After an eventful Week 1, I'm sure we can expect more of the same for Week 2! There's a great slate of games to look at this weekend and I've got my breakdown from the Huskers' win over Ohio. I'll also give some thoughts on a few other games and teams that stood out to me in Week 1. Let's get to it!
Nebraska came alive in the second half to defeat Ohio 49-21. Despite the slow start in the first half, Nebraska's offense put up 35 points in the second half to go with 523 yards of total offense. I've got my GOOD, EXPECTED and BAD break down for the Huskers performance.
GOOD - Jamal Rule. After the opening game performance, I've seen enough to make him RB1. I'm sure the Huskers will still operate under the guise of a committee in the backfield, but Rule was clearly the best playmaker of the bunch. He racked up 169 total yards with 3 TDs, bursting through the line with great vision and speed. I'm excited to see what spark he continues to bring and hope the Huskers feed him 12-15 times per game minimum.
EXPECTED - Slow start and Colandrea's legs. Starting with the slow start, Nebraska started a bit sluggish in this game, going into the half with just a 1 point lead. Defensively, they gave up a big pass on the opening play and a score two plays later. Hit in the mouth quick, the Blackshirts gave up three straight scoring drives to start the game and let Ohio's QB Poulos be the Bobcats' leading rusher with 70 yards on the ground. Offensively it took a bit for the receivers to get in synch with Anthony Colandrea, and they need to clean up some drops. However, I chalk that up to first game rust and should get better over the nex couple of weeks. The other thing I expected was Colandrea's legs being a key factor in extending drives. His scrambling ability not only extended plays, but picked up multiple first downs. This is something that will be crucial for the Huskers all season long.
BAD - Pass rush & penalties. The Blackshirts are still struggling up front and lack a stellar pass rush. The defense did settle in late in the first half and were lights out for a majority of the second half. However, Poulos had plenty of time to survey the field on pass plays and easily broke contain when he wanted to scramble. The lack of pass rush will continue to be an issue in BIG 10 play, so I expect Rob Aurich to get creative with blitz packages later this year. Last but not least, the Huskers again struggled with penalties. They had 9 compared to Ohio's 2, and while some of those should get cleaned up from week to week, it's never a stat you want to lead in.
Week 1 CFB thoughts:
- Western Michigan beat Michigan, no time should've been added back just like in 2009 when no time should've been added back for Texas
- Louisville needs to clean up penalties and they would've beat Ole Miss without much trouble, can't shoot yourself in the foot
- SMU survived despite shooting themselves in the foot, should've won that game by double digits
- Baylor snatched defeat from the jaws of victory, but kudos to Auburn and their tackling
- Very impressive win by UCLA on the road at Cal, Bob Chesney will make them dangerous
- LSU dominated Clemson and Dabo might be cooked and Lane is the Evil Villain you just can't stop watching
Week 2 Predictions:
#23 Missouri at Kansas (Boarder War)
A 14-year hiatus of one of the most hated rivalries, the Tigers and the Jayhawks meet again for the Boarder War. Kansas didn't hold back any punches on social media, highlighting the rivalry history dating back to the civil war roots and pointing out very clearly which side of the line Mizzou was on. Both teams dominated lesser competition in their openers, so this will be a true test of who they are. The Jayhawks play host for this game, and Sophomore QB Isiah Marshall leads the offense now. His dual threat ability should help extend some drives and counter Mizzou's Austin Simmons at QB. Turnovers are key in this one and both teams were in the negative last season. We'll go for the upset here, Rock Chalk Jayhawks beat the Tigers 27-24.
Arizona State at #10 Texas A&M
The Sun Devils travel to Aggie Land as they take on the 12th Man at Kyle Field. Again, neither team was tested in Week 1, so we'll find out a lot more about Cutter Boley and Arizona State as takes on the Aggie defense. Marcel Reed is always dangerous with his legs, as long as he keeps the sticks moving Texas A&M should be fine. I think their defense is too much to handle for the Sun Devils and they win at home 35-17.
#11 Oklahoma at Michigan
It was difficult to imagine having more hatred for Michigan going into Week 1, but after an additional second was added back to the game clock (from a secret clock that is somehow now existing), the Wolverines stole one of the great upsets of the young season. Michigan honestly looked abysmal outside of their opening drive, and Bryce Underwood struggled throughout the game. The defense was solid, but now have to host a dominant Oklahoma team with experience across the board. John Mateer is healthy and looks ready to put up big numbers this season after throwing for 225 yards and 3 TDs in the opener. Most importantly, the Sooner defense is about to completely wreck the Michigan O-line and it's going to be one of the best sights of the weekend. I say this with a full nation of football fans backing me, Boomer Sooner for a big win in the Big House 35-10.
