Welcome to the BEST weekend of the year football friends! It's RIVALRY Week and that means we get some of the most authentically college football rivalries as a showcase over a full weekend of action to go with our Thanksgiving feasts. I'm very thankful for all of your support and interest in my CFB blog. I hope you're all ready for a full feast of games to go with your side of turkey, because as the regular season closes, we'll finally get a more clear cut view of who is going to separate themselves for Playoff contention. This is always my favorite weekend of football as there's nothing that showcases how wild and crazy this sport is like Rivalry games. I've got my predictions for all the rivalry games of the week and a few other fun ones sprinkled in. It's the regular season finale and here are all the picks!
Week 13 Results: 17 - 10 (63%)
Overall Results: 215 - 90 (70.5%)
Rivalry Week Predictions:
#7 Ole Miss at Mississippi State (The Egg Bowl)
This may be one of the most anticipated Egg Bowls in history as Ole Miss not only sits in College Football Playoff position, but also awaits the decision of Head Coach Lane Kiffin who is being courted by Florida, LSU and many others for their current coaching vacancies. Kiffin is supposed to announce a decision after the game, but this game will need his full focus. Ole Miss is safely in the playoffs right now, but the Bulldogs would love nothing more than to spoil their in-state rival's season, plus they'll go to a bowl game with a win. With this game being in Starkville, the cowbells will be ringing all day long. Blake Shapen and the Bulldog offense have been in fights all season long, losing close games and not being able to close out wins. They've been rolled the last couple of weeks, but the Rebels' defense is vulnerable, ranking in the middle of the SEC. I think the talent of this team will win out, especially on offense against this Mississippi State defense. The Bulldogs have been gashed by big plays all season, giving up 23 plays of 30+ yards. The Rebels take care of business and make the decision that much harder on Lane Kiffin. Ole Miss 34, Mississippi State 24.
#4 Georgia vs #23 Georgia Tech (Clean, Old-Fashioned Hate)
Over the last couple years, Brent Key and the Yellow Jackets have taken Georgia to the wire, nearly knocking off the Bulldogs. Last year's 8 overtime thriller ended in heartbreak for Georgia Tech, especially after holding a two-score lead in the 4th quarter. This year seemed like the opportunity for GT to finally knock off the Dawgs, especially after an 8-0 start. But two losses in the last three weeks have derailed the season, and potential playoff hopes. The Yellow Jackets have given up 124 points and more than 1,500 yards of offense in those three games, so look for Georgia to move the ball well. The Bulldogs have been rolling over the last few weeks, and it seems like their defense is starting to come into form. I think they handle business and defeat the Yellow Jackets in game full of clean, old-fashioned hate. Bulldogs win in Atlanta as they hope to do a dress rehearsal for the SEC Championship.
Air Force at Colorado State (Battle for the Ram-Falcon Trophy)
Neither the Falcons or the Rams are going bowling this year, but with a trophy on the line this in-state battle should be a fun one. Colorado State has announced Jim Mora from UConn will be their new head coach, which is a big boost as the Rams head into the PAC-12. Mora coached at UCLA in the PAC-12 from 2012-2017, but things have changed a bit out West since then. For this game, both teams have struggled with turnovers and neither have gotten off the field much on opposing 3rd downs. The Falcons will look to grind it out with their triple option attack, and the Rams have been terrible against the run all year. But playing at home and wanting to put on some good film for the new coach is a big motivator. Give me CSU to win the Ram-Falcon Trophy 26-24.
San Diego State at New Mexico
The Aztecs travel to Albuquerque to take on the Lobos who are looking to cause some chaos in the Mountain West. The Broncos in Boise and Rebels of UNLV both sit at 5-2 in conference play, so if New Mexico wins this game, they'll bring the Aztecs down to 2 conference losses and the Rebels and Broncos could win to put all 4 teams at 6-2. It will be interesting to see how the tiebreakers shake out, but conference title hopes are very much on the line in this game, potentially even playoff hopes if more chaos ensues around the nation. SDSU has a very stingy defense, allowing just 11.6 points per game, ranking 3rd in the nation. They stumbled on the road at Hawaii a couple of weeks ago and turnovers were a big factor. Unfortunately that's where the Lobos tend to struggle as they have a -7 turnover margin on the season. Offensively, this will be the biggest test for Junior QB Jack Layne. He's thrown just 1 pick in the last 5 games, but SDSU's defense is very difficult to move on. He'll need to be at his best, but I don't think it will be enough. Aztecs win on the road 23-21.
