Saturday, October 10, 2026

Week 6 Predictions

      Hello football fans and welcome to Week 6 of the College Football Season. It's a "prove it" week for a number of teams around the nation, and there are some big games with College Football Playoff implications. There's a lot to breakdown with some rivalries and conference clashes all across the nation. I've also got my thoughts from last week's Husker victory over the Terps, so let's dive in.


     Nebraska defeated Maryland 48-23 last Saturday in Memorial Stadium as the Huskers pulled away with a big second half performance. A shaky first half somehow ended with Nebraska leading thanks mostly to an 81-yard pick six by Blackshirt Safety Dwayne McDougle III. Nebraska added another score just before the half ended to take the lead, but the pick six truly flipped the script. I've got my GOOD, EXPECTED and BAD analysis down below.

GOOD - Kwazi Gilmer and the Huskers' grit. Starting with Nebraska's #1 wideout, I've been very impressed by Gilmer so far this season. He's clearly developed a strong connection with Colandrea and has been able to catch nearly everything that comes his way. Against Maryland he recorded 11 catches for 147 yards with 2 TDs. He was missed on a couple of throws as well, so could've put up even bigger numbers. He's great at blocking downfield and knowing where the sticks are to run his routes to the correct spacing. He's a reliable set of hands to get the ball into on offense and can often times provide a spark when he finds open space. That spark was needed as the Huskers battled back from some adversity in the first half. Maryland was moving the ball extremely well in the first half and it seemed like the Terps may be ready to pull an upset. Husker teams of the past have struggled to battle their way back into the game, but this team has shown great resilience thus far in the season, finding the right grove and putting lower level teams in the dirt once halftime adjustments are made. As a coach I know all too well that a game script can get out of your hands quickly, trying to wrangle it back into your favor is no easy task. Kudos to the Huskers on being able to make the needed adjustments so far throughout the season.

EXPECTED - Anthony Colandrea makes up for mistakes, but shows his flaws. Playing a perfect game as a QB is impossible, so I'm not trying to hold Colandrea to an unachievable standard. However, you could see visible frustration from Kwazi Gilmer in the first half as many of Colandrea's passes fell a few yards short of the Husker receiver. His interception was a very poor choice and it looked like the old habits of a young gunslinger were coming back. Colandrea settled down in the second half and his passes were much more accurate. He rushed for 108 yards on the ground with a long of 51. Once settled, he looked like the veteran QB we've seen through the first part of the season and his rushing ability keeps the offense flexible and often times on schedule with the chains. He'll need to stay in that grove for Indiana this week. The inaccurate passes can't pile up in a game.

BAD - Penalties. Age old story, but when you tie a school record for flags I'm going to keep talking about it. Despite the officiating issues surrounding football at every level right now, Nebraska has to clean up the infractions. The Huskers racked up 16 penalties for 132 yards. Those negative yards become far too valuable in conference play, discipline will be crucial moving forward.


Week 5 CFB Thoughts:

- Florida flops but Mizzou made a statement. Impressive win by the Tigers

- Northwestern proves my theory from last week that they're a dangerous opponent in the BIG 10.

- No one celebrates a win like PJ Fleck. As insufferable as that man is sometimes, he understands how special wins are and I can't hate on that. Congrats to the Gophers for their first win over Michigan at home since the 70s and taking home the Little Brown Jug.

- Panic button time in Boulder. Colorado has soaked up all the Coach Prime juice and now it's just pulp.

- RIP to our Minutemen friends at UMass. Was hoping for that 5-0 but still an impressive start to the season.

- I told you the Beavers were a fun team to watch! They just got a DC fired mid-game and have one of the best wide receivers in the nation. Love watching Oregon State play football and you will too.

- Statement win by Baylor at Arizona State. Issues in Tempe, but Dave Aranda has a very competitive team in Waco.


Week 5 Results: 16 - 7

Overall Results: 81 - 47


Week 6 Predictions:

Texas A&M at #14 Missouri

     The Aggies are still looking to piece things together after early season struggles and now travel to face a very confident Tiger squad. Mizzou truly impressed last week, demolishing Florida 45-17. The Tigers pushed the Gators around on the line of scrimmage and held them to just 42 yards rushing. Texas A&M has struggled on the line of scrimmage all season and their run game ranks 61st in the nation. This is a let down spot for Mizzou, but I'll give them the benefit of the doubt because I don't think Texas A&M is a very good team.


Arizona at West Virginia

     The Wildcats travel across the country for an early kick with the Mountaineers. West Virginia has fallen apart the last couple of weeks, especially on defense. They've given up 86 points over the last two games and 1,186 total yards. Arizona QB Noah Fafita has been very good at picking apart defenses so far this season, throwing for over 1,400 yards with 13 TDs and 3 picks. Michael Hawkins Jr. of WVU loves to showcase his dual threat ability, but last week Arizona held Cincy to just 74 yards rushing. I think their defense travels and the Wildcats get a well-earned Big XII road win in the Rich Rod Bowl 38-28.


North Carolina at #25 Pitt

     One of the first "prove it" games of the weekend, both Pitt and UNC have a lot to prove. Pitt needs to show they won't stumble against lower tier teams in the ACC, even with a backup quarterback now taking the reigns. The Tar Heels need to prove they're truly turning a corner under Bill Belichick, not just spinning the wheels. I think North Carolina's defense can slow down Pitt similar to Virginia Tech, but will their offense have as much success? Virginia Tech's 4 turnovers cost them the game last week, if Pitt gets turnovers in this game they'll win again. Panthers over the Tar Heels 27-20.


Wake Forest at NC State

     The Demon Deacons travel to take on the Wolf Pack in Raleigh. Wake Forest has played great football this season and they are a very fun team to watch. QB Gio Lopez and WR Carlos Hernandez have been sensational, connecting for 603 yards and 3 TDs so far this season. Lopez has another 7 TD passes this season with just 1 interception. NC State is on a two game win streak, but they've still got a lot of questions marks in my book. I love how this Wake Forest team competes and I've got them winning 34-24


Duke at Georgia Tech

     The Blue Devils are quietly following up their ACC Championship season with a good looking run to return to Charlotte. Duke is lead by Sophomore running back Nate Sheppard who is averaging 7.1 yards per carry and has 644 yards with 6 TDs through just 4 games. He's been nearly impossible for defenders to tackle, and that's something the Yellow Jackets have struggled with this season. The Rambling Wreck rank 123rd in the nation for rush defense, allowing 189 yards per game this season. Offensively, they rank 93 in total yards and will be up against Duke's 16th ranked defense. Manny Diaz always has the Blue Devils flying to the ball, and I think they'll get some pressure on Alberto Mendoza. Georgia Tech will have the better helmets, but that's about it in this game. Duke 34, Georgia Tech 17.


#1 Texas vs Oklahoma (Red River Rivalry)

     The Longhorns and Sooners meet in the Cotton Bowl at the Texas State Fair for the annual Red River Rivalry. Both teams come in with phenomenal defenses, but the offense play favors Texas. Arch Manning and Texas will have their work cut out for them, but it's always a great atmosphere at Red River. I don't think John Mateer and the Sooner offense can keep pace in this one, but Oklahoma is in dire straights. I predicted them to be in the playoffs and they need to win this one if they want any chance. I don't think they have the edge, Hook 'Em 26-14.


