Saturday, October 31, 2015

Week 9 Predictions

     Hey everyone, I apologize for not writing a reflection on the Week 8 games, but I had a very busy week. I had a solid 5-3 record on my predictions this past week, but my Huskers disappointed yet again. I did go a little overboard on my prediction for that game, because Northwestern always plays Nebraska tough. Offensively, I don't know where the Huskers were at last week, the entire game we killed Northwestern in field position and TOP, but we couldn't score to save our lives. Defensively, we started out very strong, but let Wildcat QB Clayton Thorson run all over us. The biggest issue that troubled the Huskers on defense was tackling. It did not look like anyone on the defense could wrap up or actually bring anyone to the ground. This season is really looking rough for the University of Nebraska.

1. USC at Cal
     This will be an interesting match-up in the PAC-12. The Trojans are coming off of a massive upset win against formally number 3 Utah, and the Golden Bears are coming off of back to back losses at the hands of Utah and UCLA. Jared Goff has struggled the past couple weeks and the back half of Cal's schedule only gets harder with trips to both Oregon and Stanford. I think that the Trojans are riding a strong high after their performance last week, and will come in to take down a rattled Cal team. USC 38, Cal 23.

2. Georgia vs. 11 Florida
     We've got a big one in the SEC East for the "World's Largest Outdoor Cocktail Party". The Bulldogs and the Gators face off yet again in a game that could very well decide the SEC East division. Despite the Bulldogs losing to both Bama and the Vols, if they win out for the next three weeks, they would actually win the East Division. Florida is in the same boat though, and they have been playing very well this season. Coming off a bye week, they will be well prepared for a struggling Bulldog offense. The Gators defense is too strong and Treon Harris will play very well leading to a 42-27 Gator beat down.

3. 12 Oklahoma State at Texas Tech
     This is an interesting match-up down in the Big 12. The undefeated Pokes travel to the home of the Red Raiders in what will likely be another shoot-out. OSU has had a tough defense so far this year, but have yet to play the true offensive powers of the Big 12 Conference. This is the first test as Texas Tech hosts one of the top offenses in the nation, so it will be interesting to see if the Pokes' defense can rise to the challenge. Texas Tech will hang around, but still won't be able to pull the upset. Pokes win it 40-34.

4. 15 Michigan at Minnesota
     Another classic rivalry in the BIG 10 as the Wolverines and the Gophers battle for the Little Brown Jug. Minnesota won it last year, but these are two very different teams this season. Earlier this week Minnesota Head Coach Jerry Kill stepped down for health reasons. Obviously a big blow to any program, and something very difficult to walk into a rivalry game with. Michigan has had a long bye week to think about their heartbreaking loss to "Little Brother", but will come out strong against the Gophers. A struggling Minnesota offense won't be able to keep up and the Wolverines will take the Little Brown Jug home with a 30-14 win.

5. 9 Notre Dame at 21 Temple
     The undefeated Owls take on their biggest test of the season as the Irish come to town looking to spoil a perfect season. Temple has a strong defense so far this season, but has yet to play an offense as high caliber as Notre Dame. The Owls are very opportunistic on defense and force a lot of turnovers. Offensively, they are not a powerhouse. Their QB PJ Walker is tough to rattle though, he stands tall in the pocket and finds his wideouts. They are a very sneaky team, and love to hang around and have strong second halves. If the Irish want to win, they need to score early and a lot. However, I have faith in the Owls, and they pull the upset 24-20 to remain undefeated!

6. Nebraska at Purdue
     It's Ryker time Husker fans! Tommy is out this week and Ryker Fyfe will get his first start at QB for Nebraska. In all honesty, I don't see how the Husker's offense can get much worse. We struggle so much at just getting first downs, let alone scoring. Purdue has dropped 5 straight, some close, some not. Both teams have struggled mightily this season, but the biggest difference is the talent level. Everyone knows that Nebraska has a much stronger football program than the Boilermakers, but the Huskers have consistently proven this season that execution is what decides the victor. Look for the Husker defense to step up and dominate a struggling Purdue offense. Offensively, I really have no idea what to expect from the Huskers. Ryker looked solid in practice, and his passes were accurate, but he's definitely no Tommy. Look for a little more emphasis on the ground game to keep passing situations easy for Ryker. I always have my Huskers winning, and they'll get back on track today 28-17. Boiler-down!

     I hope you all have a great Saturday and don't forget to sign up to receive emails about posts on my blog! Just use the box to the left of this post. Thank you, and GO BIG RED!

#CollegeFootballKnowItAll
Alex Fernando

Friday, October 23, 2015

Week 8 Predictions

     Hey everybody, I hope you're all ready for another week of College Football! There are not a lot of big games this week, but this is the kind of set up that a lot of upsets tend to be pulled out on. I don't see a lot of major upsets this week, but you never know in College Football. I'm posting my picks tonight since I have to be at the stadium at 8am for tours tomorrow morning. If you're going to the game, remember to bring black as the Huskers will be wearing their alternate blackout uniforms against Northwestern turnover. Now let's get to the picks!

1. Kansas State at Texas
     The Longhorns are coming off a bye week and their stomping of arch rival Oklahoma two weeks ago. After that game everyone started cheering and boasted about how Texas was back. They might want to hold off a little bit before they think Texas is back in the major ranks of College Football. Bill Synder's Power-Cats are never an easy team face. They took Oklahoma State and TCU down to the wire, but were crushed by the Sooners last week 55-0. Even though they have struggled on offense throughout the year, they have been able to hang with high-powered offensive teams. I think that they will make this game interesting down in Austin, but the Longhorns' newly found run game will carry them to victory. Texas 38, K-State 27.

