Friday, December 29, 2017

Dec. 29-30th Bowl Games

     Hey football fans, I hope you're enjoying all of these Bowl Games! As the match-ups get bigger, we're starting to get some more exciting games, so hopefully that trend continues. Headed into the next set of bowl games my record is 16-9 and Nate's is 14-11. This post will focus on our predictions for the next couple days before we get to all the New Year's Six games. There's a lot of games in this one, so enjoy reading all of our predictions!

Belk Bowl
Wake Forrest vs. Texas A&M

Alex

     I like this match-up because Wake Forrest has been a very sneaky team on the rise this season. They've had a number of close losses, but have been a difficult team to stop as well. The Demon Deacons average 450 yards per game and nearly 34 points. The Aggies of Texas A&M on the other hand have struggled to a lackluster 7-5 record, firing their Head Coach Kevin Sumlin in the process. The future looks bright with Jimbo Fisher coming in to coach next year (and the 9 years after that), but I'm not so sure about the Aggies chances in this game. Their defense has been MIA this year, giving up 35+ in 4/5 of their losses. The Aggies do have play-makers on offense, but I haven't seen much cohesion with this team throughout the season. When I've watched Wake Forrest this season, they've been very consistent on offense, and don't make many mistakes. Sadly, their stud Freshman wideout Greg Dortch was injured during the Louisville game, but they've still been okay without him. He'll definitely be a player to watch next year though! As for this game, keep an eye on Demon Deacon QB John Wolford. He's thrown for nearly 2,800 yards with a 25 to 6 TD to INT ratio but his scrambling ability makes him extremely deadly. He loves to tuck and run, racking up 615 yards and 10 more TDs on the ground. Wake Forrest 37, Texas A&M 20.

Nate

     Well this seems like a classic talent versus excitement thriller. Texas A&M should be the better team on paper, as they boast great pieces like their defensive front. Led by Jarrett Johnson, they have almost 90 tackles for loss on the entire season.  Jake Hubenk has been quietly really solid, but will be missing this one with a knee injury. On the Deacon side, they very quietly have had one of the better offenses in the nation, and are 33rd in total offense this year. Lead by John Wolford, Wake knows how to put up points. Despite the tough A&M defense, I think there are too many missing pieces for the Aggies to get this one
Wake Forest: 35, Texas A&M: 24

Hyundai Sun Bowl
NC State vs. Arizona State

Alex

     This game will feature two offenses that are nearly identical and two defenses that are almost complete opposites. Starting with the offenses, they're both lead by two Junior QBs who could set themselves up for NFL careers next season. Manny Wilkins of Arizona State has thrown for nearly 3,000 yards, completing 63.5% of his passes and posted an impressive 17:5 TD to INT ratio. He's also rushed for 6 TDs, causing numerous headaches for opposing defenses. Looking over to the Wolfpack QB, Ryan Finley has thrown for 3,200 yards with a 64% completion rating and a solid 16:6 TD to INT ratio. He's also rushed for another 3 TDs, but his game managing ability is second to none. Although both of these QBs have similar stats, there is one that is extremely different... sacks. Ryan Finely has only been sacked 11 times this season while Walkins has been sacked an insane 37 times! This could be the most telling stat in this game because when looking at the defenses, they both love to get after the QB. Arizona State has 35 sacks on the season and NC State has 27. It does not look like star DE Bradley Chubb will be playing for the Wolfpack, so that will be a huge loss. Regardless of Chubb's playing status, with Arizona State firing Todd Graham as Head Coach, I doubt they'll have it all together in this one. I'm taking the Wolfpack with a 34-20 victory.

Nate

     I don’t know about this one guys, this seems like a strange bowl. I mean not for NC State, they are going to win pretty convincingly, but more for the other side. Ryan Finley has thrown for 3K yards and 16 TDs, and the defense for the Wolfpack is led by surefire top ten draft pick Bradley Chubb. But why I think having the two best players on the field is good enough for a NC State win, the fact that Arizona State had one of the strangest coaching implosions I’ve ever seen may do it. After firing Todd Graham, they hired Herm freaking Edwards, claiming it would be a more NFL like coaching structure. Well their defensive Coordinator just skipped town, and this is looking more and more like an implosion. Arizona State feels like the biggest “stay away” I’ve ever seen.
NC State: 38 Arizona State: 17


Franklin American Mortgage Music City Bowl
Kentucky vs. Northwestern

Alex

     This was one of my more anticipated match-ups because Northwestern has been a very fun team to watch under the radar this season. Apart from their early season loss to Duke and their second half against Penn State, they've played very well and have been tough to beat. They're on a 7-game win streak and had 3 straight overtime wins during that span. Third-year starter Clayton Thorson hasn't had the most impressive season, throwing for 2,809 yards with 15 TDs (8 more on the ground) and 12 picks, but only 5 of those picks have come in the past 7 games. He's taking much better care of the ball, and he's been able to spread out the ball to help get star RB Justin Jackson out in space. Jackson is the all-time rushing leader in Northwestern history, and has gone over 140+ on the ground in 3 out of the last 4 games. Kentucky has had a solid season as well, reaching a bowl game for the second consecutive season for the first time since '09-10. The Wildcats (in blue) are lead by a steady ground game with star RB Benny Snell. Snell has 1,318 yards and 18 TDs on the ground this year, and takes a lot of pressure off of Senior QB Stephen Johnson. The big story of this game is on defense though, and how well each team can contain these star running backs. Kentucky ranks 62nd in rush defense while giving up 28.6 points per game on average. Northwestern on the other hand ranks 10th in rush defense and only gives up 19.8 points per game on average. Having watched their defense up close, I like the Purple Wildcats in this game. Northwestern 35, Kentucky 17.