#2 Indiana at Purdue (Battle for the Old Oaken Bucket)
One of college football's oldest rivalries features the #2 Indiana Hoosiers against the Purdue Boilermakers. Barry Odom's first season in West Lafayette has yet to produce a BIG 10 victory. The Boilermakers are still very much in rebuild mode, which likely won't result in many points against the Hoosiers. Indiana has been banged up a bit the last few weeks, especially at the receiver position. I doubt they'll risk much with a BIG 10 Championship laying ahead of them, but Fernando Mendoza should perform well yet again to help his Heisman odds. Purdue doesn't stand much of a chance in this one, Indiana stomps them on their way to Indianapolis 42-10.
#3 Texas A&M at #16 Texas (Lone Star Showdown)
The Aggies once again need to go through the rival Longhorns if they want a trip to Atlanta for the SEC Championship. They don't want to have to worry about tiebreakers, so if the Aggies can complete their program's first ever perfect regular season, they'll be for sure in Atlanta and will have finally defeated Texas for the first time since 2010. Texas doesn't have much of a run game, so A&M will look to force Arch Manning to win with his arm against their 2nd ranked pass rush that has 39 sacks on the season. The Texas offense has been much better as of late, and it looks like Arch is much more comfortable within the offense. For A&M on offense, they'll be dealing with the 3rd best pass rush in the nation. The Longhorns have 37 sacks on the season and will look to pressure Marcel Reed early and often. He's prone to turnovers as highlighted by the first half against South Carolina. The Aggies offense has some of the best weapons Texas has faced since the season opener at Ohio State, and Reed has done very well to avoid pressure, being sacked just 9 times on the season. I think the A&M wideouts will be too much for Texas to handle, and this Aggie defense will get after Arch Manning. They'll likely do the Texas A&M thing and let Texas hang in the game the whole time (or even win it because why not), but I'll ride with the Aggies to win in Austin 27-24. Gig 'Em.
#25 Arizona at #20 Arizona State (Duel in the Desert - Battle for the Territorial Cup)
There were talks of Brett Brennan being fired after just 1 season at Arizona last year, and I'm glad no one was foolish enough to do that. He's got the Wildcats on the brink of 9 wins in his second season at the helm and they were just a couple of plays away from being very much in the Big XII title contention. The Sun Devils are on a 3-game win streak with Jeff Sims at QB following the season ending injury of Sam Leavitt, and they can get to 9 wins as well. This has been an impressive coaching job for both squads, but I have really liked the play of Arizona this season. Especially as of late, QB Noah Fafita has been phenomenal, throwing 8 TDs and just 1 pick the last four games, all wins for the Wildcats. This is always a fun rivalry out west, and I think the Sun Devils are a bit too banged up to keep pace with a red-hot Arizona offense. Beardown as the Wildcats win 31-24.
#1 Ohio State at #15 Michigan (The Game)
College Gameday is in Ann Arbor for The Game between Ohio State and Michigan. This is likely the toughest test the Buckeyes have faced all season, and if Michigan wins... all hell will break loose. Ryan Day has struggled in this series, posting just 1 win back in 2019. Although the Buckeyes did go on to win the National Title last year, the Michigan loss is still a glaring red mark on the resume. The Wolverines are playoff hunting at #15, and knocking off the #1 team would not only vault them in, but could shake up the BIG 10 Championship. Oregon also sits with 1 BIG 10 loss and if they beat Washington then Ohio State, Michigan and the Ducks would all be tied. We'll worry about the tiebreakers as they come, but Michigan's first order of business is to figure out how to break through the Buckeye defense. While the competition has been lackluster, Ohio State has suffocated the life out of every opponent, allowing just over 200 total yards and 7.6 points per game. Michigan has been balanced at times with Freshman QB Bryce Underwood, but their run game is what's been most impressive. Jordan Marshall and Justice Haynes are one of the best duos in the nation, both with 10 TDs a piece and over 850 yards. Ohio State has yet to face a rushing attack like this one, and if Michigan can stay in third and short, they will chew up so much clock and play keep away from the Ohio State offense. In the last two years of this rivalry, Michigan has possessed the ball 7 minutes more than the Buckeyes. When Ohio State does get the ball on offense, they'll be looking to first-year QB Julian Sayin to spread it out. He's been great this year, again with little to no pressure in his face. Michigan doesn't play that way, racking up 28 sacks so far this season. Wideouts Jeremiah Smith and Carnell Tate should be back in action for this one, but if they're banged up life could get very frustrating for Ohio State. Michigan has all the makings of an upset here, but they need to play clean. They average just 4.3 penalties per game, and I'm hoping they pull the upset. It would be very fun (and chaotic) to watch Ohio State go down, and what the hell, it's Rivalry Weekend. Go Blue, Michigan beats Ohio State 23-21.
