Saturday, September 27, 2025

Week 5 Predictions

     Hello football fans and welcome to Week 5 of College Football! It's been a busy week with different CFB news updates including the mid-week firing of Mike Gundy from Oklahoma State and the hand surgery for Oklahoma QB John Mateer which will keep him out for a few weeks. All that leads into a LOADED week 5 slate of games, but first I'll recap my thoughts on the Huskers' home loss to Michigan. I certainly had to let my emotions settle after that game, but overall there's a lot of season and opportunity left for Nebraska. This post will start with my GOOD, EXPECTED and BAD break down for the Huskers and then roll into my Week 5 Predictions. Enjoy!

     Nebraska fell to Michigan 30-27 at home last Saturday as the Wolverines racked up 286 yards rushing and held the Huskers to just 43 yards on the ground. Michigan added 7 sacks defensively and held strong as the Huskers had multiple trips to the redzone that ended in fewer than 7 points, sometimes 0. I've had a number of thoughts on the game, but after a few days of reflection, here's what I've settled on. This is one of the losses I originally had predicted at the beginning of the season, and despite the frustrations with missing the opportunities to win this game, this is a somewhat expected outcome given the talent differential, especially in the trenches. It would be nice to see Nebraska take the next step in these big games, but we'll have to wait a bit longer in the season to see it.

GOOD - Jacory Barney Jr. and the House Rhules Podcast. Starting with one we can all agree on, Jacory Barney Jr. is an absolute DAWG! The sophomore finished the game leading Nebraska in receiving with 6 catches for 120 yards and 2 TDs including the fantastic Hail Mary catch in a very crowded mess of players. At just 6'0 and 170 lbs. Barney has quickly shown he's a very aggressive receiver when the ball is in the air. As a receivers coach myself, this is great to see. I expect more passes his way as he continues to develop in the offense. Now for the controversial piece of my analysis, Matt Rhule's podcast. I've heard and seen comments of a number of people complaining that he should be focused more on football and the podcasts is wasting time, especially when you lose to a conference opponent at home while leaving points on the field. I understand that it may look like he's spreading himself thin with the Pat McAfee show and hosting weekly episodes of House Rhules, but this is the modern age of College Football. Matt Rhule is marketing Nebraska in so many new ways to make sure the Huskers stay relevant in the conversation, despite the on-field struggles of the past decade plus. The show is a unique look inside the Head Coaches role with a Division 1 program, and is a great look for Husker Football as he continues to build up to a place where Nebraska is competing for Playoff spots. I love the content and the vulnerability the show brings, and despite the frustrations with the loss and potential future losses, this is a great way to share Nebraska's story. Keep the content coming!

EXPECTED - Dylan Raiola's strong performance with some rough spots. It's hard to remember sometimes that he's played only 18 games of college football, and 7 of those with his current OC. Raiola certainly had some head scratching moments in the game against the Wolverines, but if you take a step back, he threw for 308 yards, 3 TDs and completed 73.2% of his passes last Saturday. He currently ranks 3rd in the nation with 75.6% completion rating on the year and has been making some very smart throws throughout the season. I am a bit concerned about his pocket awareness as a few of those sacks I blame on holding the ball too long, but this is a QB who is clearly taking steps in the right direction to be elite. I'd like to see Dylan develop a better understanding of pre-snap and post-snap coverage analysis, but I strongly believe the Husker offense is trending in the right direction with him under center.

BAD - The Trenches. As highlighted by the stats shared earlier, Nebraska has some serious issues to address on the line of scrimmage. Starting with the defensive front 7, I explained my concerns with this unit ahead of the season, and those concerns are now fears for what BIG 10 play could look like. Some things are inflated by the long runs from Michigan, but from watching this game I'm not sure the defensive front will be much of a force in stopping the run right now. Michigan's Oline washed away Nebraska at the line of scrimmage and created massive rushing lanes. The Blackshirts also have just 6 sacks on the season, but only 2.5 of those coming from the defensive line. Certainly will need a lot of growth from this unit quickly as BIG 10 play picks up. On the other side of the ball, the Husker Oline is not in good shape and giving up 7 sacks to Michigan highlighted problems quickly. Left tackle is a rotating door at the moment, Gunnar Gottula was beat nearly every play, Ellijah Pritchard has no clue what his assignments are and Turner Corcoran has never been in my good graces for his play. I do think Dylan needs to get rid of the ball quicker, but the Husker Oline was not protecting well and on run plays they were stood up immediately. This unit needs to step up to help protect Raiola and get rushing lanes for Emmett Johnson.



Week 4 Results: 13 - 10

Overall Results: 63 - 29


Week 5 Predictions:

#21 USC at #23 Illinois

     The Trojans travel east as they take on the Fightin' Illini in the heart of BIG 10 country as this game takes place in Champagne, IL. There wasn't much fight in the Illini last week as they let Indiana roll 63 points on them, and now return home to a fiery USC squad. I had Illinois as my dark horse team to make the playoffs and potentially find their way into the BIG 10 Championship with a favorable schedule. Now I'm wondering if they are capable of any upsets because they looked rough last week. Defensively, they are playing without a number of key players in the secondary, allowing Lincoln Riley and the Trojans to draw up a spicy air raid game plan. Junior QB Jayden Maiava has thrown for 1,223 yards with 9 TDs and 0 interceptions. He's added another 4 TDs on the ground and his favorite target, Makai Lemon has 24 catches for 438 yards and 3 of those passing TDs. Defensively the Trojans are a bit vulnerable, but they're playing at a much higher clip than traditional Lincoln Riley team. This one could get high-scoring if the Illinois offense gets back on track, but with the issues on defense highlighted last week, I've got the Trojans winning 38-28. Fight On!


#22 Notre Dame at Arkansas

     The Irish travel to Fayetteville as both teams look to turn this season around after rough starts. Neither team has showed much defense, and the Irish are a bit banged up in the secondary. Offensively, these teams do well in putting up points, but their stars do it in different ways. Starting with the Hogs, QB Taylen Green is a dangerous dual-threat QB who is completing a career best 64.3% of his passes this season for 1,191 yards with 12 TDs and 4 picks. He's added another 360 yards on the ground with 2 more TDs as he averages 8.2 yards per carry. Notre Dame has done fairly well stopping the run, but the secondary has ben shredded, currently ranking 132nd in the nation. They will look to counter Arkansas' air attack with a ground and pound strategy from Jeremiyah Love. The Junior has just 3 TDs thus far on the season, but averages 5.5 yards per carry and should have a big day against the Hogs' 87th ranked rush defense. Give me Notre Dame on the road behind a big performance from Love for a 28-24 win.


Duke at Syracuse

     The Orange beat down Clemson 34-21 last week while the Blue Devils pulled away from NC State in the second half for a 45-33 win. Both teams are very much in the mix for ACC Championship game runs, but there's a lot of season left to decide things. Unfortunately for the 'Cuse, starting QB Steve Angeli who has thrown for over l,300 yards with 10 TDs and 2 picks suffered a torn achilles and will miss the remainder of the season. Sophomore Rickie Collins will take the reigns of the offense and he'll look to out-duel Duke's start QB Darian Mensah. Syracuse's HC Fran Brown is always going to have his team ready, no matter what the circumstances, but without your starting QB this is a tough matchup. I'm very torn as I hate picking against Fran Brown, but I'll take Duke in a close one. Looking for Syracuse to prove me wrong with some extra grit, but Duke 30, Syracuse 27.


#1 Ohio State at Washington

     The Buckeyes have their first road test of the season and it's a tough one as they travel across the country to Seattle to take on the Huskies of Washington. Jedd Fisch has the dubs with a 3-0 record to start the season and Sophomore QB Demond Williams Jr. has been a big part of that. He's accounted for 998 total yards and 8 TDs through the first few weeks and will look to add to those stats against the viscous Buckeye defense. Ohio State ranks 10th in total defense, but the Huskies aren't far behind at 23rd. The Buckeyes have a young QB of their own in Julian Sayin, facing his first road test. Luckily he's got a fantastic set of weapons to rely on with Jeremiah Smith and Carnell Tate on the outside and 3 different RBs rotating through the backfield. I think the Buckeyes will prevail with their talent, especially on defense, but enjoy watching Demond Williams Jr. for the Huskies because they will be dangerous in the conference this year. Ohio State 30, Washington 20.


