Tuesday, August 29, 2017

Power 5 2017 Conference Outlook

Hey everybody, this post will focus on my Power 5 Conference Predictions! I would like to state that I will again be completely biased with my Huskers until my future job requires that I be unbiased. I am fully aware that certain games are going to be tough for Nebraska to win, but I will provide my reasons on why there is always that chance, and what they SHOULD do in order to get back to championship status. Enjoy!

The Big XII
Last Year's Winner: Oklahoma

     The first Power 5 Conference I'll take a swing at is the Big XII. The dynamic has changed within the conference this year as they're now implementing a conference championship at the end of the season. This is somewhat odd because they are only a 10 team conference, but an extra game to boost possible Playoff Rankings never hurt right? The top two threats to take the crown are Oklahoma and Oklahoma State. There's a lot of hype behind Texas with new Head Coach Tom Herman in charge, but I'm not convinced they're going to jump right to the top that quickly. The Longhorns do have the pleasure of hosting K-State, Oklahoma and Oklahoma State... but they're all in 3 consecutive weeks of each other. The Wildcats are always tough under Bill Snyder, and TCU will be looking to bounce back from an odd 6-7 season in 2017 with 7 starters returning on defense and lots of offensive firepower. West Virginia poses threats too, but most of that weight lies on the shoulders of ex-Gator QB Will Grier. With all that being said, I once again turn the focus to the Sooners and the Cowboys. Both teams return two of the best QBs in College Football with Baker Mayfield and Mason Rudolph. Mayfield will have a new, but familiar Head Coach in Lincoln Riley as Big Game Bobby stepped down during the offseason. Although this is Riley's first head coaching gig, he's helped guide OU's offense to back to back 40+ point averages over the past two seasons. They have a lot of weapons to replace as RBs Joe Mixon & Samaje Perine and WR Dede Westbrook have left for the NFL. However, having a two time Heisman finalist come back for one more year is never a bad thing. The only issue is that their rival, the Cowboys of OSU, can also put up quite a few points. Stillwater is home to one of the better receiving corps in the nation, lead by James Washington who caught 71 passes a year ago for 1380 yards and 10 TDs. They get TCU, K-State and OU at home, but if they have to face the Sooners twice in the new Big XII Championship, it could get interesting. I always say it's very bad to play a team twice, so the winner of the first match up in Bedlam will likely lose the second one. It's a tough pick right now, but I have a tough time trusting Mike Gundy's teams. I'll stick with the Sooners this time, but this conference could honestly go in a number of different directions. We'll see if the Conference Championship Game helps or hurts teams!

PAC 12 Conference
Last Year's Winner: Washington

     TROJANS! TROJANS! TROJANS! After an incredible finish to last season's rocky start, all anyone can talk about when speaking of the PAC-12 are the mighty Trojans of USC. With star QB Sam Darnold fully into the Heisman race, USC looks to be one of the top teams to beat this year. Colorado shocked most everyone (I said to watch out for the Buffs!) last season by winning the South Division Crown, but they lost a lot of starters on defense. QB Steven Montez has one of the better receiving corps in the conference to throw to, so their offense should keep them afloat. Utah is always a factor, and their defense looks tough yet again, but the schedule could be an issue. Colorado has some tough road games at UCLA and Utah, but get to host both Washington and USC. The Utes drew a very unfavorable schedule and have to play USC on the road along with the top 4 teams in the North (Washington, Stanford, Oregon and Wazzu). When looking at the South, it'll likely come down to the cross-city QB duel between UCLA and USC. I was able to visit both Universities this past Spring Break, and trust me, the rivalry is very real. Josh Rosen (and UCLA) lost most of 2016 to an injury, so they're hoping for a more productive 2017. Looking at the overall talent however, I'm giving the edge to USC in the South. As we move up North, we see a lot of teams chasing after the Huskies in Seattle. Chris Petersen's squad won the conference in 2016 and even found a birth into the College Football Playoff. Oregon looks to bounce back from a disappointing 4-8 season last year, and to do so, they've brought in new Head Coach Willie Taggart from USF. The Ducks will need to improve drastically on defense after giving up an average of 41.1 points per game last year, but their offense should be as high powered as usual led by Senior RB Royce Freeman. The Cougars of Wazzu are looking to finally break through behind Senior QB Luke Falk. They are probably one of the most experienced teams in the conference, but also have the toughest schedule to match. The Cougars play USC, Colorado and Utah from the South while having to travel against Washington and Oregon. That leaves Stanford for the best spot to challenge the Huskies. The Cardinal will be leaning on RB Bryce Love to fill the big shoes left by Christian McCaffrey. I'd say he's doing a fabulous job already as he carried the ball just 13 times for 180 yards and 1 TD against Rice this past Saturday. Stanford's defense will be tough as usual, but I doubt anything can stop the 3rd year starting duo of QB Jake Browning and RB Myles Gaskin. There will be some holes to fill, but I expect Washington to win the North and meet USC in the Conference Championship. This is where things get tricky for me. I think the talent of USC needs to be proven, so I'm going to pick Washington to win the conference yet again. No matter what, we could see one crazy game if these two met up!