#21 UCLA at #13 Oregon

     One of my most anticipated games of the weekend, UCLA travels to Autzen Stadium as these former PAC-12 schools battle for position atop the BIG 10. The Ducks will be starting former Husker QB Dylan Raiola as Dante Moore is still in the concussion recover process. Raiola looked comfortable when he came in against USC, but can he replicate that performance? Bob Chesney has this Bruins squad running all over opponents, averaging over 280 yards per game on the ground. Their rushing game is paced by Wayne Knight who i averaging 9.1 yards per carry. The Ducks have more talent, and cannot afford to lose this game. I think they win it with the talent, but don't be surprised with an upset and regardless, UCLA keeps it close. This is going to be a great one to watch as Oregon edges UCLA 33-28.


#22 Houston at Kanas State

     A big trap game awaits the Cougars as they head into Bill Snyder Family Stadium to take on the Wildcats. Kansas State is coming off a bye, which means they had an extra week to think about their road loss to Cincy. Houston's rush defense is currently 8th in the nation, but K-State will test them more than any of their previous opponents. Houston's defense overall is one of the best and the Cougars are pushing for one of the top spots in the Big XII. Only a close loss to Texas Tech as a blemish on the resume thus far. They've got a potential shootout with Oklaahoma State next week though, and you don't want to be caught looking ahead against Kansas State. This feels like an upset, so give me Kansas State to knock off Houston 24-21.


#15 Tennessee at Arkansas

     The Vols haven't won in Fayetteville since 2001. Now these teams haven't played consistently over the past quarter century, but certainly an interesting stat. The Hogs have looked anything but intimidating this season, mustering no more than 17 points against Power 4 competition. I picked Tennessee to go 7-5 at the beginning of the year, and while they're currently looking to do otherwise, switching QBs mid-season is always an interesting move. Faizon Brandon is a bit banged up, but this QB change seems like more than just injury-based. George Macintyre will takeover play-calling duties, and lucky for him, he's got Desean Bishop to hand off to. The Tennessee RB already has 7 rushing TDs and is averaging 6.1 yards per carry. Arkansas defense hasn't done much to slow down opponents, and they certainly can't score. Tennessee's losses will come, but I think they avoid one today 30-14.


San Diego State at Oregon State

     The Beavers are the most exciting team in College Football and it's primarily due because of a former Mercer QB and a true freshman receiver who was told by most coaches he was "too small". Braden Atkinson and Jesse Legree have connected for 741 yards and 9 TDs. Those 741 yards are a solid chunk of Atkinson's national best in pass yards, the Beavers have quickly turned their program around under new head coach JaMarcus Sheppard. San Diego State has a good defense, but not enough to stop Legree and the Beavers offense. Oregon State 34, San Diego State 14.


NDSU at UNLV

     A big test for the Bison as they go on the road to Vegas. UNLV has been a bit up and down this season, but both teams are looking to stay perfect in mountain west. The Rebels will need to slow down NDSU, but most importantly, take care of the ball. The Rebels are even on the year, but the Bison are +8 and that's the difference maker. NDSU beats UNLV 27-21.


#10 LSU at Kentucky

     The Tigers travel to Lexington for the first time since 2007. Wild scheduling has kept LSU away from Kentucky over the years, but I'm sure the Wildcats will have a warm welcome for them Saturday Night. They're coming off a comeback, overtime win against South Carolina. LSU has demolished both A&M and McNeese State since losing to Ole Miss, but another road game will test Lane's team. Tiger QB Sam Leavitt is dealing with some injuries but expected to play, and LSU has a number of other injuries on defesnse. Kentucky QB Kenny Minchey has looked really good this season, but this is one of those "prove it" games. If Will Stein and the Wildcats want to be considered as one of the top teams in the SEC, you need to beat LSU. QB pressure is what I'm watching in this game. LSU has 22 sacks on the season and Kentucky only has 10. We've seen Sam Leavitt struggle under pressure and Minchey couldn't get much going in the second half against the Bama pass rush. I think LSU wins out with talent, especially on the D-Line. If Kentucky can flip the pass rush script, they've got a chance. LSU 37, Kentucky 24.


#19 USC at Penn State

     White Out conditions are set for Happy Valley as USC travels across country for this BIG 10 battle. The Trojans are quickly being written off due to their performances against Oregon and Washington the last couple of weeks, but there's a lot of season left. Penn State has dropped 2 games in a row to Wisconsin and Northwestern. They gave up a late TD against the Badgers, but Northwestern ran all over them and it wasn't close. The Nittany Lions don't have much identity, and if they get into a shootout with the Trojans I don't believe they can keep pace. USC got back on track late against Washington, mounting a 4th quarter comeback after being down 21-10. A big defensive stand at the end of the game sealed the victory. Jaiden Maiava has nearly 1,800 yards through the air with 15 TDs and 3 picks. His experience has really shown this season, picking apart defenses with a 68.6% completion rating and keeping plays alive with his legs. There are still issues on defense for USC, but this will be the best offense Penn State's defense has faced and I'm not sure they'll be able to slow them down for 4 quarters. Playing at home is a big advantage, but I'll say Fight On for USC to win 33-28.


#23 Boise State at Fresno State

     A Milk Can is on the line as the former WAC & Mountain West rivals renew their series as members of the PAC-12. Boise State travels to Fresno State, both teams sitting at 4-1 and 1-0 in conference play. Outside of Oregon State, these two look to be the toughest competitors in the new PAC-12. The Bulldogs have been very tough on defense, allowing just over 16 points per game and holding opponents to a 33% conversion rate on third down. Boise's offense has experience across the board, so Fresno will need to play their best football to slow them down. Bronco running back Dylan Riley has 685 yards with 5 TDs so far this season and once he carries them into the red zone, you have to worry about TE Matt Wagner. His 6'5, 250 lbs. frame is perfect for red zone passes, and he's already got 4 TDs this season, more than any other receiver on the team. Fresno will need to keep up some scoring of their own, but their lack of a run game concerns me. Boise State wins the Milk Can and a PAC-12 Conference win 31-21.


#2 Georgia at #6 Alabama

     The Bulldogs and the Tide clash for another SEC classic, this time in the wake of Hurricane Isaias. The game is scheduled as normal, but College Gameday has moved indoors due to the weather. Another "prove it" game of the weekend as Georgia has yet to be tested, but steamrolled everyone in their path. Alabama has struggled in the first half of a few games, but one their defense settles in, they let freshman QB Keelon Russell sling it and put up some points. Their run game is still very mediocre, but Russell opens up so many possibilities on the field. On the other side, it seems like most everyone around the nation has forgotten that Gunner Stockton has years of experience with the Bulldogs. He's got this offense memorized like hometown backroads and they've only been leading the nation in scoring. He will be rejoined in the backfield by RB Nate Frazier who has missed the last couple games with an injury. He'll certainly help boost the Bulldogs' rushing attack. With both of these QBs ability to expand the pocket and pick up first downs with their legs, its important for the defenses to keep contain. This should be a great, heavyweight battle to show us who is ready to take lead of the SEC. Give me the Georgia Bulldogs in a big win on the road with their defense 31-27.