#4 LSU at #13 Ole Miss

     There's a little extra spice to this rivalry as Landry Kiffin, daughter of Ole Miss HC Lane Kiffin hard launched her relationship with LSU Linebacker Whit Weeks with a photo on social media, prompting her dad to comment "bet the over". Similar to Dan Lanning and Curt Cignetti, don't think for a minute that Lane Kiffin won't run up the score if he gets the chance. That won't be easy with LSU's 9th ranked scoring defense, but with Trinidad Chambliss at QB, the Rebels have a little extra spice. In his two games against Arkansas and Tulane, he's completed 67.9 % of his passes for 660 yards with 3 TDs and another 174 and 2 TDs on the ground. LSU hasn't faced a QB with this much spunk on the season, and if their offense can't get into gear, this defense will get tired trying to chase down Chambliss and the Rebels. For the Tigers' offense, the run game has been very slow going as they rank 112th in the nation. QB Garrett Nussmeier is used to shouldering the load as LSU has attempted the 15th most passes this season through just 4 games. It should be a fun one down in the grove, but with the extra incentives I've got Ole Miss with the big win at home. Rebels beat the Tigers 36-31.


Auburn at #9 Texas A&M

     Jackson Arnold and the Tigers fell short in Norman last week, but the passing game has finally started to open up. Keon Coleman and Eric Singleton Jr. combined for 148 yards and a TD between 12 catches and were getting great separation from the OU secondary. They will look to build on that in a very tough road environment for the second straight week as they travel to College Station to take on the Aggies. A&M had the impressive win against Notre Dame, but I feel like a lot of the CFB wold hasn't thought much about the Aggies. QB Marcel Reed has shown great improvement in his second year as the starter and his dual-threat ability could be difficult for Auburn to contain as they struggled with John Mateer running around them last week. Upset watch has potential here, but I expect A&M to make more of a statement to get noticed. Mike Elko will always have a defensive game plan ready and I think Jackson Arnold will be under heat again in the pocket. The Auburn Oline struggled to protect him last week and that will lead to more point opportunities for A&M with short fields and turnovers. Gig 'Em Aggies as they win at home 38-17.


#11 Indiana at Iowa

     The Hoosiers quickly and emphatically proved me wrong last week as they STOMPED my BIG 10 dark horse in Illinois. Curt Cignetti is not a man you should question I've learned when you think his teams have had their time in the spotlight. They now travel on the road to Iowa City to take on the Hawkeyes. It's always a tricky place to play in the BIG 10 as most every team that goes there finds themselves playing very far from their normal tendencies. Iowa's defense is always great at forcing turnovers and teams playing them always seem to make mistakes in the worst moments. Indiana QB Fernando Mendoza has been sensational though, throwing 14 TDs and just 10 INCOMPLETIONS over the last 3 weeks. The Hoosiers seem primed to make statements week in and week out, so they are going to stomp Iowa and most everyone else on their way toward another playoff run. Hoosiers over the Hawkeyes 38-14.


#15 Tennessee at Mississippi State

     A big upset alert game is set in Starkville as the Bulldogs host the 15th ranked Vols. Tennessee has a high powered offense behind QB Joey Aguilar who has thrown for 1,124 yards with 12 TDs and 3 picks. He'll be up against the 13th best pass defense in the nation with Mississippi State and they've already got 5 picks on the season. The Vols have put up at least 41 points in every game, but their own defense has been gashed at times, giving up 21 plays of 20+ yards already this season. For the Bulldogs, they come in unbeaten after winning just 2 games a year ago and not a single one in the SEC. This would be a big win for HC Jeff Lebby, and while I do believe his team is on the rise, I don't think Tennessee is overlooking the Bulldogs. Vols win on the road with an impressive outing from Aguilar 34-21.


Arizona at #14 Iowa State

     The Wildcats come into Ames, Iowa looking to upset the 14th ranked Cyclones as two undefeated teams in the Big XII clash. As anticipated, this conference has been very unpredictable in the early parts of this season, so don't sleep on Arizona under Brent Brennan. Defensively, they rank 2nd in the nation with a +6 turnover margin, and that's always a good stat to take on the road. Iowa State will lean on Senior QB Rocco Becht and his plethora of receivers to handle this matchup. Becht has 4 different players with over 100 receiving yards on the season as he spreads it very well throughout his team. The run game has been key to balance their offense and in addition to the 2 rushing TDs from Becht, RBs Carson Hansen and Abu Sama III both average nearly 5 yards per carry. If Iowa State can get the run game moving early, Arizona could struggle as they have not been tested by a dynamic offense yet this season. Be sure to watch QB Noah Fafita for the Wildcats though, as he's a playmaker and will keep them in this game. I'll take Iowa State in the night game atmosphere at home, but Wildcats hang for a while before falling 31-21.


#17 Alabama at #5 Georgia

     An SEC heavyweight matchup in between the hedges is set to take place as Georgia takes on Alabama in Athens. The Tide are in need of a statement win after their opening weekend loss to Florida State, especially after the 'Noles were upset in double overtime last night. They've balanced their offense much more since their opening week, and should give Georgia some headaches to deal with defensively. We saw Tennessee put up 41 points on the Dawgs a couple of weeks ago and if they can get a good rhythm on the ground early, those chains will stay short and manageable. For Georgia, they will look to establish a run game as well to keep pressure off Gunnar Stockton. The Tide's defense is very aggressive and if you give them opportunities to put pressure, bad things will happen. Stockton does have the dual-threat ability, but I expect Bama to have a spy ready. These games are always full of highlights, so be sure to enjoy it as the Tide Roll to a 33-28 victory.


#6 Oregon at #3 Penn State

     The biggest game of the night is set in Happy Valley with a legendary White Out between Penn State and Oregon. These two teams met in the BIG 10 Championship last season as the Ducks held off the Nittany Lions for a 45-37 victory. The Ducks are a high-powered, fast-paced offense that spreads defenses all across the field. Penn State has a very athletic defense, but they want to get pressure and keep Oregon in long chain situations for this game. Offensively, Penn State has upgraded their receivers to help Drew Allar, but the true key to the game is the rushing attack. The Nittany Lions have two fantastic RBs with Nick Singleton and Kaytron Allen, who both had over 100 yards in that BIG 10 Championship last year. Oregon hasn't been tested with their rush defense yet this year, but it's hard to pick against the Ducks. They look complete, they look fast, and they won the BIG 10 in their first season. I've got them as my BIG 10 favorite again, and I think they show why tonight with a big win on the road. This should be a fantastic game to watch, and I've got the Ducks over the Nittany Lions 40-33.


Quick Hit Predictions:

#16 Georgia Tech at Wake Forest - The Ramblin' Wreck are on a roll and could find themselves unbeaten by the time they reach Georgia. Until then, keep it simple: run the ball and win the week. GT 31, WF 17.

Rutgers at Minnesota - Rutgers was pushed around by Iowa and the Gophers look to bring a similar rushing attack. Minnesota also ranks 1st in rush defense, so Rutgers could struggle to keep chains short. Golden Gophers over the Scarlet Knights 27-17.

Louisville at Pitt - An undercard in the ACC with teams have both recently been around that conference Championship game. I trust Jeff Brohm more than Paul Chryst in this game, so give me the Cards 33-24.

Cincinnati at Kansas - Nebraska needs Cincy to be a real threat in the Big XII, but KU at home has been dangerous. Jalon Daniels has 13 TDs so far this season and Brendan Sorsby doesn't have much help around him. Rock Chalk 26-21.

UCLA at Northwestern - Just a nasty looking game, which means we've got the ghosts of the BIG 10 West lurking. UCLA traveling to Chicago for a date with the Wildcats in their first game after firing Deshon Foster. No idea how this plays out, but give me the home team? Northwestern 30, UCLA 27.

Baylor at Oklahoma State - The Cowboys fired their coach on Tuesday and host a high-powered Baylor offense coming off a home loss with a last second field goal on Saturday. Not a great combination so Sic 'Em and Baylor wins 38-14.

Utah at West Virginia - The Utes travel east to Appalachia where the Mountaineers await for a Big XII battle. Angry Utes after the home loss, Kyle Whittingham will have his defense ready to go. Utah wins 28-10.

#25 BYU at Colorado - A rematch of the Alamo Bowl in which the Cougars dismantled Coach Prime and the Buffs 36-14. The Cougars haven't been tested much this year, so this is certainly a dangerous road game with Kaidon Salter now at QB for the Buffs. I don't think Coach Prime has them quite there yet, so give me the Cougars to win 30-24 on the road.

