Hello Football Fans and welcome to Week 10! I've decided that until the Huskers win another game, I will just do an abbreviated reflection at the beginning of my predictions post. Basically that means you'll have to wait until next season to read a full Husker reflection post, but it's pretty clear where the issues of this team are. So this post will include a reflection from the Purdue game along with my predictions for all the interesting games to watch this weekend. Enjoy!
As predicted by yours truly, the Huskers refused to bring their heads to the home game against the Boilermakers last week, and lost 28-23 at home. Poor decision making, play calling and just overall energy led to yet another pathetic performance on the field. I've got my GOOD, EXPECTED and BAD categories below.
GOOD - Chase Contreraz. I don't know why it took 9 weeks to switch out kickers, but Chase Contreraz stepped in and hit his 33 yard field goal and extra points just like he should despite all eyes on him. There's a lot of pressure with kicker at Nebraska these days, kudos to Chase.
EXPECTED - Defensive downfall. It was only a matter of time before the strain of carrying the team in the first half of the season dug into the defense and the Blackshirts began to fall off. Signs of the grind showed in Minneapolis, but with the Boilermakers holding the ball for nearly two-thirds of the game, it was inevitable. That's more on fault from the offense, but the defense is beginning to waiver.
BAD - Adrian Martinez and the Husker offense. This was easily Adrian's worst performance of the year, and possibly his career. He looked like a completely different quarterback on Saturday, and unfortunately for all the fans in red at Memorial Stadium and beyond, it was not a quarterback who knew what he was doing. Poor offensive line play and predictable play calling didn't help the situation, but Martinez threw 4 interceptions and completed less than half of his passes. There was no run game developed throughout the game and Frost still refuses to use his best weapon on the field, Martinez's legs. This offense has three tough defenses to face the rest of this season and it will not go well.
Now onto the Week 10 predictions!
Week 9 Record: 13 - 5
Overall Record: 97 - 53
Army vs. Air Force (Battle for the Commander in Chief Trophy)
The Black Knights and Falcons are set to meet down in Arlington, TX where the Rangers play. Army had a rough October, suffering three straight losses and all in close games. The Falcons also lost a close one recently, falling 20-14 to San Diego State a couple weeks ago. Both teams had a BYE week leading into this, so the extra rest and preparation should make for a good game. It's going to be all ground and pound in this one as both offenses run the triple option and average 400 (Army) and 395 (Air Force) yards per game on the ground. This one should be tight, but I like Army to steal one and bounce back from their three game skid. Army beats Air Force 35-30.
#9 Wake Forrest at North Carolina
The Demon Deacons have reached their highest ranking in school history with #9 in the opening rankings of the College Football Playoffs. All that really means is they are in prime position to get stuck in the tar as they take on North Carolina in Chapel Hill. I would expect a lot of points on the board in this one as neither team has played much defense yet this year. The QB battle will be fun to watch though, and the Sams square off to see who's the best with the name in the ACC. Sam Hartman for the Demon Deacons has been on fire this season, throwing for nearly 2,500 yards with 22 TDs and just 3 picks so far. Sam Howell has struggled a bit with a young offensive line and weapons around him, but he's still racked up nearly 2,200 yards with 19 TDs. Wake has a very difficult schedule remaining, but they've proven they can find the edge in close games, and I think they get it done. Sam Hartman make some very good decisions with the ball and the Demon Deacons remain undefeated with a 44-38 victory.
#3 Michigan State at Purdue
Sparty is in with the first College Football Playoff rankings of the season, but today they travel to West Lafayette where ranked teams go to die. That scary train whistle off in the distance can mess with your head, so Peyton Thorne and company will need to be ready, as Purdue already has one big upset on the season after knocking off Iowa. This is likely do be a defensive game, as Michigan State gives up just an average of 20.5 points per game while Purdue gives up just 17.1. Both teams have some talent on offense. Purdue will look to the air and wants to get the ball to star wideout David Bell as much as possible. Sparty is going to hand off the rock to Kenneth Walker III. The Junior sensation averages nearly 7 yards per carry and has 14 TDs so far this season. He's given headaches to numerous defenses and often times runs over defenders. The Boilermakers have a few different QBs they could play, but it seems like Aiden O'Connell is starting to take the lead of the team. This is likely to be an interesting game, but I think the ground game being established early gives Michigan State the edge. I want to say BoilerUp, but I think Sparty takes this one 31-24.
Tulsa at #6 Cincy
Despite the College Football Playoff Committee not giving Cincy any respect, the crew from College Gameday is headed to the Queen City to highlight the matchup between Tulsa and Cincinnati. Statistically, there's not much to this game, the Bearcats are better in all ares. The have the 6th ranked total defense in the nation and one of the best (and most underrated) QBs in Desmond Ridder. He's led this team for the past few years and has done nothing but impress. This season he's accounted for 21 total TDs and could be set up for a Hesiman-caliber performance today. Cincy needs more statement wins to have the colleges that would. Bearcats win 38-10.
#17 Mississippi State at Arkansas
The Razorbacks have quickly fallen out of the rankings while the Bulldogs have quickly jumped in after knocking off Kentucky last week. On paper, these teams look to be evened out well. They do have their strengths though. Arkansas loves to run the ball, averaging 249 yards per contest, but they'll be up against the 2nd best run defense in the nation. This game will come down to the QB play, and both KJ Jefferson and Will Rogers have had both good games and bad. Rogers is on a bit of a hot streak after throwing for nearly 350 yards last week, so I'm giving the edge to the Bulldogs. This should be a fun one to watch! Mississippi State 36, Arkansas 31.