#12 Miami at #22 Pitt
Technically speaking, both of these teams are in the playoff mix, although some help is needed to get in. That path goes through the ACC Championship where 6 teams are still in contention before we kickoff. The Hurricanes are the highest ranked ACC team, but need the most help as they are one of the least likely to make the conference championship. This could allow teams to jump them, but for now they need to win. Pitt is coming off a big win over Georgia Tech, and now have the opportunity to take down the 'Canes to give them the best option to get into the ACC Championship and potentially the Playoffs. Carson Beck has gotten back on track in the last few games, throwing for 8 TDs and 0 picks against lower tier ACC opponents. Pitt loves to get pressure and has 26 sacks so far this season. Miami has done well to control the line of scrimmage this season, but Pitt's defensive front is not easy to move. Offensively for the Panthers, Freshman QB Mason Heintschel has done well in replacing Eli Holstein. He was very impressive against Georgia Tech, but the Miami defense will be much more aggressive. I think Pitt does well against low to mid-tier opponents, but as we saw against Notre Dame, they struggle in the big moments. Miami wins and I'm anxious to see where they fall in the rankings after this week. Hurricanes 30, Panthers 20.
Kentucky at Louisville (Battle for the Governor's Cup)
Not much has gone right for Mark Stoops and the Wildcats this season, especially when they let wins slip away against both Ole Miss and Texas. However, they are 1 win away from getting back to a Bowl game and there's nothing sweeter than beating an in-state rival for it. Louisville has slipped down the stretch, losing 3 straight after sitting in prime position to get themselves into the ACC Championship at the beginning of the month. The first two losses were close with an overtime loss against Cal and a 1 point loss to Clemson due to kicking woes. Last week the Ponies demolished them as Kevin Jennings picked them apart for 303 yards and 3 TDs through the air. Kentucky's Redshirt Freshman QB Cutter Boley likely won't put up those numbers, but the first-year starter is completing more than 67% of his passes and has 5 TDs and 3 picks in the last 3 games. If the Cardinals can force turnovers early, maybe they can spark their offense. Miller Moss did not play against SMU and is still questionable with a foot injury. He's struggled before the injury, and if he doesn't play this could come down to the wire. I'll go with Kentucky, I think Mark Stoops gets this team to a bowl game and they show some serious fight against the Cards. Kentucky beats Louisville 30-27.
Clemson at South Carolina (Palmetto Bowl)
Two teams that were playoff favorites to start the season are fighting for nothing more than bragging rights in the Palmetto Bowl this year. Clemson and South Carolina had disastrous seasons from what was originally projected, but that's why we play the games. Starting with the Tigers, Cade Klubnik struggled to get the offense in gear early in the season. However, the biggest issue has been the defense. Normally one of the best in the nation, Clemson currently ranks 47th in total defense and 34th in scoring defense. South Carolina has been plagued by injuries all season long and especially up front, they have really struggled to protect LaNorris Sellers. The Gamecocks have given up 38 sacks this season, ranking 6th worst in the nation. The key factor in this game is Clemson's defensive front. South Carolina loves to run the ball and despite the pressure, LaNorris Sellers is fabulous when using his legs. Clemson needs to contain Sellers and get pressure, but I'm not sure they can stop the run. South Carolina wins and makes a statement for next year, beating Clemson 34-31.
Houston at Baylor
Baylor HC Dave Aranda could be looking for a new job after this game as his seat has gotten extremely hot with the Bears losing 4 of their last 5. They've also given up an average of 44.8 points in those 4 losses, so the defensive issues have really spiraled. The Cougars were in the Big XII title hunt, but losses to WVU and TCU in recent weeks have knocked them out. They're looking to keep ahold of the ball in this game as QB Connor Weigman has thrown 6 interceptions in the last 3 games. He does also have 8 TDs over that span, and I imagine a QB shootout in this game as Balyor Sawyer Robertson has 7 TDs and 4 picks over the last 3 games. Both of these offenses rely heavily on their QBs playing well and I trust Robertson just a bit more. Give me the Bears playing motivated for their coach and getting to a bowl game with a win over Houston 37-31.
UCF at #11 BYU
The Cougars are looking for a rematch with Texas Tech in Arlington for the Big XII Championship, but have to down UCF at home in Provo first. Scott Frost's first season back in charge of the Knights has been up and down with a 5-6 record. Knocking off BYU to become bowl eligible would be an impressive finish, but we know I want nothing other than to watch him suffer. BYU's defense is likely to help with that request as they allow just 17.5 points per game and have a +10 turnover margin. The Cougars are extremely aggressive on defense and fly all around the field, often having 3 or 4 defenders run to the ball carrier. On offense they'll look to pound the rock with the two-headed rushing attack of QB Bear Bachmeier and RB LJ Martin. The two have combined for 19 rushing touchdowns this season and rarely go down after the first contact. Look for BYU to bully the Knights 33-13.