2. 6 Clemson at Miami (FL)
     The sixth ranked Tigers travel down to South Beach to take on the dangerous Hurricanes. Brad Kaaya has the 'Canes offense flying high averaging over 300 yards passing per game. Clemson's defense is never one that you'd like to see on your schedule, but this game has upset potential. An 11 am kickoff, on the road, Miami getting back on track... Not the ideal recipe for a Tigers victory. Clemson has handled all of their conference games quite well so far this year, and I imagine they will continue that trend all the way through the ACC Championship. Kaaya will be under too much pressure from Clemson's front four, throw two big interceptions at key points in the game, and the Tigers will win 30-21.

3. 23 Duke at Virginia Tech
     The Hokies have had a number of tough games, along with a number of tough injuries. They are still a dangerous team, and Junior backup QB Brenden Motley has been playing very well with over 1100 yards and 11 TDs. Duke on the other hand has been looking for a birth into the ACC Championship since day one, and has not let up. They have the 2nd ranked scoring defense in the nation giving up only 9.3 points per game. I think that their defensive pressure will be too much for a banged up Hokie team, and the Blue Devils will win 34-21.

4. Texas Tech at 17 Oklahoma
     The Sooners are coming off of a beat down up in Manhattan where they handed the Wildcats a 55-0 stomping. They seemed to find their offense last week after losing it against Texas in the Red River Rivalry. We can expect a lot of offense to occur in this one, the Red Raiders are averaging 49 points a game while the Sooners average 40. The Red Raiders have made it interesting against a couple teams this year, most notable is TCU, but Oklahoma at home will be too much. Baker Mayfield will have a stellar game against his former team and make Kingsburry wish he had offered him that scholarship. Sooners 48, Red Raiders 38.

5. 15 Texas A&M at 24 Ole Miss
     The Aggies are coming off of their big loss at home to the hands of the Tide. Ole Miss is coming off of a big upset from a red hot Memphis team. It's hard to say who will be more motivated in this one. This is the only match up between top 25 teams this week, and it features two very good QBs. Chad Kelly out of Ole Miss has been phenomenal in their wins, but has struggled mightily in their losses. The most surprising thing to me is that Ole Miss's defense has been torched in their two losses. Their land-shark defense was one of the best in the country last year, so it's odd to see them struggle this year. This plays well into the hands of Aggie QB Kyle Allen. Texas A&M has had a very strong offense all season, and I anticipate a big game from Allen. Another big factor will be the pressure A&M can get on Chad Kelly. Defensive End Myles Garrett has been reeking havoc on opposing QBs all year, and won't let up this week. Chad Kelly will be harassed all game and the Aggies will win this game 35-24.

6. Western Kentucky at 5 LSU
     By name, this doesn't look like a very interesting game to watch, but this will be an interesting one. WKU has a very prolific offense, and although they might not be on the same level as the Tigers, they can score points. I can see upset potential here, but it's a stretch. The Tigers may feel like they can cruise into their bye week after they knocked back the Gators with a fake field goal last week, but the Hilltoppers will make them work for it. Brandon Doughty has WKU's offense as the 3rd best passing offense averaging over 400 per game, and the 6th best scoring offense averaging 44 points per game. He has over 2700 yards, and a 24:4 TD to INT ratio. If LSU tries to overlook the Hilltoppers, they could be in trouble. I still have the Tigers winning 38-31, but I would not be shocked if an upset occurred. Watch this game, it will be interesting.

7. 3 Utah at USC
     The Utes have survived a couple of scares the past couple of weeks, but they are walking into an upset friendly Coliseum down in LA. The Trojans are coming off of two straight losses and their coach recently being fired. They have all the weapons to pull the upset, but they'll need to slow down Devontae Booker to do so. Booker has continued to run wild, and in my opinion should be in the conversation of the Heisman. I think that USC will get a lead, but the Utes will ride Booker to victory in a second half comeback. Utah stays unbeaten with a 31-27 comeback.

8. Northwestern at Nebraska
     The Huskers are coming off a major confidence boost as they beat the Gophers 48-25 last week. Northwestern comes to Lincoln on the heels of two blow out losses after starting the year undefeated. Their offensive struggles have caught up with them the past couple games, and should continue in Lincoln. Freshman QB Clayton Thorson struggles mightily under pressure, and with the Huskers getting both Freedom and Michael Rose-Ivy back from injury, expect a lot of sacks against a leaky Wildcat O-line. On the other side of the ball, look for Nebraska to follow Michigan's & Iowa's example and run the ball. The Northwestern defense has struggled a lot against the run the past couple weeks giving up 201 to Michigan and 294 to Iowa. I think that the Huskers will continue to get better and bring out another dominating performance. The Blackout will result in a 45-20 win for the Huskers!

     I hope you all have a great Saturday of watching football! I'm going to have a blast hanging out with the recruits before the game. Please comment if you have any other picks, and GO BIG RED!

