Friday, December 30, 2022

December 30 - January 2 Bowl Games

      We've reached the last slate of bowl games for the 2022 College Football Season and our 2023 games will kick off on Monday. There are some great matchups in these final games along with our College Football Semifinal games to determine who will play for the national championship. I've got all the keys to victory laid out below with my predictions so read on, enjoy some football and Happy New Year!


Bowl Record: 17 - 11


Duke's Mayo Bowl

Maryland vs #23 NC State

     The Terps square off against an old ACC foe as they take on the Wolfpack from NC State. Maryland has won most of their games with a high-powered offense led by Junior QB Taulia Tagovailoa. He's thrown for just under 2,800 yards this year with an impressive 17:6 TD to INT ratio. He's proven to be especially dangerous on third downs, where he's helping the Terps convert on 41% of them. A secret weapon to watch with Maryland is Freshman RB Roman Hemby. With just 76 more yards on the ground he'll crack 1,000 yards to go with his 10 TDs. Look for him to provide balance against a tough NC State defense. The Wolfpack 20th in the nation in total defense, so they will be a tough squad to move the ball on. They hold games close and will look to shut down Hemby early forcing Tagovailoa to win it with his arm. This should be an interesting one to watch with best on best from the Maryland offense and NC State defense, but I'm going with the Terps. I think they get Hemby going and he's the X-factor. Maryland 28, NC State 26.


Tony the Tiger Sun Bowl

Pittsburgh vs #18 UCLA

     The Panthers and Bruins meet for the first time since 1972 in the Sun Bowl in El Paso, Texas. We've got a couple of high-powered rushing attacks to break down in this one. Pitt is led by Junior RB Israel Abanikanda who ranks first in the nation with 20 rushing TDs. He's gained nearly 1,500 yards on the ground and averages 6 yards per carry. On the Bruins sideline, they have a two-headed rushing monster with RB Zach Charbonnet and QB Dorian Thompson-Robinson. DTR has been one of my favorite players to watch in College Football over the last few years, and this season did not disappoint. In addition to his near 3,000 yards passing and 25 TDs in the air, he's accounted for 631 yards and 11 more TDs on the ground. Complimenting Charbonnet's 1,359 yards and 14 rushing TDs, the option game with these two in the backfield is deadly. Defensively, Pitt ranks 8th in the country against the run, so they are typically up for the task. However, I think DTR has a big day in his last game as a Bruin and UCLA wins the Sun Bowl 31-28.


TaxSlayer Gator Bowl

#21 Notre Dame vs #19 South Carolina

     Earlier in the season, this would not have been a great matchup to see on the slate of games. However, both teams have really come into their own as the year progressed and with a few big victories, they find themselves squaring off in Jacksonville. South Carolina will be without their offensive coordinator as he is now the Huskers' OC, but after a combined 94 points in the last two games of the season this unit is one to watch. QB Spencer Rattler threw for 798 yards in those two games and will be looking to torch an Irish secondary that struggled against Heisman winner Caleb Williams in their final game. However, Notre Dame does a great job at causing pressure on opposing QBs, racking up 35 sacks this season. They'll look to keep Rattler rattled throughout the night as Drew Pyne and the offense pound the rock and set up their play action passing attack. Both teams will be without some star talent due to the Transfer Portal and the Draft. The Gamecocks could start off hot and build a lead, which is not a great situation for Notre Dame, but if the Irish can get in an early punch or two this one should be in hand. Notre Dame wins it 30-17.


Barstool Sports Arizona Bowl

Ohio vs Wyoming

     After disappointing endings to their respective seasons, the Bobcats and Cowboys square off in the desert to see who can keep their bowl win streak alive. Both squads are riding a 3-game win streak in bowls and have a chance to finish their season with a much needed positive note. Star QB for Ohio, Kurtis Rourke is out for the rest of the year with an injury, so their potent offense could be a bit lackluster like in the MAC Championship. Wyoming doesn't have a great offense by any means, and with Junior RB Titus Swen leaving for the NFL draft, points could be hard to come by in this game. In a game like this turnovers make the difference and Ohio ranks 5th in the nation with a +12 turnover margin. I'll give my nod to the Bobcats as they knock off the Cowboys 23-14.


Capital One Orange Bowl

#6 Tennessee vs #7 Clemson

     A true Orange Bowl matchup as the Vols and Tigers meet in a battle of which team has the best color Orange. Clemson finds themselves with a true freshman starting at QB after benching DJ Uiagalelei who has since transferred to Oregon State. The Vols are in a similar situation as Joe Milton III will be starting in place of the injured Hendon Hooker, but Milton does have experience under his belt with a couple starts last year and starting against Vanderbilt to end the season. Unfortunately for the Vols, star wideout Jalin Hyatt has opted out along with WR Cedric Tillman who has the fourth most receiving yards on the team this year. Clemson's offense has been up and down all year, but the ground game with Will Shipley has never been an issue. Combined with their pass rush that's totaled 40 sacks on the year, this game should fall their way. I've been on the Rocky Top train all year, but experience for Clemson and lack of star power for Tennessee should be the difference makers in this one. Tigers win the orange vs orange Orange Bowl 28-20.


Allstate Sugar Bowl

#5 Alabama vs #9 Kansas State

     The Tide will be at full force in this one as Bryce Young, Will Anderson and many other star players have decided to play in this game. This is a good thing for Bama because despite consistently being overlooked the K-State Powercats are the real deal in 2022. Their defense is absolutely stifling to opposing offenses, giving up just 20.1 points per game. The Wildcats are also extremely disciplined, averaging just 4 penalties per game and are sitting with a +14 turnover margin, having only lost 10 all season. This year's Bama squad has not played like a typical Nick Saban unit. They rank 126th in the nation with an average of 8 penalties per game and over 70 yards given up by them. They will need to play sound football in order to stay on pace in this game. However, talent does factor in to this as well. While Deuce Vaughn will get his for K-State, Bryce Young and Jahmyr Gibbs will give headaches to the Wildcats. Both Vaughn and Gibbs are two of the most difficult backs in the nation to tackle in space, so we should get a pretty good show in this one. I'd love to see the upset like they did on TCU, but it's hard not to say Roll Tide in this one. Bama wins a good one in New Orleans 34-28 in the Sugar Bowl.


TransPerfect Music City Bowl

Iowa vs Kentucky

     It's odd at first when you look at this game and see just a 2.5 point spread and a split decision on who will win, but with the horrendous offense of the Hawkeyes and the big question mark of what Wildcat team will show up, it actually makes a lot of sense. Iowa still ranks 2nd to last in the nation with total offense, but that Hawkeye defense is always going to keep them in the game. Honestly, I wouldn't expect a lot of points in this game as neither team has much of an idea who will even be calling plays for them. Spencer Petras is still injured and Alex Padilla has transferred for Iowa while Will Levis has opted out for the Wildcats. Kentucky has a solid defense as well so neither offense is likely to do much. Unfortunately this is where I tend to pick Iowa because despite both my hatred for them and their offensive incompetencies, this team doesn't make many mistakes and lets opponents beat themselves. Kentucky does that often, especially with a -1 turnover margin on the season. I'll give this one to Iowa but I don't think it will be pretty. Hawkeyes 17, Wildcats 13.


VRBO Fiesta Bowl (CFB Semifinal)

#3 TCU vs #2 Michigan

     I'm very excited as I will actually be in attendance for this game and be cheering on the Frogs! As my vacation in Phoenix draws to an end, I saw no reason not to attend my first CFB Playoff game and see if TCU can pull of the upset. Michigan is looking for redemption after falling in this stage to Georgia in the Orange Bowl a year ago. TCU is the team that wouldn't die as they ran the table with multiple close games in the Big XII but fell inches short of a championship against K-State the second time. The Frogs have a dynamic offense led by one of the most likable guys in football, QB Max Duggan. He's proven to be an absolute warrior, not only on the field, but off the field, recovering from heart surgery last summer and taking back his starting job after an early season injury to TCU QB Chandler Morris. His favorite target is my X-Factor of the game, 6'4 WR Quentin Johnston. He's one of the biggest threats to this Michigan defense as TCU uses his size to body up corners and safeties over the middle. Combined with Duggan's scramble abilities, the Wolverines needs to contain both these playmakers as much as possible. They don't rank third overall in defense for nothing though. For the Maize and Blue offensively, it's all about the ground game. Michigan did lose star RB Blake Corum to a knee injury at the end of the year, but with how dominant their offensive line is, Sophomore Donovan Edwards should have plenty of room to work. TCU will need to slow down the ground game early and force McCarthy to beat them with his arm. This can still be done as he's thrown for nearly 2,400 yards with 20 TDs and just 3 picks this season, but the Wolverines thrive off staying ahead of the chains and controlling the pace of the game. With how fast the TCU offense plays, their defense needs to force Michigan into uncomfortable situations. This is a tough game to predict but since I'll be in attendance I'm going with the Frogs. Max Duggan could've won the game in the Big XII Championship if they didn't take the ball out of his hands with those goal line play calls, and I don't think Sonny Dykes will make that mistake twice. Horned Frogs pull the upset as they defeat the Wolverines 30-27 in the CFB Semifinal.


Chick-Fil-A Peach Bowl (CFB Semifinal)

#4 Ohio State vs #1 Georgia

     The Bulldogs effectively get a home game playing this one in Atlanta, so Ohio State has a lot to overcome before this one even kicks off. They've been given a second shot by the CFB Playoff Committee, but their offense needs to step it up if they're going to take advantage of this one. Michigan effectively dismantled the Buckeyes' high-powered scoring machine in their meeting, so this will be interesting to see how they fare against the formidable Georgia defense. The Dawgs rank first against the run, giving up just 77 yards per game on average. Ohio State's biggest issues against Michigan started due to a lack of a run game. It's struggled all year, so they will need a big night on the ground if they want to win this one. Defensively, they should match up well with Georgia and will look to apply lots of extra pressure to Stetson Bennett. The Bulldog offense is led very well by the former walk-on, and I don't think I have a big enough stomach to eat all my words I've said about him. The man just doesn't seem to lose and I don't think he'll start in this game. Buckeyes put up a fight but Georgia smothers them for a 36-21 victory.


ReliaQuest Bowl

#22 Mississippi State vs Illinois

     With the tragic death of Bulldog Head Coach, Mike Leach, there's no extra motivation needed for Will Rogers and crew in this game. The maroon-clad gunslinger has thrown for over 3,700 yards with 34 TDs and just 6 picks. He'll be up against one of the nation's best pass defenses as the Illini give up just 164.5 yards through the air per game on average. Illinois will lean on their ground game with star running back Chase Brown, who is just 54 yards away from breaking the school's single season rushing record. I think this will be a fun game to watch but playing to honor your coach should provide with the Bulldogs with more than enough motivation to go out and win this one. Mississippi State wins this game 33-24 in honor of the Pirate himself.


