Music City Bowl

     This post is all about the Music City Bowl with Nebraska vs. Tennessee. Enjoy reading and GO BIG RED!

Music City Bowl

Nebraska vs. #21 Tennessee

Alex:
     I saved this game write up for last because I wanted to see how difficult the Huskers could make it for me to pick them. It's safe to say they did a pretty good job because our best Wide Receiver Jordan Westerkamp is sidelined with an injury, our starting QB is out with an injury but may be used in an emergency situation, a couple of our linebackers and RBs will likely be playing through injuries and our best defensive player is suspended because he failed 1 of his 2 classes this past semester. -_- PATHETIC! Ugh, sometimes they make it so hard to be optimistic about games like this. Nonetheless, you all know who I'm going to pick, so let's just get to my key factors for victory.
     Nebraska will be starting the Grand Island Gunslinger at QB, so in Ryker we trust. I give the man a lot of credit, because he played well against Maryland on senior day. However, Tennessee is not Maryland and the Vols defense has a much more intimidating front. Defensive End Derek Barnett will look to reek havoc on an offensive line that I have cringed at watching this season. The "Pipeline" will need to have their best game of the season to keep Fyfe upright and give him time to look down field. The Vols give up nearly 230 yards both through the air and on the ground per game on average, so the Husker offense will have opportunities. Early in the year, there was so much potential to have one of the better offensive attacks in the nation, but injuries and a poor lack of execution has brought the Huskers to their measly 26.8 points per game. The ground game will be a focus not only because Tennessee gives up so many yards, but also to take the pressure off of Fyfe and the passing game. Nebraska averages 178 yards per game on the ground, but they'll need more than that to win this one.
     On defense, containing Josh Dobbs is priority number one. His scrambling ability and tendency to move the pocket will cause headaches for the Blackshirts. With Nate Gerry being suspended, Tennessee will likely try to attack Nebraska through the air a little more. Nebraska will need to keep the Vols in 3rd and long and make Dobbs beat them with his arm. The Blackshirts have forced 16 picks this season, and Dobbs has thrown 12 so far this year. Let's hope the Huskers actually show up and look prepared for this game unlike their game against Iowa.
I'll always take my Huskers, but this one will require a lot of help. Huskers win it 30-27!
Also, I would just like to mention that Nebraska is undefeated all time against Tennessee and destroyed Peyton Manning and the Vols in 1998 42-17.

Nate:

     Oh boy, this game… I know Alex has been peppering you with all the stats and a long write up, so I think I’ll keep this short and sweet, just like most of my game write ups.  Anyone else has zero hype for this game. I’m not talking about tempered expectations, I’m talking about a complete lack of desire to even talk or watch the game. I mean that last bit a little flippantly, because of course I’m going to watch the game, but as a fan I feel like a deflated balloon, but instead of the air slowly going out of me, I feel like someone stepped on me with a spiked heel and popped me. I guess I’m avoiding talking about this game just by talking about how people are avoiding talking about this game, but come on, just look at it.

     Our starting quarterback, Tommy Armstrong, is apparently done. We are out our best offensive player Jordan Westerkamp after a non-contact knee injury sidelined him. Best defensive player Nate Gerry is done after not actually attending classes much, or at all. Alex might call me a raging pessimist, but I have serious doubts.

     The worst part of this whole thing is that the stats say that Tennessee should be a very beatable team. They get absolutely gashed on the ground. But do you really think a Newby and Bryant that aren’t going to be 100%, backed by an offensive line that has been straight up bad for long stretches of time, can really get the job done? Tennessee tends to give up time of possession, and doesn’t hold the ball long on their drives. But can we really stop them? The same team that got murdered by Ohio State and looked like we didn’t care against Iowa, really can stop them? Derek Barnett will murder our poor offensive line, and even missing other play makers on that side of the ball, Ryker Fyfe puts no fear into the hearts of the Vols.

     I want to, I really really really want to, but I just can’t homer this pick. I’ll justify it two ways. In your heart of hearts, can you really pick Nebraska? You really think they will win this game? And two, I know Alex is picking the Huskers, but I have some ground I need to make up. Tennessee 30 Nebraska 17

Be ready for my reflection on this game next week after I return from vacation! GO BIG RED!

#CollegeFootballKnowItAll

Special Guest: Nate Muhlbach

Alex Fernando

December 30th- January 2nd Bowl Games

     As bowl season draws to an end, we get to see better and better match ups for our games. This post will have all the big games from the last three days of bowl games MINUS the Husker game. That one will have it's own post for you all to read! So anyways, let's dive into these big bowl match ups and make our picks! So far the count is Alex at (13-11) and Nate at (11-13). (Headed into Thursday)

December 30th

Autozone Liberty Bowl

Georgia vs. TCU

Alex:
     Kirby Smart has lead Georgia to a 7-5 season in his first year at the helm, but it could've even been better than that! Three out of 5 of the Bulldogs' losses were by a field goal or less. Nonetheless, they come into this game looking to put a strong win at the end of their year and focus on finishing out those games in year two under Smart. TCU on the other hand has been on a roller coaster of a season, finishing at 6-6. Kenny Hill has not played well with his new team, and Gary Patterson will have a lot of questions to work on in the off-season.
     Looking at the game, both teams stack up fairly well as far as offense goes, the only difference is that TCU averages a touchdown more per game. Jacob Eason leads Georgia's passing attack with over 2200 yards and Nick Chubb leads the ground game with 988 yards and 7 TDs. For the Horned Frogs, Kenny Hill has thrown for over 3000 yards this year, but has 13 picks compared to just 15 TDs. On the ground, Junior RB Kyle Hicks leads the Frogs with just under 1000 yards rushing and 12 TDs. Neither team has played very well on defense this season, but I'll give that edge to Georgia because they've played a tougher schedule and kept the games tighter. So who do I pick?? I've always enjoyed Gary Patterson as a coach, and I think he'll bring TCU back once he gets his recruiting cycle organized again. On the other side, Kirby Smart is supposed to be Georgia's new savior since apparently Mark Richt wasn't good enough (I still think that was a dumb fire, I like Kirby Smart, but Richt was a great pick up for Miami). I always say it takes a coach at least 3 years to really turn the team around the corner though, so I don't think he'll get it done this year. Gary Patterson always has his team play in some exciting Bowl games, and I'm ready for another one. Horned Frogs win it in Memphis, 30-27.

Nate:

     Talk about two teams who have been disappointing. Both teams came into the season with an amount of hype that seems almost unreasonable looking back on it. Georgia was primed to shake off the mediocrity that was the Mark Richt era, looking to blaze into the future with a hyped new coach/quarterback combo. A few heartbreaking losses later, and the Dawgs sit at 7-5, wondering what could have been. The good note, is that it does look like they should be trending up.

     The frogs on the other hand, have seemed to go backwards. I had seen many an analyst putting the Horned Frogs in the Playoffs, or at the very least winning or competing for a Big 12 title. Instead, they sit at 6-6, coming off of a very uninspiring loss to Kansas State 30-6 and never seriously contending for the conference at all. 

     The real game play will be how the quarterbacks preform. Both have had struggles this season, but one is a true freshman bound to improve, and one is a senior that is backsliding hard. I do think TCU’s Kenny Hill can be the better QB right now, but he hasn’t impressed over the last half of the season. Jacob Eason is in that batch of Freshman SEC QB’s that I do like, and I think he has room to grow; something that I doubt Hill will get in this month of practice. This game is basically a coin flip of whatever quarterback is on. I think Eason has more room to do that and improve, and the team just looks like it plays better.

Georgia: 27 TCU: 17

Hyundai Sun Bowl

#18 Stanford vs. North Carolina

Alex:

     Stanford has been one of my biggest disappointments of the season because I thought Christian McCaffrey was going to be unstoppable after last season. The REAL 2015 Heisman Winner (Yupp, still salty, not going away anytime soon) had a decent year rushing for over 1600 yards and 13 TDs on the ground while hauling in another 3 TDs through the air. Doesn't really matter though because he's skipping the bowl game to prepare for the NFL draft this upcoming spring. Speaking of Stanford's passing game though, QB Ryan Burns has been flat out horrible. I know the Cardinal don't pass much, but Burns has only 1065 yards through the air this season and a very poor 5 to 7 TD to INT ratio. I'm very happy they've switched over to Junior Keller Chryst who has lead them to 5 straight wins to close out their season. Quick side note; I really don't know why David Shaw and company refuse to use WR Michael Rector in their offense, but I think he would help out if they gave him a few more looks, especially with McCaffrey not playing.

     On UNC's side, they too will be without their star RB Elijah Hood as he is out for medical reasons. However, unlike McCaffrey, Hood is coming back for his Senior Year and will be the main focal point of the offense once again as Junior QB Mitch Trubisky is likely headed for the NFL after this game. Before he leaves though, he'll likely have another big game and he looks to tear apart Stanford's 50th ranked passing defense that gives up nearly 220 yards per game on average through the air.