Nate

     Am I a bad football fan if I honestly forgot Kentucky was bowling for a while? I’m kind of embarrassed, but I don’t feel too bad, because that just makes it all the easier to pick Northwestern. Not that you need that many reasons, because all you really need is number 21, Justin Jackson. Jackson is responsible for a staggering 53% of total rushing attempts by the wildcats, and he has certainly made the most of it. Benny Snell is a talented back of his own for Kentucky, but the Wildcat defense is known for being stingy, and I expect this game to be no different, Jackson carries it home.
Northwestern: 20, Kentucky: 14


Nova Home Loans Arizona Bowl
New Mexico State vs. Utah State

Alex

     A bit of a lack-luster match-up mixed in with all of these Power 5 bowl games, but we'll see what happens with the two Aggies meeting up. Neither of these two teams have very impressive stats, but they're both typically stronger in the opponents opposite categories. For example, Utah State gives up around 220 yards on the ground per game on average, but New Mexico State only averages 101 rushing yards per game. I haven't watched either of these teams (apart from Utah State getting demolished in the second half of Wisconsin's opener), so I really don't know much. Utah State has a better defense though, so I'll go with the Blue Aggies. Utah State 36, New Mexico State 28.

Nate

     Oh boy, who doesn’t love the “Random average G5 teams playing 80% of the way through bowl season” Bowl? I mean, at least I think that’s what It’s called. I guess I shouldn’t be a jerk, because this is the first bowl game for New Mexico State in over 55 years. It seems almost inconceivable that one can go that long and not make it. But I think they will get there and win. Utah State’s defense isn’t good, and New Mexico State’s offense has the potential to make them pay. I can’t lie and say that I know that much about these teams, but I’m rooting for the good story.
NMSU: 28, Utah State: 20


Goodyear Cotton Bowl Classic
#8 USC vs. #5 Ohio State

Alex

     Easily one of the most anticipated match-ups in all of Bowl season, the Fightin' Trojans of USC take on the mighty Buckeyes of THE Ohio State University. Two of the best offenses in the nation, lead by two of the most dynamic QBs in the nation, will square off in Dallas as the two conference champions clash. Both are looking to give arguments on why they should've been added to the playoffs, so we should see a great game. JT Barrett and the Buckeyes have been nearly impossible to stop this year, averaging 42.5 points and 523 yards per game. Barrett's numbers are fantastic, but his accuracy still concerns me. Looking at the numbers (2,939 yards, 35 TDs & 9 picks, 64.7% completion rating), it seems as though that there's no issue. Having watched him up close however, I can honestly say that his receivers make the catch far more often than Barrett makes the throw. This could come back to haunt him in this game, as USC's defense has been improving steadily as the season moves on. Plus, QB Sam Darnold is loaded with weapons on offense, and can keep up with points if needed. This is a tough choice, but I'll take the Buckeyes. USC is on a roll since losing to Notre Dame, but I think Ohio State is just a step above the Trojans this year. Buckeyes 31, Trojans 23. I'm hoping this game is crazy.

Nate

     Now this is the game that makes me wish I had more time to write these. I think this is one of the most fascinating games in the entire season, and I expect a lot of great pieces and small match-ups that will decide this one. The obvious place to start is the quarterbacks, with Sam Darnold, that I still love, despite the turnover problems, and JT Barret, who Alex and I have flipped on more than a burnt pancake. I think, as much as I love USC, Ohio State has the more rounded team in many of aspects, from skill weapons, to defense, to special teams. I think that Urban Meyer is a better coach, and will have his team just a bit more prepared. Look for the Buckeyes, to take this one.
Ohio State: 35, USC: 28


Taxslayer Bowl
Louisville vs. #23 Mississippi State

Alex

     I have the opportunity to go watch this game in person as I'm on vacation in Jacksonville with my family, so I'll likely be in attendance! This is a good match-up, but doesn't have quite the luster it could've had in my opinion. First off, the Bulldogs will be missing star QB Nick Fitzgerald. He's accounted for 2,766 total yards and 29 total TDs, but sadly his nasty ankle injury from the Egg Bowl against rival Ole Miss has taken him out for the year. The other big issue with this game is that Mississippi State will also be without their Head Coach. Dan Mullen has left for Gator Country, leaving the Bulldogs to fend for themselves against the 2016 Heisman winner. Speaking of Lamar Jackson, he's only gotten better this season. Barring a complete meltdown or injury, he'll finish this season with more passing and rushing yards than his Heisman winning season last year, and he's averaging more yards per play and increased his completion percentage from 56% to 60%! This kid is phenomenal and I'm excited to watch him in person. Mississippi State does not have the firepower to compete with Lamar Jackson without Nick Fitzgerald, and without their Head Coach, I doubt they'll have the willpower too. Lamar with another insane game and the Cardinals win this one easy 41-24.

