get back on track in the SEC. They've got a couple of tricky games coming up and Auburn is on a 3-game skid. The War Eagle Tigers had Georgia on the ropes last week, but some questionable officiating and a scoreless second half led to another loss and the temperature of Hugh Freeze's seat being turned up. Defensively both squads have been better than I initially predicted, ranking 16th (Missouri) and 18th (Auburn) in scoring defense. Points could be hard to come by in this one, but I was very impressed by Missouri's fight against Alabama, especially how they moved the ball on their scoring drives. If they get out to a fast start I'm not sure Auburn can keep up. Missouri wins the battle of the Tigers 24-20.

#20 USC at #13 Notre Dame (Battle for the Jeweled Shillelagh)

     The Trojans and Irish meet for what looks to be another classic in the rivalry with both teams ranked in the top 20. Notre Dame doesn't have many big wins to hang their hat on this season, so beating a ranked USC team would certainly give a boost to their resume. USC is back into the BIG 10 mix after last week's win over Michigan, but if they want to get to the Playoffs, they need  a statement win against last year's runner-up. The Trojans were able to shut down Michigan's run game last week, holding the Wolverines to just 109 yards on the ground. Jeremiyah Love and Jadarian Price are two of the best backs in the nation, combining for more than 950 yards and 15 TDs while averaging 5.3 and 6.7 yards per carry respectively. USC will need to be sound in their rush defense on the line of scrimmage for the second week in a row and force CJ Carr to throw the ball. Carr has been very impressive as a first-year QB, especially with taking care of the ball. He's got a 13:3 TD to INT ratio and does well to stay out of harms away. He'll need to make sure the offense is humming in this one though as USC looks to put pressure on him early like they did with Bryce Underwood, sacking him 3 times last week. Road games have always been a tricky spot for Lincoln Riley, especially in the BIG 10. However, he's got a veteran QB in Jayden Maiava and Notre Dame's secondary has been torn apart for an average of 245 yards per game, ranking 106th in the nation. USC's RB room is banged up with Waymond Jordan out, but I like the Trojans for an upset victory on the road. Fight On! USC 36, Notre Dame 33.

#23 Utah at #15 BYU (Holy War: Battle for the Beehive Boot)

     An in-state rivalry with major Big XII Conference implications and a Boot inside of a Beehive on the line. Utah and BYU meet in Provo, UT for the Holy War and with the Cougars still unbeaten, the Utes need to win this to get back on the inside track to the conference title game. BYU QB Bear Bachmeier and crew pulled one out of the fire against Arizona on the road last week, but face a Ute squad with a much tougher defense. Both defenses have been impressive in the first half of the season, and I expect both QB's to be tested as Devon Dampier will continue to lead things for Utah. I really see this game going either way, but it's time to see if BYU is for real. I said Utah would rematch with Texas Tech in the Big XII title game, so I'll take the Utes and see if the Cougars can prove me wrong. Utah 26, BYU 24.

#25 Nebraska at Minnesota (Battle for the $5 Bits of Broken Chair Trophy)

     The Huskers are back in the top 25 and now take that ranking on the road to Minneapolis on a short week for the Friday night game on FOX. There's a Broken Chair trophy on the line and Emmett Johnson had this game circled on his calendar and the Husker RB looks to make a statement in his homecoming to the Twin Cities. He's averaging 6.2 yards per carry and ranks 2nd in the BIG 10 in rushing. Minnesota ranks 28th in rush defense, so they will put the test to Emmett Johnson and the Husker Oline. This is where Raiola needs to continue his impressive play and try to cut down on the interceptions. Defensively for the Blackshirts, Minnesota is led by two fabulous freshmen at QB and RB. The Drake Lindsay/Fame Ijeobi duo has had a strong start to their careers in the twin cities, leading the Gophers to a 4-2 record. Lindsay especially has been fun to watch, throwing for nearly 1,300 yards with 9 TDs and 3 picks while also leading the 4th quarter comeback against Purdue last week. This game was one that I had as a potential loss for Nebraska early in the season, especially with the short week on the road. The Huskers always seem to struggle in this stadium as well, but I'll be in attendance and hope to see the same 4th quarter dominance we've seen over the last few weeks. Feed Emmett Johnson and hopefully the Blackshirts can get some pressure to make Lindsay uncomfortable early in the game. Nebraska wins the chair 37-28 and don't forget to donate to defeat childhood cancer with the $5 Bits of Broken Chair Link. GO BIG RED!

Quick Hit Predictions:

North Carolina at Cal - Bill Belichick is about to learn the hard way what the Calgorithm is all about. Golden Bears 31, Tar Heels 21.

#1 Ohio State at Wisconsin - It's nearly impossible to understand how Luke Fickell still has a job at Wisconsin right now, but Ohio State should finish his tenure there. The Badgers can't move and the Buckeyes should have no issues. Ohio State 45, Wisconsin 14

Arizona at Houston - The Wildcats nearly pulled the upset on BYU last week, but couldn't close it out at home. The defense was shaky late in the game, but Noah Fafita was impressive as he's been all season long. I'll ride with him and Arizona pulls off a good looking road victory against an under appreciated Houston team. Wildcats 33, Cougars 30.