#6 Oregon at Washington
Oregon and Washington meet for their annual rivalry in the Pacific Northwest. The Ducks are sitting pretty in the Playoffs and will likely have the opportunity to host in the first round with a win against the Huskies. Washington has been competitive in games all season, but struggle to find offense against higher level opponents. QB Demond Williams Jr. is going to be a key player for this squad moving forward, but I don't know if he'll have enough juice to keep up with Oregon. Especially as the Ducks continue to grind teams down in the run game, it can be difficult for opposing teams to match their physicality. The Dubs do rank 18th against the run game, so it will be important to keep those chains short for both offenses. Washington puts up a fight, but Oregon has more of a chip than most are taking notice of. Ducks win and host a playoff game in the first round after defeating Washington 30-20.
LSU at #8 Oklahoma
The Sooners are also in playoff position, looking to host a first round in Norman after an impressive 2025 campaign. The offense still has yet to break through, but when the defense allows just 14 points per game and has 41 sacks on the season, you can get by with a few offensive struggles. They end the season by hosting the LSU Tigers who narrowly beat Western Kentucky in Death Valley last week. LSU has plenty of off-field drama going on from the coaching search to finally agreeing to pay Brian Kelly what he's owed. There's still plenty of talent on this Tiger team to compete, but the Sooners seem locked in and that defense is arguably playing some of the best football in the nation right now. John Mateer is starting to get the offense going and I'll say Boomer Sooner wins this one 28-17.
#14 Vanderbilt at #19 Tennessee
The Commodores are on the outside looking in, likely needing some chaos to occur to get them in the field for the College Football Playoffs. A win on Rocky Top will boost their resume, but this rivalry has heavily favored the Vols throughout history. It's been since 2018 when Vanderbilt last won in this series, but Diego Pavia looks to change that pretty quickly. Tennessee still has yet to beat a Division-1 program with a winning record, but they did look impressive against a Florida team I thought had potential for the upset. Joey Augilar has thrown for over 3,100 yards this season with 23 TDs and 10 picks. His play has been complimented by Sophomore RB DeSean Bishop who averages 6.2 yards per carry and has 12 TDs this season. Vanderbilt will need to find a way to slow down Bishop and force Tennessee into 3rd and long situations. Offensively, it all runs through Pavia. He's racked up over 3,500 total yards and 34 total TDs. He's truly been one of the best players in College Football this season and deserves a spot in New York at the Heisman ceremony. This is his chance to make his Heisman case and show everyone that Vanderbilt deserves a playoff spot. I think Tennessee is one of the posers this season, so give me the Commodores to throw their Anchor Down on Rocky Top. Vanderbilt 31, Tennessee 24.
Missouri at Arkansas (Battle Line Rivalry)
The Tigers and the Hogs are set to write another chapter in this rivalry. Arkansas is still searching for a new Head Coach while Mizzou just extended Eli Drinkwitz with a new 6-year deal. The Razorbacks have been so close in nearly every game this season, but just can't get over the edge to win. Missouri has fallen short in their big matchups, losing 3 of their last 4. Both squads have strong run games, but Ahmad Hardy is one of a kind with over 1,400 yards and 15 TDs for the Tigers. Arkansas has not done well against the run, ranking 102nd in the nation. I think with the extra week of practice Beau Pribula will be in better sync with his wideouts and Mizzou wins 34-27.
Wisconsin at Minnesota (Battle for Paul Bunyan's Axe)
The Badgers are on a late season surge, winning 2 of their last 3 against Washington and Illinois. The offense is still hot garbage, but the defense has been impressive as of late, especially on third down. The Gophers are struggling, losing 3 of their last 4 and the only win coming in overtime against Michigan State at home. The offense has struggled this year, especially with the lack of a consistent run game. The Battle for Paul Bunyan's Axe should be a classic BIG 10 West game, so you know the drill. First team to 20 wins and I'll take Wisconsin to finish the season on a high note. Badgers 23, Gophers 14.
Florida State at Florida (Sunshine Showdown)
Both the Gators and the Seminoles had frustrating seasons to say the least. Mike Norvell will return next year for FSU, but the ice is getting thin in Tallahassee. Going to a bowl game would be big for this squad, especially when across the field is a Gator team looking for a new coach. Thomas Castellanos has been a one-man show for the 'Noles, accounting for nearly 3,000 yards of total offense and 21 TDs. The Gator defense has kept them around in a number of games this year, but its been spotty. I'm guessing most of Florida wants to get this season done with and prepare for a new coach. FSU has a bit more on the line and Norvell could really use this win. Seminoles step up and win in the Swamp 26-21 in the Sunshine Showdown.