Nate

     Does Mississippi State satisfy all my pick against checkboxes? Their coach left them for a better team, their quarterback and best player is out. They lost to a terrible team in their last game? Check check and check. Yeah, you know I’m not super high on Louisville either; they are basically Lamar Jackson and nothing else. But hey, Lamar Jackson is a Heisman winner, and that’s good for a top 25 rushing attack. Mississippi State isn’t a bad team, but there is too much going against it.
Fighting Lamar Jackson’s: 33, Mississippi State: 21


Autozone Liberty Bowl
Iowa State vs. #20 Memphis

Alex

     This is an interesting game because these are two of the most surprising teams in all of College Football this season. They Cyclones had the shocking upset at Oklahoma, but continued that trend and knocked off TCU just a couple weeks later. They fell short at the end of their season, losing 3 close games out of their last four, but have been a very difficult team to beat all season long. Memphis on the other hand, has the 4th ranked offense in the nation, 2nd ranked scoring offense (47.7 points per game) and a narrow, double-overtime loss in their conference championship. They're lead by NFL-prospect QB Riley Ferguson, who has thrown for nearly 4,000 yards with 36 TDs and just 9 picks. Plus their star wideout Anthony Miller will be looking to torch the Cyclone defense. Miller has over 1,400 receiving yards this season and 17 TDs. Iowa State is lead by Kyle Kempt, who doesn't have all the flashy numbers like Ferguson, but has been one of the efficient QBs in the nation, completing nearly 67% of his passes and only throwing 3 picks. They have a very stingy defense, only giving up 21 points per game, lead by former QB now Linebacker Joel Lanning, and the Cyclones have a NFL-caliber wideout of their own in Allen Lazard. The numbers say to pick Memphis in this game, but Iowa State has an incredible fight in them, and my gut says to go with the Cyclones. Iowa State wins a tough one, even with Memphis at home, 33-30.

Nate

     The Memphis tigers average 48 points per game. I know it’s strange to bring up a stat this early in the preview, but wow that’s insane. Alex gave you the stats about Ferguson and Miller, but will that matter against Iowa State? After all, they stopped Oklahoma? I think that it will matter. I think it will be close, but I think Memphis squeaks it out.
Memphis: 44 Iowa State 36


Playstation Fiesta Bowl
#11 Washington vs. #9 Penn State

Alex

     Two teams who seemed destined for the playoffs until mid-season slip ups set them back clash as the Huskies take on the Nittany Lions. Washington has more or less fell off the map since their Playoff clash with Bama last season. They brought back an experienced team, but not many people paid them much attention over the course of the season. However, even without people knowing, Jake Browning and Crew still had a very impressive year. Their offense took a step back, ranking 54th in the nation overall, but Myles Gaskin has nearly 1,300 rushing yards and 19 TDs, and Browning has over 2,500 passing yards with 18 TDs and 5 picks... so I'd say they're still deadly. Their defense is still top notch though, ranking 5th overall in the nation, and holding teams to an average of 277 yards and 14.5 points. I'm not sure that's going to fly with Penn State. They have a young man named Saquon Barkley, and up until the end of October, he had the Heisman sitting on his bedside table. Barkley has more than 2,100 total yards this season, along with 22 TDs and a 5.7 yards per carry average. Sadly for Washington, Barkely isn't the only play-maker Penn State has. Along with one of the most talented receiving corps in the nation, Penn State's QB Trace McSorely is one of the best (and most underrated) players in the nation in my opinion. McSorely has over 3,600 total yards this year, and is completing 65.3% of his passes, which is up nearly 8% from a year ago! His efficiency and ability to manage the offense is absolutely phenomenal when you watch him in game, and I think Washington will find that out. Penn State wins this one 34-24.

Nate

     Saquon Barkly is not skipping this one. While that I feel is a big mistake for him, I think it will obviously good for the Nittany Lions. I don’t know what happened to Penn State, but they lost a few games that they shouldn’t have. I don’t know what happened, but I do know that they will come into this game motivated and ready to show off why they still should be considered a great team.  They don’t give away the ball, sitting at +14 on turnovers, and I feel like Washington has been a bit disappointing this year, as players like Jake Browning seem to have taken a step back. I don’t think this will be a blowout, but I think this will be a game that Penn State will control.
Penn State: 34, Washington: 24

Capital One Orange Bowl
#6 Wisconsin vs. #10 Miami

Alex

     Will any points be scored in this game? I doubt we'll see very many as the #3 (Wisconsin) and #17 (Miami) ranked scoring defenses clash in South Beach. Reminiscent of the old Husker Days, Miami will yet again play a "Neutral Site Game" in their home stadium, but oh well. Wisconsin rolls into this game looking to end their season on a high note after missing out on a BIG 10 Championship ring and a Playoff spot. Miami is trying to do much of the same, as they were demolished by Clemson in the ACC championship after a stellar season. The defenses are probably the most important aspect to watch in this game, but I think the running backs will be interesting as well. Everyone knows what Wisconsin is going to do, but only Ohio State was able to stop them. Miami's rush defense is tough, but slowing down Freshman stud Johnathan Taylor won't be easy. Taylor has 1,847 yards with 13 TDs on the ground this season, while averaging 6.8 yards per carry. On the other side, Travis Homer has been incredible for the Hurricanes since taking over for injured star RB Mark Walton halfway through the year. Homer has 902 yards with 7 TDs so far this year, while averaging 6 yards per carry. If Miami wants to win, they need to follow the Buckeye's game plan and force Alex Hornibrook to beat you with his arm. Wisconsin cannot win that way, but I'm not sure Miami is ready for the grind the Badgers are going to put them through. I like Wisconsin to win this low-scoring affair. Badgers 21, Hurricanes 10.

