We've reached the last slate of bowl games for the 2022 College Football Season and our 2023 games will kick off on Monday. There are some great matchups in these final games along with our College Football Semifinal games to determine who will play for the national championship. I've got all the keys to victory laid out below with my predictions so read on, enjoy some football and Happy New Year!
Bowl Record: 17 - 11
Duke's Mayo Bowl
Maryland vs #23 NC State
The Terps square off against an old ACC foe as they take on the Wolfpack from NC State. Maryland has won most of their games with a high-powered offense led by Junior QB Taulia Tagovailoa. He's thrown for just under 2,800 yards this year with an impressive 17:6 TD to INT ratio. He's proven to be especially dangerous on third downs, where he's helping the Terps convert on 41% of them. A secret weapon to watch with Maryland is Freshman RB Roman Hemby. With just 76 more yards on the ground he'll crack 1,000 yards to go with his 10 TDs. Look for him to provide balance against a tough NC State defense. The Wolfpack 20th in the nation in total defense, so they will be a tough squad to move the ball on. They hold games close and will look to shut down Hemby early forcing Tagovailoa to win it with his arm. This should be an interesting one to watch with best on best from the Maryland offense and NC State defense, but I'm going with the Terps. I think they get Hemby going and he's the X-factor. Maryland 28, NC State 26.
Tony the Tiger Sun Bowl
Pittsburgh vs #18 UCLA
The Panthers and Bruins meet for the first time since 1972 in the Sun Bowl in El Paso, Texas. We've got a couple of high-powered rushing attacks to break down in this one. Pitt is led by Junior RB Israel Abanikanda who ranks first in the nation with 20 rushing TDs. He's gained nearly 1,500 yards on the ground and averages 6 yards per carry. On the Bruins sideline, they have a two-headed rushing monster with RB Zach Charbonnet and QB Dorian Thompson-Robinson. DTR has been one of my favorite players to watch in College Football over the last few years, and this season did not disappoint. In addition to his near 3,000 yards passing and 25 TDs in the air, he's accounted for 631 yards and 11 more TDs on the ground. Complimenting Charbonnet's 1,359 yards and 14 rushing TDs, the option game with these two in the backfield is deadly. Defensively, Pitt ranks 8th in the country against the run, so they are typically up for the task. However, I think DTR has a big day in his last game as a Bruin and UCLA wins the Sun Bowl 31-28.
TaxSlayer Gator Bowl
#21 Notre Dame vs #19 South Carolina
Earlier in the season, this would not have been a great matchup to see on the slate of games. However, both teams have really come into their own as the year progressed and with a few big victories, they find themselves squaring off in Jacksonville. South Carolina will be without their offensive coordinator as he is now the Huskers' OC, but after a combined 94 points in the last two games of the season this unit is one to watch. QB Spencer Rattler threw for 798 yards in those two games and will be looking to torch an Irish secondary that struggled against Heisman winner Caleb Williams in their final game. However, Notre Dame does a great job at causing pressure on opposing QBs, racking up 35 sacks this season. They'll look to keep Rattler rattled throughout the night as Drew Pyne and the offense pound the rock and set up their play action passing attack. Both teams will be without some star talent due to the Transfer Portal and the Draft. The Gamecocks could start off hot and build a lead, which is not a great situation for Notre Dame, but if the Irish can get in an early punch or two this one should be in hand. Notre Dame wins it 30-17.
Barstool Sports Arizona Bowl
Ohio vs Wyoming
After disappointing endings to their respective seasons, the Bobcats and Cowboys square off in the desert to see who can keep their bowl win streak alive. Both squads are riding a 3-game win streak in bowls and have a chance to finish their season with a much needed positive note. Star QB for Ohio, Kurtis Rourke is out for the rest of the year with an injury, so their potent offense could be a bit lackluster like in the MAC Championship. Wyoming doesn't have a great offense by any means, and with Junior RB Titus Swen leaving for the NFL draft, points could be hard to come by in this game. In a game like this turnovers make the difference and Ohio ranks 5th in the nation with a +12 turnover margin. I'll give my nod to the Bobcats as they knock off the Cowboys 23-14.