Thanks for reading my Week 5 Predictions and enjoy a fantastic slate for this College Football Saturday!




#CFBKnowItAll
Alex Fernando


Saturday, September 20, 2025

Week 4 Predictions

      Welcome to Week 4 of College Football and it's set to be a good one! My Huskers open up BIG 10 play against Michigan, we've got a couple of ranked versus ranked matchups and a number of teams on upset watch. I'm going to skip the reflections and breakdown of the Huskers' win against Houston Christian, but I am glad to see Nebraska taking care of business against an opponent of that level. As highlighted over the last couple of weeks, that is what good teams do. I'll also take my flowers for the score prediction as I was very close with my 54-7 score and the Huskers won 59-7! I also had WVU 30-24 over Pitt and it was 31-24. I'm getting pretty good at this! We'll move right into my Week 4 Predictions and all the games you should keep an eye on today.


Week 3 Results: 15 - 5

Overall Results: 50 - 19


Week 4 Predictions:

#17 Texas Tech at #16 Utah

     Our Big Noon Kickoff takes place at 10 AM local time for the Utes of Salt Lake City. Utah hosts this year's "best team money can buy" with Texas Tech coming to town. Easily one of the biggest matchups in the Big XII this season, and I think we could very well see a rematch of these teams in the Big XII Championship. A long way to go until then, but for today we get to see if Texas Tech can back up all the money they threw on the table. I love Kyle Whittingham and his Utah teams. They always have an aggressive defense and are tough at home. They've rebuilt their offense around Junior New Mexico transfer Devon Dampier at QB. He's thrown for 628 yards this season while adding another 198 on the ground with 9 total TDs. For the Red Raiders, Senior QB Behren Morton leads the 2nd ranked offense in the nation, throwing for 923 yards with 11 TDs and just 1 pick. Defensively this game comes down to pressure and third down stops. Both teams have 9 sacks on the season, which means these offenses need to stay ahead of the chains. I may regret this, and this pick does not reflect my overall reflections of the losing team, but put your Guns Up and WRECK 'EM as Texas Tech pulls off a massive statement win against Utah. Red Raiders 27, Utah 26.


SMU at TCU (Battle for the Iron Skillet)

     These cross-town rivals are finishing the 110 year old rivalry with one last battle for the Iron Skillet. As of right now, there are no plans to get this rivalry back on the schedule and it's certainly a losing situation for the fans, especially in the Dallas/Fort Worth area. This year's game should be a fun one (and a primary reason to keep the series going after 103 meetings) as both teams are much more powerful than in previous stages of their respective CFB lives. TCU was in the title game a couple of years ago and SMU made the playoffs last season. There is money supporting these programs and a couple of good coaches, one of whom left SMU for TCU to add some fire to the rivalry. Regardless, we should see fireworks in this one. Both offenses are top 30 in scoring and the defenses will have a lot to handle. SMU gave up 48 to Baylor in double OT a couple weeks ago after leading by 14 with about 6 minutes left in the game. The Horned Frogs' defense hasn't been tested much yet, but Kevin Jennings should take care of that quickly. I truly love watching both of these teams, so it is hard to pick a winner here. I'll lean on the Ponies because they seem a bit more balanced on offense, but no matter what this will be a fun game to watch in the opening window. SMU takes the Skillet 41-38.


Oregon State at #6 Oregon (Civil War)

As of right now, this is the last Civil War scheduled to be played. These are games that need to be played and it's horrible to see some of these rivalries disappear from the sport. Rivalries like the one between the Ducks and the Beavers are what truly make College Football unique. But as for this game, Oregon should roll. Oregon State is in a tough spot with their 0-3 start, battling but not quite finishing throughout their games. Despite already passing for 896 yards and 6 TDs, Maalik Murphy of the Beavers has been a bit careless with 5 picks as well. Senior RB Anthony Hankerson is a fun one to watch if you love downhill, smash mouth backs, but he won't be enough to hang with the Ducks. I expect Dantae Moore and the Ducks to put their offense into high gear and win this game 45-14.


#22 Auburn at #11 Oklahoma

     The Jackson Arnold bowl is set to take place in Norman as the ex-Sooner comes back leading his new team, the Auburn Tigers into a ranked versus ranked matchup in the SEC. John Mateer is now running the show as OU's quarterback, and literally running as he's got 4 TDs on the ground already this season. Arnold has 4 rushing TDs of his own too, so defenses will be tested early and often with their dual-threat ability. Oklahoma's defense has been much improved from the middle of last season, and Auburn is still figuring out their passing attack with Arnold. They have fabulous receivers in Eric Singleton Jr. and Cam Coleman, but both wideouts only have 149 yards each on the season. We'll see if they can open up their air attack today, but playing in Norman is no easy task. The Sooners need to clean up on the turnovers as they are -5 on the season, but I'll give them the edge, I think Mateer with OC Ben Arbuckle is too much for Auburn to handle on the road. Boomer Sooner 36-30.


Tulane at #13 Ole Miss

     One of my upset watch games features the Green Wave taking on the Rebels at the Grove. Ole Miss does not have much for defense and Jake Retzlaf has been dynamic for Tulane, racking up 800 total yards and 8 TDs. Ole Miss is expected to start Trinidad Chambliss at QB with the injury to Austin Simmons, and their offense was humming with Chambliss. I doubt they'll miss a beat within their offensive attack, but can they win another shootout? I really like Tulane to keep pace in this game, especially as one of the lead candidates for the G5 rep in the playoffs. I'll go with the Rebels playing at home, but expect fireworks and expect the Green Wave to hang around in this game and cover the -11.5. Ole Miss 42, Tulane 34.


North Carolina at UCF

     Scott Frost round 2 at UCF is off to a 2-0 start against lower level competition. Their first true matchup of the season pits them against Bill Belichick and the Tar Heels of North Carolina. Yes, Scott Frost and Bill Belichick are coaching against each other in a game of College Football, how can you not love this sport? As for the game, it would be nice to see UNC pull the upset on the road, but this team has too many jumbled pieces for me to feel comfortable picking them. Gio Lopez does bring a danger factor to UCF with his legs, but I'll begrudgingly take the home team Knights. They've got 5 sacks in their two games to go with 9 pass deflections and two picks. Defense at home is always a good sign. UCF 31, UNC 27.


South Carolina at #23 Missouri

     The Gamecocks head to the "other" Columbia in the SEC as the Tigers of Mizzou await. LaNorris Sellers is coming out of concussion protocol and is cleared for this game. With Sellers playing, the Gamecocks are much more dangerous, especially with his dual threat ability. On the other side, Beau Pribula has looked impressive as a starter with the Tigers after transferring from Penn State. Missouri's offense has been boosted by a strong run game from Sophomore Ahmad Hardy, who averages 8.1 yards per carry and has racked up 5 TDs so far this season. This is a game needed by South Carolina, and I'm not convinced by Missouri, but I'll take them at home. Mizzou wins 30-27.


Florida at #4 Miami

     The Gators threw 5 interceptions in Death Valley against LSU last week but only lost by 10. Miami whomped South Florida 49-12, showing little concern of the Bulls. It's really hard to imagine Miami not steam rolling in this game, but Florida doesn't go down easy. Defensively, this team has done well not to give up many yards or points, as they rank in the top 30 for total and scoring defense. Unfortunately for Gator fans, they rank 124th in the nation with just 2 sacks through 3 games. Without being able to get pressure on Carson Beck, he will pick you apart in this offense. Miami on the other side, loves to get pressure, and DJ Lagway has already been struggling. I still don't believe in Carson Beck as a top tier QB, but I do think he fits this system for Miami very well, and the Hurricanes win 28-17.


#9 Illinois at #19 Indiana

     The other BIG 10 game to watch today takes place in Bloomington as the Hoosiers square off with the Illini. Ahead of the season I predicted that Illinois would be this year's Indiana getting into the playoffs, and today is where that theory gets put to the test. Fernando Mendoza leads Indiana now after transferring from Cal, and he's put up impressive numbers against very lackluster competition. For Illinois, the road test at Duke a couple of weeks ago was an impressive win, but conference play is always a step up. Senior QB Luke Altmeyer has a lot of experience to bring as a 3rd year starter. He commands this offense well and he's complimented by a dynamic thunder and lightening duo at RB. Junior Kaden Feagin is 6'3, 250 averaging 4.4 yards per carry as he rumbles through defenders. Sophomore Ca'lil Valentine is 5'9 190 with great pass catching ability out of the backfield and makes defenders miss in space. Indiana's defense needs to focus on tackling this week, because it won't be easy. We know that Curt Cignetti just wins though, and playing with a home field advantage always helps the defense. This will be a great game to watch, but I'm sticking to my guns. I think Illinois is a VERY dangerous team this season, and the Illini beat the Hoosiers 33-21.