SMU at Clemson - The Ponies travel to Death Valley to rematch the Tigers from the ACC Championship. Clemson held off the SMU comeback and found their way into the Playoffs by way of a game-winning field goal in the ACC Championship last year. Both teams have fallen off a bit from that, especially Clemson, but playing at home is always a boost. Kevin Jennings needs a bit more help on offense in games like this, but I sold all my Clemson stock a few weeks ago and I'm taking the Ponies for an upset on the road. This defense is still stingy and can force some Clemson turnovers. SMU is +5 while Clemson is -4 in turnover margin, so look for that to be the difference maker. Pony Up as SMU wins 30-23.

#8 Oregon at Rutgers - Dan Lanning knowns how to get his team to respond after a loss. Despite the long travel, I've got the Ducks putting up a lot of points in this game while Rutgers just won't be able to keep pace. Oregon 48, Rutgers 14.

Maryland at UCLA - In a somewhat meaningless game by conference title race standards, we do have two dynamic QBs to watch. Nico Iamaleava and the Bruins have had a resurgence since the firing of Deshaun Foster, scoring 80 points over the past two weeks. Maryland is coming off back-to-back losses at home, but Malik Washington has been fabulous in both games. I think Maryland is the better team overall, but traveling East to West is not easy. I'll give them the nod because I don't think the UCLA resurgence will last much longer as their schedule difficultly increases. Terps 34, Bruins 31.

Thanks for reading my Week 8 Predictions and enjoy a fantastic weekend of College Football! GO BIG RED!

Red Letter Day Presentations before heading to Minnesota. CoJMC Ambassadors Elise St. Clari-Fenton and Josh Warner with me.

#CFBKnowItAll

Alex Fernando

Week 7 Predictions

      Hello football fans and welcome to Week 7 of the college football season! We have a fabulous slate of games for this weekend, so there is a lot to break down with these predictions. This post has all the games you need to watch this weekend and my keys to each game. Enjoy!

Week 6 Record: 19 - 4

Overall Record: 99 - 35

Week 7 Predictions:

#24 South Florida at North Texas

     One of the best games to watch this weekend is the Friday night matchup of the USF Bulls on the road against the Mean Green of North Texas. Both of these teams have a shot to represent the Group of 5 in the playoffs, but a lot of their chances hinge on this game. The Mean Green could make a very big statement with a win at home. They're unbeaten so far this season, and most of their success is from the performance of Freshman QB Drew Mestemaker. He's thrown for 1,247 yards with 11 TDs and 0 picks so far this season. He has a lot of weapons around him, so if the offense gets rolling, this could be a high-scoring affair. Looking at the USF Bulls, they have impressed in every game separate of Miami. QB Byrum Brown has accounted for 13 total TDs and is always a handful for opposing defenses. The difference maker will be on which defense makes the big stops. So far this season, USF's defense has been impressive and while the Mean Green is unbeaten, they've given up quite a few points. I'll take USF with some key stops on the road 38-33.

#1 Ohio State at #17 Illinois (Battle for the Illibuck Trophy)

     The Buckeyes are once again on Big Noon Kickoff as they travel to Champagne, IL to take on the Fighting Illini. These two teams play for one of my all-time favorite trophies in college football, the Illibuck. As the second oldest BIG 10 rivalry trophy this wooden turtle carries a lot of tradition. Illinois has a big statement opportunity if they want to get back in the mix for the BIG 10 Title. This is easily the most difficult game remaining on their schedule, and while they'll still be a playoff factor at 10-2, a win here would put them on the inside track to the College Football Playoffs. QB Luke Altmeyer is playing near flawless with more than 1,500 yards with 12 passing TDs and 0 picks. His counterpart, Julian Sayin has tremendous talent, but is still young. Luckily, Ohio State's defense is incredible and will suffocate the Illini offense before they truly get rolling. Ohio State 33, Illinois 14.

#8 Alabama at #14 Missouri

     The Tide Roll onto Missouri who is hoping to gain some time in the spotlight with a big win. Star RB Ahmad Hardy is one of the top backs in the nation, rushing for 730 yards and 9 TDs thus far. Penn State transfer Beau Pribula has looked very impressive with 1,203 yards to go with 9 TDs of his own and 3 picks. This could be a game where we see a lot of points as both offenses have playmakers all over the field. Bama QB Ty Simpson has been very impressive since their loss to Florida State, throwing for 13 TDs and just 1 pick. This is an easy trap game for Alabama coming off two big games against Georgia and Vandy, especially when many believe Missouri's ranking might be a bit high. Perfect opportunity for the Tigers, and they usually hang tough in the first half of these games. I'll give Mizzou some credit to hang around, but I think Alabama will be ready for this game and take the win 34-21.

#7 Indiana at #3 Oregon

     In back-to-back weeks College Gameday has gone to a Vanderbilt game and an Indiana game. Unfortunately for both of those teams, they're playing against a couple of the best teams in the nation with Bama and now Oregon. I really do like this matchup for a couple of reasons. First of all, we'll get to see Indiana against elite competition. Their schedule apart from Illinois has been easy thus far, and while I do think Illinois is a good team, they're not Oregon level. Secondly, both of these head coaches don't give a flying f*** about who they are playing or what the game should look like, they're going to put up points. Both Curt Cignetti and Dan Lanning want to completely bury your team every chance they get. Looking at some of the key players in this game, Dante Moore and Fernando Mendoza are both finding themselves in Heisman talks with their play so far this year. Moore has more than 1,200 yards with a 14:1 TD to INT ratio and Mendoza has similar yardage with a 16:1 ratio and another 2 TDs on the ground. Both defensive fronts will have a lot of trouble containing these two in the pocket, so third downs will be crucial to convert in this game. I've learned not to discount the Hoosiers and Cignetti, but I think Oregon is still the top team in the BIG 10 right now. Indiana will certainly be in the mix for playoffs, but I'm following my East to West rule and I like Oregon at home. Ducks beat the Hoosiers 31-24.