#7 Wisconsin at #1 Nebraska (Volleyball)

     For the first time in history, Fox Sports will be broadcasting both Football and Volleyball as their featured games from the same city. Nebraska Volleyball hosts one of their biggest rivals, the Wisconsin Badger. A top 10 matchup between two of the nation's best. Blackout conditions are expected in the Devaney Center tonight and the Badgers have to deal with the nation's best hitting percentage at .326 from the Huskers. It's going to be a great battle between the two setters to get their hitters the best opportunities, reigning AVCA Setter of the Year Bergen Reilly and Wisconsin's setter, Charlie Fuerbringer, who is averaging over 11 assists per set. Wisconsin has to try and stop the Slide Queen, Andi Jackson, and I'm here to tell you it's impossible. Back-to-back National Player of the Week, let's go for 3 as the Huskers Sweep the Badgers 3-0!


#7 Indiana at Nebraska

     The Huskers host the defending National Champs as Big Noon Kickoff comes to Lincoln. Indiana has not looked like last year's team, and there's growing concern around the nation. It's the biggest "prove it" game of the day as both teams are 5-0 with fairly easy schedules thus far. The Huskers have been able to pull away in the second half of games, pouring on points to average 43.6 per game thus far. They've yet to face a defense like Indiana though, and the Hoosiers will certainly pressure Anthony Colandrea more. They've got 15 on the year thus far and the Huskers will need to get the ball out quickly or move the pocket to keep Colandrea out of harms way. The biggest battle of the game to watch is the run game. Nebarska gets RB Jamal Rule back, which will hopefully boost a run game that has struggled in BIG 10 play. Separating Colandrea's numbers, the Huskers have mustered just 195 yards from their backs in the two BIG 10 games against Michigan State and Maryland. Those teams rank 77th and 62nd against the run while Indiana ranks 7th. This will be a big test because the Huskers need to keep the chains moving and control of the ball. Indiana's rushing attack is led by two dynamic backs in Turbo Richards and Lee Beebe Jr. Both backs have over 500 yards to their names so far this season and are averaging 9.3 and 5.8 yards per carry respectively. The Blackshirts front 7 needs to slow dow these backs, or it's going to be a long day. I'm fearful they will be pushed around a bit, so I'm looking to linebacker Owen Chambliss and his team-leading 26 total tackles to put a stop to the Hoosier run game. Memorial will be rocking for Cignetti's first visit to the state of Nebraska, and I'm hoping the Huskers can channel that energy onto the field and put up some points. I want a "prove it" win from Nebraska, but until I see it I have to be honest with myself and all of you. Indiana 38, Nebraska 20. Change the narrative Huskers, I want to believe!


Quick Hit Predictions:

UCF at #18 Oklahoma State - The Knights defense is better tahn I thought it would be, but the Pokes offense is too high-powered. Oklahoma State 33, UCF 17.

South Carolina at #16 Florida - The Gators need a rebound and the Gamecocks are always a good option. They've got a lot of talent, but something is not clicking and Shane Beamer's seat might bie rising in temptation. Florida wins 31-21.

Stanford at #3 Notre Dame (Battle for the Legends Trophy) - The Cardinal would love to put a competitive performance together, but I don't think that will happen. Irish 45, Stanford 10.

Minnesota at Purdue - The Gophers have two big wins back-to-back, can they keep it up against the ol' Spooky Train? Purdue 's offense can put up points, but the defense is a different story. Look for big yards from both QBs in this one. Gophers 30, Boilermakers 24.

#9 Ole Miss at Vanderbilt - The Rebels travel to Nashville after a week off and I think they're going to have a big game. Vandy is banged up and Tinidad Chambliss needs to get back into the Heisman conversation. Rebels 38, Commodores 17.

Virginia Tech at Cal - James Franklin watched his Hokies choke away a lead last week with 4 turnovers. Cal has struggled all season, especially on offense with JKS. Hokies should handle this one 31-21.

Illinois at Michigan State - The Illini and Sparty need to get back on track. Neither team is playing BIG 10 Football. I'll go with Illinois because I think most of Michigan State's roster is still inthe hospital. Illini over Sparty 30-27.




Special visit from the Fox Sports crew to CoJMC on Friday before the game.


Thank you for reading my Week 6 Predictions and enjoy your College Football Saturday! Be sure to check out my latest episode of Inside Heart Football as I break down all the Heart of America Athletic Conference games and keep you updated on the best conference in the NAIA.


#CFBKnowItAll🏈🧠

Alex Fernando

Saturday, October 3, 2026

Week 5 Predictions

     Welcome to Week 5 of College Football! Last week brought us some big upsets, inappropriate celebrations and a coach smearing his players blood on his face after a win. There is truly nothing like College Football. Nebraska starts BIG 10 play 1-0, so I've got my analysis on their win against Michigan State. Now that we're 1/3 of the way through the season, I'll also give some thoughts on what I've seen from so far this season and who has impressed me. Let's get to it!

     The Huskers handled business on the road against a depleted Spartans squad, winning 31-13. The early part of the third quarter was a bit shaky for the Big Red, but three turnovers helped Nebraska hold strong defensively. I've got my GOOD, EXPECTED and BAD analysis on the game.

GOOD - Pass rush and turnovers. The Blackshirts have answered my call and they racked up 6 sacks, 10 tackles for loss. Adding in those 3 turnovers, Nebraska did well to stop the Spartans. Michigan State isn't the best offense Nebraska will face this season, and losing their best player early in the game to injury certainly didn't help them through the game. This is the defense I was hoping to see under Rob Aurich, but keeping this level of play through the rest of the BIG 10 schedule is the true test. I've liked what I've seen so far and I hope it continues to improve.

EXPECTED - Andrew Marshall island and and the Husker run game challenged. Starting with the ground attack, Nebraska's offense struggled to run the ball, especially when Jamal Rule left the game. Separating Anthony Colandrea's numbers, the Huskers mustered just 91 yards on 31 carries. An average of just 2.9 yards per carry, the run game will certainly be under a microscope in BIG 10 play. On the other side of the ball, I expected Andrew Marshall to be a lockdown corner for the Huskers, and he is playing to that level. Marshall doesn't have a lot of action come his way because of his coverage, but when it does he knocks down passes and seals the game with a pick. He stays in the receivers' hip pocket and it's great to see the Blackshirts have a lockdown corner again.

BAD - Punt coverage and penalties. Nebraska's special teams has looked concerning in the first third of the season, especially when punting. Archie Wilson is a fan favorite with his personality, but his leg has underperformed in my opinion. He's got 3 punts inside the 20 this season, but the alternating foot kicks have been low, line drives, leaving a lot of opportunity for returns. The special teams units aren't a major issue for Nebraska yet, but I'd like to see them operate a bit cleaner in BIG 10 play. The other area for improvement continues to be penalties. We'll be watching those areas as the season continues.