Wednesday, October 21, 2015

Week 7 Reflections

     Hey everyone, hope you all enjoyed the crazy weekend of football we had! I had a great 4 day weekend off of school, and am pumped for the game this weekend against Northwestern. I went a solid 6-3 on my predictions this week. My Penn State - Ohio State pick was a lot of blind hope, but that's alright. I am surprised that it took Urban Meyer to realize that JT Barrett should be starting, but that's going to make it a lot harder for teams to pull the upset. Also, even though I picked Michigan to win, I was more than happy to watch them lose in that fashion! What a crazy finish to a football game. Plus, it'll be nice to have an undefeated Spartan team walk into Lincoln only to be knocked off!
     The Husker game definitely lifted some weight off of Husker nation. Nebraska finally put together a near complete game, and looked like they could play with almost anyone in the nation. Pass defense still has some work to do, but they have made improvements. I've seen it in practice, and I'm starting to see more and more of it in the games. Trust me, being a defensive back is a tough job. It seems really simple, and it's the easiest position to learn. However, it's the hardest position to play. Especially how the Blackshirts play it. With the Husker's new defensive scheme, there's a lot of mid-play rotations and switches. Players often have to switch coverage mid play, causing confusion. Once our DBs can figure it out, we'll have a much stronger defense, just give them some time. I would like to point out that making a play on the ball is something that needs to be worked on. Anyone can see that our guys are in a great position to make a play and break up the pass, but they just can't quite finish. A little more work on ball skills, and I think the Blackshirts will be back to shutting down the pass game just as much as the run. Speaking of the run, Nebraska only gave up 65 rushing yards to a run-heavy Gopher offense. Obviously losing David Cobb from the last couple years has hurt the Gophers this season, but to go from 271 and 281 in 2013 & '14 respectively down to just 65, that's impressive. The Blackshirts have played quite well since starting conference games, and they finally ended their long turn over drought with 3 against Minnesota. Josh Kalu's pick-six and Nate Gerry's interception sealed the game for the Huskers and crushed any hopes of a Gopher comeback. Hopefully this game will be a good confidence boost for the defense as they head into the rest of their conference schedule. They'll need a lot of confidence when Michigan State comes to town on November 7th.
     Offensively, that was one of the best performances that I have seen from the Huskers in recent years. The play calling really seemed to click other than one drive early in the fourth. The offensive line came off of the ball hard and dominated the line of scrimmage. This opened up a lot of holes for the running game, including one that Newby took for 69 yards on Nebraska's opening drive. It looked like the Huskers had a lot more rhythm on offense, and really set up some plays well. Tommy played really well, especially when pressured. He had a couple of erratic throws, but I'm sure his timing will get better as he progresses in Riley's system. This weekend will be a big test for the offense, Northwestern has been beaten down hard in their last two games. Not to mention that the last time they came to Lincoln, they lost on RK3's Hail Mary to Westerkamp. I would really like to see the offense step up and put two solid games back to back. When a team does that, they believe it can happen every week, and they start to get that swagger. Consistency is key to winning championships, and back to back performances is the first place to start.
     Overall, I thought that the game against the Gophers was a great win for the Huskers, and will be huge moving forward in the season. One key stat that I would like to point out from Saturday's game is the lack of penalties on the Huskers. Nebraska only recorded two penalties the entire game, and one of them was a sideline infraction. Good teams avoid penalties, and that's the least penalized Nebraska game that I have seen in a very long time. It all comes back to consistency though, this weekend will be a big picture to how the Huskers will move on with the rest of their season.
     For my week 8 predictions, I will be posting them on Friday night as I have to be over to the stadium at 8am. We've got another great set of games this weekend, and I can't wait for Gameday! Please comment if you'd like me to give my reflections on any other teams and how their season is going. I think that would be a lot of fun to look at, and if you have any questions or topics that you'd like me to write on, please let me know! Thanks, and GO BIG RED!

#CollegeFootballKnowItAll
Alex Fernando

Saturday, October 17, 2015

Week 7 Predictions

     Get up everyone, IT'S GAMEDAY! We have a fantastic slate of games lined up for us to watch this Saturday. Thursday started us off with Stanford absolutely ripping apart the Bruins of UCLA. If anyone missed that game, there is a link to below to one of the most amazing catches I have ever seen, and that's about all you need to know from that game. Then last night, Utah State upset number 21 Boise State 52-26! The Aggies came away with 7 turnovers, the most in a college football game in the last 10 years. Crazy games have set us up for a crazy weekend in College Football! Here's my picks for this week's games.

http://www.npr.org/sections/thetwo-way/2015/10/16/449192834/watch-stanford-wide-receiver-makes-catch-of-the-year

1. 17 Iowa at 20 Northwestern
     Big game in the West Division of the BIG 10. Iowa is undefeated for the first time since 2009, and have only given up 1 rushing touchdown all season. Northwestern has a tough defense of their own, but after the beat down they took in Ann Arbor last week, one has to question how many pieces they have picked up. I think that this will be a close game, and turnovers are going to be key. The Hawkeyes are banged up a bit after losing their best D-lineman for the rest of the year. QB CJ Bethard is expected to play, but I wouldn't be surprised if he needs to come out later in the game. If Northwestern wants to compete in the West this year, this is a must win game, or Iowa will have a cakewalk to the BIG 10 Title game. Freshman QB Clayton Thorson should have a much easier time playing at home. I think that Northwestern's defense is hungry after last week and will have a good crowd behind them, even with the early kickoff. Iowa will need to prove themselves in this game, but I've got Northwestern winning just to make the Division race interesting. Wildcats 24, Hawkeyes 17.

2. 11 Ole Miss at Memphis
     Some of you might wonder why I picked this game, but trust me, this one could get interesting. Memphis remains as one of the few unbeaten teams this year, and they have the nation's 7th best scoring offense along with the 12th best passing attack. They have not quite played the level of competition that Ole Miss has, but they can cause trouble. In my opinion, this could be a trap game for Ole Miss. They cruised to an easy 52-3 win against New Mexico State last week, and they have a showdown with unbeaten Texas A&M coming up next week. No one would expect a simple trip to Memphis would cause problems right? Wrong! I've got the Tigers edging out the Rebels in this one. Memphis QB Paxton Lynch has yet to throw a pick this season. He's facing a disrupting "Landshark" defense, but I think that Lynch and the Tigers will sneak up at the end and take it! Tigers 47, Rebels 42.

3. 10 Alabama at 9 Texas A&M
     This one sets up to be a pretty interesting match-up. A&M has looked very good this season, especially at home. Bama is never a team to try and walk over though. They play better than anyone on the road, losing only 2 road games since 2011. The Tide have figured out their offensive struggles and look to roll their way back into title conversation. I don't believe that the Aggies will be able to keep up with the powerful offense of the Tide. Bama rolls again 45-17.