Nate

     Miami has been a team that has disappointed me at the end of the season, as they laid two eggs to finish out a magical year. Wisconsin it felt like it laid an egg, but honestly they didn’t play that bad. They have the number one defense in the nation, and for a Miami team that sometimes looks a bit lost on offense, it might be a rough start. In a stat that is not that surprising but still totally surprising, Jonathan Taylor needs just 150 yards to make it to 2K. That’s absurd. I don’t want to play against him anymore, and this is just year one. Miami needs to add to its 3rd in the nation 30 turnovers and force Hornibrook to beat them. But I think Taylor will do enough, and the defense will dominate for Wisconsin. Wisconsin 24, Miami: 14

Thanks for reading our predictions and enjoy all the bowl games!

#CollegeFootballKnowItAll
Alex Fernando
Special Guest: Nate Muhlbach

Tuesday, December 26, 2017

Dec. 27-28th Bowl Games

     As we move forward through Bowl Season we look to have bigger and bigger match-ups ahead! We still have 3 games to watch today, including the confusing case of Josh Rosen (sorry about the re-post, but we both feel the outcome will be VERY different without Rosen in). This post will focus on the next couple days of bowl games and we definitely have some good ones to pick, enjoy!

Walk-On's Independence Bowl
Southern Miss vs. Florida State

Alex

     One of the possible Final 4 contenders from week 1 skidded to a disappointing 6-6 record as their coach ran off to find a big pay day in another Power 5 Conference. The 6-6 is even in question as one of their wins is against an FCS team, so the 'Noles probably shouldn't even be here. Nonetheless, they are matched up against the Golden Eagles of Southern Miss, and look to get back on track for next year. Freshman QB James Blackman has had his ups and downs, but for a true Freshman, I thought he played well this season. Especially when you consider that he was sacked 29 times this season. The Seminoles' offensive line was practically non-existent all season, leading to very poor protection. The only bright spot was their sub-par rushing game lead by the two-headed rushing monster of Cam Akers (930 yards) and Jacques Patrick (687). The Golden Eagles are ranked 27th in rush defense nationally however, and give up just around 130 per game on average. Their primary play maker is Senior RB Ito Smith, who has nearly 4,500 career rushing yards. I would expect FSU to get a heavy dose of Smith running at them, leading to opportunities for QB Kwadra Griggs to air it out. Griggs only has 2 picks this season, but he'll be throwing against a much tougher secondary that features possible 1st-rounder Safety Derwin James. My biggest issue with picking this game is that FSU was HAPPY to have Jimbo leave. Numerous players said they would leave if he had stayed, so they may be more motivated in this game rather than the typical attitude we see from teams losing a coach. I would like to see the upset, just to mess with FSU's season even more, but they'll probably take this one. Seminoles 33, Golden Eagles 20. This could be a weird game.

Nate

     Florida State is technically not eligible for this game. In the weirdest story of the season, it was found by social media of all places that the Seminoles weren’t eligible for the post season because of an FCS team they played didn’t meet the requirements to count as a win. But even through this mix up, they were still allowed to compete, probably because money. But it’s too bad for Southern Miss that the ‘Noles will still play, because expect them to roll this game. I don’t know if it will be a complete blowout but I would expect the ‘Noles to hit them with the one two punch of Cam Akers and Jacques Patrick on the ground.  While James Blackman has had some freshman blues this season, but expect him to come alive sooner or later against lesser talent.  I don’t think this will be a blowout, but expect the ‘Noles to pull away sooner or later.
Florida State: 30, Southern Miss: 18

New Era Pinstripe Bowl
Iowa vs. Boston College

Alex

     Tough ground attacks will battle it out in Yankee Stadium as the Hawkeyes square off against the Eagles. Neither team has been overly impressive this year, but Iowa does have their 31-point beat down over Ohio State. Boston College has hung around with a lot of teams in the early parts of the game, but fail to get a lot moving in the second half. That's where I think we draw the line here between these surprisingly similar teams. While I do think BC RB AJ (that was a lot of double letters) Dillon will get his yards (1,432 yards so far this year), I don't think it will be enough to over come Iowa's play-makers. Defensive stars like LB Josey Jewell and DB Josh Jackson should hold the Eagles to a lack-luster performance while Iowa RB Akrum Wadley pushes through a sturdy but breakable Boston College run defense. A couple of mediocre throws down field by Stanley should seal this one. Iowa 37, Boston College 22.