#6 Oklahoma vs Texas (Red River Rivalry)

     One of the best scenes in all of College Football is the Cotton Bowl split down the 50 yard line with burnt orange and maroon. As a Husker, I despise both of these teams, but as a College Football Fan this is always one of my favorite games to watch. I have my doubts on Sooner QB John Mateer actually being able to play in this game, but they do have him as questionable coming off his hand surgery. If he plays, it's lights out for Texas, especially with how abysmal their offense has been. If Oklahoma has Michael Hawkins under center, then their offense will struggle as well. These games can typically turn into a shootout, but that's likely not the case today. Both teams have fantastic defenses and the offenses can get stuck in the mud sometimes. Arch Manning has really struggled this year (a little more than I predicted, but I still called it), and Oklahoma's defense loves to get pressure. The Sooners are 2nd in the nation with 21 sacks on the year and Texas' new offensive line has looked very disorganized. Oklahoma also ranks 1st in the nation for opponent 3rd down conversions allowing 17.4%, and Texas ranks 116th in the nation in converting 3rd downs at 34.4%. Too much defense for the Sooners and the Texas tailspin continues. Boomer Sooner in the Red River Rivalry as they win 23-10.

Arkansas at #12 Tennessee

     Bobby Petrino's first game as the Razorbacks Interim Coach takes him to Rocky Top as the take on the Volunteers. Arkansas pulled a major upset in this game last year, and we could be in for another wild one. Arkansas QB Taylen Green has accounted for nearly 2,000 total yards this season and has 14 TDs to his name. Unfortunately for the Razorbacks, defense has been their issue, and Tennessee can put up some big numbers on the scoreboard. Transfer QB Joey Augilar has picked apart opposing defenses for nearly 1,500 yards with 13 TDs and 5 interceptions so far this season. Sophomore RB Desean Bishop has done well taking over for Dylan Sampson, averaging 6.8 yards per carry with 335 yards and 4 TDs on the season. Arkansas gave up 210 yards on the ground a couple weeks ago to Notre Dame, and I'm not sure that's going to get fixed by firing the coach. Tennessee wins at home 34-24.

Florida at #5 Texas A&M

     The Gators knocked off the Longhorns last weekend and always seem to play their best when Billy Napier's seat is blazing hot. The Aggies come in with a very solid looking team that almost no one is talking about. They've started a few games at a slower pace than some fans would like, but I really like the growth I've seen from QB Marcel Reed. He's done well distributing the ball to his playmakers with 9 of his 11 TD passes going to either Mario Craver or KC Concepcion. The Aggies have leaned on their stout defense the last couple of weeks, ranking 5th in opponent 3rd down conversions. You never know what Florida team you're going to get, so the upset is certainly in play, but you do know the type of team Mike Elko will bring you. Gig 'Em Aggies as they beat the Gators 27-21.

Iowa at Wisconsin (Battle for the Heartland Trophy)

     If you miss the BIG 10 West, this is your chance to feel nostalgic. With two solid defenses and very rough offenses, there aren't many points to be had in this one. Both teams have struggled with their passing attacks, ranking 96th (Wisconsin) and 125th (Iowa) in the nation. Other than the Bronze Cow up for grabs, there really isn't much interesting in this game. I'm dusting off my old rules for this one, and my main rule for the BIG 10 West is the first team to 20 points wins the game. Iowa will win this snoozefest 20-14. Bet the under.

#10 Georgia at Auburn

     The Bulldogs travel to Jordan Hare Stadium to take on Auburn in an SEC battle with some upset potential. The Tigers are still trying to find their footing offensively, but certainly have the playmakers to make things interesting. Jackson Arnold needs to find wideouts Eric Singleton Jr. and Cam Coleman, especially against a Georgia defense 85th against the pass. Auburn has not found much balance to their offense though, and in the two losses against Oklahoma and Texas A&M, they finished with just 119 rushing yards combined. Georgia's offense has been strong to start the season, averaging 34.6 points per game. Even on the road, I trust Kirby Smart more than I do Hugh Freeze. Bulldogs win 28-14.

#15 Michigan at USC

     The Trojans host Michigan in a BIG 10 matchup that could get them back in the mix with a win. Both teams have a favorable schedule apart from a game or two that could keep their BIG 10 title and playoff hopes alive. We know the Wolverines are looking to run and run a lot. Junior RB Justice Haynes has racked up 654 yards with 8 TDs this season. USC has been sitting on their loss to Illinois over the BYE week and should take notes from Nebraska's game against Michigan. Bryce Underwood is and will be a fantastic QB, but he's only in his 6th college game. Another tough road environment, traveling 3 time zones and looking at a team with 17 sacks already this season, USC should make his life miserable. Sell out to stop the run and force Underwood to beat you in the passing game. Offensively for the Trojans, leave the ball in your quarterback's hand. Jayden Maiava is one of my dark horse Heisman candidates, especially if they get the win here. He's thrown for nearly 1,600 yards with 11 TDs and just 1 pick. He's got 4 more on the ground and his ability to extend plays will certainly cause Michigan headaches tonight. It's time to show up or show out Trojans, Fight On and beat Michigan 33-28.