4. 7 Michigan State at 12 Michigan
     Big Brother vs. Little Brother. Battle for the Paul Bunyan Trophy. Spartans vs. Wolverines. This rivalry has big implications this year. Michigan looks to take control of "Little Brother" in a series that has shifted toward the Spartans who have won 6 out of the last 7. Michigan State has not looked the best this year however. Although undefeated, they've had to survive two late comebacks against two of the BIG 10's worst teams. Purdue and Rutgers both hung around and nearly upset the Spartans over the past two weeks. On the other side, Michigan has recorded 3 straight shut-outs. I think the boys in blue are going to make a statement to the nation today. Michigan knocks "Little Brother" down today 24-13.

5. 8 Florida at 6 LSU
     The Gators took a big hit in the beginning of this week losing their starting QB Will Grier for the rest of the year. Backup Treon Harris has a tough task walking into one of the most formidable venues in College Football. Death Valley will be rocking tonight, making it very difficult for the Gator offense to get moving. On the other side, the Gators have one of the best defenses in the nation. However, they have not met the young man by the name of Leonard Fournette. This kid runs over, around and through all opposing defenses. Fournette runs over the Gators and the Tigers win 35-17.

6. USC at 14 Notre Dame
     Always a classic rivalry game to watch down in South Bend. The Trojans are coming off of a tough week and probably just want to get on the field and forget about it. After losing to Washington last Thursday, head coach Steve Sarkisian was fired on Monday and then checked into a rehab facility. Since 2007, Notre Dame is 2-4 in games played after their annual Navy game. Lots of emotions in this one, it could be close, but I have the Irish winning at home 35-21.

7. Penn State at 1 Ohio State
     Ohio State will be reppin' all black uniforms as they take on the Nittany Lions in the Horseshoe tonight. Penn State has played very well since their opening loss at Temple, but this is their first road test of the season since that loss. It's never easy to get a win in the Horseshoe for opposing teams, but Ohio State has not looked up to par this season. They have struggled in a majority of the games they have played, especially on offense. Penn State has a very tough defense which is anchored by Senior DT Carl Nassib. Carl leads the nation in sacks, and has been a terror for offensive lines. Penn State will play well today, Christian Hackenberg has a 7:2 TD to INT ratio. If their defense can step up to the big stage, they have a very good chance to pull of the upset against a puzzled Buckeye team. Pressure on Cardale Jones will be key to success for the Nittany Lions. I think that Penn State will really come out fighting in this game and make a statement. They will finally knock number 1 off the top with a close 28-24 win against the Buckeyes.

8. Arizona State at 4 Utah
     Can the Utes continue their early season success? This is a tough question to answer because we don't know which Sun Devil's team will show up to Salt Lake City. In ASU's two losses, they've had 6 total turnovers. In their four wins on the year, they have turned it over 6 times as well. ASU has already played their devil-like roll upsetting UCLA at home a couple weeks ago, but this will be a tougher task. The Utes have played very tough against opposing QBs. Last week, they recorded 5 interceptions against stud Cal QB Jared Goff. Plus, on offense, they have one of the top running backs in the nation in Devontae Booker. This kid has been running well all season with 665 yards and 6 TDs. He's also leading the teams in receptions and receiving yards. This is a key player to watch in this match-up. If ASU can shut him down they have a chance. However, I have the Utes in playoff contention still, and they'll win this one 40-35.

9. Nebraska at Minnesota
     This BIG 10 match-up has arguably the best trophy in College Football. The Huskers and the Gophers are not only playing for a conference win, but for The $5 Bits of Broken Chair Trophy. If you have not heard of this trophy or the story behind it, LOOK IT UP! It's by far the best story behind a trophy you will ever hear/read. Now for the game, it's a toss up. It really depends on which teams show up. Nebraska has struggled to close out games, but Minnesota has struggled to even show up to games this year. For the Huskers, pressure on the QB, moving the ball on offense, and finishing drives are key to a sure victory. The Huskers need to put together a whole game if they want to stop this 2-game losing streak to the Gophers. Look for the Huskers to use the ground game against a weak Gopher defense. I've got my Huskers in this one, 38-23.

     Hope everyone has a fantastic Saturday! Comment if you have any picks of your own, GO BIG RED!