Washington at Washington State (The Apple Cup)

     While conference realignment has destroyed so many rivalries, The Apple Cup remains and has at least a few more games scheduled in coming years. Wazzu is returning home after a beat down in North Texas as the Mean Green hung 59 on the Cougars en route to victory. The Dubs are off a BYE week and will look to lean on Senior RB Jonah Coleman as they battle across the Palouse. Coleman has nearly 300 rushing yards through just 2 games with 7 TDs and a gashing 7.4 yard per carry average. The Cougars rank 85th in rush defense through the early stages of this season, so they will need to plug those holes quickly in order to keep the chains in their favor. I like Washington to win here and the Apple Cup returns to the Seattle for the 77th time in history. Huskies 34, Cougars 21.


Arizona State at Baylor

     One of the underrated Big XII games this week takes place in Waco, Texas as the reigning conference champ Sun Devils take on the Bears. Arizona State bounced back with an impressive win against Texas State last week, but don't be sleeping on these Baylor Bears. While their defense has some holes, Sawyer Robertson has been slinging it this year, throwing for 1,070 yards with 10 TDs and just 2 picks. He has the offense averaging over 500 yards per game and 38 points per game. He's complimented by Sophomore RB Bryson Washington, who is averaging 4.6 yards per carry with 304 yards and 4 TDs on the season. I expect Baylor to score and gash the Sun Devils for a few big plays. Arizona State is susceptible to those defensively, and ex-Baylor QB Blake Shapen lit them up for 279 yards and 3 TDs. Offensively, I do still like what Kenny Dillingham brings to the table, especially with Sam Leavitt throwing to Jordyn Tyson on the outside. I expect a classic, Big XII barn burner for this game, but I like the Bears to win at home 37-33. Sic 'em!


Michigan State at #25 USC (New Rivalry Name: The Illiad)

     Just like in ancient history, the Spartans and the Trojans are set to do battle. I'm unofficially officially dubbing this new BIG 10 matchup the Illiad and the Trophy is a Trojan Horse. The marketing opportunities for this game is off the charts. On the field, these teams clash with very contrasting styles of play. USC is a dynamic, high-powered offense with an extremely efficient and talented QB leading the way with Jayden Maiava 989 passing yards and 6 TDs. While this has been against lesser competition, the Trojans certainly look to bring firepower to the offensive side of this war in the Coliseum. Michigan State comes in with a unblemished record of their own and has begun to put up the kind of points Junior QB Aidan Chiles promised fans when he took over the starting role. He's got 656 passing yards and a 6:1 TD to INT ratio to his name thus far. Both of these QBs have dual threat ability and will cause headaches on third down. Much like the Illiad of old, this one should be an all out assault from the offensive attacks. The key factor to watch is the clock. This game kicks off at 8 PM Pacific Time which is 11 PM Eastern Time. That means that by the middle of the second quarter, the Spartans will be battling on midnight body clocks. Never a recipe for success and I think USC wins this one 45-28.


Fresno State at Hawai'i

     The Bulldogs travel to the Islands as the Rainbow Warriors look to go for back-to-back wins in this rivalry and have 4 of the last 5 meetings in their favor. Fresno was crushed by Kansas to open the year, but since then have looked strong, especially in the run game where Sophomore RB Bryson Donelson is averaging 6.5 yards per carry. EJ Warner has improved each week at QB and the Bulldogs are averaging over 35 points per game. I have Hawai'i making a bowl game this year, but I don't know if they can hang enough points to beat Fresno, even at home. This is always an entertaining rivalry game, so if you're up late be sure to turn it on. Fresno State 33, Hawai'i 28.


#21 Michigan at Nebraska (The Bussin' Bowl)

     Nebraska hosts Michigan for the BIG 10 opener in Memorial Stadium. Two iconic blue bloods of college football with a new rivalry in the Bussin' Bowl, named after the Bussin' With the Boys podcast led by Michigan's Taylor Lewan and Nebraska's Will Compton. This is the first true test for Nebraska, and with 9 years separating this team from their last ranked win, the pressure is high for Matt Rhule and staff to win this game. This would be a big statement win for Nebraska as they work back into blue blood status, especially when Michigan won 45-7 last time in 2023. For the Huskers, stopping the run is critical in this game. Junior RB Justice Haynes is averaging 7.9 yards per carry with 388 yards and 5 TDs so far this season. Against Cincy, the Blackshirt front 7 was pushed around a bit, so look for Michigan to try and establish their presence on the line of scrimmage early. I expect Nebraska to load the box and force Bryce Underwood to beat Nebraska with his arm. He's an extremely talented QB, but he's a freshman playing his 4th game in a very hostile road environment. Plus, Nebraska's pass defense currently ranks #1 in the nation and is the strength of this defense. Containing Underwood in the run game is key as well, especially when the Huskers often struggle against dual-threat QBs. Offensively, it runs through Dylan Raiola's decision making. He's shown great understanding with Dana Holgorsen's offense, finding the open receivers after working through his reads and progressions. If Emmett Johnson can continue a similar pace with the rushing attack, Dylan should be able to pick apart the Michigan secondary with some play action. Turnovers are always a big factor for conference games, so Nebraska needs to stay clean in that category. There is great momentum with this program and we know the crowd (including myself) will be going wild at Memorial today. Nebraska seems primed to make a statement, and I say they do it today. GO BIG RED as the Huskers beat Michigan 27-24.


Quick Hit Predictions:

Arkansas at Memphis - The Hogs are on the road again, this time at a dangerous Memphis team who averages 37 points per game so far this season. Arkansas has a dynamic offense of their own, and it all runs through QB Taylen Green. He's already thrown for 866 yards with 11 TDs and 2 picks while adding another 307 and 2 TDs on the ground. He's the X-factor for this team, the defense just needs to get a few stops. Woo Pig as the Hogs win 38-31.

Maryland at Wisconsin - A BIG 10 matchup between the Terps and Badgers is a much needed get right game for Luke Fickell and a good measuring stick for Mike Locksley. I'm not high on either team, but Wisconsin at home is hard to go against. Badgers beat the Terps 23-14.

Syracuse at Clemson - The Tigers have quickly fallen off everyone's radar with some very poor offensive performances and a 1-2 record. Exactly where Dabo wants to be. I love Fran Brown and Syracuse, but this is a bad week to catch Clemson. Tigers win 30-17.

Purdue at #24 Notre Dame - Certainly a game for the Irish to bounce back with after a rough 0-2 start, but with a banged up defense for Notre Dame the Boilermakers could hang for a bit. Notre Dame wins 31-13.

James Madison at Liberty - JMU is looking to unseat Liberty as the Flames struggles continue with back-to-back losses on the road at Jacksonville State and Bowling Green. My guy Tyler Hurst makes some fantastic graphics for their football socials (seriously, check them out), but that won't be enough to stop the Dukes. JMU 37, Liberty 23

NC State at Duke - The Wolfpack are quietly finding ways to win close games and now travel to Duke who is coming off back-to-back losses against Illinois and Tulane. The QB battle with CJ Bailey and Darian Mensah will be really fun to watch, but I'll give the nod to the road team because of their rushing attack with Sophomore RB Hollywood Smothers averaging 6.0 yards per carry. Wolfpack win 27-24.

West Virginia at Kansas - West Virginia is coming off a major win at home against Pitt in their comeback, overtime victory. Now they go on the road against a well-rested Jayhawk team that has been sitting with their rivalry loss to Mizzou for two weeks? Yeah, give me Jaylon Daniels to ROCK CHALK over the Mountaineers for a 33-21 win.

BYU at Eastern Carolina - The Cougars travel East to take on the Pirates in a very dangerous tripping hazard game. BYU is coming off a BYE week, but their secondary will be tested by the air raid attack from Senior QB Katin Houser. He's got 973 with 5 TDs on the season and I think the Pirates steal one here. East Carolina 30, BYU 24.