South Carolina at #11 LSU

     The Gamecocks had a lot of momentum coming into this season, but a rough start has them at 3-2 with both losses coming in SEC play. LSU has had two weeks to sit on their loss to Ole Miss and try to get some life into their offense. South Carolina has struggled offensively as well, so this could be more of a defensive battle than originally expected when the season began. Look for LSU's defense to blitz early and often as South Carolina has given up 15 sacks and 31 tackles for loss on the season. LaNorris Sellers has been under pressure a lot and there's little to no run game giving him support. The offensive line has been pushed in the wrong direction for most of this season, and now they have to deal with an LSU crowd in Death Valley at night. I think Garrett Nussmeier and the Tiger offense will bounce back and lead them to a 27-17 home victory over South Carolina.

#21 Arizona State at Utah

     The Sun Devils are on the road against the Utes for a classic PAC-12, I mean Big XII after dark. Utah has a perfect get right game in front of them with Arizona State coming in. The reigning Big XII Champs are likely to be without starting QB Sam Leavitt, which means ex-Husker Jeff Sims will be starting at QB. I don't trust him to win a football game in any way, shape or form, so I'm already on the Utah side of this pick. Combine that with a night game at home and I know Kyle Whittingham will have his team ready. I still have them both as feisty Big XII contenders, but Devon Dampier should have a big night against a defense that has been burned by a few big plays this season. The Sun Devils are always a tough win, but with Jeff Sims at QB, I'm picking Utah big. Utes 35, Sun Devils 20.

Nebraska at Maryland

     The Huskers have their first true road trip as they take on the Terps in Maryland. They blew a 20-3 4th quarter lead against Washington last week, so Nebraska better be ready to get their worst. Freshman QB Malik Washington has been dynamic to start this season, throwing for 1,257 yards with 9 TDs and 2 picks. He's got dual-threat ability as well with 3 more TDs on the ground. Nebraska did well to contain Aiden Chiles last week, but Brendan Sorsby ran all over the Huskers in Arrowhead. The Blackshirts still rank #1 in pass defense, but look for the Terps to test that as they have 4 players with at least 18 catches this season. They spread the ball well to their playmakers, so Nebraska will need to be extremely disciplined with their coverages, especially in zone. The Huskers have done well to get pressure last week, so I hope that trend continues today. Offensively for Nebraska, the game plan needs to focus on getting Emmett Johnson rolling in the run game and feeding Jacory Barney Jr. and Nyziah Hunter the ball. Dylan has been dishing it out well, so trust him to make the reads. However, the protection has been rough and if Nebraska can establish the run early that will take a lot of pressure off him with shorter chains to manage. Nebraska needs at least 120 yards on the ground in this one, which won't come easy as Maryland ranks 24th in rush defense giving up just 96 yards per game on average. Feed Emmett Johnson and make smart throws to keep the chains moving. I think Nebraska has a chance to make a great statement on the road and get on a run here for conference play. GO BIG RED for a 36-24 win.

Quick Hit Predictions:

Pitt at #25 Florida State - The Panthers love to live dangerously, but could knock FSU out of the rankings with a win on the road. The Seminoles are in a bit of trouble with back-to-back losses and now facing a revived Pitt squad with Freshman QB Mason Heintschel at the helm. I think they bounce back and Florida State wins 33-27 at home.

UCF at Cincinnati - The Bearcats are red hot and can keep rolling in the Big XII with a win at home. They've got a very favorable schedule and it starts with a 36-24 win over UCF.

NC State at #16 Notre Dame - The Irish are starting to hit their grove after the 0-2 start and now host the upset minded Wolfpack of NC State. Unfortunately, they struggle to get teams off the field on 3rd down, and Jeremiah Love will keep ND in 3rd and short. Irish 37, Wolfpack 17.

TCU at Kansas State - Frogs keep living dangerously and the Wildcats are starting to get their offense back on track. Unfortunately, K-State likes to shoot themselves in the foot, and if Josh Hoover can play a bit more consistently, the Frogs should handle this one. TCU 30, Kansas State 24.

Kansas at #9 Texas Tech - The Jayhawks offense has been one of the best you haven't watched this season, all behind QB Jalon Daniels racking up over 1,700 yards and 17 total TDs. Unfortunately for my KU friends, they're about to get Wrecked by the Red Raiders. Texas Tech needs to make sure they don't look ahead to Arizona State, but I've got them winning 38-17. Guns Up, Wreck 'Em!

#18 BYU at Arizona - Another couple of teams hanging in the weeds of this Big XII race are BYU and Arizona. The Cougars haven't been tested too much this season, but the Wildcats playing at home are certainly not one to sleep on. Two great QBs to watch in this one with Bear Bachmeier and Noah Fafita. This smells like an upset, so let's go Wildcats 34-31.

Thanks for reading my Week 7 Predictions and enjoy a fantastic day of College Football!

#CFBKnowItAll

Alex Fernando

Week 6 Reflections

      After a wild Week 6 in College Football, there's a lot to analyze from the Huskers win over Michigan State to all of the upsets from around the nation. This post will focus on my thoughts from a crazy weekend of football along with highlighting some teams with a variety of good and not so good superlatives defining their season. Let's dive in with my GOOD, EXPECTED and BAD breakdown of the Huskers 38-27 victory over Sparty. I was able to attend Matt Rhule's press conference on Monday and have a few quotes and notes from his comments about the game.