#CollegeFootballKnowItAll
Alex Fernando

Tuesday, October 13, 2015

Week 6 Reflection

     Another tough, last second loss for the Huskers. This has been a very difficult season for Nebraska, and a rough start for first year coach Mike Riley. Nebraska has lost by a combined total of 12 points in the last 15 seconds of the game in their four losses. I always say that there's a little bit of luck in all of those, but there's also poor execution by the Huskers. My biggest concern has now officially shifted to the offense. They can't blame the weather or an early start on this one, last Saturday was a perfect day for football.
     The defense has made tremendous strides in the past few outings, even with lots of injuries piling up. The defense may still be giving up yards throughout the game, but points have been tough to come by. However, they have not been able to close out the games and hold the opposing offense down in the final minute. The last two games have been won by last minute drives by the Illini and the Badgers. The defense gives up the big drives at the most in opportune time in the game. This is an issue that needs to be fixed soon, the Blackshirts need to finish out these games to get the win.
     Even with all of the last second drives, the offense must shoulder most of the blame in my opinion. I'm not sure if the players are struggling with the new system, or the play-calling is just bad, but something is wrong on the offensive side of the ball for the Huskers. We have play-makers, and we have plays to get them the ball. However, we're not executing these plays, we're not moving the ball on drives, and most importantly, we're not scoring. Our offense has scored 35 points in the last two games. Illinois is definitely not a defense a team should only score 14 on, and with the number of opportunities that the Huskers have had on offense, 21 against the Badgers isn't quite good enough either. The play-calling has really been getting to me. I watch us line up in our formation and look at how the defense is lined up as well. I can usually predict what play or type of play will be ran, and I can tell even before the snap that it's not going to work. This was very apparent to me on the final offensive drive for the Huskers against Wisconsin. The Huskers ran three straight runs right into the middle of the line for a total of four yards. The last play especially angered me because we set up in the "I" formation with a wide receiver on the right side. Wisconsin had a Corner head up on the WR and then a Safety shadowing over the top. The rest of their defense was in the box, giving the Huskers a 2-on-2 matchup for an outside run. Instead they ran a full back dive up the middle, just like Wisconsin was expecting. If they had faked the dive and ran an option to the right side with the Receiver, they would've chewed up more clock with a longer play, and had a decent chance at getting the first down with only the Safety to beat. Instead, we got a one yard gain, took off three seconds and punted the ball away allowing Wisconsin to drive in for the winning field goal. If they Huskers are going to make a bowl game this year (Yes, it is still a possibility) the offense really needs to step up and help the defense. We cannot afford to let teams hang around in close games, the defense struggles just enough to give up points at the wrong time. If the Huskers can build up a solid lead while the defense is playing strong, we will be able to close out these tight games in our favor.

     Elsewhere around the nation, the College Football world is erupting with news. Starting with the games, Texas upset Oklahoma in the Red River Rivalry with an amazing rushing performance of 313 yards compared to OU's 67. TCU and Michigan State survive another possible upset, and the boys in blue up in Ann Arbor have proven they are the real deal stomping Northwestern 38-10. I ended up with a 3-4 record for my Week 6 picks, hopefully I can keep improving.
     Other news in the CFB world includes: Florida's starting QB receiving a 1 year suspension for testing positive for Performance Enhancing Drugs, Steve Sarkisian being asked to take an indefinite leave of absence and then getting fired the next day from USC, and finally, "The Old Ball Coach" is stepping down from being the head coach at South Carolina. The Florida situation comes at a difficult time for the program as they travel to Death Valley to take on the unbeaten Tigers of LSU this week. Sarkisian checked himself into a rehab facility soon after being fired and is going to be treated for alcohol addiction. I've heard numerous stories in the past few days from sources near the Trojan football program about Sarkisian coming to team functions drunk and getting blackout drunk after the Holiday Bowl win last December. None have been confirmed yet, but there is definitely a problem and it's good to see Sarkisian addressing it, no matter how late. Finally, on Spurrier's "resigning", it's an interesting topic. His interview was intriguing to watch as he discussed his future plans and how he wants to continue coaching on a smaller scale. Finding a replacement for both USC's will be a big task this off-season for these two major programs.
     Lastly, I would like to give my top 4 teams that would make the playoff if we had to choose today. At number 4, I have Clemson. The Tigers have proven that they still have one of the best defenses in the country and an offense that can still put up solid points even without big name play-makers. Number 3 is Baylor. Yes, the lack of competition has made for a fairly simple road to a 5-0 start, but the Bears have been quite impressive in their wins. At number 2, I have Utah. The Utes have played a decently challenging schedule so far this season, and have played it well. Stealing 5 passes away from Jared Goff last week was nothing to overlook, their defense is fast and disciplined. A little more offense, and they could win it all this year. Finally, at number 1, I have the Bayou Bengals. LSU, mostly Leonard Fournette, has been running over, around and through every defense they've faced this year. He'll have a big test against a strong Gator defense this week, but right now, they are playing better than anyone in the nation. I hope everyone likes my reflections, and if you want me to take a look at any other teams or topics specifically, please comment! Have a great week and GO BIG RED!

#CollegeFootballKnowItAll
Alex Fernando

Saturday, October 10, 2015

Week 6 Predictions

     Hey everyone, we've got some big games this weekend, and I cannot be any more excited for the Huskers' big showdown with the Badgers. The Nebraska-Wisconsin rivalry has gotten bigger every year, and now has the Freedom Trophy for the second year. I'm more of a fan of the Broken Chair Trophy between Nebraska and Minnesota, but beating Wisconsin will have to do for now, Minnesota can wait a week. Obviously with a big game like this, the Huskers are bringing in a lot of recruits! I'm very excited for my tour tomorrow, it's always fun getting to know the recruits and their families. My favorite part is talking football with them, but just to think that I get to have a direct impact on helping them in their recruiting choice is pretty cool. I'll be doing my best to get us the best recruits possible! Now onto my picks for the week, if anyone thinks they can beat me, or wants more games to have a prediction on them, please comment!

1. 11 Oklahoma vs. Texas
     The Red River Rivalry, one of the oldest and most recognizable rivalries in college football. As a Husker, I am taught to hate both of these teams with a burning passion, but this is always a fun game to watch. The passion in this rivalry is one of the best, and that always leads to a great game. Texas is struggling... to say the least. Oklahoma has won all of their games so far, but I'm still not buying into them. Texas doesn't look like they can beat them the way they're playing though. However, I ALWAYS say that you should never count a team out, especially in a rivalry game. Texas QB Jerrod Heard has brought a dynamic, play-making ability to the Longhorn's offense, but has a long way to go before they can start winning consistently. Baker Mayfield has been torching opposing defensing, and will continue to do so against Texas. This will be a close one, but I think Oklahoma will pull it out. I would love to see a Texas upset though, just to take OU down a peg. Sooners 25, Longhorns 20.