Early Season CFB Thoughts:

- UMass is 4-0 and doesn't look to be slowing down any time soon. They're averaging 36.3 points per game and could make some statements for a CFP consideration. Very fun team to watch!

- UCLA is a dangerous team in the BIG 10. Other than a road trip to Oregon next week, they could be favored in the rest of the games on their schedule.

- Northwestern has some upset potential this season, very impressive defense.

- Michigan getting Iowa'd for their first (official) loss of the year is too funny.

- Don't sleep on Duke, they could very easily find themselves in the ACC championship conversation and that mid-November game at Miami should be a fun one.

- Big XII is wide open and don't think Oklahoma State can't walk through that door. Pokes are finding their rhythm after that opening stumble against Tulsa.

- Oregon State is a sneaky dark horse in the new PAC-12.

- Brutal hit on Oregon QB Dante Moore, hoping for a speedy recovery. Impressive for Dylan Raiola to step in and go win that game.

- PJ Fleck is certifiably insane. If you haven't watched the clip of him wiping his player's blood on his face after their win at Washington, it's nuts.


Week 4 Results: 15 - 13
Overall Results: 65 - 40

Week 5 Predictions:
#3 Notre Dame at North Carolina
     The Irish travel to Chapel Hill as Bill Belichick looks to upset the #3 team in the nation. The Tar Heels have been much improved this season, but let one slip away against Clemson a couple of weeks ago with a weather delay mixed in. The Irish have very quietly beaten down lesser opponents by wearing them down in the second half. The first half of games has been a bit tight for the Irish, but their defense puts the screws on after halftime. North Carolina has only played 3 games this season, so we haven't seen too much of them apart from being mediocre, which is a step up from last year. Notre Dame's offense won't do much to surprise you, but they wear you down and win this one 38-14.

#7 Alabama at #16 Mississippi State
     The Tide are on upset watch as they head to Starksville to take on the Bulldogs. Mississippi State's Sophomore QB Kamario Taylor has taken the nation by storm as he's lit up every defense he's faced this season, throwing for 1,192 yards with 14 TDs and just 2 picks. Much like Notre Dame, Alabama has done most of their damage in the second half. The Tide still struggle to run the ball, but they've got a dynamic, young QB of their own with Keelon Russell. He can keep the Bama offense moving, so turnovers are the key in this game. If Mississippi State can force a few turnovers, they could win the shootout. Unfortunately, I don't think their defense is quite ready to pull the upset, but I'll be rooting for them. Roll Tide 38-28.

UCF at #20 Houston (The Space Bowl)
     I'm dubbing this game the Space Bowl in honor of the NASA connections for both programs. Houston dropped some badass new helmets they're going to wear for this game, all Galaxy theme. UCF has proven to be tougher than I expect, especially on defense. The Knights are allowing just over 15 points per game, but that will be tested by Houston's high-powered offense. Senior QB Connor Weigman has been tremendous this season, throwing for nearly 1,000 yards with 11 TDs and just 1 pick so far. His favorite target is senior wideout Amare Thomas who has 4 TDs this season and averages 12.5 yards per catch. UCF needs to find a way to slow him down, because I don't think their offense will keep pace. Cougars win at home 28-17.

West Virginia at Iowa State
     The Mountaineers couldn't slow down Oklahoma State at home last week, but bring their deadly rushing attack to Ames, Iowa against the Cyclones. Iowa State has been a scrappy team this year, despite all the doubts. They hang around more than you'd like, and with how WVU struggled on defense last week, don't be surprised if this is another shootout. I think the rushing duo of Michael Hawkins Jr. and Cam Cook will be too much in the end, Mountaineers bounce back 34-28.

Michigan at Minnesota (Battle for the Little Brown Jug)
     The Wolverines and the Gophers meet in the Twin Cities with a Little Brown Jug on the line. The oldest rivalry trophy in college football is the prize for this game, and Minnesota has a chance to start 2-0 in BIG 10 play while knocking Michigan down to 0-2. The Wolverines got Iowa'd last week, dominating the game in every category, but losing at the last moment due to some boneheaded plays that somehow give Iowa the victory. Bryce Underwood has really underperformed this year, and Minnesota's defense was giving Washington headaches all last week. Gopher QB Drake Lindsey played very well last week, but has been known to have some drop off games from time to time. I don't think either team is very good this year, but I think Michigan will bounce back in this one. Not sure the blood war paint will work for PJ Fleck in this game. Wolverines beat the Gophers 28-17.

#5 Ohio State at #14 Iowa
     College Gameday heads to Iowa City for the first time in 20 years as the Hawkeyes host the Buckeyes. Iowa's defense is tremendous as always, but their offense is still nothing to shake a stick at. Ohio State really just needs to throw deep to Jeremiah Smith because as good as Iowa's defense is, no one can cover this man. The Iowa offense won't be able to keep pace with him alone, especially after giving up over 100 yards to 2 receivers from Michigan last week. Iowa will go 8-4 at worst this season and win some more games by doing nothing, but not this one. You've got to do something to beat Ohio State, otherwise they crush you 34-10.

#8 Florida at #25 Missouri
     The Tigers should not be ranked, but the SEC needs to have ranked wins for CFP metrics. Either way, I think Florida runs away with this game. John Sumrall is quickly showing why he was a coveted hire as the Gators dropped over half a hundred against Ole Miss last week. Running Back Jaden Baugh has been torching the grass this season, rushing for 600 yards and 11 TDs. Mizzou can put up points with Austin Simmons,  but I don’t think it’ll be enough to hang with the Gators. Florida chomps 45-24.

Auburn at #17 Tennessee
     The Tigers travel to Rocky Top as Tennessee looks to bounce back from their loss to Texas. Auburn still has yet to fully figure out their identity this season, but the defense is starting to take shape. Tennessee's defense was impressive against Texas, holding the longhorns to just 262 yards and forcing a couple of turnovers. Unfortunately their offense was stuck in the mud for most the game as Freshman QB Faizon Brandon was constantly under pressure. The Vols O-line has been a point of concern, and it showed giving up 10 sacks to the Longhorns. I imagine they'll get back to the run game and feeding Desean Bishop, so give me Tennessee to run it back to the win column on Rocky Top. Vols win this one 27-17 over Auburn.

Oregon State at Colorado State
     The Beavers travel to Fort Collins as they take on the Rams in a new look PAC-12 matchup. The Rams couldn't get a stop on UTSA last week, falling short in the shootout 59-45. I think they're still a very talented team, and Jim Mora will get them back on the winning track, but don't sleep on my Beavers. Oregon State's offense ranks 3rd in the nation in passing. Sophomore QB Braden Atkinson has been lighting it up with over 1,400 yards and 11 TDs with just 2 picks. His favorite target is standout Freshman Jesse Legree, averaging more than 25 yards per catch and reeling in 6 TDs so far this season. The Rams will have a tough time stopping Oregon State after giving up 542 yards of offense last week. Oregon State shows they might be the top dog in the PAC-12 with a 45-21 win.