Goodyear Cotton Bowl Classic

#16 Tulane vs #10 USC

     The Green Wave are set to represent the G5 schools in the New Year's six as they take on the Trojans of USC. Most everyone will be looking for Heisman winner Caleb Williams to put on a show (as he usually does). The high-powered offense is likely to cause headaches for Tulane as they put up points in a hurry, but don't count the Green Wave out right away. They've proven to bee a tricky team to defeat, winning 3 games by 1 score. Junior running back Tyjae Spears is a force though, rushing for nearly 1,400 yards and 15 TDs for the Green Wave. If they can get out early and score they could make this interesting. However, I think the speed and talent of players like Jordan Addison and Raleek Brown will likely be too much for Tulane to over come. Caleb Williams has too many weapons in this office and Lincoln Riley finishes up his first year in LA with a 40-28 Cotton Bowl Victory.


Cheez-It Citrus Bowl

#17 LSU vs Purdue

     The Boilermakers are now led by Drew Brees as an interim coach with Jeff Brohm leaving for Louisville. QB Aiden O'Connell will need to play some of his best football in his career in this one, especially with the Tigers being vulnerable in the secondary. Purdue has been a solid team all year, but LSU looks primed to kickstart next year with a big bowl win in Brian Kelley's first season. LSU has lost two straight with A&M and Georgia, but with Jayden Daniels under center, they should be running the show. Daniels is the leading rusher for LSU in addition to all his passing statistics, and the ex-Seminole will likely run circles around the Purdue defense. The Boilermakers put up a strong fight, but much like the Michigan game they will get over whelmed after a while. Tigers 34, Boilermakers 21.


Rose Bowl

#11 Penn State vs #8 Utah

     Arguably one of the best matchups of the entire bowl season, the 'grandaddy of them all' looks to be a good one as the Nittany Lions take on the Utes. Both teams are formidable opponents in their respective conferences, and the hard-nosed, rugged style of football within each program sets up for an instant classic. Penn State rolled through everyone except Michigan and Ohio State on their schedule, averaging 35.8 points per game and shutting opponents down to just 18. Utah had a couple of tough losses throughout the year, but have posted back-to-back PAC-12 Championships on their resume. Junior Quarterback Cameron Rising and Senior Sean Clifford will both be leading their respective squads without their top pass catchers. TE Dalton Kincaid (Utah) and WR Parker Washington (PSU) have opted out of this game along with Utes RB Tavion Thomas and Nittany Lion's CB Joey Porter Jr. Regardless, this will be a great game to watch and a tough battle on the line of scrimmage. Both teams have a focus on dominating that line, so we'll see who takes it in this one. I'm going with the Utes as they beat Penn State 23-21 in the Rose Bowl.


Thanks for reading all of my Bowl Game predictions and I hope you enjoy the last slate of football for 2022!


#CFBKnowItAll

Alex Fernando

Friday, December 23, 2022

December 23 - 29 Bowl Games

      We've wrapped up the first week of Bowl Games and there has been a lot of great games thus far. We've seen some big offensive performances, stifling defenses and a few games that came down to the wire. This next slate of games has some intriguing matchups for you to enjoy over your Holiday breaks. So kick back, grab some Christmas Cookies and watch some football. More bowl games coming your way!


Current Bowl Record: 7 - 6


Radiance Technologies Independence Bowl

Louisiana vs Houston

     The Ragin' Cajuns and Cougars meet in Shreveport, LA to do battle in the Independence Bowl. Houston relies on their fast-paced air raid attack. Senior QB Clayton Tune leads the offense with 3,845 yards and 37 TDs through the air. With just 10 picks on the season, Louisiana will need to rattle him if they want to force any turnovers. I expect Houston to run away with this one, but kudos to Michael Desormeaux for continuing Louisiana's bowl streak in his first season as head coach. Cougars 45, Ragin' Cajuns 33.


Union Home Mortgage Gasparilla Bowl

Missouri vs Wake Forest

     Despite a strong start to the season, the Demon Deacons spiraled as they dropped 4 of their last 5 games. There were a few close losses, but the defense really fell apart toward the end of the season, giving up an average 36.6 points per game over those last 5 games. Sam Hartman appears to be primed to play in this game and the NFL prospect QB has nearly 3,500 yards with 35 TDs. His counterpart, Brady Cook has sparked the Tiger offense in the second half of the season and has 2,509 and 13 TDs to his name. This game could be a big boost for both teams in the offseason, but Sam Hartman has been one of my guys to watch over the last couple years, so I'm rolling with him. Wake Forest beats Missouri 34-31.


EasyPoint Hawai'i Bowl

Middle Tennessee vs San Diego State

     The Blue Raiders and Aztecs are set to give us some entertainment on Christmas Eve as they due battle in Hawai'i. Middle Tennessee has the better offensive attack, but SDSU brings in a stout defense giving up just 20.2 points per game. They'll need to slow down Chase Cunningham and an offense that averages 390 yards per game. Middle Tennessee either blows teams out or gets blown out themselves. SDSU typically keeps things close with a tough defense, but they struggle to score points for themselves. This one is tough to pick but I'll give it to the Aztecs, they typically perform well in the post season with a 10-9 all time record, but have won each of their last two bowl games in 2019 and 2021. San Diego State 20, Middle Tennessee 14.


Quick Lane Bowl

New Mexico State vs Bowling Green

     Head coach Jerry Kill has brought the Aggies to their first Bowl Game since 2017. He'll look to unleash his two sophomore running backs, Star Thomas and Jamoni Jones, who have combined for 845 yards and 11 TDs this season. The Falcons have struggled to stop the run this year, but do have a potent passing attack led by Senior QB Matt McDonlad with 2,639 yards and 22 TDs to just 8 picks. If they Aggies can force a turnover or two, their ground game could put this game out of reach. New Mexico State wins this one 28-25.


Camellia Bowl

Georgia Southern vs Buffalo

     Clay Helton's Eagles pulled off a double-overtime victory against Appalachian State to win their 6th game of the year and earn a spot in the Camellia Bowl. Their potent passing attack is led by Kyle Vantrease, who happens to have five seasons as a Buffalo Bull under his belt. His former teammates will have to try and slow down the #4 passing offense in the nation. The Bulls also pulled off a close win to get to 6-6 on the season, so this should be a fun battle to watch. Vantrease has been sensational this year, and I think he'll show out one last time against his old squad. Clay Helton and the Eagles win big down in Montgomery, Alabama as they beat the Buffalo Bulls 38-24.


SERVPRO First Responders Bowl]

Memphis vs Utah State

     The Tigers are often known for having a high-powered offense, and with an average of 35.1 points per game, they have been tough to stop at times this season. Sophomore QB Seth Henigan has had a solid campaign in his second year, throwing for 3,287 yards and 19 TDs with 8 interceptions. He'll look to light up an Aggies squad that has been very strong the second half the season. Offensively, Utah State is led by their back-up QB, Cooper Legas. However, Senior RB Calvin Tyler Jr. is the key factor to watch in this one. He's crossed the 1,000 yard mark this season and averages 4.4 yards per carry. If they can get him going they have a much better chance at an upset in this one. I would certainly expect a high-scoring affair, and I'll take the Aggies on the upset. Utah State 44, Memphis 38.


TicketSmarter Birmingham Bowl

Coastal Carolina vs East Carolina

     The Chanticleers find themselves in their third straight bowl game as they take on the Pirates from Greenville, NC. ECU's bowl game last year was cancelled, so this is technically their first appearance in the post season since 2015. The Pirates have a dynamic offense that ranks 24th nationally. Senior QB Holton Ahlers leads the squad with 3,408 yards through the air while Sophomore sensation Keaton Mitchell supplements work on the ground with his 1,325 rush yards. Mitchell also has 237 yards receiving this season and when he's toting the rock he averages an insane 7.4 yards per carry. Coastal is dealing with the departure of head coach Jamey Chadwell who has taken over the Liberty job, and QB Grayson McCall could still be dealing with an injury. As much as I love the fighting teal chickens, I'm going with the Pirates in this one after Mitchell has a big performance to put him on some watch lists next year. ECU beats Coastal 37-21.


Guaranteed Rate Bowl

Wisconsin vs Oklahoma State

     I actually might be in attendance for this bowl as I head to Arizona for the holidays! The Badgers pulled 6 wins together despite a rough start and a very unique move firing Paul Chryst from his head coaching position. Luke Fickell is set to coach in this game which is not common. He'll have a lot of question marks to deal with as QB Graham Mertz has jumped into the transfer portal alongside Cowboys QB Spencer Sanders. Both backup Badger QBs have combined for 11 total pass attempts this season, so I would expect a heavy dose of RB Braelon Allen, who has another 1,000+ season in his sophomore campaign. The pokes on the other hand have some experience at QB as true freshman Garret Rangel started a couple of games for them when Sanders was injured. He'll look to pick apart a stout Wiscy defense that gives up just 20.5 points per game. Oklahoma State started the season hot, but the Cowboys really fell off their horse after K-State blanked them 48-0. This was one of four losses in their final five games. Wisconsin did not produce many points on offense in 2022, but I think they'll have a rugged enough ground game paired with a salty defense to win this one. Badgers stifle the Pokes 23-17.


Military Bowl Presented by Peraton

UCF vs Duke

     The Knights fell to Tulane in the American Conference Championship, but still have a shot for a 10-win season with a victory over Duke. The Blue Devils haven't been to a bowl game since 2018, but this squad has been tough to beat all year and all 4 of their losses have all been one score games. This game will feature two of the best (and unknown) dual-threat QBs in the nation. John Rhys Plumlee is the better known of the two, and the Senior announced he's coming back for another season at UCF in 2023. He's got a lot of experience and despite some injury issues the last part of the season, he's accounted for 3,245 total yards of offense with 25 total TDs. He's the leading passer and rusher for the Knights and is likely to give the Duke defense headaches all night. However, the Blue Devils have a headache of their own at QB, and that would be sophomore Riley Leonard. He's also the leading passer and rusher for the Blue Devils and has 3,430 total yards with 31 total TDs. UCF's defense has given up 39 and 45 points in their last two games respectively, so I expect this to be a barn burner. Give me the Duke Blue Devils as Riley Leonard wins the dual-threat duel at QB. Duke 44, UCF 40.