Oregon State at Washington State (2-PAC Championship: Round 2)
Somehow, someway, the Beavers won the first round of the 2-PAC Championship. Wazzu will look to split the series 1-1 as they host round 2, but the Cougars have been fighting in battles all across the country. They've got 4 losses by single digits and need this win to go bowling. With new teams joining the conference next year and rebuilding the PAC-12 Brand, Washington State would love those extra practices and momentum boost from the post-season. For Oregon State, RB Anthony Hankerson is the primary focus of the offense. He's averaging 4.4 yards per carry and added his name to the list of Beaver RBs with over 1,000 yards in a season. Wazzu has been puzzling all year, but I think they'll get the win at home for a bowl game. Cougars 21, Beavers 17.
Boston College at Syracuse
I included this game not because it will be a good one, but because it could be an important one. If all hell breaks loose atop the ACC, (which has been known to happen this season) the winner of this game will be a determining factor in who goes to the ACC Championship with tiebreakers. Depending on how other games play out, the two teams with the worst record in the ACC will determine who has a playoff chance and who doesn't. Both the Eagles and the Orange have had very disappointing years following strong 2024 campaigns, and a healthy offseason will do them some good. Boston College has at least been more competitive as of late, and Alabama Transfer QB Drew Lonergan has been a bright spot at times. Give me Boston College to win 36-21 in a game you don't want to watch, but might need to know about.
Virginia Tech at #18 Virginia (Battle for the Commonwealth Cup)
The Cavaliers are one win away from their first ACC Championship appearance since 2019. Virginia Tech is looking to spoil their in-state rival's season, and cause pure chaos atop the ACC standings. The Hokies have their new head coach with James Franklin, so vibes are high in Blacksburg moving forward. This game is in Charlottesville though, and the Cavaliers have not won at home since October 18th when they defeated Wazzu. Wake Forest upset them in the only other home game since then, so UVA has some extra motivation on senior day to end on a high note. While Chandler Morris is the focal point of the offense, I want to give some credit to Senior RB J'Mari Taylor. The North Carolina Central transfer has nearly 1,000 yards this season to go with a 4.9 yard per carry average and 13 touchdowns. With the Hokies ranking 73rd in the nation against the run, expect him to have a big senior day performance. Turnovers often factor into rivalry games and UVA is +6 while VT is -6. Give me the Cavaliers at home for a win. Virginia 33, Virginia Tech 21.
#10 Alabama at Auburn (The Iron Bowl)
The Tide are hanging on for dear life as they sit near the bottom edge of the playoffs yet again. Auburn is looking for a bowl game after firing Hugh Freeze, and the Tigers love to keep games close. Their largest loss was by 10 points to Georgia in a game that had a blown touchdown call and the Tigers' offense sputtered. This defense flies around the field, racking up 75 tackles for loss on the year thus far. The Tigers are also +11 in turnover margin and will look to get a few takeaways on the Tide. This is a very similar game to the Oklahoma one for Alabama, a rugged defense with a lackluster offense. How will Bama handle it this time? If Auburn can get a few turnovers and slow down the Bama offense early, the Iron Bowl always has upset potential. QB play has limited the Tigers, who have plenty of weapons on the edge with Cam Coleman and Eric Singleton Jr. Jackson Arnold will need to play the best game of his career in order to beat the Tide, because Auburn's defense will keep them in it. For Alabama, they need to find a run game quickly. The rank 107th in the nation running the ball, and while QB Ty Simpson has been sensational this season, he cannot do it alone. This is a very dangerous game for Kalen DeBoer, especially with his name floating around the Penn State job. Can he keep his team focused? A little bit of chaos could help them come rankings time, but a loss to Auburn would kick them out for sure. I've got a hunch on this one and I like Auburn to spice things up at home. Alabama loses in Jordan-Hare and the Tigers stop a 5-game losing streak in the series. WAR EAGLE 27-24.
UCLA at #17 USC (Battle for LA)
The Trojans couldn't keep pace with the Ducks last week, and have fallen out of playoff contention. USC has had arguably their best season under Lincoln Riley though, and can finish with 9 wins by beating their cross-town rivals. The Bruins initial spark has fizzled out with 4 straight losses after they won 3 straight in the middle of the season starting with Penn State. Nico Iamaleava has been carrying this offense, so finding him weapons will be an immediate priority once a new coach is hired. The Trojans will lean on QB Jayden Miava and he should put up impressive numbers in this game. Trojans win the Battle of LA 38-17.