Eastern Michigan at UMass
     The Minutemen have their first ever sold out game as they take on Eastern Michigan. Everyone should be buying UMass stock, and keep an eye on them as they run continue to run through the MAC. They're allowing fewer than 13 points per game and are 2nd in the nation with a +10 turnover margin. This is a very fun team to watch, and I expect them to keep rolling this week 34-14.

Wyoming at North Dakota State (Battle of the Basins)
     A new rivalry begins and an oil well drill bit is on the line as a trophy with Wyoming and North Dakota State meeting as Mountain West foes for the first time. The Cowboys are coming off an impressive win against Hawaii, winning the Paniolo Trophy. They're 1-1 in rivalry games this season having lost to CSU in week 1. North Dakota State has been impressive this year, and they're so hard to beat at home. Bison win the inaugural Battle of the Basins 35-21.

#10 BYU at TCU
     The Cougars come off their BYE week on a road trip to Forth Worth. The Frogs are coming off a loss to Scott Frost and the UCF Knights, and their season has potential to spiral out of control. The Cougars are looking to find themselves in the Big XII Championship, and have a favorable schedule to do so. BYU has not been running the ball very well this season, so look for them to try and get LJ Martin in a groove early. TCU will try to slow things down, but I like BYU to get the road win 31-24.

Cincy at Arizona
     The Bearcats and the Wildcats meet in the dessert. Cincy is looking to build off their big win against K-State while Arizona wants to get back in the Big XII mix. Arizona struggled with Wazzu last week, but pulled out a 10 point victory. Cincy really surprised me last week, but a late night game in the dessert isn't easy. I'm still a big fan of Noah Fafita, so give me Arizona to win at home 33-24.

#4 Miami at Clemson
     The Hurricanes travel to Death Valley as Clemson looks to change the narrative and knock off a top rated team. The Tigers have not looked great this season, and now have to somehow contain a high-powered offense that is averaging over 50 points per game. Miami QB Darian Mensah has more TD passes than incompletions this season, but the Hurricanes have yet to play any significant competition. Clemson has not looked great this year and their defense was shredded by LSU in the opener. It would take a lot for the upset, but Miami looks like they're on a war path this season. Hurricane Wideout Malachi Toney has been sensational and I don't believe Clemson can keep pace. Hurricanes beat the Tigers 38-17.

Washington at #18 USC
     Both the Trojans and the Huskies need a bounce back win, so a late night BIG 10 after dark game is just the thing. Washington has not looked good this season, struggling in each game and having to fight back last week just to make the score look respectable against Minnesota. Demond Williams Jr. has been extremely unimpressive so far this season, and he does not have a lot of weapons around him. USC had their chances against Oregon, but fell short and it's hard to see if Lincoln Riley will every get this team over the hump. Jayden Maiava is still putting up impressive stats, but against Oregon his completion percentage dropped into the 50s. I think the talent on USC is better, but we'll see if they can get back in the playoff picture. Trojans beat the Huskies 38-21.

Maryland at Nebraska
     The Huskers host the Terps as Maryland comes into Lincoln after a 54-3 beat down at the hands of UCLA. I would love to see Nebraska hang half a hundred on Maryland, but the Husker run game will need to get back in order to make that happen. I think Nebraska's offense has a lot of opportunity to put up points in this game, so we'll see if Colandrea can keep his hot streak in play. Defensively, the Blackshirts need to keep contain on QB Malik Washington and WR Chris Durr Jr. They are the two big playmakers for the Terps and last year Washington put up 249 yards and a TD on the Huskers while evading all the pass rush. He's a dangerous playmaker, especially outside the pocket, but nothing the defense can't handle. Nebraska's defense has looked very impressive through the first part of the season. They should shut down Maryland fairly well in this game, hopefully creating more turnovers. Nebraska wins 38-17.


Quick Hit Predictions:

Navy at Air Force - The Falcons and Midshipmen meet for their annual rivalry game. Air Force has looked much improved this year while Navy’s defense is struggling. Always a fun one, but let’s go with Air Force 24-21. 

Michigan State at Wisconsin - The Spartans are extremely banged up and lost their best player in Cam Edwards to injury for the season. On Wisconsin as Luke Fickell starts to cool his seat 27-17.

Cal at UNLV - Neither team has looked impressive through the first part of this season, but I still believe in JKS. UNLV has the better coach though, and playing at home is a big advantage. Toss up game but I like Cal better. Golden Bears over the Rebels 27-24.

Virginia at Florida State - The Cavs and the 'Noles are coming off cupcake wins, so confidence should be high in this one. Both teams stumbled early on, so its hard to know what to expect. FSU has been able to put up some points and they held down the SMU offense and Bama for a half. The Cavs have a great run game though and I think Tony Elliot will have them ready. Virginia 31, Florida State 24.

#24 Kentucky at South Carolina - Shane Beamer’s seat is starting to heat up after a blowout loss to Alabama in which his star defensive end punched an opposing player and deliberately ignored a coaches order to come off the field during the game. Kentucky is much more stable and Kenny Minchey has this offense moving. Wildcats 34-21.

Arkansas at Texas A&M (Southwest Classic) - Both of these teams could be looking at a long and frustrating season, but a win in the Southwest Classic would make it a little better. Arkansas has a way to go and I’m sure Marcel Reed will give them extra chances, but talent wins out for A&M 31-21.

Texas State at San Diego State - The Bobcats have their first PAC-12 conference game and travel to San Diego State to take on the Aztecs. SDSU always has a tough defense, but their offense is usually stuck in the mud. Texas State has a dynamic offense and I say they get their first PAC-12 win 30-20 over the Aztecs.


Thank you for reading all my Week 5 Predictions and as always, be sure to tune into my show Inside Heart Football for your in-depth look at the Heart of America Athletic Conference Football games. Enjoy your College Football Saturday and GO BIG RED!

#CFBKnowItAll🏈🧠
Alex Fernando

Friday, September 25, 2026

Week 4 Predictions

     Welcome to Week 4 football fans, we're getting into conference play and have a fantastic lineup of games for this weekend. There are 6 ranked matchups across the nation and a G6 game that should give the winner an inside track to the coveted College Football Playoff Bid. We'll start with my break down of the Huskers' win over North Dakota and their non-conference performance overall. Let's dive into Week 4!


     Nebraska defeated North Dakota 34-7 to wrap up an unblemished non-conference slate. There wasn't much challenge apart from the first two quarters with Ohio throughout non-conference play, but the Huskers handled business as needed. I've got my GOOD, EXPECTED and BAD analysis laid out for Nebraska's first 3 games.

GOOD - Downfield blocks, especially from wideouts. Nebraska's wide receiver room used to be all about dominating blocks downfield back in the day. I'm talking about Kenny Bell & Quincy Enunwa, but the new Husker receivers are earning their strips with blocking for the run game. Jamal Rule's 55 yard TD run was sprung out because of Jacory Barney Jr. sealing the UND defender inside and then Kwazi Gilmer sprinting down the field along side Rule to keep blocking for the full run. The Husker rushing attack will be challenged in the BIG 10, but if Nebraska's wideouts can keep their aggressive blocking downfield, lanes will open up. I love watching great blocking from the perimeter players, it's what I coach my wideouts to do as well. No block, no rock.