AutoZone Liberty Bowl

Kansas vs Arkansas

     This game feels very different for each team as the Jayhawks have their first bowl appearance since 2008 and the Razorbacks are sitting at a frustrating 6-6 after one of the nation's toughest schedules. Arkansas has multiple players sitting out and prepping for the NFL and they've also lost their Defensive Coordinator as Barry Odom is headed to UNLV to be the head coach of the Rebels. Kansas did lose 6 of their last 7 games after hosting College Gameday against TCU, but the Jayhawks were competitive and QB Jalon Daniels has battled injuries throughout the second half the season. However, this team is highly motivated and proving you don't need the "AR" added onto Kansas to make it sound good. Rock Chalk as the Jayhawks win this one 34-27.


San Diego County Credit Union Holiday Bowl

#15 Oregon vs North Carolina

     Points. I would expect a lot of them in this one as the Ducks and Tar Heels due battle in Southern California. Both Oregon and North Carolina were eyeing potential playoff spots until late season losses in November derailed those hope. Regardless, we'll see two of the best QBs in the nation with Bo Nix and Drake Maye. Starting with Nix, the veteran has decided to return to Oregon for the 2023 season, but will be working with some new pieces as Will Stein has taken over as OC after Kenny Dillingham took the head coaching position at Arizona State. Sophomore RB Bucky Irving should provide a good pace on the ground as he's just 94 yards away from breaking 1,000 this season, but this offense needs to own the line of scrimmage if they want to win this game. North Carolina's offense runs at a crazy pace, so slowing down this game will be tough. Freshman star Drake Maye leads the Tar Heels at QB and is also their leading rusher. He's accounted for 4,768 total yards and 42 TDs. I'm still unclear why he wasn't at least a Heisman finalist, but regardless, the Oregon defense will have their hands full with this one. Again, I would expect a show from both sides down in San Diego, but Oregon should handle this one. Bo Nix and the experience around him will make the difference as Oregon gives a boost to their top 5 recruitment efforts with a solid bowl performance. Ducks 48, Tar Heels 38.


TaxAct Texas Bowl

Texas Tech vs Ole Miss

     In his first season as head coach, Joey McGuire has taken the Red Raiders to an impressive 7-5 record after facing 6 ranked opponents throughout the season and winning 3 in a row to finish the year. Ole Miss finished the season in the wrong direction, losing 4 of their last 5 games as their defense struggled to keep things competitive in a few of those. Lane Kiffin has a contract extension now, so hopefully the locker room is a bit more stable. For the Rebels, Sophomore QB Jaxson Dart has been solid, throwing for 2,613 yards with 18 TDs and 8 picks. He'll command this offense against a vulnerable defense, but the real key to victory is on the ground with Freshman stud Quinshon Judkins. He's racked up nearly 1,500 yards with 16 TDs on the ground and averages 5.9 yards per carry. This could cause trouble against a Red Raiders defense that rank 90th in the nation against the run. Tech has a sneaky way of staying in games this year, but I think Ole Miss is looking to make a statement in this one. Rebels beat the Red Raiders 36-30.


Bad Boy Mowers Pinstripe Bowl

Syracuse vs Minnesota

     The Orange fell apart late in the season after a strong 6-0 start, and now are without both coordinators as they head up the road to Yankee Stadium to take on the Gophers. Minnesota on the other hand has a top 5 defense, but did not defeat a single team with more than 6 wins this season. I watched this team in person against Iowa, and despite a top notch performance from star RB Mohamed Ibrahim, the Gophers threw (literally) that game away to the Hawkeyes. If Minnesota can feed Ibrahim the rock for his final game as a Gopher, they should be able to run through the Orange fairly easily. He's sensational to watch, so if you have a chance, tune into this game an watch this guy rumble for one more game in a college uniform. Gophers win on the back of Ibrahim and solid defensive play 24-14.


Cheez-It Bowl

Oklahoma vs #13 Florida State

     The Sooners first year under Brent Venables did not go as planned as they quickly fell from the top 10 ranks to a 6-6 record with multiple bad losses including a 49-0 embarrassment to Texas. The Seminoles finished 9-3 with a very impressive season, losing three tough games to ranked conference opponents. Mike Norvell might be figuring some things out down in Tallahassee, as his team ranks 12th in total offense and 13th in total defense. The QB battle between Dillion Gabriel and Jordan Travis should be more than enough entertainment for this game, but keep an eye on the FSU secondary. They have a lot of future NFL talent on the back end of that defense and I would expect them to lock down receivers and cause headaches for OU. The 'Noles win big in Orlando as they defeat Oklahoma 37-17.


Valero Alamo Bowl

#20 Texas vs #12 Washington

     The Longhorns get a bit of a home game as they head down to San Antonio to take on Washington and the nation's leader in pass yards, Michael Penix Jr. The Indiana transfer had an incredible year and shows why he was a dark horse Heisman candidate back in the BIG 10 before his injuries a few years ago. Texas has Quinn Ewers back under center after his mid-season injury against Alabama and he's played well in their final games, posting 55 points against Kansas and another 38 against Baylor to end the year. They will be without star RB Bijan Robinson has he prepares for the NFL draft, so Sarkisian will need to find a new weapon to compliment Ewers in this one. Defensively, Texas looked good at times this season, but they've struggled to force teams off the field on third down, allowing a nearly 40% completion rate to opposing teams. The Huskies rank 1st in the nation in third down conversions, so that will be a key area to watch in this one. We should have a good QB battle between Ewers and Penix Jr., but I like Washington to win this one. Texas has not held much consistency this year and there is just so many ways for Michael Penix Jr. to beat you. Kalen DeBoer finishes his first year as Washington's head coach with a big win in the Alamo Bowl 40-30 over Texas.


Thank you for reading my next slate of bowl game picks and I hope you have a wonderful holiday season filled with family, friends and lots of great football!


#CFBKnowItAll

Alex Fernando

Friday, December 16, 2022

December 16 - 22 Bowl Games

      Welcome to Bowl Season football fans! There are 42 bowl games slated for us to watch over the next few weeks and the first two kick off today. As usual I will be giving all my thoughts and opinion with these bowl game predictions. I'll do my best to keep you up to date on players who are or are not playing for certain teams, but regardless, there should be some entertaining matchups to end our season. So sit back, read on and enjoy some mid-day football.


Conference Championship Record: 6 - 2

Overall Season Record: 145 - 71


Hometown Lenders Bahamas Bowl

Miami (OH) vs UAB

     The Redhawks and Blazers had mediocre seasons and are rewarded with a trips to the Bahamas, not a bad deal in my opinion. Miami (OH) has been fairly solid on defense this season, but the offense has struggled to put up points. UAB's Junior RB, DeWayne McBride is the best running back you don't know about. The Walker award snub leads the nation with 1,713 yards and 19 TDs. He averages a staggering 7.4 yards per carry and I don't think the Redhawks will have an answer for him. McBride has a big day in the Caribbean as the Blazers torch the Redhawks 36-20.


Duluth Trading Cure Bowl

#25 UTSA vs #24 Troy

     The Roadrunners once again have won the Conference USA Championship, but the bigger victory for UTSA is star QB Frank Harris will be returning for his 7th season of college football. Harris already has 34 school records and will look to lead his squad to a bowl victory after falling to San Diego State last year. They square off against the Sun Belt champions in the Troy Trojans. Troy's offense has turned it on late in the season, scoring 127 points in their last three games combined, but the defense is what truly leads this team. They give up just 17.5 points per game on average and rank 5th in the nation with 39 sacks on the season. They'll look to pressure Harris all afternoon, but I like UTSA to take this one. This team has a lot of speed on the edge with WR Zakhari Franklin and the Roadrunners win this game 31-21. Meep Meep!


Wasabi Fenway Bowl

Cincinnati vs Louisville

     This should be renamed the Scott Satterfield bowl for this year as the man who led the Cardinals this season will be headed to the other sideline to coach next season. Due to potential awkwardness, Satterfield has decided to go out and recruit rather than attend the game, but man that would've been a great story. As for the teams, both are without the head coaches that led them during the season. Luke Fickell is up in Wisconsin now and this is Cincy's last game before heading to the Big XII next year. Louisville has been up and down this year, but did have a good surge late in the season. Cincy was consistent yet agin, but lost a few close games to Arkansas, UCF and Tulane. It's hard to figure out which team will be more motivated based on the coaching changes, but I'll lean toward the Bearcats and their consistency. Cincy wins the Satterfield Bowl 23-14.


SRS Distribution Las Vegas Bowl

Florida vs #14 Oregon State

     The Gators were very inconsistent this season, despite the long list of talented players on their roster. The Beavers were hoping for more this year but had two close losses to USC and Washington and one beat down from the Utes. However, they ended their season on 3 straight wins and have a smothering defense waiting in Vegas. Neither team is very flashy, and Florida will look to get Anthony Richardson going early with easy completions, but I like the Beavers. Oregon State has been a very determined and overlooked team this season. They could make a big statement with a quality win over the SEC. Beavers 27, Gators 17.


Jimmy Kimmel LA Bowl Presented by Stifel

Washington State vs Fresno State

     Wazzu has a dynamic offense led by Sophomore QB Cameron Ward. Ward has accounted for 28 total TDs so far this year and has thrown for more than 3,000 yards. Fresno State is coming fresh off their Mountain West Conference title over Boise State, and they have a star QB of their own. Senior Jake Haener is back from injury and really tough to beat. He doesn't turn the ball over and the offense flows so much better with him under center. Both teams have great offensive attacks and this will truly be a QB battle to watch. I'm having a difficult time picking a winner in this one, but after watching him over the last few years, Jake Haener doesn't drop many games. Fresno State 34, Washington State 28.


LendingTree Bowl

Rice vs Southern Miss

     Despite their 5-7 record, Rice is headed to Mobile, Alabama to take on the Golden Eagles of Southern Miss. The Owls have lost their last 3 games and give up nearly 34 points per game on average on defense. Southern Miss ended their season with a win, but lost the three games before that. I don't expect too many big fireworks in this one, but if you're watching, be sure to keep an eye on Frank Gore Jr. The Sophomore RB for the Golden Eagles is following in his dad's footsteps as he's rushed for over 1,000 and 7 TDs this season. Southern Miss defeats Rice on the back of Gore 33-17.