GOOD - Husker defense and 4th quarter domination. Despite a late touchdown that the sports bettors did not enjoy, Nebraska owned the 4th quarter of this game. They put up 17 points, drove Michigan State back -5 yards in the three drives separate of the late TD. This was a very impressive finish to a mucky game in which Nebraska only ran 55 plays on offense and held the ball for just 26 minutes of game play. Despite the early struggles in the game, Nebraska stuck to their game plan and wore down the Sparty defense. Defensively, I tip my cap to the Blackshirts for their efforts throughout the game. Linebackers Javin Wright and Vincent Shavers Jr. were all over the field, combining for 19 total tackles and 5.5 tackles for loss. When your linebackers are putting up those kind of numbers, then your d-line is doing their job as well. If they're occupying the offensive line and not allowing them into the second level, then those backers have free reign to make plays around the field. Nebraska did just that and was able to put a very strong pass rush together with 4 sacks and 12 tackles for loss. As Matt Rhule said in his press conference, "We stopped the run and turned it into a dropback game". This plays into the strength of Nebraska's defense as the secondary came away with 2 picks and are still ranked #1 in the nation defending the pass. Keep it up Blackshirts!

EXPECTED - Special Teams making special plays. I highlighted in my preseason oddly specific predictions that Jacory Barney Jr. and Coach Eckler's special teams units would not only have a big punt return on the year, but make a strong impact on this team. Coach Rhule higlighed that Eckler's teaching style and energy have helped elevate the players abilities on the field during special teams plays. He's extremely happy with how that unit has shown growth over the first part of the season with 2 blocked punts, multiple big returns and turnovers being forced. I absolutely loved my interactions with Coach Eckler and hope to have more soon as his charisma is infectious and clearly showing with this unit. Brett Maher has also been a big help with the kicking game, so overall this unit continues to improve.

BAD - Pass protection. With Sparty adding another 5 sacks and 7 tackles for loss to the 7 sacks and 9 tackles for loss by Michigan, the Huskers have quickly fallen to #118th in the nation, allowing 15 sacks on the year. I've highlighted this as an area of extreme concern before, especially with Dylan holding the ball a bit long at times. Both of these things will continue to improve, but the sooner the protections can be elevated, the sooner Raiola can elevate his level of play. Elijah Pritchett clearly has all the physical traits needed, but misses assignments nearly every other play. Those mental lapses and issues across the oline have really limited the offense in the last couple of weeks, and Nebraska's next 4 games include 3 teams with top 25 rankings in sacks per game. This issue needs to be addressed quickly.

Now let's go to our mid-season superlatives following a week 6 full of upsets and various statements made by teams throughout the nation.

The Nightmare is Just Beginning Team - Texas Longhorns

There are so few things in life I enjoy more than a Texas football season going down in flames, so this superlative is written with a devilish smirk on my face. After falling to Florida 29-21 (and being beat thoroughly throughout the game), the nation is starting to see glaring issues not only with Arch Manning, but Texas as a whole. While the defense will certainly keep them in games, the offensive issues have Longhorn fans wondering when they will wake up. Unfortunately for them, as the superlative suggests, this is just the beginning. You heard it here first, but I think Texas loses 3 or 4 more games to finish 7-5 or 6-6 this season.

Late Bloomer Team - Cincinnati Bearcats

Don't blink twice, but Cincy has a very favorable path to be in the mix for Big XII Title contention. Nebraska was a bit lucky to catch them early in the season, because this offense has really clicked since facing the Blackshirts in Week 1. Now obviously I think my Huskers would've been fine regardless, but the efficiency of Brendan Sorsby and the chemistry with his transfer portal wideouts has really shown its true form in the last couple of weeks. Some highlights from the rest of their schedule include Baylor and BYU at home with road trips to Utah and TCU. There's a very real possibility they lose just 1 conference game the way this offense is playing right now.

New Year, Same Story Team - Cal Golden Bears

Justin Wilcox is a fabulous coach, and I always enjoy watching the Calgorithim, but every year they start hot, look like they've got all the tools to make a run, get up early in a big conference game, and then crumble. Duke had no answer for the Golden Bears in the first quarter, but as the mistakes piled up in quarter 2, so did the points for the Blue Devils. I'd love to see Cal break through, especially in a wide open ACC, but I think we'll see them revert back to a mediocre season by the time we reach the end of the season.

Show Me Something Team - USC Trojans

USC has all the talent necessary to be a dangerous contender in the BIG 10, but they can't seem to move up into the higher tier of the conference. With Michigan, Notre Dame and Nebraska over the next 4 weeks, this is where Lincoln Riley needs to show me (and the reset of the college football world) something that proves this team is looking to compete at the highest level. Statement wins or disappointing losses in this month will highlight the true ceiling for Lincoln Riley in my opinion.

Be Careful What You Wish For Team - Wisconsin Badgers

Wisconsin is falling into the Nebraska trap by trying to find a higher level of success by firing a coach who wins 9 or 10 games per year. Luke Fickell has really struggled to match his Cincy dominance and the Badger faithful are getting restless. With a very difficult schedule upcoming to finish the season, I don't see things going well for Wisconsin this season and I can only sit back and watch. I really thought Luke Fickell was a great hire there, and he very well could be still, but I'm not sure it will be for the Badgers in the long run.

No Bevel, No Problem. Keep Wreckin' Team - Texas Tech Red Raiders

Texas Tech recently stormed social media with a new (old) logo where they took away the 3D bevel and have a flat double T for their logo with some updated complimentary logos. Despite the backlash for the lack of beveling on the letters, this team is going to be just fine on the field. Texas Tech has a tough road game in Tempe against the reigning conference champs next week, but overall should be favored in most every matchup. I think they'll keep on wreckin' as they work their way toward the Big XII Title game and the playoffs. Guns up, Wreck 'Em!