Northwestern at Illinois (Battle for the Land of Lincoln Trophy)
Coming into the season the Illini were primed to contend for the playoffs as an at large option from the BIG 10, but they were unable to get the job done in big moments. They fell last week to Wisconsin on the road and it looks like another mid-conference finish is in line for them. Northwestern comes in at 6-5, surprising everyone as they were projected to be one of the worst in the conference. Their defense is better than some of the stats suggest. I think they're playing very motivated football to end the season and they pull the upset on the road 27-24.
North Carolina at NC State
It hasn't been the season Tar Heel fans wanted when Bill Belichick was hired, but this team has shown steady improvement all season long, especially on defense. NC State has been hot and cold, but their upset against Georgia Tech a few weeks ago was one of the highlights of the season. It's really hard to know which team you'll get week in and week out, but I'll say UNC ends on a high note for Belichick and the Tar Heels pull off a win 29-27.
#21 SMU at Cal
The Mustangs have a chance to go to back-to-back ACC Championships in their first two years as members of the conference. A game-winning field goal by Clemson gave the Tigers the ACC title, but SMU was still in the playoffs before losing in the first round against Penn State. A win over the Golden Bears and they're back in Charlotte with another playoff opportunity as well. The Calgorithm just fired Head Coach Justin Wilcox after a 31-10 loss to Stanford. Freshman QB Jaron-Keawe Sagapolutele is a star in the making, so he could draw some NIL deals from other schools with the recent firing. He'll be the best chances of Cal getting a win against SMU, but the opposing QB should have the final say. Kevin Jennings has 9 total TDs and just 1 pick over the last 3 weeks and should have a big performance out West. Pony up as the Mustangs win 34-14.
UNLV at Nevada (Battle for Nevada - Fremont Cannon Trophy)
The Rebels have a chance to be in the a tiebreaker scenario for the Mountain West Conference Championship, but they've got to survive a trip to Reno and come out with a win. Dan Mullen's first season in Vegas has been full of dramatic wins, but the Rebels are looking to reach 10 wins and build a lot of momentum with many players coming back for next year. Nevada is on a 2-game win streak, but this team is rebuilding and has a lot of work to do as Jeff Choate wraps up his 2nd season in charge. Just 6 wins in those two years, and with how wild the coaching carousel is already, I wouldn't be surprised if he found his seat to be quite hot after this one. Rebels roll the Wolfpack 40-21.
#9 Notre Dame at Stanford (Battle for the Legends Trophy)
The Irish head to the Farm as Stanford awaits their annual rivalry. The Trees just beat Cal in the Big Game, ultimately leading to the firing of Justin Wilcox. Andrew Luck is still searching for Stanford's next Head Coach, but he and interim coach Frank Reich have this team playing hard and causing headaches for opponents. The Irish look to get back into the playoffs again, currently sitting at #9. They have been rolling lower level opponents with a dominant run game and suffocating defense. However, that defense has been vulnerable at times. If Stanford can force a couple of turnovers and keep this game close, this is an underrated upset waiting to happen. The most important thing is loading the box on defense and trying to shut down the Notre Dame run game. Unfortunately, that part isn't so easy when Jeremiyah Love is averaging 7.1 yards per carry and has 17 TDs this season. He's backed up by Jadarian Price who gives the Irish 6.2 yards per carry and has added 10 TDs this season. Stanford is rebuilding, and I'm excited to see what Andrew Luck does with this program moving forward, but upsetting Notre Dame is a tall order. The Trees do rank 25th in the nation against the run, so don't be surprised if it takes a while for Love and Price to get going, but ultimately I think the Irish will prevail. If this one is close late, be sure to hit that upset alert button. Irish 37, Stanford 21.
Fresno State at San Jose State (Battle for the Valley Trophy)
The Bulldogs and the Spartans meet as Mountain West rivals for the final time with Fresno State heading to the new PAC-12 after this season. I hope this rivalry continues like so many others from the conference as many of the teams split to the PAC-12, but regardless we at least get one last run of it while they're together. The Spartans have not been able to stop many teams this year, leading to the 3-8 record. Offensively, their air raid system has once again produced one of the best statistical receivers in the nation with Danny Secudero racking up 1,234 yards and 10 TDs. Fresno has been spotty at times this year, but with the Spartans offense scoring no more than 16 points in the last 3 games, the Bulldogs should bully them on defense. I'll take Fresno State in the Battle for the Valley 24-14.
Wyoming at Hawaii (Battle for the Paniolo Trophy)
The Rainbow Warriors have been fantastic this season, bowl eligible for the first time since 2020. Head Coach Timmy Chang had this team competitive throughout Mountain West play and now has a chance to end the season 8-4 with a win over rival Wyoming. The Cowboys have lost 3 straight, scoring no more than 7 points with an offense that ranks 118th in the country and 2nd to last in the Mountain West. Road games to the Islands are difficult enough, but now Hawaii has some juice. Plus the "Tokyo Toe" Kansei Matsuzawa is looking to kick his way into the record books this season. He's currently 23/23 on field goals and 34/34 on extra points. Give me Hawaii with a big win at home to end the regular season 33-17.