EXPECTED - Big numbers on offense & concern in the defense's front seven. One positive and one area of concern for this category following the non-conference games. Nebraska's offense looked almost unstoppable through the first 3 games, scoring 19 touchdowns and averaging 520 yards per game. Anthony Colandrea has impressed thus far and the Husker rushing attack has multiple weapons to lean on. Most importantly, they've stayed healthy as BIG 10 play approaches. The offense is primed for a big year, but the tests only get tougher. Keeping the ground game as a feature of the offense is crucial for the Huskers' success, and Colandrea's ability to move the pocket will come in use. On the other side of the ball, the Huskers need to start collapsing the opponent's pocket. Yes, there were 5 sacks against North Dakota, but I want to see them put up those numbers against Power 4 competition. Notre Dame managed 4 against the Spartans, we'll see what the Huskers can do. Big picture, the addition of LB Owen Chambliss back to the lineup is extremely helpful for the Blackshirts, but I'm still concerned with how the front seven has been pushed around at time. BIG 10 offensive lines will look to get the second level quickly in the ground game, I'll be looking for Nebraska to work on plugging holes better.

BAD - Penalties. Especially on punt returns, penalties brought back nearly every punt return by Jacory Barney Jr. so far this season. Nebraska has 20 penalties through 3 games and really needs to get them in check heading into conference play. You don't want to put yourself behind the chains or take away big plays due to being undisciplined.


Week 3 Results: 14 - 7
Overall Results: 50 - 27

Week 4 Predictions:

Northwestern at #5 Indiana
     The Hoosiers have been lightly criticized for not being as "dominant" so far this season, despite back to back shutout wins. Their non-conference has been non-competitive, but Indiana is still a top notch football team in the nation. Northwestern showed some muscle last week by demolishing Colorado 41-7 in their final game at the lakeside venue. It's wild to think that just a few years ago this game would be for one of the bottom spots in the conference. Northwestern could still find themselves there, but I think Indiana will get right back on their war path toward another Playoff appearance. Look for the Hoosier pass rush to put pressure on Aidan Chiles and the Chip Kelley offense should slow down a bit now in BIG 10 play. Indiana stays on task with a 40-10 win.

Clemson at Cal
     The Clemson Tigers take a cross country trip for a Friday night kick against the Calgorithm. This is a perfect upset spot for the Golden Bears, but can they finish the job? Looking back at the last few times Cal had a spotlight game with a bigger brand opponent, they've been unable to seal the game. Miami a couple of years ago is a great example, but they didn't have JKS. He's my difference-maker in this game, especially if he can take care of the ball. He had a few costly turnovers against UCLA in the opener, but has done well to keep it safe since. This will be one of the tougher defenses they play this season, so we'll get a true look at the Cal offense. Clemson will be under a microscope for the remainder of the season, so we'll see how Dabo handles a cross country road trip. From what I've seen, they're not a good team and there's a lot of momentum for Cal. Give me JKS with a big game in a primetime spotlight. Golden Bears defeat the Tigers 34-28.

#1 Texas at #14 Tennessee
     The Longhorns and the Vols tangle on Rocky Top in a top 15 matchup. Three shades of Orange will be on display as President Trump is expected to attend the game, hopefully we won't have to endure more open mic time of politics on College Gameday. As for the game itself, the two questions are if Tennessee can actually hang with the big boys and if Arch can handle a road game. Starting with the legacy QB, he's not developed a great track record on the road, losing to Ohio State last year and surviving a couple of overtime scares despite his poor passing performances. He's been streaky this season as well, but has better weapons to help when Texas gets in a pinch. Defensively, Tennessee does like to get after the QB with 13 sacks so far this season. They haven't been tested much like Texas who hosted Ohio State a couple of weeks ago, but the home atmosphere could help with upset vibes. Vols RB Desean Bishop is the key to relieving pressure from freshman QB Faizon Brandon. Texas will look to make Brandon beat them with his arm and send pressure of their own. If Arch can make smart throws and keep his teammates well-fed, this game shouldn't be an issue for Texas. Hook 'Em on Rocky Top as Texas wins 31-17.

Illinois at #7 Ohio State (Battle for the Illibuck Trophy)
     A wooden turtle is on the line when Illinois comes into the Horseshoe and attempts to upset the Buckeyes. Ohio State's vulnerabilities lie on defense as the youth of that unit showed late against Texas. Illinois QB Katin Houser and wideout Collin Dixon have developed a great connection so far this season, racking up 367 yards and 7 TDs. They could put a couple dents in the Buckeye secondary, but it won't mean much if they can't stop the QB-WR connection on the other side. Julian Sayin and Jeremiah Smith have 400 yards and 3 TDs between themselves and the Ohio State offense is complimented well by the run game of Bo Jackson. Could be a bit of a track meet, but Ohio State is bigger, faster and scores more points in the end. Ohio State takes home the wooden turtle, something the Illini haven't seen since 2007. Buckeyes 38, Illini 21.

Wake Forest at #16 Louisville
     The Cards came away with a big win against SMU last after forcing multiple turnovers to seal the game in their favor. Wake comes in after hosting Miami and now have to deal with another top 15 offense in the nation. QB Lincoln Keinholz of Louisville will need to get his team refocused after the big game against SMU, but he's got this offense averaging over 515 yards and 46 points per game so far this season. They've faced two very high quality opponents in Ole Miss and SMU, falling just short in the first game due to a last second field goal. They keep things rolling over the Demon Deacons 37-24.

Hawaii at Wyoming (Battle for the Paniolo Trophy)
     A Mountain West classic is brewing in Laramie as the Rainbow Warriors and the Cowboys meet for the 30th time in this series. The Paniolo Trophy is on the line as the near 5 decade rivalry writes a new chapter. Wyoming has really struggled this season, but dual-threat QB Tyler Hughes does bring some big play ability. Unfortunately he's thrown 5 picks so far this season, and despite the Rainbow Warrior's own rough start to the season, this game could spark a big run. Give me Micah Alejado to have a big day and light it up for the Rainbow Warriors. Hawaii 38, Wyoming 21.

Oklahoma at #2 Georgia
     The Sooners travel between the hedges as the Bulldogs of Athens await. Georgia has yet to be tested by a team like Oklahoma, but they've erased teams off the map so far this season. Oklahoma's defense is still one of the nations' best, but when the offense isn't scoring to help them out, games like this are difficult to win. Georgia may take a few possessions to break though, but once they do I don't think the Sooners can keep up. Oklahoma was one of my playoff teams, so if they lose here, they'll likely have to win out. I'm not sure John Mateer can get them there, but his first test to do it is against the Georgia defense. This could stay close early on due to Oklahoma's abilities on defense, but Georgia should pull away in the second half. Go Dawgs 30-14.