#12 Alabama at Kentucky
Wildcat head coach Will Stein wants Kroger field rocking as the Tide roll in for an early season SEC battle. Bama QB Keelon Russell makes his first road start and is looking for a big win to start his career. He certainly looked dynamic in the opener against ECU, utilizing his dual threat ability for 86 yards and a TD on the ground in addition to his 256 yards through the air. We'll see how Kentucky handles his legs, needing an extra defender to hang in the box and spy on Russell. Ex-Notre Dame QB (and Husker Portal Recruit) threw for 301 yards with 4 TDs in their opener against Youngstown State. I'm not sold on the Tide this year, but I do think they handle the Kentucky Wildcats. Roll Tide 34-17.
Arizona at #15 BYU
The Cougars host the Wildcats in what should be a very entertaining game. Both teams have dynamic QBs leading the way in Bear Bachmeier and Noah Fafita. Tune up games went well, so this one will quickly show us how dangerous both of these teams are. I am a big fan of Noah Fafita, but the BYU rushing attack is difficult to contend with, especially at home. Give me LJ Martin for a big game and BYU wins 31-20. Arizona did just add two key players who are now cleared for competition from last year's team with reeligibility. Ismail Mahdi was their leading rusher and Max Harris was third on the team in tackles. We'll se how much playing time they get in with their first game back on the roster.
Mississippi State at Minnesota
The SEC vs BIG weekend features a hidden gem between lower tier teams in Mississippi State and Minnesota. The Bulldogs travel North as the Gophers look to row the boat to a home victory. Minnesota is an underdog at home, but have veteran leadership with Drake Lindsey back under center. The Junior threw for 264 yards and 1 TD in the opener, but he had just 6 picks all of last season, doing well to take care of the ball. Mississippi State is lead by Sophomore Kamario Taylor, who threw for 354 yards and 4 TDs in their opener against Louisiana Monroe. He'll face a much tougher secondary up North, and look for Minnesota to apply pressure, they ranked 9th in the nation with 39 sacks last season, averaging 3 per game. I'll wave my BIG 10 flag here and go with the Golden rodents to beat the Bulldogs 23-17.
UCF at Pitt
The Panthers demolished Miami (OH) in the opener with Sophomore QB Mason Heintschel throwing for 453 and 7 TDs. One can only hope he'll put up similar numbers on the Scott Frost-led Knights of UCF. The boys from Orlando put up a strong rushing attack in Week 1, and I'm a big fan of QB Alonza Barnett III. However, I don't think they'll be able to keep pace with Pitt and I love watching Scott Frost lose. Bit win at home for the Panthers 41-20.
Cal at Syracuse
The Golden Bears' debut under Tosh Lupoi did not go well as the Bruins spoiled it with a 21-point fourth quarter. Jaron-Keawe Sagapolutele looked like the star he's been known to be at times, but had two costly interceptions where he tried to play some hero ball. The Golden Bears were also 0/3 on 4th down, giving up a number of short fields to UCLA. Syracuse is glad to have Steve Angeli back after he missed a majority of last season from a torn achilles. I really like the weapons available to JKS on the Cal offense, but traveling across country is no easy task. This is one I thought they'd take at the beginning of the season though, so I'll go with the Golden Bears in a close one 30-28.
Duke at Illinois
The Blue Devils are coming off a 17-3 victory over a rebuilding Tulane where they held the Green Wave to just 3/14 on 3rd down and 0/2 on 4th down. Sophomore Running Back Nate Sheppard racked up 227 on 35 carries and added two touchdowns. We'll see if he's given a similar workload at Illinois, but the Illini defense isn't what we'd typically expect form looking at their opener against UAB. The Blazers put up over 400 yards, converted over 50% of their third downs and had 23 points on the boad by the end of the night. While not enough to win, certainly enough to put dents in the armor. Look for the Blue Devils to build a similar gameplan. Offensively, ECU transfer QB Katin Houser looked solid and should shine on this team. I'll go with the Illini at home 27-17.
Memphis at Boise State
Two of the top G6 teams square off on the blue turf. Memphis dismantled UNLV in Week 0 with a tremendous pass rush and the Broncos just fell short on the road against the Ducks last week. I think the Tigers are looking to make a statement on the road yet again, but Boise is a tougher environment than UNLV. The running back battle is the feature of this game, with Boise's Sire Gaines and Memphis' Jaylin Carter. Whoever can keep the rushing attack consistent throughout the game will have a big advantage. It's hard to beat the Broncos on the smurf turf though, so I'll take Boise State at home 34-24.
#18 Tennessee at Georgia Tech
Freshman QB Faizon Brandon makes his first road start as the Vols head to Atlanta to take on the Yellow Jackets. Georgia Tech has had extra time to sit on their last minute loss to Colorado last Thursday night, hoping to make amends from their blocked field goal that would've won the game. Alberto Mendoza wasn't anything spectacular, and the Georgia Tech offense stalled to just 288 total yards and was 5/13 on third down. Tennessee didn't have any issues in the opener against Furman, but Georgia Tech's defense should pose a stronger threat. I said Tennessee wouldn't finish better than 7-5, so I'm throwing down the "prove it" gauntlet and taking the Ramblin' Wreck to bounce back at home. GT 24, UT 21.