New Mexico Bowl

SMU vs BYU

     A rematch of the famous 1980 Holiday Bowl is set to take place in New Mexico as the Ponies and the Cougars due battle. I would expect a lot of points in this one as neither team has been very stout on defense this season. BYU has been a difficult team to read as they were red hot to start the season but had some bad losses in the middle and won a few down the stretch. SMU has won 4 of their last 5 games and are looking to finish strong as QB Tanner Mordecai is just 2 TD passes away from breaking the school record for a career, currently at 71. He'll be without his star receiver Rashee Rice who wants to heal up before the NFL draft, and it's unlikely we'll see BYU QB Jalen Hall. I'll give the nod to Mordecai as he gets the win and breaks the SMU career TD passing record. Mustangs run past the Cougars 40-31.


Frisco Bowl Presented by SERVPRO

North Texas vs Boise State

     The Mean Green take on the Broncos as both teams look to avenge their respective conference championship losses. Boise State's defense ranks 4th in the nation against the pass and North Texas QB Austin Aune has thrown for 3,309 yards with 32 TDs and 13 picks this year. This should be a fun best on best system to watch, but I give the nod to Boise State. Their Junior RB George Holani averages 5.3 yards per carry and the Mean Green give up an average of 460 offensive yards to opponents. Broncos win the Frisco Bowl 38-21.


Myrtle Beach Bowl

Marshall vs UConn

     Jim Mora has led the Huskies to their first bowl game since 2015 and they take on the Thundering Herd. They have a big task ahead of them as the Herd ranks 10th in total defense and gives up just 16.2 points per game. UConn has played tough in all their games and pulled a number of impressive upsets this year. They're on the way up, but Marshall should take care of this one. Look for Senior RB Kahlan Laborn to have a big night. The Herd runs away with this one 31-14.


Famous Idaho Potato Bowl

Eastern Michigan vs San Jose State

     EMU and San Jose State meet on the Smurf Turf for the Famous Idaho Potato Bowl. The Spartans are led by Junior QB Chevan Cordeiro, he's thrown for nearly 2,900 yards this season and has an impressive 20:4 TD to INT ratio. The Eagles have been susceptible to the pass this year, so look for them to rely on their Senior RB to carry the rock and slow down the game. Samson Evans averages 4.8 yards per carry, but I think it's Eastern Michigan's defense that will get gashed the most. San Jose State Spartans win this one 28-24.


Roofclaim.com Boca Raton Bowl

Liberty vs Toledo

     The Flames and the Rockets meet in South Florida for what's likely to be a bit of a barn burner. Liberty has dropped three straight, but the Rockets were able to claim another MAC title over Ohio a couple weeks ago. Both teams average around 30 points per game, but Hugh Freeze is now at Auburn, leaving the Flames to fend for themselves. I doubt they'll be able to slow down the Rockets, especially on the ground. Toledo wins it in Boca Raton 42-23.


R+L Carriers New Orleans Bowl

Western Kentucky vs South Alabama

     The Hilltoppers high-powered offense could run into a wall in this one as they take on the 10-2 Jaguars of South Alabama. They give up fewer than 20 points per game and will look to slow down the passing attack of Austin Reed. The Hilltoppers' defense isn't too shabby themselves, ranking 10th in the nation in turnovers with a +10 margin this season. Both teams should play well in this game, so any turnovers could break it one way or the other. However, there's a lot of hype around South Alabama and HC Kane Womack in his second year. I've got the Jaguars in a close one 31-28.


Lockheed Martin Armed Forces Bowl

Baylor vs Air Force

     The Bears and the Falcons meet up for a matchup you don't often see. Air Force brings the triple option ground attack to Fort Worth as the Bears will look to spread the ball out and use that traditional Big XII speed on the edge. Baylor dropped their last 3 games and really fell flat in Dave Aranda's third season in Waco. The Bears know how to put up points though, and the Falcons aren't a team that score quickly. Baylor ends their season on a much needed high note with a 30-20 victory. Sic 'Em!


Thanks for reading my first slate of Bowl Game predictions. More coming your way next week. Enjoy the games!


#CFBKnowItAll

Alex Fernando

Friday, December 2, 2022

Conference Championship Predictions

      We've made it to December football and it's Conference Championship season! There are still some big stakes on the line with conference championships this weekend and some teams could get knocked out of Playoff contention with one slip up. I've got all the keys to victory along with predictions below, so kick back and enjoy a fabulous weekend of football.


Rivalry Week Record: 16 - 9

Overall Season Record: 139 - 69


Sun Belt Conference Championship

Coastal Carolina at Troy

    The Chanticleers are looking for their first Sun Belt title after the historic 2020 season they had ended with a cancelled conference championship. They're coming off a 40-point beat down from the Dukes of James Madison who would be in this game if they didn't have a 2 year probation period for newly joining the FBS. Regardless, Coastal and Troy should provide a good show. The Trojans have a tough defense, ranking 4th in the conference. They give up just 16.8 points per game on average and the Chanticleers offense has been up and down at times this year. Offensively, the Trojans run through sophomore RB Kimani Vidal. He's cracked 1,000 yards this season and has 9 TDs on the ground. Coastal gave up 215 on the ground last week to JMU, so this will be a point of weakness I expect Troy to attack. On the flip side, the Chanticleers will likely be without star QB Grayson McCall, who has been injured since early November. That plus home field advantage really helps to Trojans so I'm saying Troy wins the Sun Belt Conference Championship 31-17 over the Chanticleers.


American Athletic Conference Championship

#22 UCF at #18 Tulane

     The Green Wave are set to host the Knights down in New Orleans for the second time in less than a month, however the conference title is on the line this time around. Tulane and UCF squared off on November 12th where the Knights walked out of Yulman Stadium with a 38-31 victory. The Knights dominated early in that game and never looked back. They had 468 yards of offense and 2 turnovers against Tulane. Slowing down the run game will be key for the Green Wave as they gave up 336 on the ground in the previous meeting this season. However, I have one major rule in college football, and the rule is you NEVER want to play a team twice. It is hard enough to beat a team on any given Saturday, let alone twice. In a tough game against Cincy last week, Tulane was able to run the ball very well and control the clock. If they can get Tyjae Spears established early in the game they will look to control how often UCF has it. Give me Tulane for round 2 as they win the American Conference Championship 27-21.


Mountain West Conference Championship

Fresno State at Boise State

     The Bulldogs renew their rivalry with the Broncos as they return to Boise for the Mountain West Conference Championship. The Broncos won the first round of this matchup by 20 at home back in early October. Boise State dominated that game with nearly 450 yards of offense and held onto the ball for more than 34 and a half minutes. Fresno State is on a 7-game win streak since that day and have held 5 of those 7 opponents to 14 points or fewer. Their defense will need an impressive showing in this game and keep the ball with their offense. Lucky for the Bulldogs, star QB Jake Haener has come back from an injury he sustained against USC early in the year, and with him in the show I think they beat Boise State. Fresno State wins the Mountain West 33-27.


PAC-12 Conference Championship

#11 Utah vs. #4 USC

     The USC Trojans have a slot in the College Football Playoff waiting for them if they can avenge their only loss of the season and take down the Utah Utes. Lincoln Riley's first season in LA couldn't have gone any better as they boast the 5th best offense in the nation. Only the game against Oregon State resulted in a point total less than 30 for the Trojans, and the lone loss is to these very Utes in Salt Lake City on an overtime 2-point conversion. As I've stated before, you never want to play a team twice, and with so much on the line, USC is going to come out with a mighty big chip on their shoulder. Never discount the Utes though, they're looking to defend their only PAC-12 Title and bring the 17th ranked defense into Las Vegas for this game, being played at Allegiant Stadium. The QB battle in this one will be sensational yet agin. In the first round back in October, Utah's Cameron Rising shredded the Trojans' defense for 415 through the air with another 60 yards on the ground and 5 total TDs. Caleb Williams did his own damage for USC by throwing for 381 and 5 TDs while adding another 57 yards on the ground. Both defenses have to contain these playmakers and keep them under pressure. Caleb Williams all but has the Heisman locked in his trophy case at home, but this is the night to truly go out and take it. This should be a fantastic one to watch, but I think Williams has his Heisman moment and the Trojans defeat the Utes 40-38 for a PAC-12 Title and a College Football Playoff spot.


Big XII Conference Championship

#10 Kansas State vs. #3 TCU

     All hail the mighty hypnotoad as they say in Fort Worth these days. This is one game I've been head scratching about all week long. First and foremost, the Horned Frogs have had a sensational season. Even when their backs have been against the wall, they have found a way to finish out and win each game on their schedule. One of those games back in late October was against these very Wildcats of Kansas State. TCU won that game 38-28 with an impressive second half shut out and 11 point deficit erased from halftime. K-State has been tough to beat all season long, and they will be looking for revenge in this one. Will Howard has taken over at QB and the offense has scored 48 and 47 points in back to back games. On the defensive side of the ball, they have blanked two opponents this season, but 3 out of their last 5 have scored at least 27 points. You don't want to get in a shootout with the Frogs because they score and score in a hurry. TCU averages 41.3 points per game and QB Max Duggan has 34 total TDs to his name this season. Another Heisman hopeful, I think Max has a big day in this game. It goes against my number one rule, but the Frogs are the exception this year and they beat K-State for the Big XII Title. TCU 40, Kansas State 28. FROGS!


SEC Championship

#14 LSU at #1 Georgia

     The Tigers had an outside shot at making it into the playoffs up until they got walloped by A&M last weekend. Now they're just looking to play spoiler but Georgia would still go to the playoffs regardless of a loss at this point to be honest. It would make for some interesting conversation, and it is impressive that Brian Kelley was able to get LSU to the SEC Championship game in his first season. QB Jayden Daniels has been fabulous all season, throwing for 2,566 yards with 15 TDs and just 2 picks. He's added another 824 on the ground with 11 TDs. Georgia's defense is fast, but containing Daniels is a different story. On the other side the Bulldogs should be able to put points on the board in this one. LSU's defense is vulnerable and Stetson Bennett seems to pick everyone apart. LSU averages just 2 sacks per game, so if they're unable to make Bennett uncomfortable it could be a long afternoon. Bulldogs win back to back SEC Championships on their way to another Playoff birth as they beat the Tigers 35-17.