     With both running backs missing, a majority of the game's weight will be put on these QBs' shoulders. I trust Trubisky with that one even though I like Stanford as a team and program much more (*cough, Academic Fraud at UNC *cough). However, I've gotta stick with my head in this game and say the Tar Heels pull it out. I think Stanford keeps it close, but the Heels win it 33-28.

Nate:

          If I had made this write up a week ago, I would be debating the semantics of how the Stanford running game can push through a Tar Heel defense that isn’t all that great, but any argument I could have made is now missing a McCaffrey sized hole. The running back’s choice feels appropriate for a team that didn’t really live up to the preseason Pac-12 hype, but it leaves an already medium offense without its best weapon. Stanford does have some nice options. Keller Cryst has been nice for them over the last half of the seasons, tossing 9 touchdowns to only 2 picks.  We will get to see the running back of the future for the Cards, as Bryce Love has rushed for 600 yards in relief when McCaffrey was injured. We will see where he stands, and that will be important against a North Carolina Run defense that has let opponents run for almost 200 yards per game.

     Even though Stanford doesn’t have a superstar level player, North Carolina more than makes up for it. Mitch Trubisky has looked absolutely great this season, tossing for 3,500 yards and 28 touchdowns. Looking absolutely like the NFL first pick that many now project him as. Ryan Switzer, his main air weapon has over 1,000 yards and 5 scores.

     Neither team gets or turns the ball over much, so this will be an offensive game. I don’t think Stanford is explosive enough to keep up, but if Stanford can get down to the grindstone and Bryce Love is the real deal, well watch out.

North Carolina: 28 Stanford: 20

Nova Home Loans Arizona Bowl

South Alabama vs. Air Force

Alex:

     I'm not entirely sure why these teams are playing on a day with much bigger games on the slate, but I don't make the schedules and more football never hurt anyone right? Looking at this game, it looks like an obvious pick, but I would like to say that South Alabama is a better team than most might think. The Jaguars upset Mississippi State on the road in week 1, and also destroyed San Diego State's shot at an undefeated season in week 4. They know how to keep games close, but sadly they're still South Alabama. Air Force's ground game should be able to do just about anything they want in this game with little resistance. The Jags give up over 200 yards per game on the ground, and the Falcons average over 320 yards on the ground per game. They should have an easy time with this one as long as they don't try to get cocky. The Jaguars are on the rise and they're sneaky, don't sleep too much on them, but a light nap is okay. Air Force 37, South Alabama 24.

Nate:

     Hey, nothing like squeezing in a bowl that should have been played a week ago into today! Sorry, thinking about the Nebraska game has made my negative side light up like a damn Christmas tree. Even after looking at this game with a clearer head, I don’t find anything special in this one. Air Force is playing like typical Air Force, 4^th in the nation in total rushing yards, solid against the ground game, but can be beaten in the air, ironically, letting 22 scores go by them. I don’t expect South Alabama to punish them though, as QB Dallas Davis has thrown more picks than touchdowns. The Jaguars will struggle defending the run against air force’s steady attack, letting up almost 5 yards per carry, a statistic that won’t win them this game. Expect Air Force to roll.

Air Force: 38 South Alabama: 14

Capital One Orange Bowl

#6 Michigan vs. #11 Florida State

Alex:
     I think (and hope) this will be one of the best games of bowl season. Two high caliber teams with great coaches and talented players square off down in Miami for this game. Michigan comes in with a decent offense and the #2 defense in the nation in both yards and points allowed. Florida State comes into this bowl game with one of the best offensive attacks in the nation and a very athletic defense full of speed and play makers.
     Michigan has looked like one of the best teams in the nation all season long. Their game against Ohio State was absolutely phenomenal, and many said that loss could be argument enough as to why they should be in the Playoffs. Nonetheless, they're set to face off against the Seminoles and Dalvin Cook. Michigan's 12th ranked rush defense will be tested as the Seminoles are averaging over 200 yards per game and Dalvin Cook has ran for over 100 yards in 2/3 of their games this season. Their pass defense should be out in full force and Deondre Francois will be under lots of pressure with Michigan's various blitz packages. On the offensive side of the ball, Michigan will want to look to the air attack. FSU ranks 64th in pass defense in the nation and gives up an average of 225 yards per game through the air. Wilton Speight won't light anyone up per say, but he has enough weapons to do some damage against the 'Noles' defense. Look for Jake Butt and Amara Darboh to cause headaches for FSU's secondary.
     Florida State needs to control the ball and the clock if they want to win this game. Michigan's offense isn't nearly as deadly as they are, but they have the talent to score on anyone. If they let up the much more than the 24 they give up on average per game, I think Michigan takes this one. However, if Deondre Francois can take care of the ball and stay away from the blitz, I think they can pull this one off. I want to see the BIG 10 win this game, and I won't be upset if I'm wrong, but I just have a feeling about the Seminoles. I think they've turned it on the last half of the season and Dalvin Cook will have a big game and FSU's defense steps up. Could go either way in my opinion, but I think Florida State wins a close one 28-27. I really hope this game is as good as I imagine it will be.

Nate:

     Hey it’s a game featuring two really good teams! Michigan has to feel some disappointment, losing a game that would’ve basically propelled them into the playoff. Some say they are overrated some say they are clearly one of the top 4 teams in the nation still. My opinion? I do think they are one of the top 4 teams in the nation, but I don’t think it was a travesty. (I’m of the opinion that almost any team not named Alabama is pretty much interchangeable this year.) For Florida State, they have only just recently gotten over the complete shelling that Louisville put on them early this year, but have looked impressive this November.

     Game wise, this is between two units who are on a collision course. Michigan’s Defense is 2^nd only to the crimson tide in Yards and points allowed. They have a suite of players that I think are great. Jabrill Peppers wasn’t even close to a Heisman candidate, but he is a hell of a player. Taco Charleston and Jordan Lewis are both amazing, NFL caliber players. They will be literally run into by a Seminole offense averaging 474 yards and 35 points per game. Dalvin Cook actually had a Heisman worth season, rushing for 1,600 yards. Freshman quarterback Deondre Francois hasn’t been a world beater, but he has looked promising. Wilton Speight has been fine for the Wolverines, he doesn’t have much in the name of big play dudes, but he has a bunch of solid threats to give the ball to try and take advantage of a State Defense that has had some unfortunate injuries this season.

     So what happens when a buzzsaw meets a rock? Personally I think that the rock will win, but it won’t be a killing. Both teams have talent, but I think Michigan has enough O to take it home. Michigan: 28 Florida State 24

December 31st

Buffalo Wild Wings Citrus Bowl

#20 LSU vs. #13 Louisville

Alex:

     Nate & I both were big Louisville boasters and thought they should have a shot at getting into the playoffs if the right teams lost.... Then Houston happened and we were all out of sorts. The Cardinals dropped their last two games, but are still a very dangerous team with Heisman winning QB Lamar Jackson running the show. The Tigers have been up and down this season, but seemed to have found some light at the end of the tunnel with new Head Coach Ed Orgeron. They fired Les Miles after starting the year 2-2 with close losses to Wisconsin and Auburn. I'm still not convinced that was the right move for the Tigers, but Orgeron is who they wanted, and they've got him now.
     For Louisville, the offensive game plan is pretty simple; Let Lamar do Lamar. Jackson has accounted for more than 50 TDs this season and has just under 5000 total yards. On defense, they will look to slow down the LSU rushing attack with their 9th ranked rush defense that gives up just 110 yards per game on the ground. The Tigers will be without star RB Leonard Fournette as he is skipping the bowl game to prepare for the NFL draft. However, they do have Sophomore RB Derrius Guice who has been incredible this season. I'm scared of the numbers this kid will put up in the future because he has over 1200 yards and 14 TDs on the ground this year. He's coming off of a career game against Texas A&M where he carried the ball 37 times for 285  yards and 4 TDs. The Tigers will look to lean on him and take the pressure off of QB Danny Etling. Etling is a solid QB for LSU, but he doesn't have the play making ability like Lamar. LSU's defense is one in the best in the nation, but they have trouble against dual threat QBs, and they have not faced a QB nearly as good as the 2016 Heisman Winner. I think Lamar pulls the Cardinals through a tight one, but this should be a good game. Louisville 38, LSU 28.

Nate:

     The first time I was on this blog was when Alex mentioned me sticking up for Louisville and saying that they were one of the best 4 teams in college football. Oops. That was a good first impression, as that night they just got destroyed by Houston. LSU went down a bumpy road this season, looking like the most disappointing teams in the nation after they started 2-2. They fired long time, but national championship winning coach Les Miles, and Hired Interim Ed Orgeron. Then they looked like the team they were supposed to be for a few weeks before losing a really tough game against Alabama and a rough one against Florida.

     Game wise, Louisville has a player you might have heard about. Quarterback Lamar Jackson has what I would call a quiet season, racking up almost 5,000 yards and 50 touchdowns. All jokes aside, the Heisman winner has been spectacular, and will try to leverage his skills against a spectacular LSU front 7. Louisville has had a rough couple of weeks of offensive line play, and a D-line that has been tough on Quarterback rushers (Jalen Hurts has the most with 114 Yards) might spell trouble for the Cards. They have some other weapons, most notably Running Back Brandon Radcliffe, but It will be tough.