Iowa at Nebraska (Heroes Game - Heroes Trophy)
The Hawkeyes visit Lincoln for the annual Black Friday game as Matt Rhule looks to end the season on a high note, hopefully notching his first win against Iowa. This is likely to be an old-school, BIG 10 West slugfest with below freezing temperatures and two of the better defenses in the conference. As usual, Iowa doesn't let much past them on the defensive side of the ball, ranking 8th in total defense and allowing just over 100 rushing yards per game. The Blackshirts secondary is the strength, and will be tested more than usual by Iowa's downfield passing game. While still not great, the Hawkeyes do have a few big play abilities from the air. Nebraska's defensive front will be tested early and often though, as Iowa will look to replicate what Michigan and Penn State did against the Huskers, running all over the field. The biggest difference between those games and this one is Iowa QB Mark Gronowski. The South Dakota State transfer is practically an extra running back as he's averaging 4.0 yards per carry on the ground and has 13 TDs. He does not throw it well, like any Hawkeye QB over the past decade, but he'll run over a linebacker any day of the week. Iowa will do normal Iowa things. Inch the ball along, control the clock and pin you deep in the field with accurate punts. Then wait for Nebraska to make a mistake and capitalize on it at the worst possible time. Nebraska has lost 4 of the last 7 in this series by walk-off field goals alone. It all comes down to rule #1 for the Huskers, FEED EMMETT JOHNSON! It doesn't matter how he gets the ball, just give him the ball. I expect TJ's legs to be a factor today, especially evading pressure as Iowa doesn't have a to of sacks, but they contain players well in the tackle box. TJ's dual threat ability needs to be part of the game plan and compliment Johnson. The Huskers need to find opportunities for Johnson to get in space and let him go to work. Special teams will be very important today, so Archie will be counted on for extremely important punts, hopefully being downed inside the 20 or even the 10. This is a big game in the Husker career of Matt Rhule. This is a game that should and could be won, showing some significant improvement and momentum to build on. This is a game where the contract extension needs to be earned. It's going to be a BIG 10 West type of game, so let's go with the Huskers winning 22-17. There's no way I'm picking the Hawkeyes. GO BIG RED!
Quick Hit Predictions:
#13 Utah at Kansas - The Utes are still in the playoff hunt, but likely need a Big XII Championship and/or complete carnage in front of them to occur. They finish the regular season in Lawrence, Kansas after a near upset in Salt Lake City by the Wildcats of K-State. Their defense gave up 47 points and nearly 600 yards of offense, so look for KU to let Jaylon Daniels play free in what could be his final game as a Jayhawk. Kansas needs to win to become bowl eligible, but I like the Utes to finish strong and be in the Playoff mix with losses to Texas Tech and BYU, the likely Big XII title contenders. Utes 38, Jayhawks 21.
Ohio at Buffalo - Buffalo needs a win for a Bowl game, but have fallen apart at the end of the season, losing 3 of their last 4. Ohio can put themselves in good position for a potential rematch with Western Michigan in the MAC Championship with a win, but it will come to a tiebreaker with either Toledo or Central Michigan. The Bobcat defense haven't given up more than 21 points in the last 7 games, so give me that defense to win 31-17 over Buffalo.
Temple at North Texas - The Mean Green are hurting just a bit as they head into this game knowing Head Coach Eric Morris is headed to Stillwater after this season to lead the Cowboys of Oklahoma State. This is the best season in program history for North Texas and they're set for a spot in the American Championship with a win. Temple is fighting for a bowl game, but North Texas could be looking at a Playoff bid. Give me the Mean Green to send Morris out with a bang and win 48-23.
Boise State at Utah State - Broncos and Aggies are both headed to the PAC-12 after this season, so they will remain familiar conference foes. They've both been a bit streaky at times this year and I'm very tempted to take the Aggies in an upset. Broncos offense got back on track against CSU, scoring 49 points and letting backup, Sophomore QB Max Cutforth start slinging it. He's more confident heading into this matchup and I'll take Boise in a road win 28-24.
#5 Texas Tech at West Virginia - The Red Raiders have a chance to attend their first Conference Championship since 2008, with hopes of winning their first since their 1994 Southwest Conference title. West Virginia stands in their way and could cause complete chaos with an upset. Unfortunately they'll be up against a brick wall with Texas Tech Linebacker Jacob Rodriguez and the rest of their defense. They're allowing just 12.3 points per game and average 3 sacks per contest. WVU has allowed 27 sacks this season and I expect that total to rise. Guns Up, Wreck 'Em for a 30-7 victory.