ACC Championship

#9 Clemson vs. #23 North Carolina

     The Tigers are looking for their 7th ACC Title in 8 years as they welcome the Tar Heels and their dynamic offense. This is a classic case of unstoppable force meeting an immovable object when we look at UNC's offense against Clemson's defense. Now, there's a bit of an asterisk on that due to both teams losing during rivalry week where Clemson gave up 31 to the rival Gamecocks and UNC scored just 27 points which is 10 below their season average. The Tar Heels were on fire until it ultimately consumed them and they dropped very winnable games to Georgia Tech and NC State over the last couple of weeks. Regardless, Freshman QB Drake Maye has been insane this season with 3,847 yards through the air and 35 TDs to just 5 picks. He's also the team's leading rusher with 629 and 6 TDs. The one man show carried UNC to a 9-win season, but has yet to meet the Clemson defense. Despite a couple of tough losses to Notre Dame and South Carolina, the Tigers have gone unbeaten in ACC play and rank 22nd in total defense. They also have 36 sacks on the season as the defensive line is the core strength of that unit. I would expect them to give the true freshman a nice welcome to the ACC Championship as the Tigers have all been there before. On offense, Clemson has really struggled to find rhythm. My remedy would be to feed RB Will Shipley and let him carry the rock as much as possible. He's on of the best playmakers in open space, but also a tough runner between the tackles. He averages 5.9 yards per carry and has 14 TDs on the season. I think he has a big night and leads the Tigers to their 7th ACC Title. Clemson beats North Carolina with strong defensive play 24-17.


BIG 10 Conference Championship

Purdue vs. #2 Michigan

     The BIG 10 Championship seems to be the most mis-matched out of all the games this weekend, but you never want to discount that spooky train under the lights. Over the past decade, it just seems like a bad idea to play Purdue when you have a shiny little number next to your team's name. Fun fact of the week, Jeff Brohm is actually 3-1 with Purdue when the opponent is ranked in the top 5. The "Spoilermakers" are sure to be looking to have some fun in this game as they make their first appearance in the BIG 10 Championship game. Michigan has been dominant all season, suffocating opposing offenses with a formidable defense and churning out yards on the ground. Unfortunately, star RB Blake Corum is now done for the season after a knee-surgery earlier this week. The Junior racked up nearly 1,500 yards and 18 TDs on the ground and was by far the Wolverine's best weapon. Backup RB Donovan Edwards has 687 yards and 6 TDs on the season, and he gashed the Buckeyes for 216 and 2 of those TDs last week. Purdue struggled to stop the run against Wisconsin and Iowa in a couple of their losses earlier this season, so this will be Michigan's key. Purdue QB Aiden O'Connell is a 6th year player and has done this before. If he plays lights out, the Boilermakers will stay in it. They will need some turnovers to pull the upset though. Michigan played great coverage on Ohio State's receivers last week and I expect them to do the same this week. Look for extra pressure to be put on O'Connell as the Wolverines win back to back BIG 10 Titles. Michigan 31, Purdue 14.


Thanks for reading my conference championship predictions and enjoy your football weekend!


#CFBKnowItAll

Alex Fernando

Wednesday, November 30, 2022

Welcome Head Coach, Matt Rhule

      On Monday, November 28 the Nebraska Football Program began a new era as they welcomed Matt Rhule as the 31st Head Coach in program history. I'll be the first to admit, I was a bit skeptical of the hire myself when I heard the news. While there is still much work to be done, it seems as though Coach Rhule is getting pieces in place quickly. He wants to be successful and says Nebraska is the right fit. I've got a full breakdown of the Monday Press Conference and his first few days as a Husker.


     Set up in the Hawks Championship Center on the Huskers' indoor practice facility, a large crowd stood around a stage with HUSKERS displayed in lights below. The band played the fight song as Trev Alberts and Matt Rhule made their way through the crowd up to the stage. Trev kicked off the press conference and thanked Mickey Joseph and his staff for the efforts on the season. When talking about what led to the decision with hiring Matt Rhule, Alberts mentioned 13 different coaches were interacted with throughout the process, and that Rhule was target "1A" for the Huskers. The vision Alberts gave for Nebraska is to once again be the "premiere development program in college football", with a focus on "toughness". Alberts said Rhule posses the leadership, strategic thinking and attention to detail needed to build this program and culture.


     As Matt Rhule stepped to the stage you could tell one thing for sure, he looked excited. He looked happy to be there, far more than his predecessor. Rhule opened his remarks by thanking his family, saying he took this job because it is the right fit for them. He appreciated the "leadership and alignment" found with Trev throughout the search and is excited to be part of a program focused on player development once again. I wasn't surprised too much by his opening remarks, but his demeanor started to draw me in. His own vision for the program sparked my attention as he not only wanted to "build a team that's tough and hard-working", but one that Husker fans "could be proud to watch". This stuck out to me. Although not a Nebraska native, Rhule has done his homework and quickly learned what the Husker Football team means to the people of this state and beyond. He wants to bring this program to a level in which fans don't have to moan and groan each Saturday morning, wishing the team would play competent football for four full quarters. Understanding the fanbase and how to manage that relationship is a big part of this job and argubly one of the toughest in all of College Football. Nebraska isn't necessarily a people that demand perfection, but they demand effort. They demand passion. We know the Sea of Red will give it right back come September of 2023, so until that point the Head Coach of Nebraska Football needs to give that drive and passion back to the fans.

     As for building success on the field, "winning the line of scrimmage" is the key according to Rhule. Recruitment focus will be targeted with his connections in Texas but also wants to put a revived emphasis on recruiting in-state athletes as well. "We have to recruit people who want to wear the N". This was a big statement from Rhule that clearly shows what he wants to build. He stated he was offered other jobs during the process, but chose Nebraska over those and sitting out a year because of the opportunity to build the culture here. Last but not least, Rhule wants his players, his program and especially his family, to be part of the community. "We're going to be at restaurants, we're going to be at little-league games", he stated. This particular note of his press conference is where I was truly impressed. This has been a side project for far too long, mostly supported by other organizations like the Team Jack Foundation. But to have a primary focus on this for the Husker Football program, I think that is a great thing. I'm not the only one either, I spoke with UNL Chancellor, Ronnie Green, following the press conference and that was the sentiment he appreciated most. "We haven't had that truly since Osborne I believe," said Green. One thing is for sure, Matt Rhule is here to make a difference.


     Over the last few days we've all seen many tweets and posts wondering who Matt Rhule would bring in for his coaching staff. While not all the dust has settled yet, here's what some of the positions look like thus far along with their most recent role.

Offensive Coordinator: Marcus Satterfield - South Carolina OC/QB Coach

QB Coach: Jake Peetz - LA Rams Asstant

Running Backs: E.J. Barthel - UConn RB Coach & was with Rhule at Temple & Carolina

Defensive Line: Terrance Knighton - Carolina Panthers Asst. DL Coach

Secondary: Evan Cooper - Carolina Panthers Cornerbacks Coach, Recruitment Experience

Special Teams Coordinator: Ed Foley - Carolina Panthers Asst. Special Teams Coach

Strength Coach: Corey Campbell - Carolina Panthers Asst. Strength Coach

     This is looking to be a solid team of coaches thus far. Unsurprising with the connections to the Carolina Panthers as Rhule was fired from that program earlier this fall. Statistically, Rhule's teams have always had impressive defensive ratings. While at Temple in his final season with the owls in 2016, they ranked 3rd in total defense in the nation. Baylor ranked 3rd in the Big XII and 39th overall in 2019 when he was named Big XII Coach of the Year.


     This is an interesting hire with a lot riding on its shoulders. I think there's certainly great potential with Matt Rhule, and his opening press conference as Head Coach of the Huskers certainly gave me a shot of Kool-Aid I wasn't expected. Excited to see what promises turn into actions and more excited to see if he needs a top notch recruiter who knows this program better than most on this campus. Good luck to Coach Rhule and GO BIG RED!





#CFBKnowItAll

Alex Fernando

Thursday, November 24, 2022

Rivalry Week Predictions

      Happy Thanksgiving football fans! I am extremely thankful for you all reading my blog each week, This is always my favorite football weekend of the year as it often has some of the best games accompanied by the wonderful Thanksgiving Feast. While conference realignment and scheduling has taken away some of the great rivalries in college football, we still have many of the great ones to watch and there are a lot of big implications on the line with some of these games. So, grab a plate, sit back, and enjoy a full weekend of some of the best College Football games of the year. IT'S RIVALRY WEEKEND!


Week 12 Record: 13 - 2

Overall Record: 123 - 60


Mississippi State at #20 Ole Miss (The Egg Bowl)

     Lane Kiffin has emphatically stated he is not going anywhere and has his sights set on the Egg Bowl trophy for the Rebels of Ole Miss. They welcome in the Pirate Mike Leach and his Bulldogs from Starkville into Oxford. Both teams are statistically equal in terms of points per game and points given up. Ole Miss has a more balanced offensive attack averaging over 500 yards per game. Quinshon Judkins leads their rushing attack with a 6 yard per carry average and 16 TDs on the season. Mississippi State has been decent against the run game, but if the Rebels can get Judkins moving that will open up a lot of things on offense. I honestly expect a high scoring game between these two tonight as both offenses are the focal point of these teams. This one will be close but Kiffin has something big to prove in this one after all the rumors this week. Rebels take the Egg Bowl 38-33.


#19 Tulane at #24 Cincinnati

     This ranked v ranked matchup in the American Conference has big weight to it as the winner locks up their spot in the American Conference Championship game and home field advantage. The loser needs the almost impossible task of 1-10 USF upsetting rival UCF so they can still attend the conference championship for a rematch of this game. UCF has head to head wins over both Tulane and Cincy, so the loser falls beneath them in conference rankings. Looking at this game, both teams are almost identical in the stat sheet. Green Wave RB Tyjae Spears will be an X-factor in this game as he average 6.4 yards per carry and helps with the Time of Possession game for Tulane. The QB battle is about dead even, so turnovers are the big key to winning this game. Both teams are in the positive margin for turnovers, so I'll lean toward the home team. Cincy has had sustained success over the past few years and I think they hold on to attend their 4th straight American Conference Championship. Bearcats beat the Green Wave at home 31-24.


NC State at #17 North Carolina

     A surprising Georgia Tech upset has knocked the Tar Heels down a few pegs, and now they have to host the in-state rival Wolfpack in order to bounce back. NC State is looking to bounce back as well after they've fallen to Boston College and Louisville the last two weekends. The Wolfpack have always been tough on defense, but the offense this year has struggled. As for the Heels, their sensational Freshman QB Drake Maye is making a hell of a Heisman Campaign with over 4,000 total yards and 39 TDs so far this season. I think he'll be too much to stop and the Heels win this one behind a big performance from Maye. North Carolina 33, NC State 20.