Cal at San Diego State - The Calgorithm has a fabulous young QB in Freshman Jaron-Keawe Sagapolutele, who has thrown for 780 yards with 6 TDs and 1 pick while adding another TD on the ground. He has looked extremely comfortable in this offense very early into his career and places the ball where his wideouts can make plays. Golden Bears on the road 36-17.


The Perfect Parlay:

1. Illinois money-line at Indiana. As highlighted above, I think the Illini are a dangerous team and I'm not sure Indiana has the defense to stop them. Take the Illini on the road.

2. Tulane +11.5 at Ole Miss. There won't be much defense in this game, and the Green Wave know how to put up points, they cover.

3. Baylor money-line versus Arizona State. The Big XII is a wild place, there's a good chance these teams are both in the mix for a conference title bid at the end of the year. Give me the Bears today!


Thanks for reading my Week 4 Predictions and enjoy your College Football Saturday! GO BIG RED!


#CFBKnowItAll

Alex Fernando

Saturday, September 13, 2025

Week 3 Predictions

      Welcome to Week 3 of College Football! There are some great games this week with opportunities for some teams to separate themselves from the pack. I've got a list of some of the best games to watch this weekend along with my predictions, enjoy!


Week 2 Results: 14 - 7

Overall Results: 35 - 14


Week 3 Predictions:

#12 Clemson at Georgia Tech

     The rambling wreck host a very shaky looking Clemson squad for an ACC battle that has gotten more intriguing over the last two weeks. The Tigers' offense has been very slow to start the season, scoring just 10 at home against LSU in the opener and rallying from 16 points down to beat Troy 27-16 last week. Georgia Tech is always going to punch their opponent in the mouth with a rugged run game led by QB Haynes King & RB Jamal Haynes. King was out in game 2 and does have injury history, but it sounds like he's ready to go and Clemson will need to match that aggression. If Clemson wins convincingly, they can likely erase the narrative of the first few weeks, but Georgia Tech will hang around, and grind out this game. The Yellow Jackets never quite get over the hump and Clemson has 9 straight in the series and today they make it 10. Tigers win 28-20.


#6 Georgia at #15 Tennessee

     The Bulldogs travel to Rocky Top having dominated this series of late, winning by an average of 26 points over the last 8 games. The Vols have looked hot to start the season under Joey Augilar, dropping 45 on Syracuse in Week 1 and 72 against Eastern Tennessee last week. I don't personally have a lot of trust in Gunnar Stockton and the Georgia offense, but it's hard to go against history and their defense. This could be a big statement by Tennessee, but I'll take the Bulldogs to win 24-13 on Rocky Top.


Pittsburgh at West Virginia (Backyard Brawl)

     Rich Rod is back in the brawl for the first time since the iconic 2007 game where his 2nd ranked Mountaineers were upset by a very lowly Panthers team, ultimately keeping West Virginia out of the BCS National Championship. He's had 18 years to stew on that loss, and a week to sit on the loss at Ohio. Pitt has looked strong in the first few weeks and on paper have the more talented team. However, playing at home, I'll give the nod to West Virginia to bounce back and force some turnovers in this one. Mountaineers 30, Pitt 24.


#18 South Florida at #5 Miami

     The Bulls are no longer a team hiding in the shadows as they look to upset a top 5 team on the road this week. They've got 2 ranked wins already this season and their defense has been phenomenal. Miami's defense looked fast and aggressive against Notre Dame, racking up 3 sacks and 5 tackles for loss. They'll likely rush Byrum Brown, trying to force turnovers, but the question is how will Carson Beck respond to similar pressure? USF has proved me wrong twice in my predictions and I'm not going against them three times in a row. Bulls bring the storm as they beat Miami 23-17 in a game most people can't watch because this top 20 ranked matchup is on the CW. Go Bulls!


Arkansas at #17 Ole Miss

     The Hogs have looked good against lesser competition, but the Rebels provide a different challenge with a very dynamic offense. Ole Miss held off Kentucky for a 7-point victory on the road last week, and despite his 4 interceptions on the season, Sophomore QB Austin Simmons has helped the offense out of multiple scenarios with his legs. Arkansas' defense will need to account for his scrambling abilities and force Simmons to stay in the pocket. Offensively, the Razorbacks need to rely on Taylen Green to continue making good decisions with the ball. He's completing 71.9% of his passes with 10 TDs and 2 picks thus far. His rushing ability is a true weapon in this offense, and I think his legs could be the difference-maker. Not many people are paying attention to the Hogs, but they'll turn some heads with a 27-23 win.


Florida at #3 LSU

     The Gators are coming off a home loss to USF and now have to head to Death Valley for a night game. Unfortunately for them, this is only the beginning of a BRUTAL schedule as they travel to Miami and then Texas comes to the swamp next followed by another road trip to A&M. The Tigers defense looked very impressive at Clemson in Week 1, and I expect a lot of pressure on DJ Lagway. Garrett Nussmeier was sacked 7 times and Florida had 11 tackles for loss in last year's matchup, so look for LSU to give more protection up front. Tigers 26, Gators 17.


#16 Texas A&M at #8 Notre Dame

     Aggies HC Mike Elko returns to South Bend where he used to be the defensive coordinator. He brings in an A&M team that hasn't looked looked too bad against Utah State and UTSA, but neither game was a beat down by any means. The Irish are coming off a BYE following their close loss on the road at Miami, so having sat on their loss for 2 weeks should have them fired up. The Irish and the Aggies will have quite the battle on the line of scrimmage as both teams strengths rely on the offensive and defensive lines. Again, a bit opportunity for the Aggies to make folks start considering them as an SEC contender, but I don't see Notre Dame starting 0-2. Fighting' Irish 23, Aggies 17.


Vanderbilt at #11 South Carolina

     Both teams share a common opponent this year with Virginia Tech, which is rare since the season just started. Nonetheless, we have a great comparison mark for these teams, and Vanderbilt certainly looked better in their 44-20 win in Blacksburg last week. South Carolina had VT at a neutral site, and despite trying to give that game away multiple times, they did manage a 24-11 victory. If the Gamecocks want to be taken seriously as an SEC and playoff contender, this is a game they need to win, and they need to win it convincingly. LaNorris Sellers has been fine this season, but his weapons around him have not done much for big plays. On the other side, Diego Pavia lives for these moments, and if Vandy can contain Sellers defensively, South Carolina doesn't have the run stopping ability of last year. I like both of these teams to cause some upsets throughout the SEC this season, and I may very quickly regret picking against Diego Pavia, but I like the Gamecocks at home. It's a tough environment and this should be a fun game. South Carolina 33-23.


Minnesota at Cal

     A BIG 10 vs ACC matchup out on the West Coast, because that makes sense. Both teams have dominated lesser competition, each with freshman QBs who have been lighting up the stat sheet early in this season. Drake Lindsey and Jaron-Keawe Sagapolutele are both very fun players to watch, so I'm anxious to see the QB battle under the lights. One of my big theories from last year is the time difference for games like this. The kickoff is scheduled for 7:30 Pacific Time, which is 9:30 Central. Minnesota body clocks will be feeling like midnight as we move into the 3rd quarter. I don't always like my decision making at that time and I don't trust Minnesota's. Give me Cal with a late night performance out West. Golden Bears 34, Golden Gophers 28.


Houston Christian at Nebraska

     A year after Nebraska joined the BIG 10 is when Houston Christian began playing football. They don't have much in terms of experience, but freshman RB Xai'Shaun Edwards already has 200 yards and 4 TDs on the season, averaging 7.4 yards per carry. The Huskers should have a similar look to last week where the offense is facing little resistance and they're able to bottle up Edwards and the Huskies. I'll be looking for who starts to step up on the depth chart for those #2 and rotation spots. I'm still looking for an RB2 behind Emmett Johnson, but I've loved the play from Dylan Raiola thus far. Another tune up game and opportunity for a lot of players to get in as the Huskers flex with a 54-7 victory.


Quick Hit Predictions:

#13 Oklahoma at Temple - The Sooners looked strong at home against Michigan last week and now have a road test in Philly against the Owls who have looked much improved. I don't think they'll be able to stop John Mateer though, and the Sooner defense should silence them, but don't look too far ahead to Auburn next week. Boomer Sooner 38-14.

Wisconsin at #19 Alabama - I'm still unsure of what both teams have to show this year, especially with Wisconsin, but Bama at home is too much. Roll Tide 27-13.