     LSU does not have Fournette, but they do have Derrius Guice. He isn’t Fournette, but he is pretty good. He’s had multiple games of over 200 yards, and will try to get one against a sneaky good Cardinal Defense (16^th in the nation). Danny Etling isn’t going to light it up, but he has been a solid option in the air.

     Call it SEC bias, but I like LSU. I feel real sketchy going against the Heisman winner, but Louisville coughs up the football a lot, and LSU is more than happy to convert. LSU: 35 Louisville: 30

Taxslayer Bowl

Georgia Tech vs. Kentucky

Alex:

     Two great rushing attacks have helped these teams to solid seasons in 2016. Georgia Tech flopped hard last year, so having a bounce back year like this is good to see. For the Wildcats, this is their first bowl game since 2011. Kentucky has been fun to watch this season, and actually had a shot at winning the SEC East for a while! Even thought they didn't, a 7-5 season is a great improvement from previous years.

     I mentioned the rushing attacks, and that's what I'm going to focus on. The Wildcats are lead by Sophomore RB Stanley Williams who has 1135 yards and 7 TDs on the year. He will be the focal point of their offense as GT gives up 174 yards on the ground per game on average. For the Yellow Jackets, they rank 10th in the nation in rush offense averaging nearly 260 per game on the ground. Kentucky ranks 107th in rush defense giving up 225 yard per game on average, so you can see where the big focus will be. My final key factor in the game is Senior QB Justin Thomas. The three year starter has been fantastic for the Yellow Jackets throughout his career and I think his leadership and experience will carry GT to victory. Kentucky keeps it close, but Georgia Tech wins this game 40-31.

Nate:

     Kentucky has had a quiet good season this year (for Kentucky standards) and went a solid 7-5. I was excited for them, and was rooting for their chances to take the SEC East. Sadly that didn’t happen, but they did still get bowl eligibility, a rarity for them. Georgia Tech had a nice bounce back season after a lame duck 2015, netting 5 more wins from that lame 3-9 campaign.

     For both teams, they will rely on hard nosed rushing attacks. Kentucky will lead with running back Boom Williams, who has gashed opponents for 1,135 yards and seven scores. The Yellow Jackets will attack with Quarterback Justin Thomas, who has some talent on both his feet and his arm. I don’t foresee Kentucky being able to stop the Tech offense, as they have allowed over 200 yards rushing in almost every single game. Kentucky likes to turn the ball over as well, they average two turnovers a game.  Look for the Yellow Jackets to wear down Kentucky over the course of a game. Georgia Tech: 20 Kentucky: 14

Chick-Fil-A Peach Bowl (CFP Semifinal)

#4 Washington vs. #1 Alabama

Alex:

     Everyone seems to already have this game chalked up for the Tide, but I don't think it will be quite as easy for them as most might think. Washington is easily the best, most complete team that Bama has faced all season long. The Huskies have so many great weapons on offense, and Sophomore QB Jake Browning has been incredible with over 3200 yards passing 42 TDs and just 7 picks. Their ground game is lead by Sophomore RB Myles Gaskin who has nearly 1400 yards and 10 TDs. Plus their receivers are some of the best in the nation lead by John Ross and Dante Pettis. Again, this is easily the best team the Tide have faced this season and the arguably one of the best coaches not named Nick Saban with Chris Petersen at the helm.

     Obviously the Huskies will have a lot to deal with when it comes to Alabama's defense, because they are basically un-movable. Jonathan Allen is an absolute monster up front, and the rest of their defense follows his lead. Washington's offensive line will need to be flawless if they want to have a shot in this one. The other big key will be turnovers. Neither Browning nor Hurts give the ball away very often, but with how opportunistic these defenses are, they will both need to be extra careful. Turnovers will likely decide this game in my opinion. I'm really hoping for the upset, because it would be great to see Washington and not Alabama play for the title, but I think the Tide are too much this year. Look for Washington to take that final step next year though, this is a very young, very talented football team. Bama wins a much tighter game than the experts say.

Tide 35, Huskies 30.

Nate:

     Oh boy, playoff time. Some would call this the most wonderful time of the year (including me). I think we all know about Alabama, so lets just talk about the Huskies.

     So how do you win if you are Washington? Well aside from a post-Christmas miracle, you need to have a couple things happen. One, their offensive line has to play perfect. I don’t mean to speak hyperbole, but it’s almost true. Looking over the physical attributes, Washington has the tools, but Jonathan Allen is a man among boys, and the rest of the front seven isn’t a slouch either. Two, Jake Browning will have to be a god. He’s a capable one, throwing for just 42 TDs to 7 picks. He will have to outduel true freshman Jalen Hurts for the Tide, who has looked real impressive this season (oops Alabama found a really good QB) who has combined for over 3,000 yards and 30 touchdowns himself. Washington’s defense is no slouch, they are rated 16^th overall, but comparing the two jobs is almost herculean. I guess that is my number 3 point, the Washington defense has to make Jalen Hurts play like a true freshman. It has happened before, and Washington’s defense is good enough, but man, do you really think they can win this one? This is close to Saban’s most talented team (I still think that the 2010 team that went 10-3 was his most talented) and they are actually playing like it. Don’t look for a Michigan State like score from last year, but don’t expect it to be particularly close either.

Alabama: 38 Washington: 20

Playstation Fiesta Bowl (CFP Semifinal)

#3 Ohio State vs. #2 Clemson

Alex:

     This game is another one where I think it will be an incredible match-up, but I have a difficult time picking a winner. Both teams are lead by outstanding QBs and dynamic offensive attacks. JT Barrett leads the Buckeye and their speedy group of receivers. Curtis Samuel is one of the most explosive players in the nation, so look for Ohio State to use him in a number of ways out of that WR spot. For Clemson, Deshaun Watson leads the Tigers back to the playoffs after falling short to Alabama in last year's championship. He hasn't played quite as well as last season in my opinion, but their offense is still one of the best in the nation and he's the reason. RB Wayne Gallman gives them a lot of balance, but the main focus will be on their passing game because they have one of the best WR corps in the nation lead by Junior Mike Williams.

     So with so much offensive firepower, which team has the best chance of winning? Well usually that question can be answered with defense, but looking at those stats doesn't make it any easier. Both teams boast two of the best defenses in the nation and don't give up many points. The biggest thing I've watched with these teams is there athleticism on defense. They both put a lot of pressure on opposing QBs and have some of the best tackling in the nation (in my opinion one of the most important factors in any game). 

     I think if Ohio State was in the Playoff last year like they probably should've been (still laugh at Tim Beck blowing that Michigan State game for them last season), then this would've been the National Championship match-up. Last year, I think I would've picked the Buckeyes in a meeting between these two, but not this year. I have a feeling about Clemson and they're just such a tough team to beat. Both teams will bring their A games and give us a show, but I think Clemson edges it out in a tight one. I honestly wouldn't be surprised with the possibility of Overtime between these two teams because this is such a great match-up. Tigers 38, Ohio State 36.

Nate:

     Hey, our prime-time playoff looks to be a bit more exciting. We have actual experience with one of these teams (heyo). I don’t want to think about it as much as the rest of you Nebraska fans, but Ohio State has been no less than the second best program in college football for the last few years. For the game, this will come down to one thing, how well the quarterback’s play. The two teams have remarkably similar quarterbacks. Both JT Barrett and Deshaun Watson have been electric this season. Watson didn’t surpass his play last season, but has put up over 4,000 yards and 40 touchdowns on the year. Barrett has put up close to 3,500 yards and 31 touchdowns on the year for himself. They surround themselves with good weapons. The Buckeyes have Curtis Samuel, who has grabbed 800 yards and 9 scores for them. The Tigers have Mike Williams and Wayne Gallman. Williams caught 10 Touchdowns and 1,171 and Gallman rushed for over 4 digits himself. The defenses also look very similar, both in the top of the FBS. 

     This game is about as close to a toss up as you can get for the playoffs. The teams are remarkably similar. For me? I will have to go with the Urban Meyer team, just hard to pick against him.

Ohio State: 28 Clemson: 24

January 2nd

Outback Bowl

#17 Florida vs. Iowa

Alex:

     First one to 20 wins? That honestly might be too much for these teams because points will be hard to come by in this game. Both teams have extremely solid defenses and extremely mediocre offenses. I really don't see a lot of points in this game. Iowa will look to run the ball, but won't have their normal level of success because Florida only gives up 142 yards on the ground per game on average. Florida has barely any offense to begin with, so Iowa's stout defense shouldn't have to do too much more than normal to keep them at bay. Momentum could play a factor as Florida is coming off back to back beat downs for FSU and Bama while the Hawkeyes have won 3 straight to finish out their season. I think Nebraska helped them out a lot by playing Tommy Armstrong, but we don't need to revisit that game. You never know which of these teams will show up, but I'll take Iowa just so the BIG 10 can get another win (please don't make me regret this). Hawkeyes 21, Gators 17. Maybe? Who cares to be honest. It's Iowa & Florida, gross.