Florida at #16 Florida State

     The Gators have had a disappointing season, but have a unique opportunity to spoil some Florida State fun as they're looking for their first 9-win season since 2016. Whenever you talk Florida football these days, it starts (and ends) with Sophomore QB Anthony Richardson. The 6'4, 230 lbs. hometown kid leads the Gator offense and has accounted for 23 total touchdowns so far this season. There is talent around him, but nothing has quite clicked this year. Still many pieces to figure out, but this could be a dangerous unit next year. This year however,  I give the nod to the 'Noles. Florida State is led by Junior QB Jordan Travis who has 26 total TDs and just 4 picks on the year. The biggest story is the FSU defense, giving up just 18 points per game on average, they rank 11th in the nation in total defense. That's the deciding factor in this one and I've got Florida State winning the Sunshine State Showdown 30-17.


South Carolina at #8 Clemson

     Over the last 7 years (Clemson's current win-streak in the rivalry), this game hasn't been much to shake a stick at. Clemson has dominated the series with only one game being decided by single digit points. This year however could be different. The Gamecocks have been up and down but have a big spark with their upset win over Tennessee last week where they dropped 63 on the Volunteers and knocked them out of Playoff contention. The Tigers still have an outside shot at getting back into the playoff picture, but they need some help and they need to make some statements. South Carolina isn't a big feather in the cap as a win, but if they can flex their muscles this would be a helpful piece to the resume. Clemson's defense is much tougher than Tennessee's though, so I wouldn't expect 63 points from the Gamecocks in this one. If Clemson can get a ground game going to help out DJ Uiagalelei a lot. Tigers win their 8th straight against the Gamecocks 35-17.


Coastal Carolina at James Madison

     Due to a (stupid) NCAA rule, despite the early and impressive success in their first season as a member of the FBS, James Madison is not allowed to participate in post-season games including the Sun Belt Conference Championship. Coastal Carolina has that spot locked up from their division, but an asterisk would certainly be put next to their name should the Dukes come out victorious in this one. The Chanticleers are always one of my favorite teams to watch and Junior QB Grayson McCall continues his winning ways with over 2,300 yards passing, 21 TDs and just 1 pick. The QB on the other side is no slouch though. Senior Todd Centeio has 2,410 yards passing so far this season with a 21:5 TD to INT ratio. James Madison is favored by 14 points at home but that just doesn't sit right to me with how Coastal Carolina has played the last few weeks. Chanticleers with the upset on the road for another 10-win season. Coastal Carolina 31, James Madison 28.


Minnesota at Wisconsin (Battle for Paul Bunyan's Axe)

     There's more than just the Axe on the line for the Gophers in this one. Minnesota is looking for their first set of consecutive wins in the series since 1993-94. Wisconsin has dominated this series over the last few decades and despite their disappointing season, they could still finish 7-5 and with a bowl game on the horizon. Despite a 263 yard performance from Mohamed Ibrahim, the Gophers threw away (literally) an easy victory against the Hawkeyes. Watching that game in person was very fun (and cold), but I once again could not believe how stupid decisions always cause teams to flop against the Hawkeyes. Wisconsin is tough on defense as usual, but if the Gophers stick to the ground game they could run away with this one. Ibrahim is one of the best running backs in the nation and has been nearly impossible to stop all season long. GIVE HIM THE BALL AND THEN GIVE IT TO HIM MORE! Gophers win two straight against the Badgers for the first time in nearly 30 years with a 21-17 victory.


Kansas at #12 Kansas State (Sunflower Showdown)

     The Wildcats are riding a 13 year win streak into this rivalry game, and usually don't give this matchup much concern. However, no one is overlooking the Jayhawks any more. Despite some bumps in the road, Kansas is bowl eligible for the first time since 2008 and could spoil their in-state rival's season with an upset win, potentially keeping them out of the Big XII Title game. Jayhawk QB Jalon Daniels brings a dynamic spark to the offense, but back-up QB Jason Bean is always ready if injuries occur. He's stepped in multiple times this year and played well, so the offense should run well with both. Kansas State's offense also has two talented QBs with Junior Will Howard and ex-Husker Adrian Martinez. Both bring a different skillset as Howard brings the air attack while Martinez manages the option game. It looks like Howard is starting to take the QB1 spot, but don't discount the option of both being played. With so many QBs on both sides being options, the defensive units have a lot to prepare for. K-State's defense has been impressive all year and I'll give them the nod as they make it to the Big XII Championship for the first time since 2003. Wildcats 38, Jayhawks 17.


Auburn at #9 Alabama (The Iron Bowl)

     The 2022 Iron Bowl doesn't have as much weight behind it as previous years, but it's still the game you don't want to lose for either school Auburn can get bowl eligible with an upset win, but Bama doesn't just lose 3 games in a year willy nilly. Bryce Young and the Tide have slowly been getting more rhythm on offense. Auburn has been playing tough the last few weeks under interim head coach Carnell Williams. They could hang around in this one but I like Bama to win their 3rd straight in the series. Crimson Tide 34, Tigers 17.


#13 Washington at Washington State (The Apple Cup)

     The Huskies are hoping for a big Beaver upset over the Ducks as they play this game late Saturday night. They'll know that result ahead of this kickoff, but regardless the potential for a 10-win regular season for a first-year head coach in Kalen DeBoer is phenomenal. Ex-Hoosier QB Michael Penix Jr. has been a key piece in that, throwing for nearly 4,000 yards and accounting for 28 total TDs. His counterpart, Cameron Ward, is a D-II transfer who had 47 TD passes a year ago with Incarnate Word. This season he's currently sitting at 21 passing TDs with another 4 on the ground. He's led the Cougars on a 3-game win streak throughout November and they'd love nothing more than to win two in a row against the Huskies. This should be a close in up in the Palouse, but I think UW takes the Apple Cup home with a 30-27 victory.


#15 Notre Dame at #6 USC (Battle for the Jeweled Shillelagh)

     Notre Dame and USC battle in LA as the Trojans look to boost themselves into the College Football Playoffs. They got snubbed in the rankings yet again as they should be ahead of LSU in the CFB Playoff rankings by my count. The Trojans have one of the best offensive attacks in the nation led by ex-Sooner QB Caleb Williams. He's accounted for 40 TDs so far this season and nearly 4,000 total yards. The Irish have been very impressive since early in the year, losing just 1 of their last 9 games. They would love to spoil USC's season and give Marcus Freeman a 9-win regular season to start his tenure at head coach in South Bend. Their defense has been stout, holding points to an average of 20.3 points. They'll need to have a big night if they want to slow down the USC offense. The big factor in this is the USC defense. They have been susceptible to points, but lead the nation with a STAGGERING +20 turnover margin. The Irish are dead even on the turnover margin and have lost 11 fumbles this year. That won't cut it in this game. USC builds their Playoff resume with a win over the Irish and snap a 4-game losing streak in the series. Fight On as the Trojans win 34-28.


#9 Oregon at #21 Oregon State

     The annual showdown between the Beavers and the Ducks carries a little more weight as Oregon State could potentially knock their in-state foe out of the PAC-12 Championship game. The Ducks need a win to lock in their spot. Senior transfer QB Bo Nix has been fantastic this year and is not getting enough attention as a Heisman candidate or top tier draft pick in my opinion. He came back from an injury against Washington to help the Ducks hold off Utah last week. They will need a big night from him as the Beavers rank 2nd in the conference in total defense and 25th overall. They've got home field in Corvallis, but I like the Ducks in this one. I think their offensive firepower will be too much for the Beavers to keep pace with, even with a couple of stops. Bo Nix leads Oregon to the PAC-12 Title game with a win against in-state rival Oregon State. Ducks 33, Beavers 24.


#3 Michigan at #2 Ohio State

     There's never much needed to add fuel to the fire in this rivalry, but a top 3 matchup and an inside track to the College Football Playoff will do just that. The Wolverines and Buckeyes meet as unbeaten foes for just the fourth time in series history. The other historical fact to mention is that Michigan has not won in the Horseshoe since 2003. This game is tough to predict to be honest. Michigan has looked solid all season long but had a few close calls, especially last week. Ohio State has looked dominant all year but nearly stumbled last week as well and injuries have plagued many of the key weapons on this team. The defenses will be fun to watch in this one as they have to try and slow down these high-powered offenses. Michigan brings in the 4th ranked rushing offense in the country behind Junior RB Blame Corum. He's got nearly 1,500 yards on the ground to go along with his 18 TDs. He's the focal point of their offense and will set up the play action passes downfield to Ronnie Bell. Ohio State has been solid against the run this year, but gave up nearly 300 yards through the air last week to Maryland, so look for Michigan to attack the secondary with play action. On the other side, Ohio State's offense is all run through Junior QB C.J. Stroud. He's rocking a 35:4 TD to INT ratio so far this season and many of those have gone to Sophomore stud Marvin Harrison Jr. at wideout. Harrison Jr. has been uncoverable this season, catching passes for 1,037 yards and 11 TDs. Michigan's secondary is going to have a number of headaches with him. I really can't tell how dominant each of these teams are as the BIG 10 has not been extremely impressive this season but Michigan came out early and punched Ohio State in the mouth last year on their way to victory. They will need to do the same if they want to make that happen this year. I think Ohio State is looking to return the favor and I'll take the Buckeyes at home. This should be a good one! Ohio State 31, Michigan 28.


Nebraska at Iowa (The Heroes Game)

     Nebraska and Iowa set up for their annual Black Friday game as the Hawkeyes look for a birth into the BIG 10 Championship. I once again am furious at the fact that despite their atrocious playing of the game, Iowa still wins games. Mostly due to the incompetencies of their opponents, but credit needs to be given where it is due. The Hawkeyes have a solid defense which keeps them involved in every game and they don't shoot themselves in the foot. They simply lie in wait until their opponent shoots themselves and take advantage of the opportunity to win. Nebraska has more than enough talent and ability to win this game and knock the Hawkeyes out of Indianapolis, but luckily for the black and gold faithful, the Huskers are the "hold my beer" program of shooting themselves at the worst possible moment. In modern college football I don't know if I've seen a program find more ways to snatch defeat from the jaws of victory than the Huskers. Many of those instances occur against Iowa too. I hope I'm wrong, but here's how I predict this game going. Nebraska takes a 10-7 lead with strong defensive play and a turnover in the first half. Unfortunately, the Huskers are done scoring from that point and after multiple punts in the second half Nebraska will have a golden opportunity to hand the ball to Anthony Grant and put the game on ice, potentially with another score late in the 4th. However, they'll opt to try an ill-advised pass to the double-covered Trey Palmer while the offensive line lets a 4-man pass rush through in under 2 seconds to hit Casey Thompson while throws. An Iowa linebacker takes it into Husker territory and the defense decides to have a communication breakdown resulting in a Spencer Petras touchdown pass with less than a minute on the clock that Nebraska will subsequently waste with a sack and an attempted screen pass. Again, I hope I'm wrong. I hope Mickey Joseph and crew noticed that Mohamed Ibrahim averaged 6.7 yards per carry against the Hawkeyes and Anthony Grant could do similar damage (and be the first Husker to rush for 1,000+ yards in a season since 2018) if the ball was just put into his hands with a couple of sensible blocks in front of him. I hope the defense can manage more than 1 takeaway and sack against a Hawkeye offense that ranks 130th out of 131 teams in the nation. I hope clock management and field position are taken into consideration when making decisions. As for now though, that is all just a hope. I'll be proudly donning my BEAT IOWA hat and crewneck all day tomorrow despite the result, but I've got the Hawkeyes winning 14-10. I really hope I'm wrong and I hope Purdue is able to go to the BIG 10 Championship.