Oregon State at #21 Texas Tech - The Beavers are dying for a win after a couple of rough starts to the season. Unfortunately, they now travel to Lubbock while the Red Raiders are gearing up for a Big XII campaign. Wreck 'Em with your guns up because I don't think Oregon State will keep pace with Texas Tech.

Ohio at #1 Ohio State - An instate battle to determine who the true university of the state of Ohio should be takes place in the horseshoe as the Buckeyes host the feisty Bobcats. Ohio showed tough defense in their win at home against West Virginia, but the Buckeyes are a different test. Both QBs will be fun to watch, but Julian Sayin and the Buckeyes win 45-10.

Appalachian State at Southern Miss - An interesting game in the Sun Belt sends App State to the new and improved Southern Miss Golden Eagles. The Mountaineers have put up a lot of yards, but not many points so far this season. I like the Golden Eagles at home, especially because Senior QB Braylon Braxton accounted for more than 250 offensive yards and 5 TDs last season against App State while playing for Marshall. Southern Miss 33, App State 21.

#20 Utah at Wyoming - The Utes renew an old Mountain West rivalry as they travel to Laramie to take on the Cowboys. Sophomore wideout Chris Durr Jr. of the Cowboys will be a player to watch as he is averaging 20.3 yards per catch with nearly 250 yards and 2 TDs on just 12 catches. Utah's defense has 3 picks on the year thus far, and I expect them to shut down the Cowboys for a 31-10 win.

Duke at Tulane - Darian Mensah returns to New Orleans to take on his former squad now as QB of the Blue Devils. Jake Retzlaf takes his place with the Green Wave and has this team looking really good. Duke seemed to crumble quickly in the second half against Illinois, so give me Tulane at home 36-31.

FAU at FIU (Shula Bowl) - Can't lose a big rivalry game at Pitbull Stadium. Give me the panthers for a thrilling 38-35 win over the Owls.

Texas State at Arizona State - The Sun Devils need a bounce back game following their loss to Mississippi State while the Bobcats are coming off a big win in the I-35 Rivalry. I think Kenny Dillingham will have his team refocused for this one at home. Sun Devils win 35-14.


Thanks for reading all of my Week 3 Predictions! Enjoy your College Football Saturday and GO BIG RED. If anyone is interested in hearing my broadcast for the Peru State Bobcats this evening, tune in with the link at 6 PM: https://urbanedgenetwork.net/?school=heart-of-america-athletic-conference.


#CFBKnowItAll

Alex Fernando

Tuesday, September 9, 2025

Week 2 Reflections

      Hello Football Fans and I hope you're all still buzzing after a fantastic weekend of games like I still am. Obviously I'm very excited about the Huskers' big win over Akron, but Week 2 was so much fun I had to get a stand-alone reflection post out. This will have my full breakdown of the Nebraska game along with all my thoughts from the games around the nation and the first two weeks of the season. There's a lot to look at so let's roll in with my GOOD, EXPECTED and BAD analysis of the Husker game.


GOOD - Matt Rhule's halftime speech. Hopefully most everyone has seen the video of Matt Rhule's halftime speech by now, but if not be sure to look it up. The video shows Rhule talking to the team in the locker room with a 33-0 lead at half time and he is fired up because he wants this team to play better. He is appalled that Akron is trying to throw the ball before halftime and not taking a knee to go into the locker room. He's furious that there are Husker players smiling and looking in the mirrors at their fits instead of getting locked in to destroy the will of the Akron players in the second half. My favorite quotes from the video were "I want them never to say our name again" and "It's about time people say 'I don't want to schedule those guys anymore'". This is a mentality that has been missing from Husker Football for a long time, and I loved every single moment of that video.

Also, a good moment after the game when TE Luke Lindenmeyer proposed to his girlfriend after the game where he scored his first career touchdown. A very fun moment and of course she said yes!


EXPECTED - Nebraska beating Akron 68-0. This is what a Nebraska-Akron score should look like. Not just because of the success in the 90s, but because of how these two programs are built. If the Huskers want to be back in the blue blood conversations, this is what blue blood teams do. The offense looked crisp, the offensive line got a push in the run game and the defense was flying to the ball. Nebraska finished with 728 total yards on offense (234 rushing, 494 passing), 31 first downs and defensively they recorded 9 tackles for loss with 2 sacks. Riley Van Poppel saved the shutout with a field goal block in the third quarter and the Huskers were able to get a lot of players time on the field. The 2nd and 3rd string players were able to play multiple drives and if Nebraska wants to compete in the BIG 10 and for a playoff spot, this is the type of performance I expect against lower level opponents.


BAD - Penalties and RB2. Obviously I'm being nit-picky when looking for "bad" things to talk about in a 68-0 victory, but the Huskers racked up 6 penalties for 71 yards throughout this game. Always an area the coaches will want to clean up. The second thing is that the RB2 spot is still wide open and as Nebraska moves into BIG 10 play with Michigan in less than 2 weeks, there needs to be a clear cut back to spell Emmett Johnson. Johnson has been phenomenal through two games this season and I have very high hopes for his numbers this year, but the workload he's currently carrying is not ideal for his consistent production in the offense. Would love to see someone break out of that RB room sooner rather than later.


     Now for my analysis on the larger landscape of college football, I thought it would be best to hand out some superlatives to certain teams that have caught my eye in the first two weeks. So here are a variety of superlatives and mini awards for teams through two weeks of football.


Ireland Curse Team - Kansas State Wildcats

Kansas State is the newest member of the Ireland Curse. Over the past few seasons, the team that loses in Ireland seems to have their season go off the rails. Starting with my Huskers who botched an 11 point lead with a second half onside kick to Northwestern, they wound up 4-8 and (thankfully) firing Scott Frost. Navy went 5-7 after losing, Florida State went 2-10 last year and now the Wildcats are spiraling after needing a miracle to beat North Dakota and falling to Army at home who just lost to FCS Tarleton State and was playing without their starting QB. Things are not looking good in Manhattan, Kansas right now.


F-Around & Find Out Team - Oregon Ducks

As highlighted in my predictions post, it was all but finalized on the scoreboard that Oregon was going to demolish Oklahoma State following Mike Gundy's comments early in the week. The Ducks not only handed Gundy his worse career loss with the Cowboysm (69-3), but may have turned up the burner on his hot seat in Stillwater. Don't talk about the Ducks if you're not ready to back things up on the field.


My Kind of Coach Team - Syracuse Orange

Other than Matt Rhule and his fiery speeches with a killer mentality, Syracuse's Fran Brown might be my next favorite coach in College Football. I really enjoyed watching his team last year, and if not for a couple of close game stumbles they would've been fighting for a playoff spot too. Regardless, watching video of Brown make his team run sprints after they completed a 4th quarter comeback to win against UConn in overtime was fantastic. He was upset with the overall effort of his team throughout the game and decided to make sure they don't carry that over to any other part of the season.


A Big Step Forward Team - Mississippi State Bulldogs

We'll need to revisit these superlatives later in the season to see how many hold true, but right now Mississippi State looks like one of the most improved teams from last season to now. The Bulldogs knocked off #12 Arizona State 24-20 with their game-winning touchdown coming on a 58 yard pass with 30 seconds left. This team could certainly cause some upsets in the SEC, especially with a healthy Blake Shapen at QB this year.


Panic Button Team - Virginia Tech Hokies

It's not often that things are in crisis mode for the Hokies, but after starting 0-2 against two quality opponents where both games were very winnable, I'm guessing there are some sirens going off in Blacksburg. Virginia Tech was up 20-10 at halftime and lost this game 44-20 despite winning the turnover battle and having significantly fewer penalties. Not good.


Best Resume Team - USF Bulls

With two ranked wins and an impressive defensive stand in The Swamp, South Florida has quickly turned heads as one of the nation's favorites to get the G5 bid to the playoffs. There's still a long road for this team which includes a road trip to Miami this weekend and plenty of teams in the American looking for an upset, but USF has the talent to make it all the way to the playoffs. This is a fun team to watch, especially on defense.


Sleeper Teams

Again, its early in the season, but if you see any of these teams on the schedule, you better bring your A game. These are sleepers for a wide range of Playoff Contenders to Playoff Destroyers.

Illinois, USC, Washington, Utah, Baylor, Oklahoma, Missouri, Boston College, Virginia BYU, & UNLV.


Fun G5 Teams

Not everyone enjoys watching G5 teams every Saturday, but when mid-week Maction comes along or you just want to see what other games are going, keep an eye out for these teams.