Capital One Orange Bowl
#6 Tennessee vs #7 Clemson
A true Orange Bowl matchup as the Vols and Tigers meet in a battle of which team has the best color Orange. Clemson finds themselves with a true freshman starting at QB after benching DJ Uiagalelei who has since transferred to Oregon State. The Vols are in a similar situation as Joe Milton III will be starting in place of the injured Hendon Hooker, but Milton does have experience under his belt with a couple starts last year and starting against Vanderbilt to end the season. Unfortunately for the Vols, star wideout Jalin Hyatt has opted out along with WR Cedric Tillman who has the fourth most receiving yards on the team this year. Clemson's offense has been up and down all year, but the ground game with Will Shipley has never been an issue. Combined with their pass rush that's totaled 40 sacks on the year, this game should fall their way. I've been on the Rocky Top train all year, but experience for Clemson and lack of star power for Tennessee should be the difference makers in this one. Tigers win the orange vs orange Orange Bowl 28-20.
Allstate Sugar Bowl
#5 Alabama vs #9 Kansas State
The Tide will be at full force in this one as Bryce Young, Will Anderson and many other star players have decided to play in this game. This is a good thing for Bama because despite consistently being overlooked the K-State Powercats are the real deal in 2022. Their defense is absolutely stifling to opposing offenses, giving up just 20.1 points per game. The Wildcats are also extremely disciplined, averaging just 4 penalties per game and are sitting with a +14 turnover margin, having only lost 10 all season. This year's Bama squad has not played like a typical Nick Saban unit. They rank 126th in the nation with an average of 8 penalties per game and over 70 yards given up by them. They will need to play sound football in order to stay on pace in this game. However, talent does factor in to this as well. While Deuce Vaughn will get his for K-State, Bryce Young and Jahmyr Gibbs will give headaches to the Wildcats. Both Vaughn and Gibbs are two of the most difficult backs in the nation to tackle in space, so we should get a pretty good show in this one. I'd love to see the upset like they did on TCU, but it's hard not to say Roll Tide in this one. Bama wins a good one in New Orleans 34-28 in the Sugar Bowl.
TransPerfect Music City Bowl
Iowa vs Kentucky
It's odd at first when you look at this game and see just a 2.5 point spread and a split decision on who will win, but with the horrendous offense of the Hawkeyes and the big question mark of what Wildcat team will show up, it actually makes a lot of sense. Iowa still ranks 2nd to last in the nation with total offense, but that Hawkeye defense is always going to keep them in the game. Honestly, I wouldn't expect a lot of points in this game as neither team has much of an idea who will even be calling plays for them. Spencer Petras is still injured and Alex Padilla has transferred for Iowa while Will Levis has opted out for the Wildcats. Kentucky has a solid defense as well so neither offense is likely to do much. Unfortunately this is where I tend to pick Iowa because despite both my hatred for them and their offensive incompetencies, this team doesn't make many mistakes and lets opponents beat themselves. Kentucky does that often, especially with a -1 turnover margin on the season. I'll give this one to Iowa but I don't think it will be pretty. Hawkeyes 17, Wildcats 13.
VRBO Fiesta Bowl (CFB Semifinal)
#3 TCU vs #2 Michigan
I'm very excited as I will actually be in attendance for this game and be cheering on the Frogs! As my vacation in Phoenix draws to an end, I saw no reason not to attend my first CFB Playoff game and see if TCU can pull of the upset. Michigan is looking for redemption after falling in this stage to Georgia in the Orange Bowl a year ago. TCU is the team that wouldn't die as they ran the table with multiple close games in the Big XII but fell inches short of a championship against K-State the second time. The Frogs have a dynamic offense led by one of the most likable guys in football, QB Max Duggan. He's proven to be an absolute warrior, not only on the field, but off the field, recovering from heart surgery last summer and taking back his starting job after an early season injury to TCU QB Chandler Morris. His favorite target is my X-Factor of the game, 6'4 WR Quentin Johnston. He's one of the biggest threats to this Michigan defense as TCU uses his size to body up corners and safeties over the middle. Combined with Duggan's scramble abilities, the Wolverines needs to contain both these playmakers as much as possible. They don't rank third overall in defense for nothing though. For the Maize and Blue offensively, it's all about the ground game. Michigan did lose star RB Blake Corum to a knee injury at the end of the year, but with how dominant their offensive line is, Sophomore Donovan Edwards should have plenty of room to work. TCU will need to slow down the ground game early and force McCarthy to beat them with his arm. This can still be done as he's thrown for nearly 2,400 yards with 20 TDs and just 3 picks this season, but the Wolverines thrive off staying ahead of the chains and controlling the pace of the game. With how fast the TCU offense plays, their defense needs to force Michigan into uncomfortable situations. This is a tough game to predict but since I'll be in attendance I'm going with the Frogs. Max Duggan could've won the game in the Big XII Championship if they didn't take the ball out of his hands with those goal line play calls, and I don't think Sonny Dykes will make that mistake twice. Horned Frogs pull the upset as they defeat the Wolverines 30-27 in the CFB Semifinal.