Nate:

     Hey, it’s another matchup featuring a team that killed us. Hoorrraaaayyyyy. Oh well, you have to have professionalism I suppose. For this game, expect both teams to have a defensive struggle. Both teams have solid defensive units, but also offensive units that leave much to be desired.

     The quarterbacks for both units have been shrug worthy this season, as Austin Appleby looks like the average backup he was at the beginning of the season. CJ Bethard has taken a massive step back from last year, and it will be tough to get air yards against a Jalen Tabor and Quincy Wilson secondary that has one of the best in the nation (3^rd). Both offenses do have a player I like. Iowa has explosive running back Akrum Wadley, who has gashed for over 1,000 yards on the year. Florida has Antonio Calloway, who doesn’t quite have the big name stats, but will absolutely leave you in the dust on his way to the end zone.

     The Iowa offense just isn’t good enough to score on the Florida D (115^th total offense). The Florida Offense is no gem either, but I think they have enough to get it done. Florida: 20 Iowa: 16

Goodyear Cotton Bowl Classic

#15 Western Michigan vs. #8 Wisconsin

Alex:

     This game has me torn for a number of reasons. I have been a huge supporter of the Broncos over the past couple of years because Head Coach PJ Fleck has built an incredible program & has such a passion for not only his team, but the game itself. I've been saying all season long how I truly believe that WMU could hang with just about anyone in the nation, and this game will provide that test & then some. They've beaten 2 BIG 10 teams already this season, so with the third possible being the Badgers, that'd be huge. Coming into this season, I did not think Wisconsin had the talent to survive their schedule. Their offense still isn't a whole lot to look at, but it's 10x more than what I thought it would be in all honesty. Their two QBs are basically interchangeable, but if healthy, I would give Hornibrook the nod. No matter who is under center though, their two-headed rushing monster with Corey Clement & Dare Ogunbowale will be the main focus of the Badgers offense. Western Michigan will really need to step up on defense to slow down this rushing attack. If they can force a couple of longer 3rd downs, then they can start getting pressure on Wisconsin's QB(s) and keep the Badgers' offense off the field. 

     Offensively, Western Michigan will be tested unlike ever before. Wisconsin's defense has played one of the toughest schedules in the nation, but still post some of the best stats in the nation. They are solid on every level and their speed to the ball is uncanny. QB Zach Terrell will need to get the ball out quickly because Wisconsin likes to bring a lot of pressure. The nations best receiver (yes, I've said it all season & I stand by it) Corey Davis will be shadowed closely by the Badgers 36th ranked pass defense, so the Broncos will need to get him in space to have success.  I want this upset to happen so bad, but Wisconsin is really tough to beat & I don't think they're very happy about letting Penn State come back & beat them in the BIG 10 Championship. Ya know what, screw it! I've been with the Broncos since day 1 and I'm gonna stick with 'em. I think they'll pull the upset or at least keep it closer than people think. Western Michigan is legit ladies & gentlemen, just you wait & see. Broncos upset the Badgers 31-27. ROW THE BOAT!!

Nate:

     Row the boat! What a season for the Broncos of Western Michigan, as they completed their first undefeated season in school history, topping it off with a MAC championship. Must feel good for them. For Wisconsin, they have to be disappointed. They had a trip to the rose bowl almost locked up during the Big 10 championship, now they have to travel and play a G5 team in one of those no wins scenario. Lose and they lost to a lesser team. Win and they “just” beat a G5 school.

     I think the most important thing for the Broncos is that they still have their coach. PJ Fleck was the hottest coach on the market, and it looks like he will stay another year. I have questions on whether or not it’s a good idea for him (personally I would leave when my stock is highest.), but it looks like he’s in a holding pattern until Brian Kelly gets the axe from Notre dame, but alas, he is still here. Western Michigan has a solid offense, led by NFL first rounder Corey Davis. Davis leads all FBS players in active receiving yards with over 5,000, and is a true monster. Zac Terrell is a solid option behind center, and If Trace McSorley can toss for over 300 yards, then Terrell can almost certainly do it as well. It will be rough to get the run game going, and there are questions as to whether they can keep Terrell on his feet to get the ball to his receivers, but it will be a nice battle. 

     Wisconsin will try to jam their run game into a solid Western Michigan defense. Two headed monster Corey Clement and Chris Ogunbowale will try to fight for yards. QB Alex Hornibrook might or might not be back, but Bart Houston is basically the same quarterback.

     Tough game, but I think Wisconsin has the pieces necessary to stop the Western Michigan menace. I am rooting for the Broncos, but look for a shutdown badger D to take control here. Wisconsin: 24 Western Michigan: 14

Rose Bowl

#9 USC vs. #5 Penn State

Alex:

     Arguably the two hottest teams in College Football square off in the Granddaddy of them all, the Rose Bowl. USC and Penn State have both enjoyed incredible season after early stumbles in the year, and both were a game or two away from breaking into the playoffs. Hopefully this will be a more interesting game than the previous shellackings the Rose Bowl usually boasts.

     For USC, Freshman QB Sam Darnold has been the saving grace of the Trojans since he became the starter after early season struggles. Darnold has thrown for over 2600 yards with 26 TDs and just 8 picks this season. USC's entire team is loaded with talent, but their special teams is going to be one of the biggest factors to watch. Adoree Jackson is one of the best return men in the game and he's all over the field for defense as well. Their main focus will be through the air since Penn State's defense is so tough.

     For the Nittany Lions, they need to pound the rock. Saquon Barkely has been a workhorse this season, rushing for over 1300 yards and 16 TDs. His rushing ability opens up the play-action for Penn State, and with how hot Tracey McSorely has been in recent weeks, there's nothing better. McSorely has been phenomenal this year passing for over 3300 yards with a 25 to 5 TD to INT ratio. His ability to keep plays alive outside of the pocket has lead the Nittany Lions to their 9-game win streak, and I think he's going to make it 10. This game will be a tough one, but I think Penn State has something special, and I've got to stick with the BIG 10. Nittany Lions win it 38-33.

Nate:

     Praise Darnold! This is between two teams that can make the claim “Best team left out of the playoffs. Both teams have beaten a team in the playoffs, and both looked like one of the best teams in the country over the last few weeks.

     Penn state is going to look to leverage Trace McSorley for the game. No quarterback has been better than McSorley over the last 2 games. He has thrown for over 700 yards and 8 touchdowns in his last two games. McSorley has been a nice revelation for the Nittany Lions, throwing for 3,360 yards on the season. Him and excellent running back Saquon Barkley will try to propel the Penn state offense.

     For USC, they have the man, the myth, the legend himself, Sam Darnold. Calling Darnold a revelation is an understatement. Starting the year as the backup, after a shaky 2-3 start he came in to great effect, tossing 2,680 yards and 26 touchdowns. He has a few nice weapons, most notably Ju-Ju Shuester-Smith, and a solid defense led by Adoree Jackson.

     This will be a tough game, but I just think Darnold is the best player on the field, and at the QB spot too. Look for USC to eek out a close one. USC: 27 Penn State: 24

Allstate Sugar Bowl

#14 Auburn vs. #7 Oklahoma

Alex:

     Points, points and more points! This game has potential to be one of the highest scoring games this bowl season as both offenses are two of the best in the nation. Auburn has been up and down this year, but some big wins late in the year have propelled them into a big bowl game. Neither team has much defense, so this will depend on which team can hold onto the ball and finish drives. I like to look at the QB play when it comes to a shootout and all the signs point to Baker Mayfield. Oklahoma has turned it on since their 1-2 start, and Mayfield's play is the reason. He has nearly 3700 yards passing with a 38 to 8 TD to INT ratio. 16 of those TD passes have gone to star wideout DeDe Westbrook, and he can outrun any defense. I think Oklahoma pulls away at the end of this game and Auburn can't quite keep up on the scoreboard. Chalk another win up for Big Game Bobby & the Boomer Sooners. Oklahoma 48, Auburn 35.

Nate:

     This sugar bowl looks to be the nightcap on an excellent night. Where I think the other games will be balance, hard fought games, this will be a shootout. Both teams feature some absolutely killer offense, and some less than stellar defense.

     Auburn has a stretch of games where they averaged over 250 yards per game on the ground. It’s an unsustainable statistic, but it shows just how much firepower the tigers are capable of.  QB Sean White and RB Kamryn Pettway will tear through an Oklahoma running defense giving up almost 7 yards per carry. The tigers have a good defense, but it will be hard top stop the 3^rd ranked Oklahoma offense that features two Heisman candidates in Baker Mayfield and DeDee Westbrook.

Tough game, but I see Auburn winning in a shootout. Auburn: 45 Oklahoma: 38

Thanks for reading our picks and enjoy all the games! This is going to be a fantastic weekend to finish up bowl season! GO BIG RED!

#CollegeFootballKnowItAll

Special Guest: Nate Muhlbach

Alex Fernando

December 27th-29th Bowl Games

     I hope everyone enjoyed the Holiday weekend and had a wonderful Christmas! I was very excited to receive a new football as one of my gifts, so my friends and I can start playing our pick up games once we get back to UNL! This post has more Bowl Game Picks by Nate & myself for the games on the 27th-29th! Enjoy!