ACC
Last Year's Winner: Clemson

     After a stellar 2016, the ACC looks to bring a lot of power houses back again in 2017. Florida State leads the way with a star QB in Deondre Francois and one of the nation's best defenses that returns 9 starters including S Derwin James. The 'Noles have a tough schedule as they open with Bama this coming Saturday and have two tough road games in November to Clemson and Florida. Speaking of the Tigers, they must now move into the post-Deshaun Watson era. There are lots of holes to replace on offense, but Dabo's defense looks to be quite formidable yet again. Don't count the Tigers out of Championship status right away. Louisville also poses a threat in the Atlantic Division, primarily because of Heisman Winning QB Lamar Jackson. Jackson was incredible last season, but needs a lot of help from his friends if the Cardinals are going to compete with the likes of the Tigers and the Seminoles. He lost a lot of weapons on offense, but their defense returns 7 starters and have a new coordinator calling the shots, so watch out for the team from Louisville. Although they're not likely to win, I always like to point out how NC State often pulls an upset or two. With Louisville and Clemson at home for the Wolfpack, things could get interesting in the Atlantic Division. Switching over to the Coastal Division, Miami and Virginia Tech are the top two threats to win. The teams are very similar as both squads have to replace their QBs and have new offensive play makers to mix in. Defenses should be solid as Miami gave up 18.5 points per game last season and VA Tech gave up an average of 22.8. If I were to pick a Dark Horse in that division, it would be Georgia Tech. The Yellow Jackets pulled some big upsets last year to finish 9-4, and they return 17 starters from a year ago! Star RB Dedrick Mills will be the focus of that team, so watch for them to sting a few opponents this fall. It's hard to pick the Coastal Division, but since Virginia Tech is on the road for both Miami and GT, I'll give the nod to the Hurricanes. Watch GT for my sleeper in the Coastal, but no matter what I think FSU has the talent to win the ACC Championship this year.

SEC
Last Year's Winner: Alabama

     Okay, we already know Bama is going to win. So let's look at the potential threats and hope one of them helps us all and beats the Tide! LSU and Auburn are neck and neck for that number 2 spot in the West, but I think Auburn has the edge. Both teams have terrific ground games and tough defenses, but Auburn has less change. LSU is still getting used to Head Coach Ed Orgeron, and have to break in new OC Matt Canada. Plus, Auburn will have ex-Baylor QB Jarrett Stidham at QB, providing an extra spark to an offense that averaged 31.2 points per game last year. They will have a very tough schedule, having to travel to LSU, Arkansas and Texas A&M. Speaking of the Hogs, they're always good for an upset or two, so be careful when playing in Fayetteville. Junior stud QB Nick Fitzgerald also leads a Bulldog team that has a favorable schedule with LSU and Bama at home, so watch out! Moving over to the East, we look for the team that will more than likely get demolished by Bama yet again in the SEC Championship. Georgia looks to have the edge as they return 11 starters on defense and a trio of play-makers on offense in QB Jacob Eason and RBs Nick Chubb and Sony Michel. The Gators acquired ex-Notre Dame QB Malik Zaire over the summer, but with only 3 returning starters on defense, they will have a lot of work to do. I'm giving the nod to the Bulldogs and Kirby Smart. I'd like to see what he can do against his former team in the Conference Championship, but I've still got the Tide Rolling like usual. Maybe we'll get a miracle in 2017 and a new team will break out! Watch out for the Wildcats up in Kentucky, they've got a good offensive attack lead by RB Benny Snell.