Thanks for reading my Week 6 Reflections and be ready for Week 7 Predictions coming soon. GO BIG RED!

Matt Rhule at his weekly Monday press conference.

#CFBKnowItAll

Alex Fernando

Week 6 Predictions

      Welcome to October football fans as we kickoff Week 6 with conference play in full swing. This post will highlight all the games to know about this weekend along with my predictions and thoughts on what teams need to do to win. We'll dive right in so you can enjoy your College Football Saturday!

Week 5 Results: 17 - 2

Overall Results: 80 - 31

Week 6 Predictions:

#14 Iowa State at Cincinnati

     One of the first games of the day gives us a very intriguing Big XII matchup between Iowa State and Cincinnati. The Bearcats have been on a tear since falling to Nebraska in the opener, and it's all from QB Brenden Sorsby. Other than his interception to Malcom Hartzog Jr., he's accounted for nearly 1,300 total yards and 14 TDs this season. Iowa State will have their hands full defensively, especially with his dual threat ability. Luckily for the Cyclones, Sorsby doesn't have the most notable supporting cast. Iowa State is in a similar boat offensively though, as most of their offense runs through QB Rocco Becht. The Junior has 12 total TDs to his name with 2 picks on the year. The keys to watch in this game are who will step up to help their QB with a big play, and which defense is going to contain the scramble and QB runs the best. Cincy did a great job of that last week against Kansas with Jalon Daniels, and Iowa State showed that ability in the season opener against Avery Johnson and K-State back in Dublin. This will be a very fun game to watch, but I've got Iowa State in a close one. Cyclones beat the Bearcats 30-27.

Wisconsin at #20 Michigan

     Life in Mad-town has gotten a little hot for Luke Fickell, especially under his office chair. The third-year Badger coach heads into the Big House without his starting center and QB while donning a 2-2 record coming off the BYE week. Last time out we saw Wisconsin get stomped by Maryland at home and this team really doesn't have much identity. Michigan beat my Huskers in Memorial before going on their BYE week and now have Head Coach Sherrone Moore back on the sidelines after his two game suspension. The Wolverines have a fantastic rushing attack led by Junior RB Justice Haynes. Having watched him in person against my Huskers, he is a very difficult back to slow down. When given space, he's got break away speed, already racking up a couple of 75 yard TD runs. QB Bryce Underwood still has a lot of growing to do, especially in the passing game, but he's fit into this offense well early in his career. If Wisconsin takes my game plan that the Huskers ignored (sell out to stop the run and make Underwood beat you with the passing game), then they have a shot. But Michigan's rushing attack is nearly impossible to shut down right now. Wolverines beat the Badgers 33-14.

#22 Illinois at Purdue (Battle for the Purdue Cannon)

     The Fighting Illini bounced back quickly after their throttling from Indiana a couple of weeks ago, but fending off the Trojans and knocking off USC 34-32 at home. Now they travel to BIG 10 rival Purdue, and luckily they have history on their side. There is only 1 team in FBS that has lost every single game following the release of a Taylor Swift album, the Purdue Boilermakers. They have shown great improvement under new HC Barry Odom, but a Swifty Curse is not something to mess with. Statistically, Purdue actually ranks ahead of Illinois by a few spots in both total offense and defense, but my key factor for the game is QB Luke Altmyer. The Senior has 11 passing TDs with 0 interceptions through 5 games and does a great job ensuring he's making the right throws. If he keeps playing this way and takes care of the football, then Illinois should be victorious in this one. Fighting Illini 31, Boilermakers 24.

Kansas State at Baylor

     A Big XII battle that should look like old times, lot of points and little defense. K-State and Baylor are now the old heads of the conference, and with a 1-1 conference record early on, this is a big game to get back in the right direction. Kansas State is starting to find their footing after a brutal looking 1-3 start to the season. Their dynamic rushing attack has stumbled to 94th in the nation and defensively they rank 73rd in the nation, but 36th in defending the pass. Not a typical defense from the Wildcats, and they'll have their hands full with Sawyer Robertson slinging it on the other side. The Baylor gunslinger leads the nation in passing with 1,713 yards and 17 TDs with just 3 picks. He's been shredding opposing defenses all season and the two losses are close ones to Auburn and Arizona State. I still have the Bears in the mix for the Big XII title, but this is a must-win game to get back in the right direction. Sic 'Em for a 33-28 win.

#9 Texas at Florida

     Arch Manning travels to the Swamp and everyone is waiting to see how he handles another tough road environment after a sluggish start to the season. The Longhorns have not done much offensively behind Arch (as I predicted) to start 2025, but Florida is one of the few teams that has done less on offense. DJ Lagway and the Gators rank 116th in total offense and 102nd in scoring offense. Pressure is building for Billy Napier, and while his defense has kept them in games, his play-calling and lack of development of the offense have severely hurt Florida's ability to compete. I do think Arch Manning will be challenged again and this defense has made a number of "top tier" QBs look mediocre for a day. This will be a defensive battle all the way through as the Longhorns rank 4th in total defense and 2nd in scoring defense. Neither QB will look great, but Texas wins 23-14.