Quick Hit Predictions:

Baylor at #23 Texas - The Longhorns need a win and a K-State loss to get into the Big XII Championship game. Baylor nearly knocked off TCU last week and would love to spoil the Texas season finale. I don't think they're going to be overlooked though. Hook 'Em as Texas wins 28-21.

Purdue at Indiana - The battle for the Old Oaken Bucket takes place in Bloomington as the Boilermakers and Hoosier write another chapter in their rivalry. The Boilermakers could find themselves in Indianapolis for the BIG 10 Title game with a win and Hawkeye loss. Their offense is tough to stop when O'Connell is on, so expect a big day from him. Boilermakers win 38-24.

Arizona State at Arizona - The Duel in the Dessert features two teams that don't have much to play for other than pride. The Territorial Cup is on the line in this one and Jedd Fisch is looking to get his first win in the series as HC of the Wildcats. They've lost 5 straight to the Sun Devils, but I like their chance in this one. Neither team has much defense, so expect a good amount of points. Wildcats win at home 40-33.

#18 UCLA at Cal - The Bruins fell short of their PAC-12 Title game chances in the battle for LA last week, but can finish the regular season with 9 wins and get a good bowl game slot with a victory here. Cal is looking to build momentum for next year and there's potential Wilcox could get fired as he's on the hot seat. DTR should have a big game in this one as UCLA wins 38-21.

Wyoming at Fresno State - There's not anything big on the line in this one, but the Cowboys fell to the Broncos last week by just 3. If you're betting I'd take Wyoming to beat the 15 point spread in this one. The Bulldogs have been susceptible to the run game and Titus Swen for Wyoming averages 5.3 yards per carry. Closer than the experts think but Fresno State holds on 30-21.

Georgia Tech at Georgia - The Ramblin' Wreck need a win to get bowl eligibility. Unfortunately it must come against the #1 team in the nation. Bulldogs roll in this one 45-10.

Memphis at SMU - This will just be a fun game to watch for the offensive firepower. If you're betting I'd take the over. Ponies beat the Tigers 48-42.

Michigan State at #11 Penn State - The Spartans have multiple players charged from the incident at Michigan and that will be a big distraction. They lost the Old Brass Spittoon to Indiana last week and their season is all but over. Nittany Lions win big, get the Land Grant Trohpy and get a nice bowl slot. Penn State 35, Michigan State 14.

#5 LSU at Texas A&M - Just a few years removed from the 7 OT thriller, this rivalry game doesn't have much zest to it this year. A&M has been the biggest disappointment of 2022. They could play spoiler to the Tigers, but this team doesn't have it. Tigers big with a 30-14 win.

#10 Tennessee at Vanderbilt - The Vols stumbled big against South Carolina last week and lost star QB Hendon Hooker in the process. Vanderbilt upset Florida and is one win away from their first bowl game since 2018. Motivation is key in this one and although I've been touting Rocky Top all year long they better watch themselves in this game. Give me the Commodores on Rivalry weekend with a 27-24 stunner.

Oklahoma at Texas Tech - The Sooners clinched bowl eligibility last week but I still don't trust them in many games. The Red Raiders have been good at home separate of the Baylor game so Guns Up! Texas Tech finishes their regular season strong with a 30-24 victory over the Sooners. Their first win in the series since 2011.


Thanks for reading all my Rivalry Week Predictions and I hope you've all had a great Thanksgiving. GO BIG RED and BEAT IOWA!










#CFBKnowItAll

Alex Fernando


Saturday, November 19, 2022

Week 12 Predictions

      We're here at Week 12 of the College Football season, which means almost all SEC teams get to have their mid-November cupcake on their schedule. Despite the built-in BYE weeks down south, there are still quite a few interesting matchups to watch this weekend. Here's all the big games to watch!


Week 11 Record: 9 -10

Overall Record: 110 - 58


Illinois at #3 Michigan

     After having the BIG 10 West Division nearly locked in, the Fighting Illini now find themselves with a 4-way tie for first place with Minnesota, Purdue and Iowa all joining Illinois at 4-3 for conference play. The Illini have lost the last two games and now travel to the Big House to take on the Wolverines. Both teams have a solid rushing attack and stout defenses. However, I think Michigan is far more legit than the Fightin' Illini. Michigan 34, Illinois 14.


#4 TCU at Baylor

     This is a BIG trap game for TCU to watch out for. Coming off a big win on the road at Texas with all the pageantry and hype from College Gameday, a road trip to your arch rival is just a recipe for disaster. Luckily the FROGS are quite adept at finding a way to win tough games. TCU keeps on winning and beats rival Bears 27-24.


#15 Kansas State at West Virginia

     The Wildcats are looking to hold onto that number 2 spot in the Big XII so they have a revenge opportunity against the Frogs. West Virginia had a surprising win at home against Oklahoma last week that likely saved their coach (at least for now), so don't count them out with this game being played in Morgantown. They will need to stop the run, but I think K-State will be too tough on defense to let this one slip. Wildcats win on the road 28-17.


Iowa at Minnesota (Battle for the Floyd of Rosedale)

     A bronze Pig Trophy is on the line as the Hawkeyes and Gophers meet for their annual BIG 10 West Battle. Both teams are tied for first in the division with records of 4-3, so this is a big game with only one more week before we go to conference championships. I will actually be attending this game today rather than the Husker game, so be sure to look for me on TV! I have the unique opportunity to rep my 'skers by wearing my BEAT IOWA hat and BEAT MINNESOTA sweatshirt. I'm excited to see a new stadium and rivalry game in person, but this will certainly be a cold, gridlock BIG 10 game. Iowa's stout defense should shut down the Gopher offense, but scoring for themselves is an entirely different question. I think the first team to 20 (if they get that many) wins this game and having watched Minnesota in person and with them being at home I'll give them the not. Gophers win the Pig as they beat Iowa 20-17.


#22 Oklahoma State at Oklahoma (BEDLAM)

     Unfortunately the last BEDLAM game doesn't have much spice to it as the Sooners come in at 5-5 still trying to make a bowl game and the Cowboys have been embarrassed multiple times this year. This is yet another historic rivalry conference re-alignment is killing off and it's sad no one is making an attempt to keep it with a permanent non-conference matchup for rivalry weekend like Georgia Tech/Georgia, Florida/Florida State or Clemson/South Carolina. Nonetheless, this is still BEDLAM and crazy things happen. Oklahoma State is a 7 point underdog on the road despite being ranked and this one should be a shootout. Both defenses have been a mess this year and I really don't know who to trust. Oklahoma very rarely loses BEDLAM though, so I'll take them at home 40-35.


#7 USC at #16 UCLA (Battle for LA)

     The Trojans and Bruins are square off in a major conference showdown that could make things very interesting in the PAC-12. Without divisions this year, there are multiple scenarios that could lead to teams leapfrogging over someone they've lost to due to weird tiebreaker rules. USC sits atop the conference and has their best (still slim) shot at making the College Football Playoffs. However, they're ranked #7 without having played or beaten a ranked team. UCLA slipped up last week, losing to Arizona, but don't discount the Bruins. Having watched them play a lot this year, look out for this offense. USC's got all they hype with Caleb Williams, but Dorian Thompson-Robinson is a veteran QB with a lot of weapons from ex-Michigan RB Zach Charbonnet and ex-Duke receiver Jake Bobo. This could be a high-scoring affair and I'm sure USC is out to prove they are the real deal. I'm not quite sure I buy it yet, so Bruins it is. UCLA 44, USC 37.


#10 Utah at #12 Oregon

     The Ducks slipped (literally) up last week and lost a game to the Huskies they certainly should not have. They need to rebound quick with a dangerous Utah team coming to town. Again, the PAC-12 could get really interesting the last couple weeks trying to see who will go to the conference championship. Utah is always tough on defense and poses a big threat to Oregon, but they struggle on the road and you know Oregon is looking to make up for last week. S'co Ducks as they win 37-31.


Wisconsin at Nebraska (Battle for the Freedom Trophy)

     It's been a decade since the Huskers last beat the Badgers in Football (and unfortunately half that time in Volleyball as well). The Freedom Trophy didn't even exist last time the Huskers won this game. Both teams are not good this year and this will be a cold, rugged game in Lincoln today. The Badgers will look to lean on RB Braelon Allen who has over 1,000 yards with 10 TDs on the ground. The Husker defense should hold solid for a while, but if the offense doesn't start something soon this game will putter out in favor of the wrong red and white team. Casey Thompson is expected to return for Nebraska which should help significantly, and if they were going to beat Wisconsin this would be the year. However, I still can't trust this team to make it to 20 points before their opponent as Nebraska is usually done scoring after the second drive at best. Wisconsin wins again as the Huskers fall on Senior Day. Badgers 21, Huskers 10.


Quick Hit Predictions

#1Georgia at Kentucky - Headaches early but DAWGS win big 38-13.

#24 NC State at Louisville - Watch out for the Cardinals, Louisville with a sneaky one 24-21.

Texas at Kansas - Jayhawks need to score early if they want to win this game. Get Texas down quick. However, the defense is too much, Hook 'Em. Texas 28, Kansas 17.

Texas Tech at Iowa State - Cyclones have a stingy defense, but the Red Raiders should take this one 33-27.

Boise State at Wyoming - A little Mountain West action to keep you on your toes. Great rivalry game but the Broncos still have this number 34-20.

#14 Ole Miss at Arkansas - The Hogs hung around with LSU last week without KJ Jefferson. If he's able to go today I like their chances. Woo Pig Sooie upsets 24-21.

Syracuse at Wake Forest - Both teams have fallen from the ranks quick but have great QBs to watch in this one. Demon Deacons at home, I'll give it to Sam Hartman. Wake Forest 33, Syracuse 28.