BIG 10
Last Year's Winner: Penn State

     The BIG 10 got extremely messy (mostly in the East) last season as Penn State won the Conference, but Ohio State got the College Football Playoff bid. The East Division will again be complicated as the Buckeyes will be looking for revenge against a surprising and scary Nittany Lion team. Michigan will be rebuilding a bit this year as they only return 6 starters, but hosting Ohio State will be a fun one to watch. The Buckeyes and the Nittany Lions are easily the top two teams, and it's hard to say who will win. Ohio State does get home field advantage around, and has plenty of talent. Senior QB J.T. Barrett will be leading an offense that has a new coordinator in ex-Hoosier Head Coach Kevin Wilson. Wilson's high powered offense could be quite deadly with Barrett running the show. On defense, the Buckeyes have some work to do in the secondary, but it could be hard for opponents to even get a pass off with how scary the defensive line is at Ohio State. Switching over to Happy Valley, the Nittany Lions look to repeat their success from 2016. However, they wont be able to surprise everyone this year. The exciting duo of Trace McSorely and Saquon Barkley are back, and they will be fun to watch. I want to give the nod to Penn State, but it feels more like a heart over head pick. I'll stick with the Buckeyes in the East.
     Looking over to the West Division, this is where I get to have my fun. Most people will say Wisconsin has another trip to Indianapolis wrapped up, but I beg to differ. I'll at least point out why Nebraska has a shot at winning the Division, then it's up to them to actually make it happen for me! We'll start with the Badgers, who are always tough to beat. They return 17 starters from a year ago, and Sophomore QB Alex Hornibrook will have lots of weapons to use on offense. Northwestern poses a big threat to the West this year as Junior QB Clayton Thorson is a Dark Horse for QB of the Year in the conference. He'll have the do-it-all back Justin Jackson returning with him along with 4 starters on the o-line and 7 on defense. Watch out for the Wildcats this year, they get Iowa, Penn State, Michigan State and Minnesota all at home. Speaking of Iowa, they have a great rushing attack returning in Akrum Wadley, so let's just hope they lose to Wyoming early on and their season crashes from there (sorry not sorry). The Hawkeyes have to travel to all their divisional foes like NW, Wiscy and Nebraska, but do get Penn State and Ohio State at home... that could be rough. Finally, we look to the best team of all (again, I am biased until I'm paid not to be), Nebraska! The Cornhuskers have a lot of question marks heading into 2017, but in my opinion, that keeps everyone else guessing. Coach Riley has hired a new Defensive Coordinator in Bob Diaco, and he'll be helping the Blackshirts flex between a 4-3 and a 3-4. The defense is experienced, but took a hit by losing top DB Chris Jones for a majority if not all of the season to a knee injury. Luckily the Secondary has good depth, and the new system will help a lot with rotations. There's a lot of talent on both sides of the ball, but there is not a ton of experience. Not many of these new Huskers have played together before, so finding chemistry early on will be key for success in Lincoln. New QB Tanner Lee looks to impress and fits the Riley/Langsdorf system quite well. Be sure to watch for lots of 50 yard bombs from Lee to Spielman, that's going to be a deadly duo. Although Nebraska lost a great deal of wideouts, the cupboards are not bare. The Huskers return stars Stanley Morgan and De'Mornay Pierson-El. Bryan Reimers and JD Spielman will also be names to watch. Improvement on the O-line is easily the biggest issue between mediocrity and a BIG 10 Championship birth for the Huskers. My biggest factor to consider is the schedule. Nebraska gets Wisconsin, Ohio State, Northwestern and Iowa all at home. If Nebraska can hold their own in Memorial and win at least the divisional games, they'll have a trip to Indianapolis booked no problem. Ohio State would be tough to beat in the Conference Championship, but you never know with my Huskers! Personally I pick Nebraska, but realistically I'll say the Buckeyes win the BIG 10 in 2017.