#16 Vanderbilt at #10 Alabama

     One of the biggest games of the day sets up a revenge opportunity as the Crimson Tide host the Commodores. Vanderbilt pulled off one of the biggest upsets in the history of College Football last season by beating Bama, and Vandy's star QB Diego Pavia says that's old hat, but they're going to do it again. Pavia is an absolutely sensational player and has done nothing short of miracles in Nashville, bringing Vanderbilt to a competitive level never before seen in this conference. But this year Alabama knows they're coming. They know what types of things to expect from the Commodores, and they're looking for revenge. Alabama doesn't often make the same mistake twice, and their win at Georgia last week was in control from wire to wire. QB Ty Simpson has been very impressive, throwing for 1,138 and 11 TDs on the season with 0 interceptions. If he can keep ahold of the rock, Bama's offense has been difficult to slow down. I never want to pick against Diego Pavia, because he does nothing but prove people wrong. However, Bama sees them coming and knows that if they lose to Vandy in back-to-back seasons, there will be some serious hell to break loose in T-Town. I'll be rooting for the Commodores, but my head says to pick Alabama at home. Roll Tide (cautiously) as they win a rugged one 34-28.

Boise State at #21 Notre Dame

     The Broncos have gotten back on track since getting throttled in the season opener at USF, but now have to travel to South Bend, IN to take on the Irish. Notre Dame is rolling the last couple weeks after two close losses to Miami and Texas A&M to start the season. They've dropped 112 points over the last two weeks on Purdue and Arkansas while racking up 464 rushing yards in those two games. Boise State 83rd in rush defense so far this year, so it could be a long afternoon for the Broncos. The Irish don't have much defense of their own though, and Boise State QB Maddux Madsen already has 1,129 yards with 9 TDs to just 1 pick on the season. Not sure Boise can pull the upset, but they can certainly put up points in this one. Notre Dame 40, Boise State 27.

#24 Virginia at Louisville

     The Cavaliers pulled one of the biggest upsets of the season last week by beating Florida State in double overtime and executing one of the best field storms in sports history. They have been playing very well all season and could easily be 5-0 if not for their close loss to NC State. They now go on the road to a dangerous Cardinals team who is unbeaten, but loves to live on the edge, having been down 17-0 at Pitt last week before winning 34-27. Both teams are led by fantastic QBs with a lot of experience. Chandler Morris and Miller Moss both fill up the stat sheet through the air, and this one should be a shootout. I've been on the Virginia train all year, but this feels like a spot for a let down. Road game against a good opponent after a big upset win? Certainly a tricky spot, but they if they win, the schedule is very easy moving forward. I'll stay on the Cavalier train and say they make a statement on the road. I haven't seen enough consistency from Louisville and the Cavaliers win 36-33.

Washington at Maryland

     An interesting battle in the BIG 10 has the Huskies traveling cross country to College Park, Maryland and taking on the Terps. Both teams feature dynamic, dual-threat QBs with Sophomore Demond Williams Jr. (Washington) and Freshman Malik Washington (Maryland). Starting with Williams, he was safe and efficient against Ohio State, but couldn't break through the defense for a big play. Malik Washington has been all about the big plays, throwing for a new career long each week. The Terps had a week to rest following their beat down on the Badgers in Madison, so they're fresh while playing at home. Washington has to travel across 3 timezones, but it's always easier traveling East than it is to travel West. I liked what I saw from the Dubs against Ohio State, despite not putting up many points. I'm not sure how good Maryland is yet, so I'll take the Huskies on the road. This is an interesting one to watch with Nebraska traveling to Maryland next Saturday, so hopefully Washington can rough them up a bit with a 27-21 win.

#11 Texas Tech at Houston

     The Red Raiders made a statement win against Utah on the road a couple of weeks ago by winning 34-10 in Salt Lake City. QB Behren Morten took a hit late in that game, but has been working on his slide over the BYE week and is back in the line up for today. Houston is unbeaten at 4-0, but has not looked great this season and needed a late comeback, a blocked kick and an overtime win to beat Oregon State on the road. The Cougars do rank 11th in pass defense though, so Texas Tech will be tested offensively. I expect them to execute well as they did in Utah, but the true statement will be made by their defense. The Red Raiders have 10 sacks in their 4 games with a +4 turnover margin. Wreck 'Em for a 35-14 win.

Minnesota at #1 Ohio State

     The Golden Gophers are led by Freshman QB Drake Lindsey as they stroll into the Horseshoe at 3-1. They rallied for a comeback at home against Rutgers last week, but now have to deal with the top ranked scoring defense in the nation. Buckeyes QB Julian Sayin has looked very comfortable leading the offense, throwing for 10 TDs with 3 picks on the season. It's helpful to lean on WR Jeremiah Smith, who has nearly 400 yards with 4 TDs on the season. I'm not convinced Minnesota will be ready defensively to slow down Ohio State all game, and even if they get a few stops, I don't know if they'll be able to score against the brick wall that is the Ohio State defensive front. Buckeyes win at home 38-14.

#3 Miami at #18 Florida State

     The 'Noles blew their College Gameday opportunity by losing to Virginia in double overtime last week, but have a big statement game with #3 Miami coming to Tallahassee. The Hurricanes are well rested off the BYE and have been dominating in the trenches this season. Carson Beck is not my favorite of QBs around the nation, but he looks very comfortable in this system and has some fantastic weapons around him. Most importantly, the run game has been rolling with Fletcher and Brown combining for 594 yards and 9 TDs so far this season. Defensively, the Hurricanes have been suffocating, giving up just 11.5 points per game and 244.5 yards per game on average. Florida State's offense is led by transfer QB Tommy Castellanos, who has them ranked 1st in the nation with 600 yards of offense per game. Defensively they need to load the box and shut down the run, giving them pressure opportunities against Carson Beck. That will be tough against an offensive line allowing just 5 sacks all season. It will be fun to see both teams with a big test tonight, but I trust Miami a bit more than I do with FSU right now, so give me the 'Canes in a thrilling 31-27 victory.