Nate

     This game feels like a toss up if I’ve ever seen it. Teams are 7-5, both teams are within the same sphere of statistical categories, with Iowa leading Boston College by about 10 places in them, and they both have similar run first game plans. When two teams are this evenly matched, I tend to go by the star players. And that is a category that I just feel like Iowa has more of. I can’t see Josey Jewell, perennial award snub, and Josh Jackson (aka Desmond King 2.0) will show up big time and show the Eagles what’s up.
Iowa: 27, Boston College: 24

Foster Farm's Bowl
Arizona vs. Purdue

Alex

     The Boilermakers are bowling once again in their first season under Jeff Brohm. He's ignited their offense and solidified their defense into a respectable team. They easily could have more wins, losing a tough opener late against Lamar Jackson and Co., hanging with Wisconsin, losing a dumb one to Rutgers and outplaying Nebraska at home, but losing in the final seconds. Arizona on the other hand, either blows you out or gets blown out. Sophomore standout QB Khalil Tate has impressed everyone this season, taking over mid way and absolutely running WILD. After his break-out 327 yard rushing performance against Colorado, he's racked up 1,353 yards and 12 TDs on the ground as well as 1,289 yards trough the air with 9 more TDs and 8 picks. The biggest issue for the Wildcats as I mentioned, was getting blown out themselves. They rank 117th in total defense, so expect a lot of points in this one. Khalil Tate has been fun to watch, but I have a feeling about Purdue in this game. Arizona has struggled late this season, and I think their youth will benefit them next year, but hurt them in this bowl game. BOILER UP! Purdue 34, Arizona 30.

Nate

     Are we going to Boiler up? Unfortunately, I don’t think so. Arizona is 3rd in the nation in rushing; going for almost 324 yards per game, and while Purdue has a rather stout, standing about 29th in the nation allowing only 130 yards per contest. But I doubt a middling Purdue offense can get it done. Khalil Tate should finish off the Boilermakers by himself, but congrats to Jeff Brohm and his team, they are on the up and up.
Arizona: 28, Purdue: 14

Academy Sports + Outdoors Texas Bowl
Texas vs. Missouri

Alex

     This may be one of the most disgusting match-ups I have ever encountered... sorry, that's just my Husker fan in me. Still though, I won't enjoy picking either of these teams in this one. All season long, people have wanted to say "Texas is back", especially since new Head Coach Tom Herman is in town. However, they didn't quite have the turnaround they were looking for. Falling to a 6-6 record with a couple of close losses, to very good teams (USC, OU and OSU). Freshman QB Sam Ehlinger, the hometown kid, has been the bright spot of this season, throwing for 1,803 yards with 10 TDs. He's had plenty of Freshman mistakes, resulting in 7 picks, but his scrambling ability has helped the Longhorns more than anything else this season. The Tigers come in with one of the hottest offenses in the nation, averaging nearly 40 points and over 500 yards per game. Junior QB Drew Lock has thrown for 3,695 yards and an impressive 43:12 TD to INT ratio. However, he did just lose his Offensive Coordinator Josh Heupel as he took the UCF opening from Scott Frost's departure. This could be the biggest story-line in the game because Texas has a very tough defense as it is. Middle Linebacker Malik Jefferson is a monster, with 110 total tackles this season. The Longhorns are extremely banged up and will be without some talent, but I think they'll pull this off. Missouri will look lost without their OC and that's where Texas can take it. Longhorns Hook'em 31-27.

Nate

     This is a game between two strange teams. Texas has looked absolutely amazing in many respects this season, such as close games against teams like USC and Oklahoma. But then they also looked hapless against bad teams too. Missouri is 7-0 against non-bowling teams and 0-5 against bowling teams. I don’t think they will lose a sixth. First of all, Texas is depleted, they are down two starting secondary members and a o-lineman for draft related reasons, and the Texas o-line has already had its share of problems without their best player. Jeff Lock will make a strained Longhorn Secondary pay, and I expect Missouri to take this game.
Missouri 38, Texas: 20

Military Bowl Presented by Northrop Grumman
Virginia vs. Navy

Alex

     Virginia has lost 5 of their last 6 games, but their 1 victory was against a triple-option team... coincidence? Nope. Georgia Tech ran the ball fine in that game, but got a little pass happy and that lead to 2 picks. The Cavaliers have a decent offense to keep up with teams, but may struggle to find any time with the ball in this one. Navy ranks 1st in the nation for Time of Possession, holding the ball for nearly 36 minutes on average. Junior QB Zach Abey leads the Midshipmen attack with 1,325 yards and 14 TDs on the ground, followed by Sophomore RB Malcolm Perry (1,068 yards and 9 TDs). I've enjoyed watching Virginia all season, and I think Kurt Benkert is a solid QB, but I'm taking Navy in this game. I think their ground game will take over late in the game and finish off the Cavs. Midshipmen win it to go 2-0 for the military academies. Navy 33, Virginia 23.