Be sure to tune in tonight at 7pm to hear The Second String, my College Football Radio Show with my friend Nate! Click on KRNU2 after you follow the link! Thanks for reading and GO BIG RED!

http://krnu.unl.edu/

#CollegeFootballKnowItAll
Alex Fernando


Monday, August 28, 2017

Group of 5 2017 Conference Outlook

     Hey everyone! I'm sorry it's been so long, but I've been very busy since the national title game, so finding time to post has been difficult. However, I will still be making my normal posts throughout the College Football season, and I could not be more excited because we are less than one week away from College Football!!! This post will focus on my thoughts for who will win each Group of 5 Conference in football this season. One last piece of information is that my friend Nate Muhlbach (guest picker for bowl games last season) and I will be hosting a College Football talk show on KRNU2, the campus radio! The station has an online stream, so you can use the link below to tune in for more CFB news! Now, onto my conference predictions!

Be sure to click on KRNU 2!! Our show will take place every Tuesday evening from 7-8 pm Central!

http://krnu.unl.edu/

Sun Belt Conference
Last Year's Winner: Arkansas State & Appalachian State

     When looking at the Sun Belt, it really comes down to three teams, Arkansas State, Appalachian State and Troy. The Red Wolves are coming off a season where they stared 0-4, but fought their way back to win a share of the Sun Belt Title. They return Junior QB Justice Hansen and a number of weapons for him to throw to. The big concern is the 5 new starting linemen in front of Hansen. If they can overcome some early offensive struggles with a new O-line, Arkansas State poses a big threat to winning the Sun Belt again. Defensively, they return one of the best players in the Conference, and arguably the nation. Ja'Von Rolland-Jones finished last season with 13.5 sacks, so he'll be a force to watch on defense for Arkansas State. Troy is coming into the 2017 season lead by senior QB Brandon Silvers. Silvers is the top QB in the conference and lead the best scoring offense in the Sun Belt in 2016 averaging 33.7 points per game. Having to play Arkansas State on the road could be difficult at the end of the season, but look for the Trojans to be near the top of the conference again this season. Finally, when looking at Appalachian State, they look the strongest. The Mountaineers offense was 10th overall in rushing last season, averaging 250.92 yards per game and averaged just under 30 points per game as well. Star RB Jalin Moore will look to build on his stellar Sophomore season where he rushed for 1402 yards and 10 TDs. He'll be the go-to back as a Junior this season, but has a lot of help behind him with Senior Power Back Terrance Upshaw. Upshaw was academically ineligible last year, but has gotten back on track and is ready to provide some carries in between Moore's. I picked the Mountaineers last season, and they got a share of the title with the Red Wolves. South Alabama and new comer Coastal Carolina may be trap games for the top 3 candidates, but I expect Troy, Arkansas State and Appalachian State to remain at the top. I'm going with the Mountaineers again this season. In my opinion, Jalin Moore is one of the best kept secrets in the nation, although I think the rest of the conference might know his name now!