Iowa State at #21 Iowa (Battle for the Cy-Hawk Trophy)
Iowa and Iowa State meet in Iowa City as they battle for the Cy-Hawk Trophy. The Cyclones are rebuilding after most of their team followed former head coach Matt Campbell to Penn State, but Jimmy Rodgers does have some experience on his squad with Arkansas State transfer Jaylen Raynor at QB. Raynor has more than 10,000 total yards and 71 total touchdowns in his career, so we'll see how he handles the Hawkeye defense. Iowa is still trying to figure out their QB situation, but the weapons look to be plenty. Senior RB Kamari Moulton ran for 183 yards in the opener and transfer wideout Tony Diaz hauled in 7 catches for 84 yards and a TD. Some impressive numbers that Iowa fans aren't used to in the passing game. They should handle business as Iowa State rebuilds. Hawkeyes at home 23-13.
#1 Ohio State at #4 Texas
The big game of the week takes place in Austin as the Horns rematch with the Buckeyes. Arch is a year older, a year wiser and has better weapons. At least, that's what all the storylines are about. Ohio State's offense is as good as ever, but the defense lost multiple top picks in the draft, so how quickly can they reload? I think they have plenty of talent to slot in, so I'm looking for which QB makes the big plays. Both Arch and Julian Sayin are two of the best in the nation, surrounded by the best talent money can buy. However, who makes more mistakes? This game will quickly be determined by turnovers and missed opportunities. Opposing defenses will provide a tough test for each QB in this one, but I think the Buckeyes prevail. While Sayin may not be the best player on his team, he does well to keep things clean and moving in that offense. Feed Jeremiah Smith and watch the fireworks. Should be a good one in Austin, but I'm putting the horns down (always) as Ohio State defeats Texas 27-17.
Bowling Green at Nebraska
The Huskers host Eddie George and the Falcons for a night game in Lincoln for Week 2. Nebraska started slow against Ohio, but found their groove in the second half, putting up 35 points and working in multiple offensive weapons to get the rock. Anthony Colandrea's legs are proving to be a great tool in extending drives, so look for the Huskers to continue running him. Bowling Green is searching for answers after losing at home to Division II Tarleton State. Despite holding the Texans to 1/10 on third down and owning time of possession, the Falcons were out-gained by nearly 100 yards and gave away two turnovers. Let's hope the Huskers have similar success and are able to work some kinks out from the first game. I expect a heavy dose of Jamal Rule complimented by Nelson and Mozee, but would love to see some bigger plays with downfield passing. Husker defense needs to apply pressure and force more turnovers. Nebraska should win this easily 56-7.
Quick Hit Predictions:
#6 Oregon at Oklahoma State - The Pokes looked anything but put together in their loss against Tulsa and now face an Oregon team in need of a get right game after squeaking out against Boise. Ducks big 45-7.
Washington State at Kansas State - Colin Klein had his offense drop 71 points in their opener against Nicholls, but Wazzu's defense poses a much tougher threat. The Cougars fell short in the Apple Cup thanks to some missed field goals and 3 turnovers. If they clean things up it could be a different story, so look for Kriby Moore to get his team back on track. I think they put up a strong fight, but it's hard to win in Manhattan. K-State defeats Wazzu 33-17.
Wake Forest at Purdue - The Boilermakers tend to drag the BIG 10 down on the P4 stage, but have an opportunity at home with the Demon Deacons. Both teams had no issue in the opener, but certainly a bigger test awaits with a P4 opponent. I'd love to see the BIG 10 represent well here, but I like Wake Forest to win 34-21.
Old Dominion at Virginia Tech - A rematch from the big upset a year ago. This ODU team is talented and experienced, but James Franklin doesn't lose these types of games, just the important ones. Hokies handle business 38-10.
USF at Army - The Bulls struggled to get their offense in gear against the FIU Panthers in Week1, while Army racked up 569 rushing yards. The competition was minimal, but the ground game for Army could put USF in a bind, especially as they take control of the clock. Give me the Black Knights at home 24-17.
SDSU at UCLA - Bob Chesney had the Bruins flying around on defense and running the rock on offense. Look for another big game from RBs Anthony Woods and Wayne Knight as UCLA beats the Aztecs 30-17. Those two put up 179 yards and 5 TDs together against Cal.
#13 Texas Tech at Oregon State - Don't go sleeping on my Beavers now. Despite falling to Houston in Week 1, new HC JaMarcus Sheppard had the Cougars struggling. Oregon State hung around late in the 4th after forcing 2 turnovers and balancing the time of possession. Playing back at home could keep things close for a while. Regardless, Guns Up & Wreck 'Em. Texas Tech wins 38-21.
Arkansas at #20 Utah - The Hogs travel West to Salt Lake City as the Utes host an SEC opponent. A late night kick and two new coaches at the helm, I'll go with Utah to win 30-14.
Thanks for reading my Week 2 Predictions and enjoy Gameday. Don't forget to check out my second episode of Inside Heart Football. GO BIG RED!
#CFBKnowItAll
Alex Fernando