Nate

     It’s going to be hard to compete with Navy’s collection of rushing talent this game. Both Zach Abbey and Malcolm Perry are 1,000 yards rushers, and for a Cavalier rushing defense that has given up close to 200 yard games in each of the last six contests. For Virginia, Kurt Benkurt is pretty good, throwing for 3000 yards and 25 touchdowns. Potential NFL talent for Virginia like safety Quin Blisling will be playing, so I kind of like Virginia here.
Virginia: 27, Navy: 20

Camping World Bowl
#22 Virginia Tech vs. #19 Oklahoma State

Alex

     Our first ranked match-up features the Hokies of VA Tech and the Pokes of Oklahoma State. Nate is all excited that at least one of his teams made a bowl game, and I'm sure this was an easy pick for him. As for me, this pick is quite easy as well. I think Virginia Tech is on the rise, and Freshman QB Josh Jackson will definitely be a force to be reckoned with in the years to come. However, their youth, especially on offense, will be their downfall in this one. Oklahoma State is too high-powered and too experienced to keep up with. My neighbor Ryan Dial (Big Cowboy fan) says they've got this in the bag, and having watched Mason Rudolph this year, I don't doubt it. Tech might hang around early, but the Pokes will take this one 36-24. Look for tough defense early on from the Hokies though, they are ranked 11th in total defense. 

Nate

     All right, now this is more like it. We got the first big game between ranked teams, and who better than my second favorite team Oklahoma State. Okie State ranks 3rd in scoring offense with over 46 points per game. Led by offensive superstars Mason Rudolph, who threw for 575 yards per game. Justice Hill, their 1000 yard rusher, should lead the way on the ground too. Virginia Tech is a competent team, but they lack the offensive capacity to stay up with the Pokes, even against a rather mediocre defense.
Oklahoma State 42, Virginia Tech 28

Valero Alamo Bowl
#13 Stanford vs. #15 TCU

Alex

     The Frogs had so much potential, but could not live up to they hype in this season. The funny thing is that's almost the same story-line for Stanford. Both teams are runner-ups in their respective conferences, and couldn't quite get over the hump of finishing off other teams. Apart from the early season loss to USC, Stanford lost their other 3 games by 3 points each. TCU fell short against a surprising Iowa State team, and were no match for Baker Mayfield and OU in their two meetings. So what does each team need to do to win this game? It's quite simple actually; for Stanford, hand the ball to Bryce Love, and for TCU, stop Bryce Love. Okay, maybe the second one isn't so simple, because Love is the nation's 2nd leading rusher and very difficult to bring down. TCU does rank 4th in rush defense, giving up just 99 yards per game on average, but in their two losses to Oklahoma, they gave up 418 yards combined (200 & 218). They may be able to slow Bryce Love down, but I doubt they'll stop him. Frog QB Kenny Hill will lead the offense against a mediocre Cardinal defense, but I'm not sure it will be enough. Plus, I am a huge fan of KJ Costello at QB for Stanford, that kid is going to be phenomenal next year! I think he'll make some big plays for them in this bowl and finish off the Horned Frogs. Stanford wins this one 30-21.

Nate

     This is a classic unstoppable force vs. immovable object game. As the 4th rated rushing defense of TCU comes up against the monster rusher and Heisman Runner up Bryce Love. Stanford and TCU both don’t have too strong of a passing defense, both hovering around 60th in the nation. But don’t expect either Keller Chyrst or Kenny Hill to put too much fear into the defense either. This feels like a game that comes down to who comes better-prepared and ready. I think it will be Stanford.
Stanford 27, TCU: 20

San Diego Credit Union Holiday Bowl
#18 Washington State vs. #16 Michigan State

Alex

     I like this match-up a lot because these have been two of the most polarizing teams in all of college football this season. Statistically, it looks like Wazzu should blow the Spartans out of the water. But Senior QB Luke Falk has two sides, and you never know which will show up. There's the NFL-caliber side, where he'll throw for 400+ yards, 5 TDs and complete more than 73% of his passes (i.e. Nevada game), or there's the BENCH HIM side where he still throws for over 250, but throws 5 picks instead of TDs (i.e. Cal game). The Cougars also have a fairly tough defense, but give up blowout performances like Arizona (58-37 loss) or Washington (41-14 loss). On the other side, you look at the Spartans and think; "this is a solid team". Brian Lewerke has been impressive at QB, passing for 2,580 yards, 17 TDs and 7 picks while also rushing for 486 and 5 more TDs. RB LJ Scott has fallen off a bit in production from a year ago, but is still a durable back that will get you the yards needed most of the time. The true stats lie with the Spartan defense, always tough, and giving up just 20 points per game on average. They've had some puzzling losses as well, like a 48-3 beat down to Ohio State just 1 week after upsetting Penn State, but hey, that's College Football in a nutshell. I picked Wazzu for my Dark Horse Playoff team and they failed me. I picked Wazzu to upset Washington and go to the Pac-12 Championship game and they failed me. I'm going to pick Wazzu to LOSE to Michigan State and they'll probably fail me and win just because. Oh well, Sparty takes this one 33-21.

Nate

     Washington State has had a disappointing end to this season, going 3-3 after starting 6-0.  For both it and its opponent, Michigan State, they have this weird weakness where they both get weak against their opponents strength. Michigan State has been lit up by good QBs this year, 400 to McSorly and Barrett. Washington state got manhandled by Washington’s rushing attack, and Lewerke should get the job done. I think that Michigan State’s secondary should get tired first though, and I feel it will be hard to play comeback.
Washington State: 38 Michigan State: 20

Thanks for reading all of our bowl predictions and stay tuned because we've got more big games to come! Happy Holidays and enjoy the games! GO BIG RED!