#4 Ole Miss at #21 Florida
     A big let down opportunity as the Rebels have to put the big win against LSU behind and travel to the Swamp. One of the loudest venues in all of College Football, Gator Country has new life thanks to John Sumrall and a Florida offense averaging 54 points per game. Auburn actually put some players on the field against Florida (no offense FAU & Campbell), but Florida still hung 44. The Rebels have every excuse to fall flat in this game. Being ranked in the top 5 after their big win and knocking Lane Kiffin down a peg for revenge has got to be a great feeling, but Pete Golding has to get this team refocused quickly. Florida will look to ground and pound early behind Junior RB Jadan Baugh. The Rebel defense has to load the box and force QB Aaron Philo to throw. If they can make this a QB focused game, they should win. Trinidad Chambliss is too talented of a player to be held down for long, and Florida's defense is still leaky, giving up 39 to Auburn. The other thing folks forget about this game is that Pete Golding is very familiar with John Sumrall's tactics. Pete faced off against Sumrall twice last year when Tulane played Ole Miss, once as the defensive coordinator and then in the College Football Playoffs. I think he's a good coach, has a Heisman-caliber QB and will have the Rebels ready. Ole Miss avoids the upset 33-28.

#15 Utah at Iowa State
     The Utes leave the comfort of home for the first time as they head to Ames to take on the Cyclones. A very favorable schedule lines up for them with a BYE, Kansas and at Colorado to start October, but you never want to overlook the team that has nothing to lose. Iowa State is in a complete rebuild with Jimmy Rodgers after Matt Campbell took a majority of their team over to State College. They hung around with Iowa in the Cy-Hawk game and always play well at home. QB Jaylen Raynor is experienced from his time at Arkansas State and has more than 10,000 total yards and nearly 75 total TDs to his name. The Utah defense will need to be wary of his legs, making sure he doesn't extend drives and play keep away with the ball and the clock. Offensively, let everything flow through Devon Dampier and things should be just fine for the Utes. Utah wins on the road 38-17.

#17 Iowa at #18 Michigan
     Two of the BIG 10's best defenses collide as the offenses just hope to cross the 50. Your guaranteed Iowa football game under bet is alive in well in Ann Arbor this weekend. Iowa's offense has looked very interesting so far this season, mainly in the fact that the ball moves and points go on the board. Star wideout Tony Diaz has provided a big target in the receiving game, but the lack of competition has helped inflate the numbers. Michigan has not looked good offensively through three games this season, and only pulled away from UTEP in the second half. Bryce Underwood leads their rushing attack, but against Iowa's defense he could have a tougher time finding room. Iowa will test their new offense against a Michigan defense allowing just 220 yards per game. It would be great if they could both lose, but I'll say Michigan wins it at home 17-13.

Boise State at Western Michigan
     Boise State's head coach Spencer Danielson says Western Michigan is an undefeated team. Most fans agree with him (including myself), but both teams technically come in at 2-1 as this G6 battle could give us a preview of who is in the playoffs later this season. College Gameday missed a big opportunity to promote this "Battle of the Broncos", but I'm more than happy to shed some light on this game. Boise State is the premier G6 contender year in and year out, but we've seen Western Michigan in a New Year's Six Bowl before. That was a decade ago under Gopher head coach PJ Fleck, but there's still greatness up in Kalamazoo. You'll see veteran QBs lead their respective offenses in this game with Maddux Madsen from Boise State and Broc Lowry of Western Michigan. Neither has turned the ball over yet this year and their respective head coaches have a lot of trust in their decision-making. The crowd will be rocking in Kalamazoo, but Boise is just a tough team to knock off. I do think Western is a great team to keep an eye on this season, but I think the Broncos from the blue turf take this one due to their two-headed rushing monster with RBs Dylan Riley and Sire Gaines. Boise State 31, Western Michigan 28.

New Mexico at New Mexico State (Rio Grand Rivalry)
     The Lobos and the Aggies meet for the 116th time in their history as their annual rivalry takes place in Las Cruces this year. The Aggies come in with their only win against FCS Mercyhurst, having fallen against both Florida State and Hawaii on the road. New Mexico couldn't quite find the endzone against Oklahoma's top 10 defense, but held the Sooners to just 14 points and forced 3 turnovers in Norman last week. Despite losing their starting QB for the season before the season, the Lobos offense has done well against lesser opponents. They win their third straight in this rivalry 34-14.

Wisconsin at #13 Penn State
     Time to see who's got some juice in the BIG 10 and who will get squeezed this season. Wisconsin's defense gave headaches to Notre Dame in the opener before getting blown out, and their offense played well against the likes of Western Illinois and Eastern Michigan. Not much to shake a stick at as the Badgers try to put together a season worthy of helping Luke Fickell keep his job. Penn State is looking to continue their non-conference momentum as a dark horse in the BIG 10. QB Rocco Becht has been nearly flawless, throwing for 751 yards and 9 TDs. Wisconsin will certainly test him, but the talent on Penn State's side of the field should help them prevail. Nittany Lions beat Wisconsin 27-17.

South Carolina at #8 Alabama
     The Gamecocks have been close to knocking off the Tide over the last few years, but can never complete the upset. Bama has had to navigate double digit deficits each of the last two weeks, but a big second half as helped the scores look a bit more lopsided than the game may have felt. QB Keelon Russell is a dynamic talent, but his youth can show from time to time, and without a supportive rushing attack Alabama keeps playing with fire the more they have to come back. Luckily their defense forces a lot of turnovers and has them at a +3 margin so far this year. South Carolina is a dreadful -2 in the turnover margin through just 3 games and LaNorris Sellers has been extremely mediocre. A win here would help Shane Beamer in so many ways, but unfortunately I think it may take one more week for Bama to get exposed. Roll Tide 34-24.

Oklahoma State at West Virginia
     A very interesting game in the Big XII takes place in Morgantown as the Mountaineers host the Pokes. Oklahoma State has a lot of momentum after knocking off Oregon a couple of weeks ago, but don't look past West Virginia. Rich Rod has them rumbling over opponents with the 6th best rushing attack in the nation. Dual-threat QB Michael Hawkins Jr. has 799 total yards with 11 touchdowns to his name so far this season and will be a headache for every defensive coordinator this season. Drew Mestemaker is getting his offense in rhythm, throwing for 882 yards with 8 TDs through 3 games. He has thrown 4 picks, and on the road that will lead to some WVU points. I like West Virginia to keep running the ball well at home. Mountaineers beat the Pokes 36-31.

#23 Texas A&M at #10 LSU
     The Aggies had no answers for Kenny Minchey and the Kentucky Wildcats last week, falling at home 31-21. Marcel Reed has thrown 2 picks in 4 of his last 5 games going back to last season against both Texas and Miami. His turnovers are likely to pile up with the lack of a run game from A&M, forcing Reed to throw more. LSU is ready to move past the drama of the Ole Miss game, and a night game in Death Valley is a good way to clear your head as a Tiger. Sam Leavitt has not looked comfortable in the pocket, rushing his progression. However, his ground game compliment is much better with Dilin Jones. Mike Elko should be able to scheme some things up defensively to slow down Lane Kiffin and the Tiger offense, but I'm not sure the A&M offense can bring it all together. Texas A&M won here last year, but LSU takes it back this year. Tigers 31, Aggies 21.