Thanks for reading my gameday predictions and remember to watch for me on TV up in Minnesota. GO
 BIG RED!


#CFBKnowItAll

Alex Fernando

Saturday, November 12, 2022

Week 11 Predictions

      Welcome to Week 11 of College Football! This is always a unique point in the season where things are just a few weeks from wrapping up the season but still so much to decide. We had a lot of big shakeups last week with the CFB Playoff Rankings, but there's potential for more upsets this week. Let's dive right in and look at the big games to watch for Week 11.


Week 10 Record: 7 - 10

Overall Record: 101 - 48


Wisconsin at Iowa

     The Badgers and Hawkeyes meet in battle for a bronze Cow. This game has potential for some BIG 10 Championship game implications, but even with a win both teams will need some help by Illinois stumbling. Regardless, this classic midwestern matchup should feature rugged defense and tire-fire offense led by a semi-strong ground game. Both teams have had numerous struggles on offense this year but with a heavy dose of rushing attack both defenses should know what to expect. Surprisingly though, the Hawkeyes' offense has the 119th ranked rushing attack this year, so even that has fallen with their woes. Their defense will keep things tight, but I don't think they have enough boost to finish off the Badgers. Wisconsin wins in Iowa City 24-17.


#9 Alabama at #11 Ole Miss

     The Alabama Crimson Tide have lost 2 regular season games for the first time since 2019 and are essentially eliminated from the College Football Playoffs this season. They travel to the Grove to take on the Rebels today who have stumbled a bit, but Lane Kiffin's squad has been on the right side of a majority of their close games. The offensive weapons for Ole Miss, RB Quinshon Judkins and WR Jonathan Mingo need to be the focus in this game. They are some of the best athletes in this game and can be the difference-makers against an angry Alabama defense. On the flip side, I don't see many issues for the Bama offense in this one. They woke up in the second half against LSU, scoring 25 points after halftime. However, their defense continues to give up big chunk plays at the wrong time this season. They need to step up in this one and I think they will. Roll Tide as they win 36-27.


#22 UCF at #17 Tulane

     The Green Wave were so close to hosting College Gameday, but Austin, Texas got the nod instead. Although many are ignoring the 8-1 boys from New Orleans, the Knights of UCF aren't taking anything for granted. Statistically these teams are nearly identical, so this is where I dig deep and find a hidden stat that could break this game open. One interesting stat is that the UCF defense has the best Red Zone Conversion rate in the country, giving up scores just 61% of the time. However, a stat going the way of the Wave is the turnover margin. UCF is -5 while Tulane is +4. Turnovers are a game breaker, and I want to see the Wave keep rolling. Plus they did their own College Gameday bit to announce their uniforms for today. Tulane wins a good one at home 31-28.


#25 Washington at #6 Oregon

     A classic battle in the Pacific Northwest takes place as the Huskies look to keep pace in the PAC-12 conference. A loss here would all but eliminate them from PAC-12 Title contention, but they've lost 3 straight to the Ducks. With Bo Nix playing at a Heisman level, Autzen stadium is going to be wild tonight. Nix is responsible for 35 Touchdowns so far this season and has Oregon's offense rated #2 in the nation. Washington has a talented QB of their own with ex-Hoosier Michael Penix Jr. He's accounted for 25 TD's himself, so we could see plenty of points in this one. The Huskies have won a lot of close games this year, but they've struggled against high powered offenses and I really like Oregon at home. Ducks beat the Huskies 40-24.


#19 Kansas State at Baylor

     The Wildcats stumbled against the Longhorns at home last week, which means they need some help to get into the Big XII Title game. The Horns, Bears and Wildcats are all sitting at 4-2 in conference play. Baylor has a November gauntlet to run through with K-State and TCU at home then ending on the road at Texas. These next few weeks will help a lot with who is going to end up in the Big XII Title game as TCU takes on Texas today and Baylor next week. Regardless, in this game, K-State will look to bounce back with a heavy dose of Deuce Vaughn and Adrian Martinez. Defensively is where most of their issues came from last week as they gave up nearly twice the average amount of points they allow. Texas got out to a hot start and the Cats had to claw back into the game. If Baylor hits them with a couple of big punches early, this could slip from K-State as well. I see this being a tight game, but I like Baylor to edge it out at home. Sic 'Em as the Bears hold off the Wildcats 34-30.


Kansas at Texas Tech

     Another Kansas team visits a Texas team this week as the Jayhawks take on the Red Raiders. Kansas is bowl eligible for the first time since 2008 despite losing their star QB a couple of weeks ago. The Red Raiders are just a couple games off of bowl eligibility in the first season under hometown hero Joey McGuire. This will be a fun and unique game to watch if you have the time because both offenses are sneaky explosive and can put up points. Texas Tech needs to win 2/3 to become bowl eligible and while this will be a tricky one, I think they take this one at home. Guns Up! Red Raiders 37, Jayhawks 33.


#15 North Carolina at Wake Forest

     The Tar Heels keep squeezing out victories while the Demon Deacons continue to fall short the last few weeks. UNC ranks 120th in the nation in Pass Defense, so if Sam Hartman and the Wake Forest offense can wake up, they should have a field day. Defensively for Wake, they need to get pressure on Drake Maye. The Freshman sensation has 31 TDs through the air this season with just 3 picks. This should be a great QB battle and I'm still going to give my nod to Sam Hartman. Wake Forest 38, UNC 31.


#23 Florida State at Syracuse

     I had probably too much hype for the Orange the last few weeks and they’ve now lost 3 straight. The ‘Noles on the other hand have won their last two after a few close losses in October. Junior QB Jordan Travis leads a dynamic offense that averages just under 34 points per game. Syracuse has struggled to slow opponents down the last few weeks, so look for FSU to have success with big plays. Seminoles win on the road 34-24.


#4 TCU at #18 Texas

     Gameday is in Austin yet again as the Longhorns take on the 4th ranked Horned Frogs. TCU's offense is #1 in the Big XII and leads the nation in 60+ yard plays with 8 so far this season. The Longhorn defense is no slouch though, their linebackers fly all around the field making tackles and sitting very well in zone coverage to make things difficult for Max Duggan. Duggan never seems to waver though, he's always calm, cool and collected. TCU just knows how to win games and with Duggan leading the charge, they are tough to stop. Star wideout Quentin Johnston is questionable with an ankle injury, but there's too much talent, speed and power on this offense to be slowed down. Hypnotoad is in full effect as TCU wins a big one on the road 38-31. FROGS!!!


Nebraska at #3 Michigan

     This matchup between College Football blue bloods takes place as Jim Harbaugh is looking for his first 10-0 start to a season since he was with the University of San Diego. The Huskers on the other hand are looking for a coach who can win more than 3 or 4 games in a season. This one is likely to get ugly because although the Husker defense has been playing well the last few weeks, Michigan's offense is at another level. Star RB Blake Corum has nearly 1,200 yards on the ground with 16 TDs so far this year and 6 yard per carry average. The Huskers need to gang tackle him in order to slow down the rushing attack and prevent him from running wild. On the flip side, Nebraska will be without QB Casey Thompson again. This means we are likely to see Chubba Purdy and Logan Smothers again, although I think Smothers should get the nod. He looked far more under control against Minnesota and the Huskers probably could've won the game if he had been put in sooner for the second half. Regardless, the number one goal for the Huskers is get the ball to Anthony Grant and Trey Palmer in space. They really need to ride Grant more when he's hot. Through the first two drives last week he had 12 carries for 86 yards. Until the middle of the 4th quarter he only had 5 more carries for 11 yards. USE YOUR BEST PLAYERS! Don't get your hopes too high Husker fans, we might not cover. Michigan 45, Nebraska 14. GO BIG RED!


Sidenote: The first ever Bussin' Bowl takes place as there is now a trophy from the Bussin' with the Boys podcast hosted by ex-Husker Will Compton and ex-Wolverine Taylor Lewan.


Quick Hit Predictions:

#7 LSU at Arkansas - The Tigers have a trap game today in the battle for the Golden Boot Trophy. Arkansas has fallen off the radar a bit with a 5-4 record, but with LSU coming off the Bama win and Pig Sooie motivated at home this could be closer than the Tigers want. They should get out with a W though. LSU 27, Arkansas 21. KJ Jefferson is out for Arkansas.

Oklahoma at West Virginia - The Sooners still need a win to get bowl eligibility and WVU is spiraling toward firing their head coach. Mountaineers need a spirited effort but I don’t think they have it. Boomer Sooner 41-24.

Liberty at UConn - The Huskies are just one win away from bowl eligibility under Jim Mora, but a win over Liberty today is a big ask. They will play well but I expect Liberty to walk out the victors in this one 33-17.

Maryland at #14 Penn State - A classic rivalry out east takes place as the Nittany Lions host the Terps. Maryland has looked good in games against lesser opponents, but against a defense like Penn State they will be on lockdown. Nittany Lions 35, Terrapins 14.

Louisville at #10 Clemson - The Clemson Tigers do not look great this year and there’s legitimate fears around the CFB world they could lose to Louisville at home. Although the Tigers’ offense is struggling and the Cardinals lead the nation in sacks, I don’t believe Clemson has fallen as much as people say. They need a shake up for sure and to get some new playmakers on offense, but they win this one in Death Valley 38-21.

Purdue at #21 Illinois - The Boilermakers fell quickly in the BIG 10 West ranks, and despite their surprising loss last week the Illini still have a 1 game cushion over the rest of the division. They should ground and pound this one so Illinois 27, Purdue 17.

Iowa State at Oklahoma State - Both teams had huge hype around Big XII Championship Dreams and both have fallen off drastically. The Cyclones still need a couple wins to get Bowl Eligible and The Poke are in a bad spiral. I can never predict either of these teams right but I’ll take Iowa State for no particular reason. Cyclones 30, Cowboys 28.

Appalachian State at Marshall - Both the Mountaineers and the Heard are one win away from bowl eligibility, and they have the exact same remaining schedule with Georgia Southern and Georgia State. This game is more for bragging rights, but features a solid App State offense on the road against the Heard's defense. I usually give the nod to the defense at home, but there's just something about Chase Brice with App State. Mountaineers take this one 27-24.

#1 Georgia at Mississippi State - Stetson Bennett is legit and I apologize for doubting him. The Pirate’s air raid could give some headaches, but don’t expect them to hang around for long in this game. UGA wins the battle of the Bulldogs 42-14.


Thanks for reading my gameday predictions and enjoy your College Football Saturday!


#CFBKnowItAll

Alex Fernando