#CollegeFootballKnowItAll
Alex Fernando
Special Guest: Nate Muhlbach

Saturday, December 23, 2017

Dec. 23-26 Bowl Games

     Well readers, these past few games haven't been the best for me, but at least Nate is back in the race with our predictions! Nate and I are now both 6-4 as we head into some of the bigger bowl match-ups. This post will focus on our predictions for the bowl games through the 26th, enjoy!

Birmingham Bowl
Texas Tech vs. South Florida

Alex

     If you like defense, I would avoid watching this game. The Birmingham Bowl will feature one of the most dynamic players in the nation with Quinton Flowers. Flowers has lead the Bulls to another impressive season and is their leading passer and rusher. He's accounted for nearly 3,600 total yards and 31 TDs. The Red Raiders give up 434 yards per game on average and nearly 32 points per game. Flowers usually achieves those numbers on his own, so I would expect a show from him. Tech is known for their offense though, and it's still deadly without Patrick Mahomes III. Senior QB Nic Shimonek has lead this dynamic offense with 3,500+ passing yards and a stellar 68.2% completion rating, resulting in 30 TD passes and just 8 picks. One big concern has been his protection, as Shimonek has been sacked 24 times this season. With USF averaging 3 sacks per game, I think he'll be under some heat in this game. I believe Tech has the offense to keep pace for a while, but Flowers is too much to handle in the end. With a couple of key plays on defense, I see the Bulls winning this in convincing fashion. USF 44, Texas Tech 30.

Nate

     While Alex probably talked up Quinton Flowers and USF offense as he should, I’ll talk a little bit about the Red Raiders. Nic Shimonek has passed for 3,500 yards this season and has thrown a nice 30 touchdowns. Their top running back, Justin Stockton, will be back after missing the last game with a concussion. The Tech offense should be explosive, but that’s not what worries me. Their defense is better than the last few years, but it has only improved from utterly garbage to just bad. They allow teams to complete about 65% of their passes, and Flowers will make them pay. USF’s defense isn’t anything stellar either, so I’m expecting this game to be a toss up, but I’ll take the team with the one man wrecking crew at quarterback.
 USF: 48, Texas Tech: 45

Lockheed Martin Armed Forces Bowl
San Diego State vs. Army

Alex

     When looking at the stat sheets for these two teams, they are very similar. They both average around 30 points per game, while giving up around 20, and both teams are lead by two of the strongest rushing attacks in the nation. Everyone knows what Army is going to do, they've been running the triple option for longer than anyone who follows College Football can remember. The Black Knights average 355 yards per game on the ground, and dominate time of possession, ranking 5th in the nation. SDSU is fresh off the season where their star RB Donnel Pumphrey became the NCAA all-time leading rusher. So you'd think they may take a step back after he graduated and moved onto the NFL right? WRONG? Senior RB Rashaad Penny (who rushed for 1,005 yards last year in Pumphrey's shadow) has jumped out into the stage light and demolished everyone in his way. Penny will likely finish with more yards than Pumphrey did a year ago (neither of them were invited to NYC for the Heisman), and he's viewed as one of the highest rated RBs in the upcoming NFL draft. This kid has been fun to watch, and I'm sure he'll give us a good show today. I think Army will keep this as a tight game, but Penny is a player you don't want to bet against, so I'm taking the Aztecs. SDSU edges out Army 30-26 in a very tough football game.

Nate

     Did you know that in one of Army’s wins, they didn’t throw a single pass? Now that brings me back. And it probably brings Army fans back as well, as they are going bowling for the second time in a row, for only the second time in program history. Ahmad Bradshaw leads the way with 1,500 yards and 15 touchdowns, and will look to use that triple option attack to grind SDSU out. That being said, I don’t think it will happen. Rashaad Penny might be the best back in football this season (sorry Bryce Love) and the SDSU rushing defense is actually no slouch either. The Aztecs are too strong, too fast, and will overpower the Army.
SDSU; 30, Army: 17

Dollar General Bowl
Appalachian State vs. Toledo

Alex

     This could be one of the more entertaining games of bowl season as Toledo and App State meet in the post season for the second straight year! The Mountaineers pulled out a 31-28 victory last year, so you know Senior QB Logan Woodside will be looking to right the ship in this game. Woodside has been nothing short of phenomenal this season, passing for nearly 3,800 yards with 28 TDs and just 5 picks. Although they don't have NFL rookie-star Kareem Hunt in their backfield anymore, Senior RB Terry Swanson has done an incredible job filling his shoes for the Rockets. He's averaging nearly 6 yards per carry and has 14 TDs with 1,319 rushing yards on the season. Appalachian State has play-makers of their own however, and I doubt Senior QB Taylor Lamb will let anything get away that easy. The Mountaineers have looked good this year, but I think Toledo has a few more weapons at their disposal. This will be a great QB dual between two very under-rated QBs, but I'm giving the nod to  Woodside. I've watched him play for the past few seasons and I think he's going to make the difference in this game. Rockets 33, Mountaineers 31.