Ohio, Toledo, Fresno State, Texas State, Tulane, South Alabama & Hawaii.


Thanks for reading my Week 2 Reflections and be ready for Week 3 Predictions later this week with another great slate of College Football waiting for us this weekend. GO BIG RED!


#CFBKnowItAll

Alex Fernando

Saturday, September 6, 2025

Week 2 Predictions

      After a long offseason the 5-day football slate of Week 1 did not disappoint. We had upsets, top 10 clashes and came out of the weekend with our eyes on how many teams will follow up their various Week 1 performances. This post will highlight my thoughts on the Huskers win against Cincy along with some Week 2 predictions and bets to make this weekend if you want to follow my "Perfect Parlay". Enjoy this very full post of CFB reflections and picks, and enjoy your Week 2 games.


     Nebraska opened up their season in Arrowhead against the Bearcats of Cincinnati. With many Chief players in attendance, along with a full stadium of Husker fans, Nebraska defeated Cincy 20-17. Blackshirt Malcom Hartzog Jr. sealed the victory with a fantastic interception in the endzone just moments after he was called for a holding penalty. I was able to attend the game with my friend Kody as we were down in KC for work with the University. It was a fantastic atmosphere and perfect night for football. I've got my GOOD, EXPECTED and BAD breakdown below for the game.


GOOD: Emmett Johnson and Kyle Cunanan. The Husker RB led the way with 108 yards on 25 carries, adding another 27 yards on the ground with 7 catches. While Johnson didn't score last week, he was clearly the #1 workhorse for the Husker offense. There isn't much for depth at the RB position for the Huskers, so I do have concern of wear and tear on Johnson over the season with this kind of workload, but I do love that he's a focal point of the offense. Hopefully, he'll continue to lead this offense down the field, and provide more kicking opportunities for Kyle Cunanan. I'm not declaring the special teams woes completely gone for Nebraska, but when you open your career as a Husker with a 52 yard field goal, that's an impressive statement. Cunanan, a Sophomore transfer from Charlotte, went 2/2 on both FGs and extra points. I was shocked when he trotted out for that first field goal, but what a great kick! Anxious to see how he kicks throughout the season.


EXPECTED: Husker Wideouts sharing the love & Brendan Sorsby's legs. Starting with the opposing QB, Sorsby did not have a great day passing, but 96 yards and 2 TDs on the ground, he was extremely difficult to stop for the Huskers. He's a veteran QB and dual-threat players have always been an extra headache for the Blackshirts. Sorsby will be a dangerous QB throughout Big XII play this season. Now over to the Huskers, I am a big fan of this wide receiver room and how many different weapons Raiola has to throw to. Nebraska finished with 9 different players catching a pass from Raiola, who finished with 243 yards and 2 TDs. Both Nyziah Hunter and Dane Key caught 6 passes followed closely by Luke Lindenmyer and Jacory Barney Jr. with 5 catches each. This offense can certainly be something special with so many options for the ball to be given to.


BAD: Line of scrimmage push. While Emmitt Johnson did top 100 yards, the Husker offensive line was shaky while the defensive line looked to be on skates for most of the game. Cincy recorded 3 sacks and 6 tackles for loss while holding Nebraska to just 3.1 yards per carry. The Bearcats averaged 6.7 yards per carry with more than 200 on the ground. The Blackshirts did not record a sack and only had 2 tackles for loss. There were multiple plays where the front 7 of Nebraska was getting moved 5-7 yards by the Cincy Oline. I'm certainly nervous for the Huskers' push on both sides of the line of scrimmage throughout the season.


Week 1 Results: 17 - 6

Overall Results: 21 - 7


Week 2 Predictions:

#11 Illinois at Duke

     The Fighting Illini are very quietly working their way to the top 10 and have an opportunity to put on a show with a P4 road game in Duke. The Blue Devils certainly aren't a football blue blood like their basketball squad, but Manny Diaz always has a tough defense. Combining that with transfer QB Darian Mensah builds a lot of momentum, especially when he accounted for nearly 400 yards and 3 TDs against Elon in the opener. The Blue Devils should hang around for a bit, but the experience of Illinois will win out. Luke Altmeyer is very decisive and does well working through his reads, expect a big game from him. I think Bret Bielema is looking to make a statement in this game. Illinois 35, Duke 17.


Iowa at #16 Iowa State (Battle for the Cy-Hawk Trophy)

     The annual battle for the Cy-Hawk trophy takes place in Ames this year, where the Hawkeyes have dominated the series. Iowa State has not won this game on their home field since 2011. Rocco Becht looks to change that narrative as the veteran QB has already racked up 5 TDs and 461 yards through the air. Iowa still doesn't really understand the concept of a forward pass as Jackrabbit transfer Mark Gronowski completed just 8/15 for 44 yards and 1 TD in their week 1 win against Albany. As usual, Iowa will run the ball and setup a brick wall on defense. Iowa State always seems to lose their head in this game, but I think the veteran presence of Rocco Becht will help this team prevail. Cyclones win back-to-back Cy-Hawk Trophies and the first on their home turf in 14 years. Iowa State 23, Iowa 17.


Baylor at #17 SMU

     Despite a home-opening loss to Auburn, I'm still buying Baylor stock in 2025. This team made some week 1 mistakes that cost them the game, but still racked up more than 400 yards through the air with Sawyer Robertson accounting for 3 TDs. The Ponies host their former Southwest Conference Rival ranked #17 in the nation, but this isn't the same defense from a year ago. Heisman dark horse Kevin Jennings gives me reason to believe they will make this game interesting, but don't be surprised to see this Baylor squad put up some points. Also, be sure to watch #11 on the Bears' defense, linebacker Keaton Thomas. The Junior is in his second season with Baylor after playing JUCO at Northeast Mississippi CC and simply racked up over 100 tackles in his first year of Division 1 football. He had 15 tackles against Auburn to open the season and is one of the best defenders in the nation. He will make some plays today and the Bears Sic 'Em for a 34-24 road win.


UConn at Syracuse

     UConn at Syracuse an old Big East basketball rivalry takes place on the gridiron with tow offenses that feature some dynamic, relatively unknown players. Cam Edwards is a great RB with the Huskies and Yasin Willis for Syracuse looks to build on his 3 TD opener as the featured back for the Orange. Former Notre Dame QB, Steve Angeli looked calm against Tennessee and I think he’ll be the difference-maker in a 31-21 victory for the Orange.


Oklahoma State at #6 Oregon

     One of my most anticipated games to watch in the early slate is Oklahoma State at Oregon. Not just because of the P4 matchup, but more so because of the press conference exchanges between Mike Gundy and Dan Lanning. Gundy made comments about the money Oregon spends to be good at football while Lanning responded by explaining some programs (i.e. Oklahoma State) don't care enough to spend money. The Ducks are a top team yet again and despite the lack of media attention on them, they're going to flex early and often in this game on why they're still one of the best teams. Dan Lanning loves nothing more than to make his point known on the scoreboard and Oklahoma State does not have the firepower to keep pace in this game. Oregon 45, Oklahoma State 10.


#20 Ole Miss at Kentucky

     A home loss to a very not good Kentucky is the primary reason Ole Miss was kept out of the playoffs last season. That ended up being the only SEC win for the Wildcats in 2024, and now they host a revamped rebels team looking to build chemistry quickly. Sophomore QB Austin Simmons is now running Lane Kiffin's offense, and despite 2 picks in his starting debut, he did throw for 341 yards with 3 TDs. Mike Stoops always seems to have an answer for Kiffin, but Kentucky's talent is lacking to keep pace with the Rebel offense. Hotty Toddy as Ole Miss wins 30-17.


Kansas at Missouri (Border War)

     A classic rivalry taken away by conference realignment is set to restart as Kansas visits Missouri for the Border War. These former Big XII and Big 8 foes have nothing but hate for each other, and I'm very glad to see this game back on a college football Saturday slate. The Tigers brought in Penn State transfer Beau Pribula to lead the offense and he looked very comfortable completing 23/28 for 283 yards and 2 TDs in their opener against Central Arkansas. His counterpart for KU is no scrub though, Jaylon Daniels is back for his final campaign as a Jayhawk and so far this season looks stellar. When healthy, Daniels is one of the most dynamic QBs in the nation, accounting for nearly 9,000 yards and 71 TDs throughout his career thus far. Daniels is joined in the backfield by Senior RB Daniel Hishaw Jr., who has patiently waited for his turn in the starting role. I like what KU brings to the table offensively here and I'm not sure Missouri is quite ready for the dual threat ability of Jaylon Daniels. ROCK CHALK as the Jayhawks win the Boarder War 38-24.