#19 Missouri at #24 Mississippi State
     The Tigers travel to Starksville as the Cowbells welcome home a new star QB for the Bulldogs. Sophomore Kamario Taylor has quickly become a star in the sport with 832 yards and an 11 to 1 TD to INT ratio through the air. He's added another 178 and TD on the ground, bringing the Bulldogs offense to #2 in the nation currently with an average of 544 yards per game. Missouri has their own star QB in ex-Rebel Austin Simmons, and he's helped the Tigers navigate the start of the season without star RB Ahmad Hardy who is still recovering from a gunshot wound last spring. Mizzou and Mississippi State can both put up points, but who will get a stop? If the defenses can force an extra punt or two that could be the difference as the offenses could get into a shootout. I like both QBs a lot, but Kamario Taylor is truly dynamic and it's always fun to watch Missouri lose. Bulldogs beat the Tigers 38-35.

#20 Oregon at #12 USC
     Some west coast action for a heavyweight BIG 10 fight is set as Oregon visits USC. The Trojans have a prime time opportunity to make a statement to the nation, but does Lincoln Riley really have the defense fixed with Gary Patterson? A cross country trip to Rutgers is giving us all doubts as USC won by just 7. Oregon flexed on FCS Portland State, so nothing new was learned from the Ducks other than one of their wide receivers breaking his foot in pre-game warmups. I had both of these teams as playoff picks to start the season, but Oregon will be in dire straits if they lose this one. USC has Ohio State and Indiana later this season, but this seems like the one to get out of the three with how Oregon has been playing. Dante Moore has looked very shaky to start this season, but Jayden Maiava hasn't missed a beat. Despite a young supporting cast around him, he leads the nation in passing with 1,173 yards, 12 TDs and just 1 pick. He's one of my Heisman picks and I like Maiava to win them this game. Fight On as USC beats Oregon 36-33.

Nebraska at Michigan State
     The Huskers hit the road for their first true test of the season with Sparty awaiting in East Lansing. Michigan State has a familiar face on the sideline as former Northwestern head coach Pat Fitzgerald leads the Spartans now. Game 4 of the Fitzgerald program versus Year 4 of the Matt Rhule program. All signs point in favor of Nebraska, but this is a coach who knows how to beat the Huskers and takes great pride in doing so. Sparty has also been battle tested a bit losing by 17 to Notre Dame last week. They hung around with the Irish for longer than I wanted them to, but ultimately couldn't get their offense moving in the second half. Nebraska's offense has been in high gear through non-conference play, but I'm still not sure who this team is. Before the season, I had this game marked as a loss. The Huskers always struggle on the road and as mentioned, Pat Fitzgerald is always a thorn in the side. I think the Husker offense has looked better than I expected, but the run game needs to be consistent for success in this game. Michigan State has an extremely experienced secondary, so Colandrea needs to be thoughtful and accurate with his throws and aware of pressure in the pocket if the wideouts can't get open. Keeping the chains short will be key from the run game, but avoiding penalties is more important. Michigan State has only 10 penalties all season, while Nebraska is double that with 20. Defensively, Nebraska's run defense will be put to the test right away with Spartan RB Cam Edwards running at them. The UConn transfer won a Heisman in my CFB25 Dynasty with the Huskies, but more importantly he's averaging over 5 yards per carry for his career and does well to make first defenders miss. Husker fans will not enjoy seeing him break into the open field. The Blackshirts need to stop the run if the Huskers want to win. I'm tempted to stick with my preseason prediction and have Nebraska prove it to me, but I want to have good vibes here, so give me my Cornhuskers to win on the road 23-20. GO BIG RED!


Quick Hit Predictions:
Colorado at Baylor - The Buffs were smacked by Northwestern and multiple players are no longer with the team according to Deion Sanders. Baylor is waiting for DJ Lagway to get back into the lineup, but the Bears should handle this game either way. Sic 'Em 31-13.

Virginia Tech at Boston College - The Hokies have looked solid to start the year under James Franklin and should handle Boston College fairly easily. Ethan Grunkemeyer has looked impressive, Hokies win 34-10.

Colorado State at UTSA - One of my big upsets of the week takes place in San Antonio as the Rams take on the Roadrunners. I think Jim Mora has CSU going in a very good direction, and as a -14 point underdog, this is a non-conference game UTSA could very easily stumble in. They had to build a second-half comeback against Texas State and I like what the Rams have done this season. CSU upset 31-24.

UCLA at Maryland - The Bruins leave Cali for the first time this season and have to travel across the entire country to Maryland as they battle the Terps. UCLA has rolled on offense this season, racking up over 286 yards per game on the ground, ranking 5th in the nation for rushing. Maryland has a dynamic QB and WR combo with Washington and Durr Jr., but not much outside of that. It's an early kick for UCLA, but I think Bob Chesney is the better coach and will have them ready. Bruins beat the Terps 35-28.

TCU at UCF - The Frogs pay a visit to Orlando where they'll be handing out free hot dogs all game long to the crowd. Likely the only win they'll have that day as I expect the Frogs to handle business. The UCF offense has ben anemic to start the season and TCU looks to have bounced back from their Ireland trip quickly. TCU 33, UCF 21.

Vanderbilt at Auburn - Vandy was gifted the win last week when NC State fumbled in the endzone on the final play of the game. Auburn likely won't be so kind, but QB Byrum Brown does need to stop throwing picks. Auburn's defense straightens up for a win at home 30-20.

Kansas State at Cincy - The Wildcats have a newfound rushing attack with QB Avery Johnson and new head coach Collin Klein. The former K-State QB now turned coach has Johnson as the leading rusher with 253 yards and 3 TDs to go along with 618 and 6 TDs through the air. Cincy QB JC French IV has yet to throw a pick but lackluster competition has allowed some big numbers. I like K-State on the road 31-14.

Tulsa at Arkansas - The Hogs are in desperate need of a victory here before the season goes into a complete tailspin. They've given up 40+ points in each of the last two games and now host a dangerous Tulsa team looking to put their name on the map. The Golden Hurricanes are +4 in turnovers so far this season, and if they pick up a couple more than this one could get ugly for Arkansas. Give me Tulsa on the upset 30-27.

Minnesota at Washington - The Gophers were embarrassed at home a couple of weeks ago with Mississippi State hanging 38 points and nearly 500 yards of offense on them. They travel to Seattle for a late night game against the Huskies who are trying to establish a run game to support Demond Williams. The star QB has thrown for 890 yards with 5 TDs and 1 pick, but also leads the team in rushing with just 150 yards through 3 games. They're always tough to beat at home, but without a run game in the BIG 10 it could get ugly later this season. Washington 26, Minnesota 14.



Thank you all for reading my Week 4 Predictions and enjoy your college football weekend! Don't forget to check out my latest episode of Inside Heart Football where I give a full breakdown of what's happening in the Heart of America Athletic Conference and NAIA Football. There's great football at every level, so be sure to tune into my shows Thursdays at 6 PM.

#CFBKnowItAll
Alex Fernando