December 27th

Zaxby's Heart of Dallas Bowl

Army vs. North Texas

Alex:
     This isn't the most interesting of Bowl Match-ups, but it's Army's first time in a bowl game since the 90's, so we can still be excited for them. They've enjoyed a very good season and have done a terrific job of honoring DB Brandon Jackson who was tragically killed in a car accident before the year. Looking into the game, momentum will be huge. North Texas is looking to turn the ship around after losing 4 of their last 5 games, most of them being blowouts. Army is coming off of arguably their biggest win in the past 15 years as they knocked off their arch rival Navy for the first time since 2001. I think Army's defense has a lot of confidence after their previous win and they will come into this game ready to shut down North Texas. The point spread is 11, but I think Army pushes that a bit and wins this game with a solid 30-17 victory. Sorry Mean Green, you're not mean enough to beat Army twice in one season. You never want to play a team twice in the same year... GO ARMY!

Nate:
     The rematch heard around the bowl season! These two teams met once before this season, with North Texas taking a 35-18 victory. So you might think this will be an easy choice? To quote Lee Corso: “Not so fast my friend.”

     Army gave away seven turnovers in their game, and to be frank, I would be shocked if that even comes close to happening a second time.  They have some solid wins over the last half of the season, including the emotional win against Navy, while the Mean Green have limped to a 1-4 record to close the season. Both teams have something to play for; this is Army’s first bowl in 20 years, and North Texas wants to win their first postseason game since ’04. Hard fought game, but I don’t see Army giving it up twice in a season.

Army: 20 North Texas: 13

Military Bowl Presented by Northrop Grumman

Temple vs. Wake Forrest

Alex:

     This game will be interesting to watch. Wake Forrest finished out the year 1-4 while the Owls finished 5-0. The Demon Deacons played a lot of teams tight this year, but could not quite pull out any of the potential upsets they had in front of them. Temple has played strong all season long, posting some of the best defensive stats in the nation, but recently lost their Head Coach as he took the open job at Baylor (good luck turning that around). Losing your Head Coach is never easy, but I think the Owls are still the better team. Plus there's the whole issue of Wake Forrest assistant(s) giving out team information and whatnot, but we won't worry about that since in bowl games, players just need to play. Looking at the stats though, it still doesn't look good for Wake Forrest. They may be able to keep it close early on, but their lack of consistency on offense against Temple's stout defense will be their ultimate doom. A couple of big turnovers and Temple will take this game over and never look back. Both teams have some adjustments to make next year with some new staff members, but I don't think Temple has too many problems in this game. Owls 40, Demon Deacons 20.

Nate:

     This is another game of completely different fortunes, as Temple closed out the season winning seven straight, while Wake Forest went 1-5 over the last 6 weeks. Both teams have some sort of off-season distraction. Where Temple doesn’t have their head coach, as Matt Rhule took the Baylor job, and Wake has the whole “Wakey Leaks” scandal to worry about.

     On an off topic note: what a weird scandal. Honestly anyone who took those game plans should be ashamed of himself or herself, and they probably should be fired, but we know there is too much money in there. But look at the Louisville statement, so bizarre. He issued a much more acceptable one, but everybody is just shrugging their shoulders.

     It’s not just the eye test that points to the Owls; the stats say so as well. Temple has had one of the best defenses in the nation, allowing only 17 points per game. The best you can say about the offence of Wake Forest is that it isn’t last. It ranks in the 100s for almost every major category, bottoming out at an abysmal 121^st in scoring (19.3 points per game).

     It’s nothing personal for the Deacons, but they have not impressed me at all this season, and while you shouldn’t discount the lost coach, this isn’t a Houston/SDSU situation at all. (Because SDSU is an actual good team). Temple: 28 Wake Forest: 10

National Funding Holiday Bowl

Minnesota vs. Washington State

Alex:

     As many of you probably know, the Gophers nearly boycotted themselves out of this bowl game. There seemed to be a lot of communication gaps between the players and the administration on WHY the 10 players were suspended, but when they were finally able to see the report, they understood that the Title IX issue wasn't a good thing to boycott. Nonetheless, the Gophers are headed out to San Diego to take on Mike Leach and his high flying Cougars of Wazzu. Minnesota's best chance in this game is to run the ball and keep it away from Luke Falk. Wazzu has the best passing offense in the nation and Minnesota ranks 69th in the nation giving up an average of 228.2 yards per game. Neither team has very much defense, but Minnesota's lack-luster offense won't be able to keep up with Luke Falk and Mike Leach. I see the Cougars rolling in this game. Wazzu 45, Minnesota 21.

Nate:

     This is the weirdest game to cover. Minnesota wasn’t even going to play this game. They were going to boycott the game over the 10 player suspensions for alleged suspensions. I don’t want to say much about the incident, only that it appears that the payers were grievously in the wrong, and Minnesota was in the right to stand by the suspensions.

     Game wise, I’m not too confident in the Gophers.  They finished 8-4, which wouldn’t be a bad record, but they had one of the easiest schedules in the nation. I don’t particularly like Mitch Leidner, who has only thrown 7 Touchdowns to 12 picks this year. Luke Falk has looked much better, he has thrown for more than 4 thousand passing yards, a staple of a Mike Leach team. Both teams have solid defense, but the suspension scandal has taken out two of the Gophers starting secondary, and Falk will pick that apart. I love games against the Gophers, but I can’t pick them here, Washington State wins going away. Washington State: 42 Minnesota: 13

Motel 6 Cactus Bowl

Boise State vs. Baylor

Alex:

     Baylor has been a mess of a program over this past year, and the back half of their season is a perfect example of it. Starting out 6-0 and finishing 0-6. Hopefully Matt Rhule can turn that program around once he gets in there as Head Coach. For now, Baylor just needs to get through their bowl game and move on. Boise State has played well this year, but lost two difficult games within their last five. I expect them to run the ball with Jeremy McNichols (1663 yards and 23 TDs this season) and wear down the Bear's defense. Baylor will be without QB Seth Russel, so their offense will struggle more than it already has the last half of the season. Boise wins this one easy, 38-20.

Nate:
     To say this is one of the easier bowl games to predict would be an understatement. Baylor has been a car crash of a program this year, especially over the last few weeks of the season. Boise on the other hand has looked great this year. Jeremy McNichols has rushed for 1,600 yards this season, and will make a Baylor defense look less impressive than it already has. Without quarterback Seth Russell, the bears turn to QB Zach Smith to try and get it done. He hasn’t looked bad per say, but the teams is over-matched, and I don’t expect things to change in a week.

Boise: 32 Baylor: 17

December 28th

New Era Pinstripe Bowl

#23 Pittsburgh vs. Northwestern

Alex:

     I really like this match-up because both of these teams are well coached and play tough with every team they face. Northwestern has a strong defense, but has struggled to get their offense going in big games. They give up only an average of 22 points on defense, but only score an average of 25.6 points per game on offense. These stats speak well to their schedule because they were in all of their games, but could not keep up with scoring. Pitt on the other hand has scored points left and right, averaging over 42 points per game this season. Senior QB Nathan Peterman has some very impressive numbers passing for over 2600 yards this year and posting a 26 to 6 TD to INT ratio. Clayton Thorson has been fantastic in his second year starting for the Wildcats as he's thrown for just under 3000 yards and has a 21 to 8 TD to INT ratio compared to his 9 interceptions last year. The main focus of Northwestern should be to get the ball to the do-it-all back Justin Jackson, or their star wideout Austin Carr. Each of them have 12 TDs on the season, and it still puzzles me how Pat Fitzgerald's squad has not been good on offense this year. They have great weapons and a second year QB who is been very solid, but they still have to many drives that stall. IF they can figure out their offense, they can easily compete and win this game (also be a sneaky factor in the BIG 10 next year), but that's a big IF. I'll take Northwestern in the upset since they're BIG 10 and I want to see them succeed (they were one of Nebraska's best wins this season). Either way I think this will be a close game though. Wildcats 30, Panthers 26.

Nate:

     A match-up between a team that can score but can’t play defense, and a team that can do both sort of well. This is a tough match-up to predict. Both teams have strong suits and reasons for picking. Northwestern is the easier of the two teams to decode. They have a strong suite of offensive players, Receiver Austin Carr and Running Back Justin Jackson chief among them (I also do really like QB Clayton Thorson), but an overall inconsistent output. They are just as likely to score less than 14 then they are to score over 20.

     Pitt, has much higher highs (Who else has beaten two conference champions?), but much lower lows. Nathan Peterman is the highest rated quarterback in the ACC, and James Conner is no slouch at the RB slot. They can score at will it seems, punctuated by scoring 76 on Syracuse. But their Defense gave up 60 in that game, and usually lets any team back in to the game, as evidenced by their 13 out of 14 ranking in the ACC

     I think I have to take Pitt here, as when they are on, they are really on, and their ceiling is much greater than Northwestern. But the game will be close, Pitt’s defense will make sure of that.