#11 Oklahoma State at West Virginia
Despite the head to head win, Oklahoma State has Baylor right on their heels in the race for the Big XII Championship game. West Virginia has bounced back after some tough losses earlier in the season and knocked off Iowa State last week. This is a very important game for the Pokes to not overlook as Morgantown is not always an easy place to win. The Mountaineers have some playmakers on offense, and one person who will get the ball a lot today is running back Leddie Brown. Brown averages 4.6 yards per carry and has 11 TDs on the season thus far. He'll be up against a tough Oklahoma State run defense, but if he can find some lanes, his speed will open up the WVU offense. As usual, Oklahoma State finds themselves in a game that's difficult to pick and I almost always pick wrong with them. However, it's my roommate Nate's birthday and his family has OSU ties, so Pokes win this one 30-24.
#13 Auburn at #14 Texas A&M
Our only ranked versus ranked matchup of the week takes place in College Station as the Tigers look to get a big win on the road and keep pace with Alabama in the SEC West. A&M isn't quite out of the race due to their head to head win over the Tide, but they will need this win and some help if they're to make it to the SEC Championship. This should be a very fun game to watch as both teams have solid defense and offensively have talent that can certainly light up the scoreboard when needed. Bo Nix has been playing very well at QB for the Tigers this season, throwing for 1,764 yards with 9 TDs and just 2 picks. He's also added another 4 TDs on the ground, so A&M will certainly have to watch him outside of the pocket in the red zone. The Aggies will look to cause a lot of havoc in the backfield as their d-line is one of the nation's best. They have 24 sacks on the season so far as a defense, and the offensive line for Auburn has given up just 9, so this will be a tough battle. Could be a close one, but I like Auburn to edge things out. I think the talent and experience Bo Nix has will lead them to victory. Tigers 34, Aggies 28.
Boise State at #23 Fresno State
I'm telling y'all, there's some good games in the Mountain West that have been going on this season. This personally has been one of my favorite conferences to watch this year as there are so many teams fighting for that top spot in the conference. Boise is having an uncharacteristically tough season at 4-4, but they've shown they can hang with top teams both winning and losing some close games. Fresno State however is on a roll, and they've recently beaten two of the best teams in the conference on back-to-back weeks. Boise will put up a fight on the road, but Fresno at home will be too much. Bulldogs beat the Broncos 33-27.
UTSA at UTEP
The Roadrunners and Miners are set to do battle late Saturday night and you may want to tune into this one. This is a battle for the top spot in the West Division of Conference USA, and the Roadrunners are looking to remain unbeaten and get one of those fancy little numbers by their name. They have a hyper-charged offense, scoring nearly 40 points per game, led by Senior QB Frank Harris. Harris has nearly 1,800 yards through the air on the season with 16 TDs and just 3 picks. His dual-threat ability gives teams headaches and helps to balance out UTSA's offense, which averages almost 450 yards per game. UTEP will have their hands full in this one. They have a tough defense, but often fail to put high point totals on the board. If they can slow UTSA down to their pace, they can pull of the upset, but I've got the Roadrunners running away with this one 40-21.
#5 Ohio State at Nebraska
I'm going to be honest, this one won't go well today. It rarely does when the Buckeyes visit Memorial Stadium, but the wheels seem to be falling off for the Huskers as this season moves toward the end and I'm not confident these players and coaches are remotely ready for what Ohio State brings to the table. Their defense has been completely dominant since losing to Oregon, and each week that passes just gives more chemistry and experience to Freshman QB CJ Stroud. He has a list of NFL talent around him including Garrett Wilson, Jaxson Smith-Njigba and the famed Chris Olave. All of these receivers average at least 16 yards per catch. Garrett Wilson will not be playing though, so this does help the Huskers out a bit. Despite the Blackshirt's confidence and strong performances this season, Ohio State is at another level, they will have a field day against the Husker secondary. Offensively, Nebraska needs to to establish the run, get the ball to their playmakers and not turn it over. Unfortunately, that's competent football and we all know how this season has gone. I'm hoping the performance by Adrian kicks up a few notches from last week, but if he doesn't run and the Buckeyes get pressure on him early and often, this one will be over quick. I'm hoping we break 20, but I don't think Nebraska is keeping this game within the 14.5 spread. Buckeyes roll 45-20.
Quick Hit Predictions:
Texas at Iowa State - Both teams are in need of a pick me up, but the Longhorns are on a 3 game losing skid and there's few things that would ease my Husker pain than Iowa State extending that to 4 games. Cyclones win it with defense at home by slowing down Bijan Robinson, 30-21.
Liberty at Ole Miss - Hugh Freeze returns to the grove as Liberty takes on Ole Miss. That's really the only headline for this game. There will be points galore with these offenses, but Matt Corral and the Rebels light it up 52-24.
LSU at #2 Alabama - The Tide are going to make a statement and their opponent in this one will not be able to keep pace. Alabama 38, LSU 17.
San Jose State at Nevada - The Spartans are looking to fight in the West division of the Mountain West Conference, but Nevada should have few problems against a pass defense that ranks 48th. Carson Strong lights it up and wins it 35-21 for the Wolfpack.
USC at Arizona State - The Trojans are looking to spoil the Sun Devils season more while they are looking to keep pace with Utah in the South. ASU's offense has been very underwhelming this year, but I think their defense holds on for them. Forks up as they win 28-17.
Thanks for reading my gameday predictions and I hope you all have a fabulous Saturday. GO BIG RED!
#CFBKnowItAll
Alex Fernando