2. Indiana at Penn State
     This game probably doesn't look appealing to most viewers, but with how well Indiana played the Buckeyes last week, this will be a good game to watch. Penn State has a tough defense, but a very sluggish offense. Indiana is known for their fast-paced offense, and their defense has improved very much from last year. They are still susceptible to gashing big plays, and that was ultimately their demise last week against Ohio State. Penn State at home is always tough, and the Hoosiers are still ailing after injuries to both their starting QB and RB were knocked out of last weeks game. Both Sudfeld and Howard are listed as questionable for the Penn State showdown. Backup QB Zander Diamont played very well against Ohio State and will play well against the Nittany Lions if he has the start. I think that Indiana will bounce back from a tough loss to the Buckeyes and take out their frustration on Penn State. Hoosiers 35, Nittany Lions 21.

3. Navy at 15 Notre Dame
     Always a fun game to watch in my opinion. The option ground attack of the Midshipmen always seem to push the Irish to the very brink of an upset. Notre Dame handled Georgia Tech earlier this year, which runs a very similar system to Navy. However, Navy has run over, around and through everyone on their schedule. The Irish struggled for 3.5 quarters against Clemson, and the Midshipmen are giving up an average of 15 points per game. If they don't start off hot against Navy, an upset could be brewing. Navy dominates teams in TOP, causing opposing defenses to wear down. Coming off a tough loss in Death Valley could still be on the minds of the Irish. This could get ugly for the Irish, but I think that they rebound quickly after their loss and avoid the upset. Notre Dame 44, Navy 28.

4. 13 Northwestern at 18 Michigan
     Huge game in the BIG 10 conference between the top two defenses in the nation. Both teams have struggled over the past couple years, but have had very close games with each other. Michigan has won the last four meetings including two Overtime games. Northwestern's Freshman QB Clayton Thorson and Sophomore RB Justin Jackson are the two key factors on offense. Jackson has 636 yards through 5 games, and has rushed for over 100 yards in 10 of his last 13 games. If he can get going on the ground, that will take a lot of pressure off of Thorson. It will also open up the spread-play action passing game that Northwestern often tears apart defenses with. Michigan on the other hand has been on fire after their opening loss at Utah. Their offense seem's to struggle early on in games, but finds its groove and sticks to it. This is where I think Northwestern can pull the upset. They already have a good road win at Duke, but this will be a much tougher test. This game will be decided by whichever team can get their offense going first against a very tough defense. Don't expect a lot of scoring in this one, unless by the defenses. I've got the Wildcats in a close one, 16-10.

5. Miami (FL) at 12 Florida State
     Another classic rivalry in college football, the Canes and the 'Noles. The FSU-Miami game is always a good one. Everett Golson has the Seminoles offense humming and the Canes are coming off of a long week to think about that loss at Cincy. Florida state hasn't played the best competition, but have claimed one of the toughest defenses to score on throughout the year. I think that it will be tough for Miami to put up a lot of points, FSU's defense is very fast and gets a lot of pressure. Kaaya has gotten better, but on the road with Florida State's pressure, I think it will be too much. Seminoles win it 35-20.

6. 23 Cal at 5 Utah
     Big time game in the Pac-12 North Division. Two unbeaten teams face off in Salt Lake City. The Utes have surprised everyone this year, specifically with their trashing of Oregon. Travis Wilson has been playing with a ton of confidence this season and has brought a fire to this team. He faces off against arguably the best QB in the Pac-12 and one of the best in the nation. Jared Goff has the Golden Bears offense as the 9th best passing team in the nation. He has over 1600 yards already this season with an impressive 15:4 Touchdown to Interception ratio. The biggest problem Cal faces is on defense. The bears are giving up around 24 points per game while the Utes only give up 18. Turnovers are going to be key in this show down. Most people forget that both of these teams are undefeated, especially with Cal. Goff has been playing well, but Salt Lake City is a tough place to win. I think the Utes will hold strong in this one and win 38-28.

7. Wisconsin at Nebraska
     Big game in the BIG 10 West. Obviously both teams are struggling so far this season, but this is still a young rivalry and always sets up for a good game. Nebraska hasn't always played well against the Badgers, but they have yet to lose to them at home since joining the BIG 10. Nebraska has had big problems on offense, specifically when they cross the 50. Strong drives are being shut down because of stupid penalties and bad play calling. I'm looking for a lot more of the running game to be a factor in Nebraska's offense. Armstrong has made some great improvements at Quarterback, but he should not be throwing more than 25 times per game. Nebraska is much stronger on the ground, and so is Tommy. Hopefully the Coaching staff has learned from their previous clock management mistakes throughout the season and have made adjustments. Wisconsin is struggling on offense, but holds strong on defense. Look for this to be a close game, both run defenses are not going to give up much. Turnovers, as always, will be key in this game. Two fumbles in this game could be the difference. The Blackshirts have a better chance than the experts might think, Wisconsin seems to struggle more on offense than the Huskers. Look for Tommy to take command and finish drives in this game. I've got the Huskers winning 30-26.

     I hope everyone has a great Saturday! I'm very excited to go help with recruiting. Nebraska has a lot of big name recruits at this game, and I'm going to give them the full Husker Experience! GO BIG RED!