Pitt: 38 Northwestern: 32

Russel Athletic Bowl

Miami vs. #16 West Virginia

Alex:

     West Virginia had their chance to win the Big XII when they hosted Oklahoma, but couldn't handle the Sooners. Miami has been somewhat up and down this season, riding a 4 game win streak into this game.... but they did lose to Notre Dame (Sorry Uncle Joe). Star QBs will duel it out in this game as Skylar Howard and Brad Kaaya face off. Kaaya disappointed many this season by not being the standout QB everyone predicted, but I thought he played really well for being tossed into a brand new system with first-year Head Coach Mark Richt in charge. He's thrown for 3250 yards this season and has 23 TDs to just 7 picks. Howard on the other hand has lead one of the best passing attacks in the Big XII, but really seems to struggle in the big moments. His numbers are fairly similar to Kaaya's though with just under 3200 passing yards with 26 TDs and 10 INTs. I'm really torn in this game because both teams have the potential to play extremely well, but also have the potential to flop at any possible moment. I'll go with the Mountaineers since Miami's only in the first year of their system, but this will be close either way. WVU wins it 33-31.

Nate:

     Two teams who had hype at different points in the season and both didn’t quite live up to them. Both had broken into the top ten, but both found themselves tumbling out after some disappointing losses.  Miami comes into this game hoping to rely on two things, its stingy defense (12th in the nation) and a solid passing attack. Brad Kaaya didn’t really make the jump that many assumed he would make coming into his junior year, but he still leads a pretty good passing attack averaging 250 yards per game, which should be good plan against a Mountaineer pass defense ranked 99^th in the nation.

     West Virginia needs more production from Skylar Howard. He can do it, the 10 wins they have are a testament to that, but he can play poorly as well. They don’t really do well converting yards into points going from 12^th in yards per game to 46^th in points per game.

     This will be a close one, but I think Miami has the slight edge, they just match up well, but expect a close game.

Miami: 24 West Virginia: 21

Foster Farms Bowl

Indiana vs. #19 Utah

Alex:

     Indiana comes into this game after a bumpy season that concluded with the firing of Head Coach Kevin Wilson. The Hoosiers were so close to pulling off a number of upsets throughout the year (including one on my Huskers), but were never quite able to finish them. My theory on why they are not winning these close games is QB Richard Lagow. I personally think that Xander Diamont is the better choice, and I have thought that since I saw Diamont when he was a freshman replacing the injured Nate Sudfeld. Lagow has started every game this season and has 18 TD passes to 16 picks. Diamont has primarily been used as a runner, but that's why I think he would be the better option at QB. He opens up the offense more and allows more room for their play-makers like RB Devine Redding and all of their receivers. I've never been a big fan of the 2-QB system, and that's why I think Indiana has yet to get over the hump yet. Defensively, they have improved 10-fold from last year, giving up an average of 10 fewer points than last season. Their defense has kept them close in games this season, but their offense usually takes them out.

     Speaking of offense, we turn to Utah and their dynamic RB Joe Williams, who has nearly 1200 yards rushing and 9 TDs despite missing 1/3 of the season. The Utes can score, averaging a little over 30 points per game, but they have a difficult time closing out games. They lost 3 out of their last 5 games, all of which were 1 possession games. They will need to finish strong if they want a win in this game, because it's going to be close. I would love to pick Indiana in this game, but I can't do it with Richard Lagow at QB. Their normally dynamic offense has sputtered this season, and I don't think Tom Allen can bring it back in time for the bowl game. Utes win 37-31.

Nate:

     It was a rough end of the season for the Hoosiers. They fired their head coach, Kevin Wilson, for player mistreatment. It will be a lot to ask of new coach Tom Allen to get his team ready, and it’s hard to wonder how the team feels about all of this. Indiana has some players I like and some I’m not so fond of. Devine Redding is who Indiana will attempt to be leaning on. He has over 1,000 yards on the season and 6 touchdowns.  Richard Lagow, the Hoosier quarterback, has struggled this year. Only tossing 18 touchdowns to 16 interceptions. They will need him to have a good night.

     For the Utes, Joe Williams will show why he is one of the Pac-12’s best running backs. He has over 1,000 yards despite not playing all 12 games. I don’t foresee Indiana breaking through. The Utes have a solid Defense, and Indiana’s stagnant offence won’t be enough to carry them.

Utah: 35 Indiana: 20

Advocare V100 Texas Bowl

Texas A&M vs. Kansas State

Alex:

     Old Big XII foes face off in Houston for the Advocare V100 Texas Bowl. The Aggies have stumbled hard over the last part of the season, losing 3 of their last 5. K-State on the other hand has won 4 out of their last 5 games, and their lone loss was a 6 point loss in a barn-burner against Oklahoma State. IF Trevor Knight returns, A&M has a good shot at winning this game. If he does not (probably the more likely scenario), then I'll give the edge to K-State. I think their ground game will cause issues for the Aggies' defense who give up an average of 190 yards on the ground per game. Kansas State's defense hasn't been overly impressive on the season, but they've been consistent. Plus, you never want to underestimate Bill Snyder. Kevin Sumlin better figure things out quick or he may be looking for a new school. I'll take the Powercats on the upset. K-State 34, Texas A&M 28.

Nate:

     Kevin Sumlin might be feeling the heat. This isn’t the first time A&M has disappointed coming off of a promising start, but this one might sting the most. The Aggies are two quarterbacks down, as Trevor Knight and Jake Hubanek are both injured. The Wildcat-passing defense is not very good, but on the third option for A&M, it’s hard to see how they can exploit it.

     Kansas State’s offense isn’t anything special either.  QB Jesse Ertz has only thrown for 8 touchdowns, but is the team leader on the ground with 900 yards and 10 scores. They don’t have the big name players on D that the Aggies have, but have been a more consistent unit overall.

     If Trevor knight can return like people are thinking, then I do think that the Aggies are the better team. If not, who knows?

Texas A&M: 31 Kansas State: 24

December 29th

Birmingham Bowl

South Florida vs. South Carolina

Alex:
     This game will be interesting to watch. I am absolutely shocked that Will Muschamp was able to bring the Gamecocks to a bowl game in his first year, so they should be excited just to end up in the post season. South Florida comes into this game without their head coach as Willie Taggart has been hired as Oregon's new head man. That could cause a few issues for them in this game, but I think the big key factor will be QB play in this game. South Carolina's Freshman QB Jake Bentley has played well in his first year, passing for 1030 yards, 6 TDs and just 2 picks in the 6 games that he's played. They seemed to have gone through a few QBs until settling on Bentley, which could be an issue as he's only played in 6 games. On the other side, Junior QB Quinton Flowers has phenomenal in his second season as the starter. He has very similar numbers to last season with 2551 yards passing, 22 TDs and 6 picks, but his running ability has been the big factor this year. Flowers is USF's leading rusher ahead of Junior RB Marlon Mack by nearly 300 yards. Both have over 1000 on the ground and 15 TDs a piece. Flowers is also on a 4 game streak of 140+ rushing yards including one game with 210. I think his experience and dual threat ability will be too much for the Gamecocks and South Carolina won't be able to keep up with the Bulls' 7th ranked scoring offense that averages 43.6 points per game. Flowers has a big game and leads the Bulls to a solid 47-20 win over the Gamecocks.

Nate:

     The Gamecocks are bowling once again. Will Muschamp has managed to bring a fire back under the program that was missing under the last few years of Spurrier. Jake Bentley is another freshman SEC quarterback that I really do like and am excited to see where he goes from here. He hasn’t looked super impressive down the stretch, but you can see the flashes of potential, and they look good.

     For the Bulls, they will rely on their run game, as they have all season. Quinton Flowers ran for a team high 1,425 yards and 15 touchdowns, as the quarterback. Flowers also added 2,551 and 22 TDs in the air. He has been called a dark horse candidate for the Heisman next year, and with stats like those, I believe it. I think the Cocks keep it close, they tend to, but USF is the better team I believe.

USF: 25 South Carolina: 20

Belk Bowl

Arkansas vs. #22 Virginia Tech

Alex:

     Which Arkansas team will show up?? It could be the one that dominated and upset Florida.... or it could be the team that lost to Missouri and were crushed by Auburn 56-3. I can never trust Arkansas because their team is so hot and cold and it all starts up front. Their offensive line usually leads one of the better rushing attacks in the nation, but have struggled this year as the offense tried to balance out under Junior QB Austin Allen. I think Allen will be one of the better QBs in the nation next year, and has a good chance to be a high pick in the 2018 draft, but for now, he just needs someone to block for him. Allen has been sacked 28 times this year and that's a big reason why his completion percentage is only at 61.4%. He's constantly under pressure and the team's run game hasn't been the most reliable, as the Hogs rank 64th in rushing offense in the nation. They will need to establish a run game to win this game, and the Hokies rush defense is mediocre, sitting at 43rd in the nation, so it's possible.