Chick-Fil-A Peach Bowl (CFB Semifinal)
#4 Ohio State vs #1 Georgia
The Bulldogs effectively get a home game playing this one in Atlanta, so Ohio State has a lot to overcome before this one even kicks off. They've been given a second shot by the CFB Playoff Committee, but their offense needs to step it up if they're going to take advantage of this one. Michigan effectively dismantled the Buckeyes' high-powered scoring machine in their meeting, so this will be interesting to see how they fare against the formidable Georgia defense. The Dawgs rank first against the run, giving up just 77 yards per game on average. Ohio State's biggest issues against Michigan started due to a lack of a run game. It's struggled all year, so they will need a big night on the ground if they want to win this one. Defensively, they should match up well with Georgia and will look to apply lots of extra pressure to Stetson Bennett. The Bulldog offense is led very well by the former walk-on, and I don't think I have a big enough stomach to eat all my words I've said about him. The man just doesn't seem to lose and I don't think he'll start in this game. Buckeyes put up a fight but Georgia smothers them for a 36-21 victory.
ReliaQuest Bowl
#22 Mississippi State vs Illinois
With the tragic death of Bulldog Head Coach, Mike Leach, there's no extra motivation needed for Will Rogers and crew in this game. The maroon-clad gunslinger has thrown for over 3,700 yards with 34 TDs and just 6 picks. He'll be up against one of the nation's best pass defenses as the Illini give up just 164.5 yards through the air per game on average. Illinois will lean on their ground game with star running back Chase Brown, who is just 54 yards away from breaking the school's single season rushing record. I think this will be a fun game to watch but playing to honor your coach should provide with the Bulldogs with more than enough motivation to go out and win this one. Mississippi State wins this game 33-24 in honor of the Pirate himself.
Goodyear Cotton Bowl Classic
#16 Tulane vs #10 USC
The Green Wave are set to represent the G5 schools in the New Year's six as they take on the Trojans of USC. Most everyone will be looking for Heisman winner Caleb Williams to put on a show (as he usually does). The high-powered offense is likely to cause headaches for Tulane as they put up points in a hurry, but don't count the Green Wave out right away. They've proven to bee a tricky team to defeat, winning 3 games by 1 score. Junior running back Tyjae Spears is a force though, rushing for nearly 1,400 yards and 15 TDs for the Green Wave. If they can get out early and score they could make this interesting. However, I think the speed and talent of players like Jordan Addison and Raleek Brown will likely be too much for Tulane to over come. Caleb Williams has too many weapons in this office and Lincoln Riley finishes up his first year in LA with a 40-28 Cotton Bowl Victory.
Cheez-It Citrus Bowl
#17 LSU vs Purdue
The Boilermakers are now led by Drew Brees as an interim coach with Jeff Brohm leaving for Louisville. QB Aiden O'Connell will need to play some of his best football in his career in this one, especially with the Tigers being vulnerable in the secondary. Purdue has been a solid team all year, but LSU looks primed to kickstart next year with a big bowl win in Brian Kelley's first season. LSU has lost two straight with A&M and Georgia, but with Jayden Daniels under center, they should be running the show. Daniels is the leading rusher for LSU in addition to all his passing statistics, and the ex-Seminole will likely run circles around the Purdue defense. The Boilermakers put up a strong fight, but much like the Michigan game they will get over whelmed after a while. Tigers 34, Boilermakers 21.
Rose Bowl
#11 Penn State vs #8 Utah
Arguably one of the best matchups of the entire bowl season, the 'grandaddy of them all' looks to be a good one as the Nittany Lions take on the Utes. Both teams are formidable opponents in their respective conferences, and the hard-nosed, rugged style of football within each program sets up for an instant classic. Penn State rolled through everyone except Michigan and Ohio State on their schedule, averaging 35.8 points per game and shutting opponents down to just 18. Utah had a couple of tough losses throughout the year, but have posted back-to-back PAC-12 Championships on their resume. Junior Quarterback Cameron Rising and Senior Sean Clifford will both be leading their respective squads without their top pass catchers. TE Dalton Kincaid (Utah) and WR Parker Washington (PSU) have opted out of this game along with Utes RB Tavion Thomas and Nittany Lion's CB Joey Porter Jr. Regardless, this will be a great game to watch and a tough battle on the line of scrimmage. Both teams have a focus on dominating that line, so we'll see who takes it in this one. I'm going with the Utes as they beat Penn State 23-21 in the Rose Bowl.
Thanks for reading all of my Bowl Game predictions and I hope you enjoy the last slate of football for 2022!
#CFBKnowItAll
Alex Fernando