Nate

     Hey, it’s a rematch! App State beat Toledo 31-28 last bowl season, and it should be another tight, but exciting game. Both teams come in to the game with explosive offenses. With Toledo being the 11 ranked offense in the nation, led by QB Logan Woodyard and a stable of running backs that have rushed for over 3000 yards this season. It will be a good matchup up against a 34th Ranked App State defense loaded with talent. I do think however that Woodyard and the Rockets avenge last year and take a close one.
Toledo: 38, App State: 32

Hawai'i Bowl
Fresno State vs. Houston

Alex

     This is another one of those bowl games where I would be completely okay with losing 4 games in a year for. The Hawai'i Bowl welcomes the Bulldogs of Fresno State and the Cougars of Houston to the islands. This is another tough game to pick because the teams are so similar and are matched fairly evenly. The most telling stat is how Fresno ranks 16th in total defense this season, while Houston ranks 84th. The Cougars definitely have some key players on defense, like Ed Oliver, but I like Fresno State in this one. They've been a very tough team all season long, and I think they'll cap it off right! I wouldn't expect a lot of offense in this game, but be sure to watch the defenses, they're the key in this one. Fresno State 21, Houston 10.

Nate

     Now we have a matchup between a solid Houston team and Alabama’s best win.  I kid, I kid, but Fresno really is a good team, led by a crushing pair of Defensive lineman, Tobenna Okeke and Malik Forrester. Houston is no slouch on the defense either, as Ed Oliver looks to tear things up. Look for a tight defensive struggle in this one.
Fresno: 21, Houston: 14

Zaxby's Heart of Dallas Bowl
Utah vs. West Virginia

Alex

     Having watched these two teams a lot over the season, it seems like an easy pick for me to go with the Mountaineers. from my perspective, they were a stronger team throughout the season, and have much more dynamic players than the Utes. Then, however, you look at who won't be playing for WVU and get all freaked out. Start RB Justin Crawford will sit out to save himself for the draft, and star wideout David Sills might as well. Plus QB Will Grier is still injured and will not play. This helps Utah significantly, and with WVU being all offense, they are now nothing. I think the Utes should be able to take care of business in this one. Be careful, as Dana Holgersen is never someone to underestimate in a bowl game though. Utes beat the Mountaineers 33-20.

Nate

     Hey it’s the first power five versus power five game of the season. Too bad it won’t be a good one. West Virginia will probably be without some of their best weapons. Justin Crawford is sitting out for the draft, and Will Grier is injured. David Sills might sit out as well, so that would be the QB, and the top RB and WR for the mountaineers. Tyler Huntly for the Utes isn’t that great of QB, but it doesn’t matter, injuries for the mountaineers are too great to overcome. 
Utah 36, West Virginia 20

Quick Lane Bowl
Duke vs. Northern Illinois

Alex

     Having the privilege (and horror) of watching Northern Illinois up close gives me a lot to think about in this game. The Huskies and the Blue Devils are set to meet up in Detroit at Ford Field. Duke has not been impressive at all this season, especially on the offensive side of the ball. They're only averaging 25 points per game, and rank 93rd in total offense. The Huskies on the other hand, rank 18th in total defense, so I don't think I need to say much more. Sophomore Defensive lineman Sutton Smith leads the nation in both Sacks (14) and Tackles for Loss (28.5). The Blue Devils have given up 27 sacks this season, so look for the young-stud Sutton to have another big day. I'm taking the Huskies for sure in this game! Northern Illinois 34, Duke 14. Watch out for that Husky defense in this one!

Nate

     Duke is a team that has sputtered to a limp 6-6, and Northern Illinois overachieved. For Duke, they have probably the best defender you’ve never heard of in Joe Giles-Harris, who leads the team with 117 tackles and 5 sacks. For NIU, they will try to avoid him and get the ball to Marcus Childers, the freshman QB who has led the huskies to a 6-2 record over the final eight games. While I think NIU can get it done, I like Duke to take this one.
Duke 24, NIU: 17

Cactus Bowl- Updated
Kansas State vs. UCLA

Alex

     This is a tough game because it's basically a match-up between a good team and a great player. Josh Rosen is about all you need to know when it comes to UCLA, and as long as he's good to go in the game, the Bruins will be okay. K-State on the other side doesn't necessarily have 1 dynamic, game-changing player on their squad. They have a fairly balanced offensive attack, and QB Skylar Thompson has done well filling in for the injured Jesse Ertz. The Wildcats do rank nearly twice as high in Time of Possession compared to UCLA however, so their best bet is to grind it out and keep the ball away from Rosen. If he has his chance to prove why he's the #1 rated QB prospect, you bet he'll take it. I've recently read that Rosen is NOT going to play in the bowl game, and to me that's a big difference. The Bruins have been very unimpressive without him on the field and I doubt they'll be much of a threat without him. Nate & have both updated our predictions with the new Rosen information, and I think K-State will be able to hold them off. K-State 30, UCLA 13.

Nate

     Can I just post my West Virginia outlook and re post it? Only Josh Rosen will be missing for the bruins, but that’s more than enough to probably sink the ship for a disappointing UCLA team. They have a poor rushing defense too, letting up over 200 yards per game, not a good sign against a team like Kansas State. Exact the wildcats to be in control early and often.
Kansas State: 29, UCLA: 20

Thank you all for reading and have a wonderful Christmas! Sit back, hang with the family, and watch some bowl games! Nothing better right? Be sure to keep up on our predictions challenge and comment below if you have any College Football Questions! Thank you, Merry Christmas & GO BIG RED!

#CollegeFootballKnowItAll
Alex Fernando
Special Guest: Nate Muhlbach