     Virginia Tech on the other hand has had a very impressive first season under Head Coach Justin Fuente. Fuente has lead the Hokies to 9-4 and was very close to knocking off Clemson in a thrilling ACC Championship game. This is a fairly young team that will bring a lot of guys back next year, and their leader is Junior QB Jerod Evans. Evans has played very well this season, passing for 3309 yards, rushing for 759 yards and accounting for 37 TDs combined. His favorite target is Junior wideout Isaiah Ford who has over 1000 yards receiving and 7 TDs this season. Since Arkansas gives up nearly 220 yards through the air on average per game, I think Virginia Tech will play well in this one. I would watch out for this team next year! VA Tech 42, Arkansas 33.

Nate:

     Both teams need this win. It’s been a rough year for the Hogs, as they are coming off of a 7-5 regular season, they need this win. Virginia Tech also would like this win, to cement a good season after a 9-4 and coming off of a championship game loss to Clemson.

     The Hogs will rely, as usual, on quarterback Austin Allen. Allen can be an exciting player when the Arkansas offensive line lets him. They have found a solid back to complement Allen in Rawliegh Williams III (the most southern name of all time), who seems to have found his groove early in the season. The Tech run defense isn’t anything special, and Arkansas is 6-0 when rushing for more than 200 yards, so expect a ground-pounding plan from them

     Expect the same from Tech, who plan to use electric Quarterback Jerrod Evans to light up the Hogs mediocre defense. The senior QB has combined for over 4,000 yards and 40 touchdowns. Expect a game plan similar to the one from the Hogs. The will be a game between teams more similar than you might think. I do think Virginia Tech is the better overall team, but it’s close.

Virginia Tech: 30 Arkansas: 28

Valero Alamo Bowl

#12 Oklahoma State vs. #10 Colorado

Alex:

     First of all, please remember that I hate Colorado with a passion. However I do like thier QB Sefo Liufau a lot and I do think the Buffs got screwed out of the Rose Bowl by USC (but that part is kinda funny). More former Big XII foes face off yet again as the Pokes and the Buffs face off down in San Antonio. Nate is going with his Cowboys of course, but I think I'm going to go with Colorado like I have been most of this season. They sputtered out in the Pac-12 Championship, but Sefo getting injured did not really give them much of a chance. Hopefully Sefo will be healthy in this game, because I think this is a fantastic match-up.

     Both teams play very similar games with the spread offense and tough defenses that force a lot of turnovers. Both teams average over 30 points per game and the key will be QB play in this game. Both running backs have over 1000 yards on the ground and will provide a useful asset for each squad, but the key will be which QB takes care of the ball. Rudolph will be looking to get the ball to his big target, WR James Washington, who has over 1200 yards and 9 TDs receiving. Statistically, Mason Rudolph has the edge with a 25 to 4 TD to INT ratio, but Sefo's rushing ability sets him apart in my opinion. He has nearly 500 yards on the ground and 7 TDs. His ability to create plays and get out of trouble is really impressive though.

     The final factor to watch will be the defenses. Both teams force a lot of turnovers and do not give up many points. Look for Safety Tedric Thompson to lead the Buffs defense and finish out this close game with a win! It's been a while since I've picked against Nate, and there's no better game to do it! I'll take Sefo and the Buffs with a tight, 38-37 thriller!

Nate:

     Colorado has the best news of any team in this game, as QB Sefo Liufau is expected to be back. They prefer a run it over, bash you in the face style. They like to lean on Liufau and running back Phillip Lindsay to find success, a plan that should be effective against a Cowboy defense ranking in the bottom quarter of the FBS.

     The Pokes, on the other hand, are going to try to leverage their prolific scoring offence (38 points per game) against a Colorado defense that ranks in the top half in most major categories. Oklahoma State has some excellent play makers, chief among them Justice Hill, a rising star at the running back spot who just hit over 1,000 yards during the game against Oklahoma. Mason Rudolph has a few nice targets to throw to, chief among them James Washington.

     It will be a tough one for the Pokes, in all categories, I do think Colorado has the edge. So I’ll be picking…. Oklahoma State. Look above to Alex for some more objective picks, this one I can’t escape being a homer. I choose to die on this hill.

Oklahoma State: 38 Colorado: 31

Thanks for reading our picks and be ready for more (including the most important one: Huskers) coming soon! Happy Holidays and GO BIG RED!

#CollegeFootballKnowItAll

Special Guest: Nate Muhlbach

Alex Fernando

December 23-26th Bowl Games

     More Bowl Games as the days keep rolling! We've had some good games so far and right now the count is Alex (6-3) and Nate (4-5), so I'd say we're off to a solid start! This post will have the bowl games starting from this Friday (23rd) through next Monday (26th). Enjoy our picks!

December 23rd

Popeyes Bahamas Bowl

Eastern Michigan vs. Old Dominion

Alex:
     Eastern Michigan has made it to the program's first bowl game since 1987 and ODU is playing in their program's first ever bowl game! What better place to send these two teams than the Bahamas?? If that's my first ever bowl game, I would be stoked. Looking at the game, both teams come in with solid passing attacks lead by veteran QBs. For EMU, Junior QB Brogan Roback has very similar numbers to last season, but the most impressive stat is his 6 interceptions to 11 last year. For ODU, Senior QB David Washington has more than doubled his passing numbers from 2015, and he's posted an impressive 28 to 4 TD to INT ratio. Clearly ball security will be a key in this game, so look for both QBs to make good passes. My focus will be on the ground game however. Eastern Michigan does not run the ball very much, and their leading rusher only has 741 yards and 9 TDs this season. The Monarchs on the other hand have a 1000+ yard rusher with 11 TDs as well as another rusher with 685 yards and 13 TDs. I think their ground game will allow them to control the clock and keep Eastern Michigan off the field. Old Dominion wins 37-31, but both teams still have fun since they're in the Bahamas.

Nate:

     Is the Bahamas bowl the greatest destination for a bowl game? It brings me back to watching a video of Central Michigan a couple of years ago celebrating uproariously when they got selected. It sounds like a great time for the players. I know I want to go to the Bahamas… What a great first bowl destination ever for ODU, and for the players from Eastern Michigan, who are attending their first bowl since 1987. 

     Regardless, looking at the football side of things, it seems on the surface to be a battle between two teams who have been trending opposite directions. After the Eagles started promisingly enough at 5-1, they’ve gone 2-4 to end the season. The Monarchs on the other hand, have ripped off a 5-1 record of their own over the last 6 weeks of the season.  Go a little bit deeper and you can find some explanations, ODU played a relatively weak schedule over their last 6 games (20-40 combined opponent win/loss), while EMU played a relatively stronger one (45-32 combined opponent win/loss).  Both teams average over 30 points per game and have rather middling defenses, so a shootout feels almost guaranteed. This game will be close, but my gut tells me that momentum has to count for something. 

Old Dominion: 45 Eastern Michigan: 42

Lockheed Martin Armed Forces Bowl

Louisiana Tech vs. #25 Navy

Alex:

     Both teams have lost their last two games heading into this bowl game, but I think it stings a little more for Navy. Not only did they lose the American Athletic Conference Championship, but they lost their QB and a number of other players in that game as well. Then, just a week later, they lose to their biggest Rival (Army) for the first time in 15 years. While the Bulldogs are on a skid as well, they have the offensive firepower to turn that script around. Senior QB Ryan Higgins leads a dynamic passing game with his 4200+ yards and 37 to 8 TD to INT ratio. He has two 1400+ yard receivers including one of my favorites, Trent Taylor. Taylor is only 5'8, 178 lbs., but he's one of the career leaders in receptions in all of College Football. I'm not sure if Navy will have the offense to keep up with the Bulldogs late in the game. This game will be a good chance for Navy to get experience for younger players with all the injuries, but Louisiana Tech will be too much. Bulldogs 42, Midshipmen 28.

Nate:

     Here is our first sighting of a ranked team, as Navy slots in at number 25. If this game were played a month ago, it would have been one of the bowls with the greatest amount of hype.  However both teams are on a two game skid and some unfortunate injuries, especially to Midshipman QB Will Worth, have dampened expectation quite a bit. I don’t mean to sound negative, but I don’t hold much hope in the Midshipman. Zack Abey has had a lot of responsibility thrust onto him, and his results have been less than stellar.

     The Bulldogs on the other hand, look to continue to roll. Ryan Higgins has thrown for over 4,000 yards, and has a pair of 1,000-yard receivers, Trent Taylor and Carlos Henderson, to watch out for. Neither defense is anything special, and it seems that Navy will have to match La Tech in points, a feat I just don’t see them achieving with their backup quarterback.

Louisiana Tech: 51 Navy: 39

Dollar General Bowl

Ohio vs. Troy

Alex:

     I have not gotten to watch Troy very much this season, but I always keep my eye on former Husker Head Coach Frank Solich and his Ohio Bobcats. Both teams lost close games in their respective conference championships, so they'll be itching to end their seasons on a good note heading into this game. Both teams have been decent on offense throughout the year, but defense has been their strongest point. All but one of Ohio's losses have been 1 score games, so they've been keeping them tight all season. The lone loss that wasn't was their 28-19 game against Tennessee early in the season. Troy has kept most of their games close as well, nearly knocking off Clemson in week 2. I expect both teams to be evenly matched in this game, which means it will likely come down to turnovers. Ohio looked very tough against Western Michigan in the MAC championship, and even forced 2 interceptions from the Broncos star QB Zach Terrell. I'll stick with my Husker and pick Frankie to win the Dollar General Bowl. Bobcats 27, Trojans 25.