Toldedo at Central Michigan - Both the Rockets and the Chippewas have won 4 of their last 5 coming into the final regular season game of MACtion. Two of the conferences best defenses meet in this one and this game will likely be determined by which offense can break a big play or two. The winner of this game will have to see what a tiebreaker will do if Ohio beats Buffalo. The tiebreaker will determine who faces Western Michigan in the MAC Championship. I'll take the Toledo offense with that edge. Rockets win 23-20.
Georgia Southern at Marshall - Both of these teams are fighting for bowl eligibility as they come in at 5-6. Marshall missed a bowl game last year as a majority of their team was transferring out with HC Charles Huff, now at Southern Miss. Last year I doubted Georgia Southern on making a Bowl game, but this year I'll say they do it. Eagles win 34-27.
Western Kentucky at Jacksonville State - Western Kentucky needs to win this game in order to set up the rematch back on Hilltoppers turf for the C-USA title. If Jacksonville State wins, then WKU has to hope for a Kennesaw State loss in order to have another shot depending on the tiebreaker. The Hilltoppers nearly knocked off LSU in Death Valley last week and they seem primed to get the host option for the C-USA Championship. Western Kentucky wins 37-28.
Arkansas State at Appalachian State - Both teams need a win for a Bowl option. Each of these teams has a number of close losses as well, which means this one is likely to be a battle. I'll go with the home team in a close game, so give me the Mountaineers to win 27-25.
Penn State at Rutgers - The Nittany Lions are 1 win away from Bowl Eligibility after a season that started with them as the odds on National Title favorites. The Scarlet Knights of Rutgers stand in their way and based on athletes alone, Penn State has the advantage. The only thing you need to know is that Kaytron Allen now holds the Penn State career rushing record and Nicholas Singleton is set to break the touchdown rushing record. Rutgers ranks 129th in rush defense, so expect Penn State to roll 35-7.
Wake Forest at Duke - The Demon Deacons find themselves on a 3 games win streak and are looking for their 3rd 9-win season in program history. They travel to Durham to take on the Blue Devils who are sitting at 6-5. Darian Mensah has been impressive this year, throwing for more than 3,100 yards with 26 TDs and just 4 picks. Wake Forest has pulled a few upsets this season, so look for them to muck this up. If Duke can start fast, they should be able to cruise. We'll give it to Duke in this one 33-28.
Cincinnati at TCU - The wheels have fallen off the Cincy wagon in the last few weeks with the Bearcats losing 3 straight games since the calendar turned to November. TCU has been hot and cold throughout the season, but Josh Hoover has really struggled as of late, throwing 7 picks to just 4 TDs in the last 3 games. Sorsby hasn't been much better, but has a bit more rushing ability with his legs. TCU's defense shut down Houston last week and I'll take them at home to win 30-27.
Troy at Southern Miss - Before the season I predicted Southern Miss would go bowling. I did not anticipate them playing for a conference title appearance with Troy coming into town. The Trojans don't have much of an offense, but Southern Miss is coming off back-to-back losses. The winner goes onto face James Madison in the Sun Belt Championship, give me the Golden Eagles 33-28 with some key turnovers.
Kennesaw State at Liberty - The Owls are trying to get to the C-USA title and a potential rematch with Jacksonville State. Liberty has fallen quickly from the top of the G5 and despite their top notch social media game (shoutout my guy Tyler Hurst), the Flames won't be going bowling this year. A -6 turnover margin has hindered this team, but they do have a strong run game. This one could be a tight one, but I'll take the Owls to close it out 37-35.
James Madison at Coastal Carolina - The Dukes are on the outside looking int at the Playoffs and need some carnage in the American to boost their chances. They travel to Conway, South Carolina as the Chanticleers look to pull a late season upset, but they rank 130th in rush defense. Not ideal when JMU's offense features Junior RB Wayne Knight who is averaging 6.4 yards per carry. Dukes run away with it 37-17 over Coastal Carolina.
Maryland at Michigan State - The Spartans have never gone winless in conference play in the entirety of their program history. They need a victory against Maryland who is still looking for their first victory since September. The Terps have a lot of young talent, but have been unable to get everyone on the same page. Jonathan Smith has made some very puzzling game management decisions, leading to many of these losses. I don't have much confidence in either squad, but we'll say history is on the side of the Spartans. Michigan State earns their first conference win 27-21.
Thanks for reading my Rivalry Week Predictions and enjoy a fantastic weekend of friends, family, food and football. GO BIG RED, BEAT IOWA!
#CFBKnowItAll
Alex Fernando
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