#CollegeFootballKnowItAll
Alex Fernando

Tuesday, October 6, 2015

Week 5 Reflection

     That was a rough one for Husker fans, plain and simple. It was a rough weekend for my picks too; I ended up 2-8 with a couple of close ones and a few blowouts. That's alright though, because there's still a lot of football left to be played. Husker fans need to really take that into consideration, we have plenty more games. Let's dive into the analysis of the Nebraska-Illinois game.
     This was definitely a game that Nebraska should've won, quite easily in my opinion. However, once again, one part of the team failed to show up, and really hurt our chances. This time, it was the offense. The defense played lights out until parts of the final quarter of the game, and can only be partially blamed for this loss. The offense needs to take most of the blame here, they left a lot of points on the field. Yes, everyone will blame the 3rd and 7 at the end of our last drive. Yes, we definitely should've ran the ball and chewed up clock. No, that is not the only reason we lost the game. If Nebraska converts just a handful of the other 3rd downs throughout the game (the Huskers were 4/17), I promise you the score isn't even close at the end of the 4th quarter like that. My biggest issue (probably the same as most people) is that Nebraska did not run the ball. I did not like a lot of the play calls in this game for the Huskers. Langsdorf and Riley have done a fantastic job with developing Tommy, and he has been playing much better this season. That being said, he is a running Quarterback and always will be. His passing game has improved significantly, but he's a play-maker with his feet. I really don't like watching Tommy throw 30+ times a game, especially in windy conditions like Saturday had. Nebraska ran a total of 65 plays on Saturday, 34 runs and 31 passes. A handful of the runs were design passes that Tommy scrambled on as well, so I think the numbers would be a little closer to 30 and 35 respectively. This doesn't seem like a big difference, but just a 3-4 yard run compared to an incomplete pass means that we potentially left 15-20 yards out there. Those definitely could've been used on some of the 3rd downs we had throughout the game. The difference in run/pass plays also leads to a big difference in Time of Possession (TOP). Nebraska ended up about 2 minutes behind in TOP. That makes a big difference in close scoring games like Nebraska has been in. Against BYU, Nebraska was over 5 minutes behind in TOP. The lack of the run game hurts the Huskers on multiple fronts. I was happy to see our true Freshman running back, Devine Ozigbo, perform well. That is exactly why we took him away from ISU, he's a very good football player. I hope Coach Riley and Coach Langsdorf realize that the Huskers are much better at running the ball. Don't get me wrong, I love the passing game and the big plays that come out of it, but when Tommy can't hit the deep balls like we need him to, we shouldn't continue to throw them, even if the safeties are playing up. I think that if Nebraska were going to be around 65 plays a game, the ratio for run/pass should be closer to 40/25 or better. Tommy has made great improvements, but strives in the run game.
     On the defensive side of the ball, there's only one thing to talk about. That would be the deep bomb that went over Nate Gerry's head on the final drive to set Illinois up for the game winning touchdown. Nate Gerry is not my only concern on that play though. I have a big issue with the formation Nebraska was set up in at the start of that play. The Blackshirts were in a 4-2 defense, 4 linemen, 2 linebackers, and 5 defensive backs. Illinois only has one thing that they can do in a situation, and that's pass the ball down field. The Illini had no timeouts left, so crossing routes across the middle were not going to be extremely useful unless they had good yardage along with them. Knowing this, I personally would've either taken out a lineman for another DB, or taken out one of the linebackers for another DB. We've seen all season that our linebackers have serious coverage issues, so why have them in? I would've had as much coverage as possible during that last minute. As for the two pass interference calls in the corner of the endzone, the first was legitimate in my opinion, but the second was a bad call. The Illini receiver pulled Husker DB Chris Jones into him and threw up his arms at the last second. Chris didn't have a chance and Illinois got a new set of downs. The defense did play quite well, shutting down Illinois for 3 quarters.
     To all the fans who want Riley's head already, you need to relax. Bo was 3-3 to start his first year at Nebraska, the season is not over, and the West Division is wide open. Yes, I'm extremely optimistic, but there's no point in being negative, that just makes everyone upset! At least when you look at it in a positive light you have something to smile about. At the end of the day, yes we want the Huskers to dominate everyone, but that just not always an option. Sometimes you've got to roll with the punches and just enjoy a hard fought football game. Things will turn around, maybe not right away, but they will. Nebraska has a very good chance to beat a struggling Wisconsin team this week, so there's a lot to look forward to! I will say that I think Langsdorf and Riley need to rethink parts of their playbook though. For now, let's all just relax and see what adjustments are made throughout the season. Nobody knows what lies ahead, so we all might as well be positive about it! Get ready for a big game, big weekend, and GO BIG RED! Thanks!

#CollegeFootballKnowItAll
Alex Fernando

Saturday, October 3, 2015

Week 5 Predictions

     I hope everyone is ready for an action-packed Saturday of College Football, because we have some great games to watch today! Conference play is starting up for the BIG 10 along with many other teams, and I've got some big games all over the nation to pick. If anyone would like to receive an email whenever I make a new post, I have added a feature where you can subscribe to my blog! Hopefully this will notify all my readers a little more than my Facebook posts. Now onto the picks!!

1. North Dakota State at South Dakota State
     This is a special pick for some of my SDSU friends! Everyone knows about NDSU and how they're looking for their 5th straight Division 2 National Title. This new rivalry with the Jackrabbits of SDSU will be a fun one. Both teams have very strong football programs in Division 2 and are the top two teams in the Missouri Valley Football Conference (MVFC). Both schools have a very balanced attack on offense, NDSU is a little stronger in the run game while SDSU is more so in the passing game. The key factor to watch in this game will be defense. NDSU is known for one of the best defenses in all of Division 2 football, so this will be a hard fought game. I think the home field advantage will play a big role and SDSU will get revenge for their 3 point loss last December. Sorry Bison, I've got to go with my home state, we're the better Dakota! SDSU 31, NDSU 27.

2. 23 West Virginia at 15 Oklahoma
     I personally am still questioning the strength of the Sooners. They have not played very well against mediocre competition so far this season. However, West Va. hasn't really played anyone worthwhile either. Oklahoma has the impressive OT comeback at Tennessee, and WVU has that 45-6 torching against Maryland, but this will be the first true test for each team in my opinion. Conference play always raises the bar up a level, and this game has big implications on the Big XII. Obviously Baylor & TCU are the top dogs, but if either of these teams want a chance at taking away their title, this is a must win. As you would expect with most Big XII games, there will be a lot of offense and not much defense in this one. I think that WVU will be able to spread out the struggling OU defense and pull out the win. Baker Mayfield will make it a close game, but WVU will get a couple interceptions to seal the game. West Va. 40, Oklahoma 30.