Mississippi State at #6 Texas A&M

     The Bulldogs nearly pulled the upset against Tennessee at home last week, and will likely ruin someone's season in the SEC. However, can they do it on the road against the Aggies? Texas A&M is very quietly stepping into the thick of their schedule with games against LSU and Missouri lurking on the road later this month. Marcel Reed has looked good in his second year as the starter, posting a 9:2 TD to INT ratio, while also adding a TD on the ground. The Aggies have struggled on converting 3rd downs this season, ranking 126th with a conversion rate of 30.61%. The Bulldogs rank 32nd in the nation, so this will be an interesting matchup to watch if Mississippi State can keep Texas A&M behind the chains. Blake Shapen has been sharp this season, throwing for over 1,000 yards with 8 TDs and 3 picks for the Bulldogs. If he can find some openings in a tough Aggie defense, this could be a game with upset watch potential. I like watching this Bulldog team a lot, but I think their season spoiling wins come a bit later in the year. Texas A&M holds them off at home to win 30-21.

Duke at Cal

     The Blue Devils go coast to coast with the Golden Bears waiting for a late night kick. Cal pulled off a tough road win at Boston College, but were shutout just a couple weeks ago on the road at San Diego State. Freshman QB Jaron-Keawe Sagapolutele has been very impressive in the early part of this season, throwing for 1,242 yards with 8 TDs and 4 picks. He'll be squaring off against a very dynamic QB on the side of Duke in Darian Mensah. The Sophomore Tulane transfer was one of the big offseason NIL deals made by Duke and he's proven why with 1,573 yards with 13 TDs and 2 interceptions. Both of these teams have two sides to them, so I'm curious to see which of them show out. One of my new rules in College Football will be tested here as it is very difficult to travel west, especially for a late night kick. I don't like teams having to play on midnight body clocks, so give me the Golden Bears for the win at home 31-28.

Michigan State at Nebraska

     The Huskers have sat on their loss to Michigan for two weeks with the BYE and now host the Spartans for a Homecoming BIG 10 battle. Sparty has a very dynamic offense, led by QB Aiden Chiles. He's really stepped up his game in year two with the green jersey, throwing for 868 yards with 9 TDs and just 1 pick. He's also added a couple of TDs on the ground and Nebraska always struggles with dual-threat QBs. Defensively, the Blackshirts need to tackle well as Sparty backs don't go down easy. Luckily for the Huskers, Michigan State's pass defense ranks 118th in the nation, so Dylan Raiola and his crew of wideouts have a big opportunity in front of them. There are 30+ mph wind gusts expected though, so look for a lot of underneath throws and getting guys in space. I would love to see Jacory Barney Jr. get open with some screens and set Lindenmeyer, Hunter and Key out front to block in space. There are certainly opportunities for points, but Nebraska needs to take care of the football. Emmett Johnson should set the pace running the ball, but in 3rd and medium or more distances, the oline needs to protect Raiola as Michigan State likes to bring unique blitzes. I like the Huskers to bounce back at home in this one, and I'll take Nebraska 34-27. GO BIG RED!

Quick Hit Predictions:

Kentucky at #12 Georgia - The Bulldogs at home in a bounce back game following the Bama loss, especially with Kentucky struggling at the QB position. UK RB Seth McGowan is one to watch with 7 TDs on the season, but Georgia wins this 28-10.

Boston College at Pitt - The Panthers are starting a new QB today as they host Boston College. Both of these teams have multiple close losses on the season already, so expect a close game. A new QB can always spark an offense, but Pitt really can't run the ball. Give me BC on the road for a 38-36 win.

Clemson at North Carolina - Two championship coaches due battle in the ACC as Dabo Swinney and Bill Belichick square off with Clemson and North Carolina. What was originally thought to be a primetime game quickly turned into a lack-luster matchup as both teams have struggled in the early part of the season. I think Clemson will just out-talent UNC, but this won't be a pretty game to watch. Tigers 28, Tar Heels 10.

Syracuse at SMU - The 'Cuse were demolished by Duke in their first game without QB Steve Angeli, and now travel to Dallas to take on an SMU squad that has been sitting with their TCU loss for two weeks. I love both of these coaches with Fran Brown and Rhett Lashlee, but I'll take the Ponies at home 34-17. Without a QB, there's not enough firepower with the Orange.

Colorado at TCU - The game that started Deion's Colorado coaching career was a win at TCU following their national title appearance. The Buffs now return to Fort Worth with a number of issues, especially on defense where they're allowing more than 80% of opponent redzone trips to result in points. The Horned Frogs average 37.3 points per game and should have a similar total today. TCU wins 38-21.

Kansas at UCF - Both the Knights and the Jayhawks suffered their first Big XII loss of the season last week, so a bounce back game is set in Orlando today. Watching Scott Frost lose will forever bring me joy after what he did at Nebraska as a Coach, so give me Jalon Daniels to put up video game numbers as we Rock Chalk with the Jayhawks winning 40-31.

Thanks for reading my Week 6 Predictions and enjoy your College Football Saturday!

Homecoming RLD Presentations with my Ambassadors Elise & Izzy!

#CFBKnowItAll

Alex Fernando