Conference USA
Last Year's Winner: Western Kentucky

     The Hilltoppers are looking for their third straight Conference USA Championship and have a new coach to lead them towards it. Former Notre Dame assistant Mike Sanford has taken the reigns as former Head Coach Jeff Brohm left for Purdue. Sanford will likely lean on Senior QB Mike White who threw for 4363 yards last season while posting a 67.3% completion rating and a 37:7 TD to INT ratio. I expect WKU to have a very high powered offense yet again. Middle Tennessee is probably their biggest threat in the East Division, but Florida Atlantic could be a sleeper with new Head Coach Lane Kiffin. However, I think some of the hype is a little too high on Kiffin, so I'm going to wait for some proof before I make any claims on what he can accomplish with FAU. Middle Tennessee will be looking for revenge against WKU after falling to them in a 44-43 Double OT thriller last season. We'll see if their offense can keep up after I'Tavius Mathers' departure to the NFL. The QB-WR duo of Stockstill and James will be fun to watch this fall. In the West Division, Louisiana Tech is the favorite yet again. Even though QB Ryan Higgins and top Wideouts Trent Taylor and Carlos Henderson have moved on, young stud J'Mar Smith looks to be a star in the making. He'll have quite a bit of help with a solid RB duo behind him with Juniors Jarred Craft and Boston Scott. The two backs accounted for 1589 yards and 15 TDs in 2016, so look for them to be a heavy focus for the Bulldogs' offense and 2017. Their defense will be lead by Junior DL Jaylon Ferguson who recorded 14.5 sacks last season. Southern Miss and UTSA could cause some headaches throughout the season for the Bulldogs in the west, but with only second year coaches, I think it will be a few more seasons before they catch up. I'm looking for a great championship match-up between WKU and LA Tech. I want to see the Bulldogs dethrone the Hilltoppers, but WKU is still my pick to top the Conference USA Hill yet again. We'll see what the new coach can do!

Mid-American Conference
Last Year's Winner: Western Michigan

     The MAC will be a very interesting conference to watch this fall. PJ Fleck has left for Minnesota, so Western Michigan will be moving in a different direction with new Head Coach Tim Lester. He'll have to replace one of the most efficient QB-WR duos in the nation as Zach Terrell and Corey Davis are gone now. The Broncos' run game should still be a factor as they return both Jarvion Franklin and LaVante Bellamy. Franklin rushed for 1353 yards and 12 TDs last season while Bellamy returns from an early injury that sidelined him for the majority of 2016. WMU also returns 8 starters on a defense that was tops in the MAC last season giving up only 19.8 points per game. They have a tough schedule starting off with road games to USC and Michigan State, and then finishing the season with a road trip to West Division rival Toledo. Speaking of the Rockets, they're a very big threat to take over the MAC crown. Logan Woodside looks to continue his impressive numbers from last season with another strong receiving corps. The Rockets will be looking for a new leader in their rushing attack as Kareem Hunt has moved onto the NFL. They do return 7 starters on defense which means the Glass Bowl game between the Rockets and Broncos on November 24th will be a good one to watch! Looking to the East Division, the Ohio Bobcats and Miami (OH) RedHawks are the teams to watch. The Bobcats won the Division last year with the tie breaking win over the RedHawks, but the script could be flipped this season. RedHawk QB Gus Ragland returned mid-season from an injury last year and finished with 1537 yards, 64.2% completion rating and an incredible 17:1 TD:INT ratio. Plus, the RedHawks return 16 starters from a year ago, so there is a lot of experience with this team. Frank Solich will be counting on Sophomore QB Quinton Maxwell to lead the team, but I think Ragland's going to beat him out. RedHawks and Rockets meet in Detroit for the MAC championship in my opinion, and I think the Rockets have the edge. I'm picking Toledo to win the MAC, but watch Miami (OH), they're sneaky!