3. Minnesota at 16 Northwestern
     This will be an interesting game to watch for the BIG 10. The West Division is wide open and this game will be a very good indicator on what each of these teams will bring to their conference schedules. Minnesota has more or less fizzled out since giving TCU a scare on opening night. Northwestern has two of the most impressive non-conference wins as anyone in the nation with their shutdown of Stanford and their tough road win versus Duke. I think that they will continue their current path and roll the Gophers. There are just too many questions going on up in the Twin Cities for Minnesota to put together a complete game. Northwestern will spread them out far too much and win 35-20.

4. Iowa at 19 Wisconsin
     This looks to be the first true test for the undefeated Hawkeyes. They played well against mostly lower class opponents during the non-conference games, so opening at Wisconsin this week will be interesting. Iowa has a very balanced attack, and QB CJ Bethard has been playing really well early in the season. Wisconsin on the other hand has the loss to Alabama in the opening and then 3 easy wins against sub-par opponents. It's really hard to say how good these teams are based off of their schedules so far, I think that this game will tell more than anything else they've done so far. Iowa on the road looks promising for an upset, especially in a rivalry like this, but I think that Wisconsin will somehow squeak this this one out. Badgers in a close one 28-24.

5. 1 Ohio State at Indiana
     Honestly, if I had to pick an upset for the week, this might be my choice. Indiana doesn't have the most impressive non-conference wins, but then again, neither does Ohio State. Indiana has a very big one over WKU, and everyone has seen Ohio State struggle the past few weeks. Nate Sudfeld has been playing lights out with nearly 1000 yards, 9 TDs and only 1 pick. UAB transfer Jordan Howard has 675 rushing yards in 4 games for the Hoosiers as well. I think that Ohio State is inside of their own heads a little bit, and their struggles on offense are going to continue. Indiana has kept Ohio State on the ropes in previous years, and I think they will pull the upset. The Hoosiers are going to spread Ohio State's defense every which way, and the Buckeyes struggles on offense will be their demise. It's a bold pick, I know, but just watch Jordan Howard on a few carries and then you'll see why I have confidence in this pick. Plus it'd be kinda nice to see a top team fall this week! Indiana 43, Buckeyes 38.

6. Texas Tech at 5 Baylor
     We've got another shootout set up in Waco today. Last week, the Red Raiders nearly knocked off TCU in a non-stop, action packed, offensive explosion. TTU showed that they can hang with the high-powered offenses in the Big XII. They'll score, just like they did in Fort Worth, but I'm not sure if it will be enough. This will be Baylor's first true test since their non-conference schedule didn't have much to look at. Expect to see a lot of yards and a lot of points. Baylor takes this one 62-56.

7. 13 Alabama at 8 Georgia
     Alabama walks into a game listed as an underdog for the first time since 2009. That alone is going to make for an interesting game. Obviously Bama has had a number of issues this season, specifically at finding a QB. UGA has been tearing opposing defenses to shreds and looks to do the same against the tide. Georgia often struggles in big games however, so Bama could count on the choking factor of the Dogs. In the end, I think that Nick Chubb churns out too many yards and Georgia pulls out a win between the hedges. UGA 24 and Bama 21 in a close one.

8. 3 Ole Miss at 25 Florida
     It's always tough to win in the Swamp, but I'm not quite sure if the Gators are ready for the Rebels in this one. Chad Kelly has this offense cruising at a very high level, and Florida struggles on offense. The Gators have a strong defense, but Kelly will find some holes. Florida pulled it out against their rival Tennessee, but Ole Miss has a much stronger defense than the Vols, and Robert Nkemdiche will be in the backfield before Florida can get the snap. Ole Miss rolls the Gators 35-20.

9. 6 Notre Dame at 12 Clemson
     Big game in bad weather, doesn't get much tougher than that for these two unbeaten squads. Notre Dame's backup QB DeShone Kizer has the Irish playing at a high level on offense. He'll be up against a very fast Tiger defense when they walk into Death Valley though. Kizer will have to make a lot of pre-snap reads and get rid of the ball quickly to avoid sacks. Ball security is key in this game, especially with the weather. Deshaun Watson has played well against low class opponents this year, so it's hard to say how good the Tigers really are. I think the Irish will force too many turnovers and get the win. Notre Dame 42, Clemson 21.

10. Nebraska at Illinois
     Conference opener for both teams and a big road test for my Huskers. I've heard rumors of people picking the Illini to upset the Huskers, but I can't quite see it. I will say that Wes Lunt and the Illini offense will spread out the struggling Blackshirt defense a lot. The biggest key for the Huskers in this game is getting pressure on Lunt. The Huskers have a formidable defensive line, but they often disappear for most of the game. Expect them to get a lot more pressure against a weaker offensive line. On the other side of the ball, the Huskers will likely get explosive Sophomore De'mornay Pierson-El back in rotation this week. He looked very good in practice this week and will give Tommy another vital weapon on offense. Expect the Huskers to use him on a lot of the Jet Sweeps and screens. Hopefully he can bring some life back to special teams as well. I think that the Huskers will have too much offensive power for the Illini to keep up today, and the Blackshirts will get some big turnovers. Nebraska 45, Illinois 28.

     If you have any picks or think you can pick some of these games better than me, leave a comment! Also, remember to sign up with your email so you can receive updates when I make more posts! Enjoy your Saturday and GO BIG RED!

#CollegeFootballKnowItAll
Alex Fernando