Texas State at UTSA (I-35 Rivalry)

     These two teams are separated by just 50 miles of interstate and heavily recruit the same areas of Texas. In-state rivalry games like these are always exciting because many of the players know each other, played together or even against each other in high school. The Bobcats looked good in their opener, dropping 52 on Eastern Michigan, but my heart always has a soft spot for the Roadrunners. They also hung around with Texas A&M to make the Aggies sweat a bit, so MEEP MEEP at home as UTSA wins the I-35 Rivalry 37-27.


South Florida at #13 Florida

     The Bulls surprised everyone (especially myself) by completely dismantling the Broncos of Boise State. They now travel to the Swamp for an in-state tussle with the Gators. Byrum Brown is the key points with this team, but the true question is how will this Bulls defense handle DJ Lagway? South Florida recorded 1 sack with 5 tackles for loss against the Broncos, but the stat that truly jumps out to me is 92 total tackles with only 36 solo tackles. This translates to a lot of defenders flying to the ball. With roughly 2/3 of their team tackles involving multiple defenders, this defense will need to mimic those stats to beat Florida. The Gators have a good amount of weapons around DJ Lagway, but his legs will be the biggest factor, because I expect the Bulls to bring pressure. I need to see a bit more before I start picking the full upset, but expect South Florida to keep this one closer than the spread suggests. Gators 37, Bulls 28.


Tulane at South Alabama

     Jake Retzlaff accounted for over 250 and 2 TDs (1 rushing & 1 passing) in his debut with the Green Wave, as they look to make their case to be the G5 representation in the playoffs this season. South Alabama is a dangerous team out of the Sunbelt especially with the QB-RB duo Bishop Davenport and Kentrel Bullock. Bullock averages 5.5 yards per carry for his career thus far, so Tulane will need to shut down the run quickly. Green Wave win 28-17.


#12 Arizona State at Mississippi State

     The Sun Devils beat the Bulldogs 30-23 in Tempe last year, led by more than 300 yards of offense from Cam Skattebo. Arizona State went on to the playoffs while Mississippi State won 2 games all season. You'd think this year's game already has the final score written, but don't sleep on the Bulldogs too much. Veteran QB Blake Shapen is back from injury and has better weapons to throw to out on the edge. I think Arizona State still takes this one, but Mississippi State is a much better team than last season and will make things competitive. Sun Devils win 31-27.


#15 Michigan at #18 Oklahoma

     Two of the premiere programs in college football meet on the gridiron for just the second time in history. Oklahoma won the only meeting back in 1975, but apart from that game there is some shared history with these programs. Michigan Head Coach Sherrone Moore played offensive line for the Sooners, so a homecoming for him as he will lead the Wolverines against his alma mater. Michigan is featuring the #1 overall recruit in Bryce Underwood at Quarterback while the Sooners brought in Washington State Transfer John Mateer who followed his Offensive Coordinator Ben Arbuckle to Norman. Both QBs are dynamic playmakers, so I will direct your attention to the defensive side of the ball. Both squads were a top 20 defense in 2024 and bring back a lot of experience. Whichever group can get pressure and force turnovers early should be in line to win. Michigan is a very talented team, but a freshman QB on the road in a tough environment is a lot to ask, so give me Oklahoma. Boomer Sooner as their defense leads them to a 27-21 victory.


Akron at Nebraska

     The last time Nebraska hosted Akron dark storm clouds formed over Lincoln as lightening in rain ended up canceling the game and the debut of Scott Frost as the Head Coach. It seems as though those clouds were a very ominous sign of what was to come over the next half decade, but the sun is shining today in Lincoln as Matt Rhule embarks on his third season at Memorial Stadium. The Huskers have a new turf with red end zones and a night game to open up September just feels right. The Zips went scoreless at home against Wyoming last week losing 10-0. This is the perfect game for Nebraska to get their offense in gear. Everyone should touch the ball, Dylan should have plenty of time to go through reads and make decisions and Emmett Johnson should run wild while hopefully yielding some carries to his backups to get them developed. I expect to see a lot more creativity from the offense and Nebraska will put on more than just a light show tonight. Huskers 45, Zips 7. 


Quick Hit Predictions:

Virginia at NC State - Virginia looked very strong in their opener against Coastal Carolina and transfer QB Chandler Morris led the way with over 300 yards of offense. NC State is always tough at home, but I think the Cavaliers win 26-23 in what is counted as a non-conference game.

Fresno State at Oregon State - The Bulldogs bounced back from their beat down in Kansas by pummeling Georgia Southern. Oregon State couldn't keep pace with Cal, but Malik Murphy had some flashes in his debut with the offense. Beavers in a tight one 21-17.

Army at Kansas State - Both the Black Knights and Kansas State need a win in this game to get things back on track. Army is coming off a home lost to Tarleton State in double overtime while Kansas State needed a last minute touchdown to avoid a loss to North Dakota. I trust the talent of K-State and expect them to shake off the rust from the first two weeks, but they need to stop the run. Wildcats win 33-14.

Houston at Rice - The Cougars have dominated this cross-town rivalry winning 34 of the 46 meetings all time. The Owls did take the 2023 game at their stadium 43-41, but now have to deal with ex-Aggie QB Connor Weigman as he makes his second start for Houston. He threw for 3 TDs in their opener and despite Rice's upset win over UL Monroe, I think the Cougars take this one. Houston 23, Rice 10

West Virginia at Ohio - The reigning MAC Champions are hosting a Big XII team on their home turf. Parker Navarro looks to carve up the Mountaineers defense as he's coming off a game where he led the team in both rushing an passing with 332 yards and 4 total TDs. I think the Bobcats pull one over on Rich Rod and win 27-21.

Boston College at Michigan State - Both the Spartans and the Eagles handled their business against lesser teams in week 1, but a P4 matchup in week 2 will certainly give us more insight to both of these programs. Alabama Transfer Dylan Lonergan and Aiden Chiles will lead both offensive units, so my eyes will be on the defensive schemes and how they bring pressure to these QBs. I'll roll with the BIG 10 on this one, Michigan State 20, Boston College 17

Vanderbilt at Virginia Tech - A night game in Lane Stadium is always a tough atmosphere to play in, but Vandy QB Diego Pavia doesn't seem to get phased by much. The Commodores won this game at home last year and I'm still waiting for VT to prove they are going to take over these games and win. Until then, Anchor Down and Vandy wins 23-20.

UCLA at UNLV - The Bruins were demolished at home by Utah in the opener, with Nico Iamaleava looking shaky at best. He did account for over 200 yards of offense, but completed just 50% of his passes with 1 TD and 1 pick. The Rebels bounced back after an opening week scare to Idaho State and handled Sam Houston State on the road 38-21. This should be a game where UCLA out talents UNLV, but I think there's a lot of pieces that still don't fit with the Bruins offense. I'll take the Rebels at home. UNLV 30, UCLA 24.


The Perfect Parlay:

1. Oregon - 27.5 over Oklahoma State. As mentioned above, Dan Lanning is not one to lay off the gas, especially when he has a point to make. With Mike Gundy chirping at his program's payroll earlier this week, I'm guessing Oregon will (gladly) put their money where their mouth is and light up the score board. Bet the cover and bet the over because there will be a lot of points from the Ducks in this game.

2. Illinois -2.5 over Duke. The Blue Devils are 6-1 at home with Manny Diaz at the helm, but I think Illinois is one of the teams you'd hate to have on your schedule in 2025. Darian Mensah should keep things close for a while, but look for the Illini defense to get pressure on him and force turnovers. I've got Illinois wining by 2 scores, not just 3 points. 

3. USC -29.5 over Georgia Southern. Clay Helton makes his return to the Coliseum as his Eagles take on the Trojans he once led. USC dropped 73 against new FBS member Missouri State last week while the Eagles were smashed 42-14 by Fresno State. Georgia Southern has spend the week in California between the two games, but I think Jayden Maiava and the USC offense are going to rack up similar numbers. Trojans cover the 30 at home.





Thanks for reading my Week 2 Predictions and reflection of last week's Husker game. Enjoy your College Football Saturday and GO BIG RED!


#CFBKnowItAll

Alex Fernando