Nate:

     Another Ex-Husker, Frank Solich, lead his Ohio team to face the Troy Trojans in the Dollar General Bowl down in Mobile, Alabama, which just sounds grungy.  It sure isn’t the Bahamas, that’s for sure.  The teams themselves are spookily similar. Both teams lost tight games in their respective conference championship games.  Not enough? Look at the stats.

     Ohio rushes for 175 yards per game, Troy 176. They both allow a tight 22 points per game on D. The tiebreak looks to be the passing game, as the Bobcats let up a bit more than the Trojans do in the air.  I really do like rooting for former huskers, especially since I believe we did Solich wrong when he was here. However, stats don’t lie. This should be a close game, but I give Troy the slight edge.

Troy: 24 Ohio: 20

December 24th

Hawai'i Bowl

Hawai'i vs. Middle Tennessee State

Alex:

     To a degree, I feel bad for the Rainbow Warriors as they have to play their bowl game in their own stadium and have to stick around their home for their bowl game... but then I remember they're in Hawai'i and I think they'll probably be okay. However, they probably won't be okay on the scoreboard after this game. The Rainbow Warriors have a very poor defense, and with the Blue Raiders lead by Senior RB I'Tavius Mathers, I think Hawai'i will have a lot of trouble in this game. Mathers has over 1500 yards on the ground and 16 TDs, and will be the main focus of Middle Tennessee's offensive attack. I see the Blue Raiders rolling in this game and not looking back. Hawai'i's only chance is to force a couple of turnovers and keep the ball in the hands of their offense. The spread is only 6 points for this game, which I think is generous. I'm going big with the Blue Raiders in this one, Middle Tennessee wins it 59-34.

Nate:

     The only bowl that can rival the Bahamas for a destination, The Hawaii bowl features its own team on their own turf. The Rainbow Warriors have lost the last two times they’ve played here, but can they avoid a third? The short answer is no. The long answer is that Hawaii has a defense so bad, they might as well just be putting tackling dummies out there. They give up over 240 yards on the ground, which isn’t so good when the opposition features a 1,500 yard rusher in I’Tavius Mathers (Hell of a name) and who just rushed for a team total of over 400 yards in their final game.

     I suppose all is not lost of the Hawaiians, they do have an emerging QB in Dru Brown, who has quietly led the Hawaii passing attack to over 200 yards per game. The Blue raiders find themselves possibly quarterback less, as both their starter and their backups have found the sidelines by the end of the season. Hawaii will score, but that Defense is so porous that I don’t think it will matter, third string QB or not.

Middle Tennessee: 45 Hawaii: 28

December 26th

St. Petersburg Bowl

Miami (OH) vs. Mississippi State

Alex:

     The Redhawks are riding one of the most impressive win streaks in all of college football after starting the season 0-6 and finishing the year at 6-6. The heart of this win streak lies with Sophomore QB Gus Ragland. He was out the first six games (probably a big reason why they went 0-6 to start), but since his return he's passed for nearly 1300 yards, 15 TDs and 0 INTs. The no interception stats is absolutely insane, but he'll be up against a very different opponent in Mississippi State in this game. Speaking of State, their season has been up and down, puzzling losses, big blowouts, close games and random upsets (*mock Texas A&M here*). However, Sophomore QB Nick Fitzgerald has been incredible week in and week out. Apart from the opener (which he did not play much in) Fitzgerald has lead the Bulldogs' offense and is the main reason they won as many games as they did. He leads the team in passing with 2287 yards, 21 TDs and 10 picks, but also leads the team in rushing with 1243 yards and 14 more TDs on the ground! This kid will be sensational, mark my words. I'm sticking with the Bulldogs and I'm excited to see where he takes this team in the future. I think the Redhawks keep it closer than the 14 point spread though. Bulldogs win it 40-30 behind a stellar performance by Mr. Fitzgerald. Hail State!

Nate:

     Miami (of Ohio) Magic! What a story for the Redhawks, who come into this bowl game as the first ever team to start 0-6 and win its final 6 games to become bowl eligible. Leading the resurgence is QB Gus Ragland, who missed the first 6 games with a knee injury. Surprise-surprise, he hasn’t thrown an interception yet and has tossed 15 touchdowns.  I really like this kid. However, while I do like this kid, I think I like Nick Fitzgerald more. The fact that he is the leading passer, throwing for just over 2,000 yards and 21 TDs isn’t surprising, what is surprising is that he is also the leading rusher on the team, running for a cool 1,243 yards on the season. I’m extremely excited to see how he develops during his career

     My heart says I should take the Redhawks, for it would be such a great story, I just think Mississippi State is better than any team they will face this year. Sorry heart, I have to follow my head. Mississippi State: 34 Miami (OH): 17

Quick Lane Bowl

Maryland vs. Boston College

Alex:

     Our first BIG 10 team of bowl season will be Maryland and they take on the mighty Eagles of BC. I would love to see Maryland start off with a solid win for the conference, but this could be a closer game than I want. The teams are fairly similar on the stat sheet, so I think it will come down to defense. Both teams have struggled quite a bit there, and Maryland lost to Ryker Fyfe (love him since he's a Husker, but he should not be a QB for a program like Nebraska). The Terps do get Perry Hills back after he's been out the past few games so that should give them a big boost. Their biggest focus should be giving him time to throw the ball. If he can sit in the pocket and make his reads, they will have a much easier time winning this game. Boston College has a strong run defense, so the pass game will be important to spread them out. Sophomore Wideout DJ Moore will need to have the ball in his hands. Easily one of the most explosive players in this game, Maryland should look to build their offense around him, not only for the bowl game, but for the next couple years as well.

     For BC, they need to find a way to score. Offense has been this team's biggest struggle of the season. Luckily for them, Maryland's defense has been one of their biggest struggles (again, they let Ryker Fyfe throw for over 200 yards on them). Patrick Towles will need some help from the run game to take some of the pressure off. I don't think it will happen however, and the Eagles won't be able to keep up with the Terps in scoring. Maryland wins it 30-14.

Nate:

     At least DJ Durkin is having Maryland trending up. Even after spinning out into a 2-6 ending after a promising 4-0 start, he looks to have the program trending up. I mean I have questions as to how much can any non-Ohio state/Michigan program can actually trend up in a division like the Big Ten East, but that is an entirely different can of worms and problems that a lot of people don’t like to think about. Boston College makes a bowl after missing last year, so that’s nice at least.

     Was that last paragraph boring?  Well, you aren’t the only ones to notice, and yeah, that’s about how I feel about this game. Do you like average rushing attacks and some decent rush defense? Well good, tune right into this one. I know I’m being flippant, especially because the Eagles have a bit more than a decent rush defense; they have a top 10 unit as usual. The sad thing is, as usual BC’s offense is very sub-par. Maryland has their quarterback, Perry Hill, back. Hill, who missed the last 4 games due to injury, has been fairly effective when he hasn’t been hurt. And as Husker fans, we’ve seen Maryland without him, Captain Ryker out-dueled their backup.

     Neither of these teams impresses me. But I don’t think Boston College will score enough points, and I think Hill coming back is good enough for the Terps.

Maryland: 17 Boston College: 9

Camping World Independence Bowl

North Carolina State vs. Vanderbilt

Alex:

     This is an interesting game because both of these teams came very close to big upsets throughout the year, but did pull of some smaller upsets. Both teams come in at 6-6 with tough schedules behind them. I'm really not sure who to pick in this game, because both teams have looked so similar throughout the year. Both teams have solid rushing attacks lead by Senior Matthew Dayes for NC State and Junior Ralph Webb for Vanderbilt. Dayes has 1119 yards and 10 TDs on the ground while Webb has 1172 yards and 12 TDs. Both offense will have to bring their A game because the opposing defenses on both sides are very difficult to move against. I'm going to go with the commadors in this one because I think they've been very impressive this year. NC State has struggled to finish out games, and Vandy has at times too, but I've got a feeling about the Commodores. Vandy 23, NC State 20.

Nate:

     Hey good defenses, nice to see you again. If you like stout defense, this is for you. Both teams have solid units across the board, with the highlight being the Wolfpack’s rush D, clocking in at 5^th in the nation. Vandy QB Kyle Shurmer has been killing it over the last two games, tossing a cool 450 against Tennessee to secure bowl eligibility. There are questions as to if that will continue, but Vandy has as good of a chance as any. NC State has a tendency to not close, as their meltdown vs Clemson and almost blowing their game against North Carolina.

     I’m actually kind of pumped for this one. Both have some stingy defense, and all right offense. It should be a close game, and unlike Maryland, I actually think Vanderbilt is trending upwards.

Vanderbilt: 20 NC State: 14

Thanks for reading and be ready for more game picks coming soon! GO BIG RED!

#CollegeFootballKnowItAll

Special Guest: Nate Muhlbach

Alex Fernando