Mountain West Conference
Last Year's Winner: San Diego State

     The Mountain West will be one of the more interesting stories to watch this season, especially in the Mountain Division. San Diego looks to hold onto the West Division Title, even with lots of roster turnover. Hawaii and UNLV have potential to cause some headaches, but the Aztecs are still too strong in my opinion. The exciting stories will occur mostly in the Mountain Division, where Boise State, Colorado State and Wyoming will be battling for the bid to the Conference Championship. The Cowboys surprised everyone last season, and Junior QB Josh Allen will look to continue his success from a year ago. Last season, Allen threw for over 3200 yards along with 28 TDs and 15 picks. He progressed later in the year, so look for those numbers to be much more stellar this season! Wyoming will have to break in a new running back, but the Cowboys defense returns 8 starters from a year ago, so look for lots of improvement on that side of the ball. The Broncos up in Boise looked good when I peaked in on practice about a month ago! I was visiting family in Boise and took a visit to Boise State and walked by the Team's Fall camp on the way to see the Blue Turf! Third-year starting QB Brett Rypien will be looking for a new running back, but still has big play wideout Cedric Wilson. The defense only returns four starters from a year ago, so there is a steep learning curve. Finally, looking at the Rams from CSU, there's no better place to start than the offense. The QB-WR duo of Nick Stevens and Michael Gallup have already caused havoc in 2017 by blowing out Oregon State 58-27 on Saturday. With 13 returning starters and a brand new stadium, the Rams are a team to watch this year in the Mountain Division. When looking at the schedules, Boise gets Wyoming at home, but has to travel to Ft. Collins to take on the Rams. The Cowboys do get the Rams in Laramie, but follow that game with a tricky trip to Air Force. Overall, it looks to be a pretty tight race for the Mountain Division, but I'm going with the Cowboys of Wyoming! I think Josh Allen is one of the most dynamic QBs in the nation, and with an experienced defense, they have a great shot at repeating. I'm also picking them to beat San Diego State and win the Mountain West Conference, watch out for Josh Allen!

American Athletic Conference
Last Year's Winner: Temple

     The Owls are coming off back to back Conference Championships, but will be breaking in a new coach and 14 new starters in 2017. They will be a strong contender again, but with so many new faces, it could be hard to repeat a third time. The Golden Knights of UCF improved greatly under 1st year head coach Scott Frost, so we'll see what type of encore performance they can come up with! The Knights return 9 starters on offense, so look for them to put up some points this season. The main story of the conference comes from Tampa Bay where the USF Bulls are a heavy favorite to win it all in the American. QB Quinton Flowers is one of mine (and most everyone's) Dark Horse Heisman picks, and he started off the season with a solid 282 total yard performance along 2 TDs on Saturday against San Jose State. If he has the season everyone believes he can have, look for the Bulls to be very successful this year. In the West Division, there are a number of teams crowding for the top spot. Houston, Navy and Memphis all have great arguments to win the division, and schedules could play a big factor. When looking at Houston, they lost their Head Coach and star QB from last year. But new HC Major Applewhite and Texas A&M transfer Kyle Allen is more than capable of filling those shoes. The offense should still be a threat, even with the transition, and the Cougars' defense is anchored by DT Ed Oliver, one of the best in the nation. They're lucky enough to get both Memphis and Navy at home, but are also unfortunate enough to have a road game against USF. The Tigers return star QB Riley Ferguson, and a lot of talented wideouts for him to throw to. Second-year coach Mike Norvell will be looking for improvement on defense, as they gave up nearly 29 points per game last year. Finally, we look to Annapolis, MD at the reigning division champs. Although the Midshipmen return only 10 starters from a year ago, their offense should be hard to stop yet again. They have a very experienced offensive line to lead the way for rising QB Zach Abey and a horde of RBs and FBs that teams always struggle to stop. It's always hard to predict what Navy will do, but with road games to Tulsa, Memphis, Temple and Houston, it will be very tough to repeat. I'm going with the Cougars in the West simply because they get Memphis at home. That game could go either way, but we'll give home field advantage for now. No matter what, I think the Bulls win it all in the American this year, Flowers is too hot to handle!

This is going to be a fun season to watch, so I hope you're all ready for some Football! Here's my picture from visiting the Blue Turf at Boise State! Thanks for reading and GO BIG RED!



#CollegeFootballKnowItAll
Alex Fernando